Ike

[BacktoBasics]

I'm 100% commission this would destroy me. Even though I have nice chunk in savings it would be months before we'd be back up in a position where I'd have steady sales. If this place is ripped apart we'd have little to no winter texans and a ravaged inventory.

The idea of this coming into CC is a freightening prospect.

[Ginofan]

We are still several days out...just keep an eye out on the models and what the NHC says. There's no reason to get psycho panicky right now. I'd say if by Wednesday they still predict a Texas landfall between Galveston and CC then heck yeah haul ass outta there.

[Johnny_Blaze_47]

Ike's pissed I didn't get to see the storm. He's coming after me!

Totally random side note: The Charlotte airport has two Lids stores, two NASCAR stores and a Coca-Cola 600 Cafe.

[1369]

The latest 12Z (8 am EDT) computer models continue to show that Ike will track northwest into the central Gulf of Mexico on Tuesday and Wednesday. However, there has been a major shift in the model tracks for Thursday and Friday. All of the models are calling for a more westward motion, bringing Ike to a landfall in Texas sometime Friday afternoon through Saturday morning. The new set of model runs is portraying stronger high pressure over the central Gulf on Wednesday and Thursday will push Ike faster than expected to the west. The trough of low pressure expected to turn Ike to the north does not arrive until Friday night, after the storm has already made landfall in Texas. The timing and strength of this trough, plus the speed with which Ike moves across the Gulf this week are still uncertain. We cannot be confident yet of a Texas landfall until we see several model runs in row that lock in on this solution. All five major models--the GFS, UKMET, GFDL, HWRF, and ECMWF--foresee a landfall between Corpus Christi and Port Arthur. The GFDL model foresees landfall as a Category 2, and the HWRF as a Category 3. Landfall could be as early as Friday afternoon, or as late as Saturday morning.

Hurricane party?

[PakiDan]

I guess you misunderstand what a prediction was since I didn't give a prediction. I gave what the odds of something happening were. If I say a coin has a 50% chance of landing on heads that doesn't mean I'm saying its going to land on heads.

I even went as far to explain this to CH after my posts when he too jumped on me for my "prediction".

And CH and I weren't even arguing over what the path it would take was. We were arguing over whether or not Ike was an annular hurricane and whether or not Gustav was forecast correctly by the NHC.

But yeah, given where Ike is now I should apologize because the never made prediction that wasn't the center of the argument has proven false. Ok.

First off, thank you LuvBones for clarifying my statement. Second, Chill Manny! You made your own bed. You self profess by your posts on this site to be highly interested and knowledgable on weather. I just think that you jumped all over Cry Havoc with what you thought was Superior info on this storm, and so far this storm has slapped your weather know how in the face. I would get on Buddy Holly as equally if he had made som largely incorrect statements about some big retail project going up all the while being condescending to anyone not agreeing with his beliefs (and yes you have been condescending, first to Cry and second to me for not 'Knowing Enough' about your weather jargon to understand everything you said. Well - I agree - maybe I am not the smartest guy when it comes t Meteorologist terms but I am sure I can make you look silly on may other subject matters, which I probably would refrain from doing because I generally like you, and what not get much satisfaction by taking cheap jabs at you just because you don't fully understand my position or perhaps disagree with it. That would make me look and feel childish. I stopped having temper tantrums MANY years ago. They just aren't productive and I realized they just made me look... well.... stupid.

[BacktoBasics]

Manny...acting condescending and generally being a know-it-all. Never.

[Shelly]

Steve Browne was showing computer models of Ike after it makes landfall. And Ike would be headed straight for SA. He said it would be possible that we could have 100 mph winds here in town.

Yikes!

[Manu20]

Damn, GFS has Ike right at my backyard.

[LuvBones]

First off, thank you LuvBones for clarifying my statement. Second, Chill Manny! You made your own bed. You self profess by your posts on this site to be highly interested and knowledgable on weather. I just think that you jumped all over Cry Havoc with what you thought was Superior info on this storm, and so far this storm has slapped your weather know how in the face. I would get on Buddy Holly as equally if he had made som largely incorrect statements about some big retail project going up all the while being condescending to anyone not agreeing with his beliefs (and yes you have been condescending, first to Cry and second to me for not 'Knowing Enough' about your weather jargon to understand everything you said. Well - I agree - maybe I am not the smartest guy when it comes t Meteorologist terms but I am sure I can make you look silly on may other subject matters, which I probably would refrain from doing because I generally like you, and what not get much satisfaction by taking cheap jabs at you just because you don't fully understand my position or perhaps disagree with it. That would make me look and feel childish. I stopped having temper tantrums MANY years ago. They just aren't productive and I realized they just made me look... well.... stupid.

No problem Paki and well said.

[HighLowLobForBig-50]

guess we wont be racing this weekend

[Biernutz]

Zoomed-In Wind Swath Forecast Updated: 5 pm EDT September 8, 2008:

http://www.crownweather.com/ike.html

[MannyIsGod]

First off, thank you LuvBones for clarifying my statement. Second, Chill Manny! You made your own bed. You self profess by your posts on this site to be highly interested and knowledgable on weather. I just think that you jumped all over Cry Havoc with what you thought was Superior info on this storm, and so far this storm has slapped your weather know how in the face. I would get on Buddy Holly as equally if he had made som largely incorrect statements about some big retail project going up all the while being condescending to anyone not agreeing with his beliefs (and yes you have been condescending, first to Cry and second to me for not 'Knowing Enough' about your weather jargon to understand everything you said. Well - I agree - maybe I am not the smartest guy when it comes t Meteorologist terms but I am sure I can make you look silly on may other subject matters, which I probably would refrain from doing because I generally like you, and what not get much satisfaction by taking cheap jabs at you just because you don't fully understand my position or perhaps disagree with it. That would make me look and feel childish. I stopped having temper tantrums MANY years ago. They just aren't productive and I realized they just made me look... well.... stupid.

