literally everyone involved is expecting SCOTUS, possibly egged on by Trump, Mike Johnson and others, to overturn the effect of VRA Section 2 at some point in 2025. Trump will appoint federal judges who are hardlines on this issue and fire ones that are to the left on this issue.

LA/AL revert to 2022 maps, for all practical purpose. it's also geographically possible for Georgia to draw out GA-02, but i don't think they will.

Dems might make a few gains to offset these but I'm not exactly sure where. They already flipped back the Zeldin NY coat tail seats this time around, and California is trending right. Alaska appears to be doing away with ranked choice voting via ballot initiative. They just don't have much room to gain. Don Bacon... I mean, he's a tough old cookie, he should have lost this time but won with a massive split ticket there. Marianne Miller Meeks survives another recount this time, but really she's a weak candidate who should probably retire. Arizona is looking a lot worse for the Dems long term than we thought before. Schweikert won by quite a bit. Both pacific Northwest swing seats went blue this time but the Dems still couldn't get over the hump.

if Cuellar/Gonzalez ever decide to retire, the Dems are toast there too. Lot of split ticketing this cycle, really the most we've seen since 2012, and most of it (Bacon's seat notwithstanding) favored down-ballot Democrats.