Basically the best scenarios for us have us facing the Rockets:
We win, Houston loses, Phoenix wins. We end up # 3 and face Houston (#6)
We lose, Houston loses, Phoenix loses. We end up #4 and play #5 Houston.
We lose, Houston wins, Phoenix loses. We end up #5 and play Houston (#4) w/o HCA
Worst scenarios: we don't get HCA and we don't get Houston
We lose, Houston loses, Phoenix wins. We end up #5 and play #4 Phoenix w/o HCA
We lose, Houston wins, Phoenix wins. We end up #6 and play #3 Utah w/o HCA.
Average scenarios: we get HCA, but we don't get Houston
We win, Houston wins, Phoenix wins. We end up#3 and play #6 Phoenix
We win, Phoenix loses. We end up #3 and play # 6 Phoenix (doesn't matter what Houston does)

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