How do McCain or Obama get to 270?

[MannyIsGod]

Sure, the results don't match their internals....we've already discussed it remember?

And SurveryUSA can be hired by anyone.


I expect their results to start tightening up the closer we get to the election, for credibility purposes...and I guarantee you they'll be closer than they are now.

So now they're just making up?

K, whatever works for fairytale world.

[MannyIsGod]

Yesterday's set of fairytale polls are setting up for a rather happy ending. Of course the wicked whottt of the west may not think so, but its not my fault he's getting a house dropped on his ass.

[MannyIsGod]

On Electoral-Vote.com in 2004, the highest any candidate ever got was 290 EVs. It happend to both Kerry and Bush in the last month at various points but never lasted more than a day.

Today Obama is up to 349 EVs. He's been well oever 300 for some time now. Its been about a week since he was below 300 and its been much longer since he was below 270.

EV was very accurate in 2004.

[TomBrady]

Does anyone find it hilarious how whottt now denounces polls, but when McCain was up the ugly little maggot couldn't stop posting them?

[Bartleby]

Ahh, the good old days, right before the market meltdown:

http://spurstalk.com/forums/showthre...104358&page=13

[MannyIsGod]

nice.

[baseline bum]

[TomBrady]

Real Clear Politics now has McCain up 227-207
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo...ama_vs_mccain/

Latest Rasmussen National has McCain up 50-47.

Second Poll that seems to confirm Minnesota is slipping away from the Democrats:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo...lls/index.html

Minnesota SurveyUSA Obama 49, McCain 47 Obama +2

http://www.diageohotlinepoll.com/archive/

whottt was that whottt? you don't believe in polls?

well you sure as did when McCain was winning. good god you are one pathetic ugly maggot. your asshole must be tore up from all the anal-rapage going on here.

[MannyIsGod]

Largest Gallup lead so far. As noted above, Gallup is NOT weighted by party. Another big number from PA, so you can remove that from the tossup state list as far as I'm concerned.

This basically locks up the Kerry states. I think NH is still technically a tossup, but we'll see how successful McCain can be there.

So right now the Obama path to victory is Kerry+IA+NM+X with a lot of states - almost all of which Barak has leads in (many outside the MoE) - able to fill X.

[Colombiano972]

FWIW, this is from another site I post at.
http://www.bbwforums.net/forum/showthread.php?t=21026

[Findog]

FWIW, this is from another site I post at.
http://www.bbwforums.net/forum/showthread.php?t=21026

Is that safe for work? Does the BBW stand for "big beautiful women?" Are you posting links to porker forums?

[whottt]

Why's everyone laughing?

Did someone post that quote of Manny saying that going by National polls(like Gallup) is foolish?

If so props, because that is funny


And Survey USA can be hired, by anyone...to ask questions in specific ways.


I think I'll wait a couple more days to see if things calm down. Although...I think people are figuring out the Democrats have a great deal to do with the current financial crisis, because the Congressional approval rating is at 13% now.

[Das Texan]

seriously,


whott is something else.

[ElNono]

Why's everyone laughing?

[JoeChalupa]

[MannyIsGod]

[ChumpDumper]

[MannyIsGod]

Why's everyone laughing?

This is going to make me laugh for awhile.

[smeagol]

In case people missed it, whottt is a registered democrat . . .

I am a registered Democrat as we speak(and I was in 04 as well from voting for Gore) and I didn't even vote in the Republican primary this year

Continue

[MannyIsGod]

Where are those people telling me McCain would have as much money to spend as Obama?

In some good news for McCain, four out of the five daily national trackers show movement for McCain but Gallup has gone double digits. I'm assuming that Gallup is the one not weighting by Party ID Whottt will take it more seriously.

LOL

In all seriousness the national trackers might be good news for McCain considering they're mostly data since he started going "negative". They may also just be noise, but we'll see.

[01.20.09]

Palin is helping McCain but will she be enough?

[TomBrady]

@ whottt

[Findog]

Palin is helping McCain but will she be enough?

I think she's actually dragging the ticket down. Some of the trackers showed some slight movement towards McCain today. I'm guessing that's the Ayers stuff nibbling at the margins. Bill Ayers isn't going to win the election for McCain, and last night's debate was a wasted opportunity to make up some ground.

[01.20.09]

I hope that is true because she sure can draw a conservative crowd and if McCain goes where she goes it can only help.

[MannyIsGod]

Fivethirtyeight.com has a good post today that I was thinking about yesterday. What is the ceiling for Obama? I mean a few weeks ago nobody here would have predicted a +11 on the Gallup poll and giving the party breakdowns you can only get so high before you start running into people that are simply never going to vote for Obama.

I think at this point, Obama is winning over the undecideds at a good margin, and I don't see how he can get much higher in many of these polls. So we'll enter an equilibrium or we'll see some slight movement back to McCain as the polls settle out.