Sorry but you're full of on this Paki. Don't call me out about being condescending when you call me out and then I defend myself. If you punch someone in the nuts don't turn around and tell them "wow you don't play fair".

You're more than welcome to prove me wrong at any point, Paki. I'm not going to get pissed off if you actually prove me wrong. However, if like Cry you keep arguing something that is absolutely not true don't expect me to have the same level of patience on the fourth post. If when I ask you for someone with authority to back up what you're saying you provide an internet post by "metmike 18xx" don't be surprised if I laugh my ass off.

I didn't use any "weather jargon", Paki. I used the words likely and chance. Those are pretty much standard English. Like I said before, the forecast wasn't even the main point of contention between CH and I in the argument. Its not like I'm making any of this up because its all right there for you to read.

I was a to Cry. There's no denying that. I lost patience with his ridiculous arguments. It was almost as annoying as being called out by you for being condescending because someone doesn't agree with me which is bull . There's a difference between getting annoyed by someone who keeps spouting off complete bull and being condescending to someone who has a different opinion. Notice how CC had a different opinion and I didn't say to him? Thanks for calling me out though. How long have you been waiting to do that?

[MannyIsGod]

Manny...acting condescending and generally being a know-it-all. Never.

If there's anyone on this forum who I feel suffers fools about as "well", its you so I almost take that as a compliment.

[1369]

New model run is out and the track is alinging and shifting further west...

[PakiDan]

Sorry but you're full of on this Paki. Don't call me out about being condescending when you call me out and then I defend myself. If you punch someone in the nuts don't turn around and tell them "wow you don't play fair".

You're more than welcome to prove me wrong at any point, Paki. I'm not going to get pissed off if you actually prove me wrong. However, if like Cry you keep arguing something that is absolutely not true don't expect me to have the same level of patience on the fourth post. If when I ask you for someone with authority to back up what you're saying you provide an internet post by "metmike 18xx" don't be surprised if I laugh my ass off.

I didn't use any "weather jargon", Paki. I used the words likely and chance. Those are pretty much standard English. Like I said before, the forecast wasn't even the main point of contention between CH and I in the argument. Its not like I'm making any of this up because its all right there for you to read.

I was a to Cry. There's no denying that. I lost patience with his ridiculous arguments. It was almost as annoying as being called out by you for being condescending because someone doesn't agree with me which is bull . There's a difference between getting annoyed by someone who keeps spouting off complete bull and being condescending to someone who has a different opinion. Notice how CC had a different opinion and I didn't say to him? Thanks for calling me out though. How long have you been waiting to do that?

Wow... sounds like there are some deeper issues here... Hey - I'm just calling it like I see it, and it seems to me that the only one losing their cool in this entire thread is you! Someone feeling a little insecure? Hey - I'm sorry you had a bad day, or whatever... but learn to practice a little tact and you'll see that things go much easier. It's ok - you are young, padiwan, you will learn someday, I have faith in you.

[MannyIsGod]

Wow... sounds like there are some deeper issues here... Hey - I'm just calling it like I see it, and it seems to me that the only one losing their cool in this entire thread is you! Someone feeling a little insecure? Hey - I'm sorry you had a bad day, or whatever... but learn to practice a little tact and you'll see that things go much easier. It's ok - you are young, padiwan, you will learn someday, I have faith in you.

Please don't be so condescending to me, Paki. I resent you thinking you know more about life than me. I think you should apologize.

[KEDA]

Hey guys, STFU and take one of these.



Wipe the tears out of your vaginas, and lets get back to the Ike coverage.

[Ginofan]

Is Manny heading to Corpus for a little hurricane chasing?

[MannyIsGod]

Is Manny heading to Corpus for a little hurricane chasing?

If it comes through this weekend I'd like to. It depends on the forecast track, though. If we stand a decent chance of getting here then I'd rather just stay home but I seriously doubt that we'd see Cat 2 force winds here since the storm would have been over land for quite some time.

I'll just have to wait and see.

[Aggie Hoopsfan]

I'm in Corpus for work visiting clients all week, but they're closing up shop Thursday and heading out of town. Work's flying me back to Dallas tomorrow evening so I can get out of the way of all this.

Maybe I should see if I can stay and Manny can come down and we can report to Spurstalk in the eye of the storm

[RashoFan]

I'm in Corpus for work visiting clients all week, but they're closing up shop Thursday and heading out of town. Work's flying me back to Dallas tomorrow evening so I can get out of the way of all this.

Maybe I should see if I can stay and Manny can come down and we can report to Spurstalk in the eye of the storm

2 drunk guys and a hurricane?

[RashoFan]

New model run is out and the track is alinging and shifting further west...

IIRC, the GFDL in the Gustav storm was pretty darn good with the projected tract. IF the same holds true, the GFDL predicts San Antonio is going to get Fuuuuuukkkkked.

[Das Texan]

san antonio wont get fuuuuuuuukkkkked from a category 2 or weak category 3 storm.

[scott]

People are jumping on a guy named "...IsGod" for being condecending? Damn, it's like 1997 all over again.

PS: Manny is a ass

[Aggie Hoopsfan]

2 drunk guys and a hurricane?

z yeah. Good times. Though the hotel I'm at right now is right on Water Street, and is all glass on both sides :/ Don't think this is the place to be.