"Hicks in Vidor"
Vidor is reputed for its KKK
http://www.rtis.com/reg/bcs/pol/touc...mer98/kkk.html
s/e TX is sort of the armpit of TX, in the deep, dark shadow of Houston.
About the only thing it has going for it is oil refineries and rice farming.
I have gradeschool friends + their very large family (Balkan-Italian, the southern Italians having come into that corner of TX via immigrant ships into Galvestion in 19th, 20th centuries) who left Beaumont 2 PM Thu, headed for McKinney (via Lufkin), and had made it only to Tyler by 9:30 AM Fri. Said they saw lots of road rage incidents as stress, low gas, extremely slow traffic, worry took their toll and tempers flared. many stations without gas.
Oh, come on, now. You can't just leave the fruit of months worth of poaching and road hunting to spoil in some damn hurricane, now can you?Their reason for not leaving? They have a lot of deer meat in their freezers and they "have" to stay there to keep the generator running...I knew there were a lot of backwoods hicks in Vidor but this one takes the cake...If this thing stalls it will be one big lake from Beaumont to Orange if the storm surge doesn't get them first..
Trust me, I know all about Zulu time...
(Don't you hate it when I'm right?)
NE wind picking up here in NE SA.
Ripping the out of my banana plants.
Is that Rita wind?
Yea some of the bands will produce some winds.. gusty at timez..
What a nice guy!
Yes it is Rita wind.
I was asleep most of this morning, I was up all last night.
I had to go drop off one of the computers I sold on Ebay, but I'm about to watch the last model runs. The last I saw where the 6z runs which had the ridge much waker to the north which is why the storm was being moved by the shortwave trof (<~
I hope thats what happens. Looking good for Houston, but Port Aurthur is giong to be ed. The winds may be weakening, but it will still come ashore with cat 5 storm surge.
GFS still has it doing some curlique through LA and ending up in the Gulf...
A new VORTEX...
000
URNT12 KNHC 231805Z
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 23/1746Z
B. 27 DEG 45 MIN N
92 DEG 15 MIN W
C. 700 MB 2489 MA
D. NA
E. NA
F. 146 DEG 129 KT
G. 051 DEG 19 NM
H. 930 MB
I. 12 C/ 3064 M
J. 19 C/ 3041 M
K. 14 C/ NA
L. OPEN SE
M. C20
N. 12345/7
O. 1/1 NM
P. NOAA3 2318A RITA OB 04
MAX FL WIND 129 KT NE QUAD 1741Z
EYE OPEN NE THRU SE
It just seems SOOOO hot here in San Antonio.. I think a lot of energy is being built up... all is gonna break loose ... eventually..
Yeah, I'm loading the GFs. Just took a look at the NAM/ETA. It still has the ridge building back to stall it. Son of a man. I hope that trof digs in farther south than expected and just sends this to the NE. Did you see the plots that sent her back into the gulf and REDEVLOPED her? Reminds me of Danny years back.
Interesting link, shows projected damage, winds, rain, etc....
http://hurricane.methaz.org/cgi-bin/...savequery=true
Yeah, the current GFS leaves that open as a possibility. The 500mb doesn't show it very well, but the surface projection shows it blowing back up...
Just some info on Danny...the storm with 9 lives...
Hurricane Danny made its first landfall, just northwest of the Mississippi River delta near the towns of Empire and Buras, early on 18 July. Danny was a very small hurricane, and significant effects were confined to the area immediately around the eye. Reports from the Hurricane Hunters indicated a radius of maximum winds of eight or nine n mi. Communities from Port Sulphur southeastward to Venice, Louisiana probably experienced hurricane force winds (the Venice ASOS site lost power after reporting wind gusts to 38 knots a couple of hours before the closest approach of the hurricane's center).
