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  1. #1776
    right about pizzagate Blake's Avatar
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    "real world finance guy" making himself look like a ing idiot again

    Do you not remember anything from when you laughed at the Fed survey and I had to educate you on how those surveys help shape the Fed reaction with interest rates? Consumer confidence is also a big factor that guides what the Fed does with interest rates.
    Great, so if consumer confidence is that high, why isn't the Fed dropping the rate?

    Lol Trump is pressuring the of of them and they still won't. They're still afraid of oncoming inflation.

  2. #1777
    Veteran velik_m's Avatar
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    Divided Fed holds key interest rate steady, defying Trump’s demands for aggressive cuts

    WASHINGTON – A divided Federal Reserve on Wednesday voted to keep its benchmark interest rate steady, despite a barrage of criticism from President Donald Trump and dissents from two top officials.

    The Federal Open Market Committee, the group that sets the overnight borrowing rate, voted 9-2 to stay on hold. The federal funds rate will continue to be set in a range between 4.25%-4.5%. The level sets what banks charge each other for overnight lending, but influences a slew of other rates across the economy.

    ...

    “Although swings in net exports continue to affect the data, recent indicators suggest that growth of economic activity moderated in the first half of the year,” the do ent stated. “The unemployment rate remains low, and labor market conditions remain solid. Inflation remains somewhat elevated.”

    At the June meeting, the committee had a more optimistic view, saying the economy “continued to expand at a solid pace.”

    The Wednesday statement said uncertainty about conditions “remains elevated,” also a less upbeat assessment from June, which noted that uncertainty had “diminished but remains elevated.”

    A slower economy would boost the argument for lower interest rates, though the committee stopped short of endorsing that view.

    ...
    https://www.cnbc.com/2025/07/30/fed-...-expected.html

  3. #1778
    right about pizzagate Blake's Avatar
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    Great, so if consumer confidence is that high, why isn't the Fed dropping the rate?

    Lol Trump is pressuring the of of them and they still won't. They're still afraid of oncoming inflation.
    Crickets

  4. #1779
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    Looks like the ADP jobs numbers were better than BLS last month and May, I won't hold my breath for TSA's apology

    The last three months averaged ~35,000 new jobs/month, job creation through July 2025 is the worst since 2020

    “The biggest change in this report is that the Labor Department said it had significantly overestimated job gains in May and June. Job creation in those months was revised lower by 258,000 jobs — bringing June job creation down to 14,000 and May to 19,000, both very low levels”
    https://www.washingtonpost.com/busin...-unemployment/

  5. #1780
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    it's like Biden (and Trump before him and Obama before him) with the backward revisions

    the underlying economy is notably weaker under Trump, though

  6. #1781
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    Republicans can't build anything, they just know how to up

  7. #1782
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    three months of bad jobs numbers following a big shift in US trade policy

    correlation is not causation, but the correlation is striking so far

  8. #1783
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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  9. #1784
    Alleged Michigander ChumpDumper's Avatar
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    like clockwork

    He rushed to ST to post the numbers from the absolutely useless ADP report claiming 33,000 private sector jobs lost when in reality private sector gained 74,000. Poor fella thought he finally got one.
    What happened to all your jobs, bro?

  10. #1785
    Alleged Michigander ChumpDumper's Avatar
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    Hiring Defied Expectations in June, With 147,000 New Jobs

    U.S. job growth continued at a steady pace last month, surprising economists who had predicted a slowdown in hiring amid uncertainty over trade and fiscal policy.

    The U.S. added 147,000 jobs in June, the Labor Department reported Thursday, above the gain of 110,000 jobs economists polled by The Wall Street Journal had expected.

    The unemployment rate, which is based on a separate survey of U.S. households, fell to 4.1% from 4.2%.

    Revisions showed that hiring was stronger in prior months than previously thought. The number of jobs added in April and May was a combined 16,000 higher than prior estimates.

    https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/mark...9b6cc6d33&ei=9

    winehole
    Why did the report defy expectations so hard, bro?

  11. #1786
    Veteran velik_m's Avatar
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    U.S. added just 73,000 jobs in July and numbers for prior months were revised much lower

    Nonfarm payroll growth was slower than expected in July and the unemployment rate ticked higher, raising potential trouble signs for the U.S. labor market as President Donald Trump ramps up tariffs.

    Job growth totaled a seasonally adjusted 73,000 for the month, above the June total of 14,000 but below even the meager Dow Jones estimate for a gain of 100,000, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Friday. June and May totals were revised sharply lower, down by a combined 258,000 from previously announced levels.

    At the same time, the unemployment rate rose to 4.2%, in line with the forecast.

    The June total came down from the previously stated 147,000, while the May count fell to just 19,000, revised down by 125,000.

    ...

    The household survey, which is used to compile the unemployment rate, was even worse than the establishment survey of total payrolls gains. That showed a decline of 260,000 workers, with the participation rate edging down to 62.2%, the lowest since November 2022.

    A more encompassing unemployment indicator that includes discouraged workers and those holding part-time positions for economic reasons rose to 7.9%, its highest since March.

    In addition, long-term unemployment heated up. Average weeks unemployed jumped to 24.1, the highest level since April 2022, while the level of those out of work for more than 27 weeks to 1.82 million, the most since December 2021 and about one-quarter of all the unemployed.

    ...
    https://www.cnbc.com/2025/08/01/jobs...july-2025.html

  12. #1787
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    Notable: despite account for just 6.8% of employment, state/local education payrolls generated 42% of the downward revision for May/June.

