too bad miami couldnt take both of those games
hawks next 5 games are rough. OKC, Memphis, Milwaukee, Indy, Indy. if they manage to lose 4-5 of those... their game after that against philly actually becomes potentially interesting
too bad miami couldnt take both of those games
hawks next 5 games are rough. OKC, Memphis, Milwaukee, Indy, Indy. if they manage to lose 4-5 of those... their game after that against philly actually becomes potentially interesting
It's going to be tough for them to end up lower than 9th in the East tbh
Let's hope for a immediate exist in the Play-in
Bad night for the Spurs, but a good night for the 2025 picks.
Eastern conference ranking:
6) Detroit: 33-26
7) Orlando: 29-31
8) Miami: 27-30
9) Atlanta: 27-32
10) Chicago: 23-36
Hawks will likely finish between 7th and 9th. They won't catch up Detroit and won't be caught by Chicago.
After that, it will depend on the play-in:
- If they qualify for the playoffs, Hawks pick will be 15th or 16th.
- If they don't qualify for the playoffs, Hawks pick will be between 10th and 12th. Odds of that pick moving in the top4 will be between 7% and 14%.
I agree the Hawks will definitely not catch up with Pistons but there is a chance (a slightly remote one) that the Nets might catch up with the Hawks for the 9th position. They seem to be outlasting expectations against better teams while being inconsistent against poorer teams (like Wizards). They are five and a half games behind the Hawks who have a slightly tougher remaining schedule than the Nets. If the Hawks go on a losing spree again (as has been their wont the whole season), there is a chance that the Nets could surpass them to the 9th position while the Hawks are pushed to 10th. There is no use hoping the Bulls and Sixers will be interested in keeping it compe ive though.
Sixers are interested in keeping their pick.
That's gonna be really tough. I don't see them managing to get below 5, and even if they do get to five it's really not a great leap to see two other teams jump ahead of them and they end up at 7 where okc gets their pick lol. If they end up six or higher they are almost certainly dust unless they manage to hit the lottery.
sixers are in a bad spot. even if they tank hard going forward, there is still a greater chance that OKC winds up with their pick. they actually have a better shot at getting into the play-in, right now, than they do of keeping their pick. supposedly, they'll have a plan for embiid by the end of the week. i guess that would give us a clearer picture of their intentions.
its not just a question of whether they can fall below 9 in the east. theres also portland in the west who can get ahead of them in the overall standings. if that happens ATL is in the 10th slot for lotto odds. that carries a 10.6% chance of moving top 4.
if they stay at 11, that number is 9.4%
anyway i think ATL has proven theyre not that bad a team to just completely spiral (even though their next 5 games are quite brutal) outside of a big injury bug. its more likely the spurs fall behind another spot or two than atlanta falling behind anybody other than portland
You realize that there is a draft lottery, right? So even if the Sixers end up outside of the bottom 6 record-wise, they still might keep their pick.
Yes, I did say at the end, "unless they manage to hit the lottery". If they don't hit the lottery they are probably ed is what I was getting at.
They’re 6.5 behind ATL with 24 games left, and no Embiid. They have no chance at the play in.
Agreed. They are making no effort to win. But those bas s better not lose the lottery and end up with a pick in the bottom of the lottery that would go to OKC.
They could pass Chicago for #10, but if they don’t play in, they’ve just handed OKC #8 overall.
technically, they have a 14% chance of getting the 10th spot. but they have to out tank the nets and the raptors. perhaps we can jump toronto instead. they have the easiest schedule of all the NBA teams to close the season (philly is 26th and nets are at 17th).
The 9 spot! Just pulled Flagg twice in a row on Tankathon!
This is an awesome website by the way. They update the win loss records practically in real time.
Not sure how you figure but the key thing here is 6 of the top 8 tanking teams are from the eastern. This forces them to get some wins against each other and improves our odds to out tank them.
I got 1 and 11. Flagg and Wolf (can trade down for multiple picks).
i can see the Spurs winning as few as 4 or 5 more games the rest of the way.
I thought we’d be lucky to stay under 30 wins but it’s looking like a real possibility!
Last edited by Knoxxx; 02-27-2025 at 10:24 PM.
If Spurs don’t move up and land a top 5 in the lottery I wonder if those picks will be kicked down the road. At least one of them will be in my opinion.
Oh, that our luck could be this good. It would make this season worth it.
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Last edited by TVI; 02-28-2025 at 11:06 AM.
spurstalk hitting the "simulate lottery" button over and over before getting this result
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The ultimate payoff:
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