After passing over extreme southeastern Louisiana, the center of Danny was back over the Gulf of Mexico, south of the coast of Mississippi, during the day on 18 July. There was a little more strengthening, and Danny reached its peak intensity of 70 knots with a minimum central pressure of 984 mb. The slow-moving hurricane wobbled to the east, then north-northeastward, bringing the eye to the mouth of Mobile Bay, near Fort Morgan, Alabama, just before dawn on the 19th. The eyewall and western edge of the eye passed over Dauphin Island, where sustained hurricane-force winds and torrential rains were experienced. After drifting over extreme southern Mobile Bay, the center plodded eastward, practically stalled, and finally crossed the coast on the southeast shore of the bay near Mullet Point, Alabama around midday on the 19th. Danny continued to move erratically, toward the southeast over extreme southeast Alabama, while weakening to a tropical storm by 0000 UTC on the 20th. The weakening cyclone then turned northward, passing over the extreme northwest Florida panhandle. Danny, weakened to a depression by 1800 UTC on the 20th, moved north to northeastward over Alabama for two days.
Satellite images showed that Danny, although very weak at the surface, still had a well-defined cyclonic cloud signature as it moved eastward over northern Georgia and South Carolina on 22-23 July. The low pressure system moved east-northeastward over North Carolina on the morning of the 24th. Around midday, as the center neared the Atlantic seaboard near the North Carolina/Virginia border, the cyclone began strengthening -- while accelerating in forward speed. The fact that Danny was re-intensifying while still partially over land suggests that it may have been deriving energy from a baroclinic source. A front was situated just to the north of the cyclone around this time. Winds around Danny were already back to tropical storm force as the center moved back over water around 1900 UTC on the 24th.
Just when it looked as if it were racing safely away from the coast, the storm turned north-northeastward, and slowed dramatically, as it appeared to be drawn in toward a middle- to upper-tropospheric cyclone over the northeastern United States. This motion brought Danny to about 25 n mi southeast of Nantucket Island, Massachusetts, around 0000 UTC 26 July. After buffeting southeastern Massachusetts, Danny lost its remaining tropical characteristics, and turned out to sea -- for good. The cyclone was absorbed in a frontal zone over the north Atlantic by 1800 UTC on 27 July.
"Breaking branches" in Gonzales County? Surely they can't be serious.
Just watched the GFS, still swings it around the Western Sub Tropical High back around and almost reaches the Gulf, but the shortwave sweeps it up.
I'm not convinced anyof the models have a good grasp on what is going on.
http://www.breitbart.com/news/2005/0...BAU361026.html
Texas expects catastrophic damage from Hurricane Rita, including the flooding of the entire coastal city of Port Arthur, a senior state official said on Friday.
Speaking as the first winds of the massive storm were felt along the Gulf of Mexico coast, Jack Colley, the director of the Texas Division of Emergency Management, told reporters an estimated 5.2 million Texans would be affected, 6,000 homes would be destroyed and 16,000 people made homeless.
The initial damage expectation, not including lost commerce, was $8.3 billion.
He said parts of southeast Texas, where tens of thousands of people have been evacuated, was expected to be hit by hurricane force winds for 16 straight hours.
Colley said he expected the entire city of Port Arthur to go underwater with an 18- to 22-foot (6- to 7- meter) storm surge caused by Rita's "tsunami effect."
"We could expect probably sustained hurricane winds, beginning at midnight tonight, for 16 hours, an incredible storm," Colley said of Texas' three southeasternmost counties.
The region also should expect an "onslaught" of medium-sized tornadoes overnight. Northeastern Texas should expect up to 25 inches of rain, causing flooding around Tyler, Texas.
just got better path convergence
http://www.wunderground.com/tropical...518_model.html
How is the eye both open and closed? Are there 2 of them again?L. OPEN SE
M. C20
the C on M means the shape is circular.
yeah I saw that...I edited my original. Typing too fast.
Hey, nobody's perfect...
Rita is going to go in, turn around, and have its remnants go right back over New Orleans and dump a load of rain.
Sorry, that was travis' fault.
Go in where? Not that you know for sure, but what do you think?
Hum my cable modem is acting up.. it must sense the storm is coming..
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