  13. #1788
    Veteran velik_m's Avatar
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    Donald Trump Fires Person Behind Jobs Numbers After They're Revised Down

    ...
    "I was just informed that our Country's 'Jobs Numbers' are being produced by a Biden Appointee, Dr. Erika McEntarfer, the Commissioner of Labor Statistics, who faked the Jobs Numbers before the Election to try and boost Kamala's chances of Victory," Trump posted on Truth Social, referring to former Democratic presidential nominee Kamala Harris. "This is the same Bureau of Labor Statistics that overstated the Jobs Growth in March 2024 by approximately 818,000 and, then again, right before the 2024 Presidential Election, in August and September, by 112,000. These were Records — No one can be that wrong? We need accurate Jobs Numbers."

    He added: "I have directed my Team to fire this Biden Political Appointee, IMMEDIATELY. She will be replaced with someone much more competent and qualified. Important numbers like this must be fair and accurate, they can't be manipulated for political purposes.
    ...
    https://www.newsweek.com/donald-trum...ointee-2107768

    That's one way to fix the job numbers. Got to keep reality out of MAGA world and everything will be fine...

  14. #1789
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    https://www.newsweek.com/donald-trum...ointee-2107768

    That's one way to fix the job numbers. Got to keep reality out of MAGA world and everything will be fine...
    fudging stats that the Fed bases interest rates on could lead to economic crises of various kinds

  15. #1790
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    a lot of people depend on good US data, but Trump just wants shred and delete it if it doesn't flatter him

  16. #1791
    Veteran velik_m's Avatar
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    Las Vegas tourism drops sharply as some visitors claim 'casinos are empty' amid rising costs

    Tourism in Las Vegas continues to decline as many visitors are calling out the once-packed Sin City for its high prices.

    The latest statistics from the Las Vegas Convention and Visitors Authority (LVCVA) show that only 3.1 million people visited in June, which is down 11.3% compared to last year.

    The hotel industry is feeling the burn of fewer visitors, with occupancy dropping 6.5% while average daily room rates have lowered to $163.64 – down 6.6%, according to the LVCVA.

    ...
    https://www.foxnews.com/travel/las-v...d-rising-costs

  17. #1792
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    Canadians love to gamble, wonder where they're going instead

  18. #1793
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    https://www.newsweek.com/donald-trum...ointee-2107768

    That's one way to fix the job numbers. Got to keep reality out of MAGA world and everything will be fine...
    "Since the first messenger who told Tigranes that Lucullus was coming had his head cut off for his pains, no one else would tell him anything, and so he sat in ignorance while the fires of war were blazing around him, giving ear only to those who flattered him."

    -- Plutarch, ~100 A.D.

  19. #1794
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    ISTANBUL—Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan replaced the head of the state statistics agency weeks after it reported record inflation, which added to anger in the country over its economic woes, and appointed another member of the ruling party as justice minister.
    https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-eas...on-11643456492

  20. #1795
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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  21. #1796
    Believe.
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    if only someone had warned the usa voters about;

    dictatorship/authoritarianism
    fascism
    rapists - rape kids - sometimes they rape children -like in that katie johnson case where a 13 year old was brutally raped by epstein and his best friend pedophile donny
    corruption
    treason
    lies
    strongarming of - universities/stripping education dept
    law firms, banks, other countries...

    if only someone had warned the "honest broker" voters that it might be dangerous to hire a convicted felon/rapist/fraudster/liar/pedophile/criminal

    ...

  22. #1797
    Veteran velik_m's Avatar
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    The Next Time Some Idiot Tries to Tell You the GOP is “The Party of Business”

    ...
    Bill Clinton left George W. Bush a $128 billion surplus (after 4 consecutive years of budget surpluses): Bush immediately squandered it with a massive tax cut for billionaires and two criminal wars.

    Just in 2022, President Biden decreased federal spending by $550 billion and reduced the deficit by $1.4 trillion — the largest one-year deficit drop in American history — all while creating five times more jobs in 2 years than the last three Republican presidents combined.

    If not for the Reagan, Bush, and Trump tax cuts for billionaires and the two wars George W. Bush lied us into, our national debt could today be close to zero instead of over $30 trillion.

    To add injury to insult, Republicans destroy small businesses while propping up giant monopolies.

    The core of American business and thus the livelihood of American communities before Reagan was small- and medium-sized companies.

    Small- and medium-sized companies built America and brought us the American middle class, the first and largest middle class in the world. But in 1983, when Reagan ordered the DOJ, FTC, and SEC to stop enforcing anti-trust laws dating back to the Sherman Act of 1890, giant corporations began a relentless campaign to destroy locally owned companies.

    ...

    https://hartmannreport.com/p/chapter...ime-some-idiot

  23. #1798
    right about pizzagate Blake's Avatar
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    if only someone had warned the usa voters about;

    dictatorship/authoritarianism
    fascism
    rapists - rape kids - sometimes they rape children -like in that katie johnson case where a 13 year old was brutally raped by epstein and his best friend pedophile donny
    corruption
    treason
    lies
    strongarming of - universities/stripping education dept
    law firms, banks, other countries...

    if only someone had warned the "honest broker" voters that it might be dangerous to hire a convicted felon/rapist/fraudster/liar/pedophile/criminal

    ...
    They still don't care.

  24. #1799
    Baltimore Spurs Fan florige's Avatar
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    They still don't care.

    I literally know of a person who’s about to get later off from Northrop Grumman because of all these cuts yet he still thinks Trump is doing a great job . Like how stupid do you have to be…

  25. #1800
    Veteran velik_m's Avatar
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    We'll be getting new numbers soon, hopefully ones not grounded in reality, so that they don't disturb the MAGA world.

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