Yea.. the good thing is people are out of there... it will be rebuilt already anyway..
Sapphire, these are mathematical models of the atmosphere we are looking at. The Hurricane Center uses several models to try to predict what hurricanes are going to do. What you see on weather.com is the current NHC prediction.
Some of us geeks like to dig deeper and look at some of the info the NHC is using. It makes pretty pictures, but it's also subject to a lot of errors. That's why NHC uses many models...they knock them off each other.
Didn't you say a few posts ago that the people had lots of time to leave early?
Yes, it's defeatism. We can orderly have 50,000 to 100,000 people leave a stadium in a relatively small area. Surely, we can do a couple million over a big city.
The next rounds of evacuations will run more smoothly. If you look at the New Orleans evacutation during Ivan, and the evacuation during Katrina, they are 2 different worlds. The Evac during Ivan was very much like this one.
Where da fvck you been, man?
Updates?
LOL what's up with the BAMM?? hahah
Beaumont/P. Arthur look ed and flooded, winds + 10 inches rain, NO is stepping back into . models drifting east
BAMM has been hooking hard and early like that for a while...LOL what's up with the BAMM?? hahah
Satellite views are really ugly...the eye has visually collapsed...
Latest VORTEX...about 35 minutes ago...
000
URNT12 KNHC 231730Z
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 23/1700Z
B. 27 DEG 38 MIN N
92 DEG 08 MIN W
C. NA
D. NA
E. NA
F. 180 DEG 124 KT
G. 089 DEG 18 NM
H. 931 MB
I. 16 C/ 2200 M
J. 20 C/ 2653 M
K. 15 C/ NA
L. OPEN SE
M. C30
N. 12345/NA
O. 1/1 NM
P. NOAA2 WX18A RITA OB 05
MAX FL WIND 124 KT E QUAD 1654Z
FIX AT 8,700 FT PRESSURE AL UDE
What exactly does that mean?
It's data from a recon flight...
NOAA P3
Air Force Reserve C130J (older) and C130 H (newer with glass pit and
pull down HUD display like fighters have)
Last edited by Vashner; 09-23-2005 at 12:51 PM.
OK we got that part, but what does it mean???
Just look at Boutons last post he summarized it...
Downgraded to cat3. Eye wall has collapsed, upper level surface sheer on the west side of the storm is weakening it.
But it's just starting to heat up today.. it got get stronger again..
who's last post?
That's what I was thinking!!
un ingbelievable. I have a very close friend who has relatives that live directly between Beaumont and Orange right in the flood plain between the Sabine and Neches river...She and everyone else in her family have been been begging them to leave for days...we are talking extended family...aunts, uncles, nieces, nephews etc.
Their reason for not leaving? They have a lot of deer meat in their freezers and they "have" to stay there to keep the generator running...I knew there were a lot of backwoods hicks in Vidor but this one takes the cake...If this thing stalls it will be one big lake from Beaumont to Orange if the storm surge doesn't get them first..
000
URNT12 KNHC 231730Z
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE ...... header information
A. 23/1700Z ..................... timestamp for this report (1700Z=12 Noon CDT)
B. 27 DEG 38 MIN N ............ lat/long for storm center
92 DEG 08 MIN W
C. NA
D. NA
E. NA
F. 180 DEG 124 KT ............. Strongest winds were from the south at 124KTS
G. 089 DEG 18 NM .............. Winds in F were measured at this bearing and distance from center
H. 931 MB ........................ Barometric pressure in eye
I. 16 C/ 2200 M ................. Temp (at what al ude) outside eye
J. 20 C/ 2653 M ................. Temp (at what al ude) inside eye. Large differences (like 10 or more degrees) show strong storms.
K. 15 C/ NA ...................... Dewpoint inside eye. Low dewpoint = dry air = strong storm
L. OPEN SE ....................... Eye is open to the SE
M. C30 ............................. Eye is circular, radius 30 NM
N. 12345/NA
O. 1/1 NM
P. NOAA2 WX18A RITA OB 05
MAX FL WIND 124 KT E QUAD 1654Z
FIX AT 8,700 FT PRESSURE AL UDE
edit: didn't explain M properly...cranial flatulence...
Last edited by travis2; 09-23-2005 at 01:17 PM.
What a nice guy!
uhhh Travis...CST is Zulu minus 6...A. 23/1700Z ..................... timestamp for this report (1700Z=12 Noon CDT)
*edit* never mind...you did the daylight savings time correction...duhhh
Well, there is something to be said about Darwinism, and staying behind in an area that will be under 15 feet of water to take care of your farking deer meat definitely qualifies.
lol it's only good with bacon..
Yes, as in a couple of days.
That's out of a central confined area over a short distance.Yes, it's defeatism. We can orderly have 50,000 to 100,000 people leave a stadium in a relatively small area. Surely, we can do a couple million over a big city.
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