Bexar County reports 'biggest single day increase' of 436 new cases of COVID-19

[tholdren]

You can absolutely do that, even when some of 1-4 might be true. Like SnakeBoy said, it only takes either a very stupid or very disingenuous person to list all that and come to the conclusion that you have.

Lol wrong. You cant get an accurate R0 from how testing and reporting is being done. That is a fact.

[Blake]

Lol wrong. You cant get an accurate R0 from how testing and reporting is being done. That is a fact.

Wrong

[tholdren]

Lol wrong. You cant get an accurate R0 from how testing and reporting is being done. That is a fact.

facts R0 a range. Can't get a valid range of transmissiblility if you are coding unconfirmed cases. Cant get a valid range if you hotspot track. Cant get valid range if you nonreport negatives.

If you have 100 cases of ab from March and you present them as new cases. The R0 would increase from the day before. Keep on using no logic. Coronavirus will go on forever this way.

[pgardn]

facts R0 a range. Can't get a valid range of transmissiblility if you are coding unconfirmed cases. Cant get a valid range if you hotspot track. Cant get valid range if you nonreport negatives.

If you have 100 cases of ab from March and you present them as new cases. The R0 would increase from the day before. Keep on using no logic. Coronavirus will go on forever this way.

You mean the flu.
bwa... ha.

[tholdren]

You mean the flu.
bwa... ha.

significantly less than according to Stanford professors for under 50. Yikes. Keep posting about exppnential growth.

[pgardn]

significantly less than according to Stanford professors for under 50. Yikes. Keep posting about exppnential growth.

Never did.
Find it and present it to the board.

But what an awful flu season!

[tholdren]

Never did.
Find it and present it to the board.

But what an awful flu season!

Actually you should research swedens past few years of all cause fatalities and flu. Not as bad as previous year. But don't research anything just gossip!

[pgardn]

Never did.
Find it and present it to the board.

But what an awful flu season!

[pgardn]

Actually you should research swedens past few years of all cause fatalities and flu. Not as bad as previous year. But don't research anything just gossip!

dont research...

Thats what you "do".

[tholdren]

dont research...

Thats what you "do".

I've been correct. You have not. Where they going to dock all.the ships in SA? The riverwalk?

[baseline bum]

274 new cases today. Positivity rate was 16.9% for last week. Patients on ventilators tripled in the week, patients in hospitals doubled. Doubling time of infection is at 13 days right now in SA.

[vy65]

274 new cases today. Positivity rate was 16.9% for last week. Patients on ventilators tripled in the week, patients in hospitals doubled. Doubling time of infection is at 13 days right now in SA.

I think that was as of 6/21. Weird that Austin's rate dropped significantly (129 from 506)

[tholdren]

274 new cases today. Positivity rate was 16.9% for last week. Patients on ventilators tripled in the week, patients in hospitals doubled. Doubling time of infection is at 13 days right now in SA.

Watch all us census v new admissions. Not aligning.

[ChumpDumper]

thldren says no new cases. Disease does not exist.

[MannyIsGod]

I was told that the heat would stop this thing.

[tholdren]

You cannot do this for a mul ude of reasons.

1. R value is a range that takes years to establish.

2. You cant calculate 1 because new daily rates aren't new daily rates. They are backlogged.

3 you cannot calculate because ab tests are mixed in. And backlogged.

4. You can not calculate because positive cases are cou ted positive without a test

**In creased positives can also be identified as an increase through hotspot testing and not reporting negatives. **

Are cases going up. Probably. Is it a concern, should not be.

Whoops ChumpDumper lied again

[ChumpDumper]

Whoops ChumpDumper lied again

"probably"

So wrong.

[DarrinS]

I was told that the heat would stop this thing.

Your body is 98.6 degrees and it lives fine in those conditions.

I think it doesn't spread very easily outdoors in the summer because of strong UV, better ventilation, etc.

[spurraider21]

274 new cases today. Positivity rate was 16.9% for last week. Patients on ventilators tripled in the week, patients in hospitals doubled. Doubling time of infection is at 13 days right now in SA.

over 5100 cases for texas today, over 5500 for CA today. neither state had even seen a day with 4500 cases prior to today

[DarrinS]

over 5100 cases for texas today, over 5500 for CA today. neither state had even seen a day with 4500 cases prior to today

They're also testing pretty much anyone who wants a test. For a long while, they only tested symptomatic people.

I'd keep an eye on hospitalization and deaths (couple of weeks from now).

[spurraider21]

They're also testing pretty much anyone who wants a test. For a long while, they only tested symptomatic people.

I'd keep an eye on hospitalization and deaths (couple of weeks from now).

yep. daily death totals have been holding steady but there's a known lag, so time will tell.

as for the increased testing, i dont have access to daily numbers on that going back, but per worldometer there were ~56000 tests in texas today, with over 5k new cases

[SnakeBoy]

I was told that the heat would stop this thing.

I think the warm weather is definitely slowing transmission. Might be that true seasonality doesn't exist until there is a level of herd immunity.

[DarrinS]

yep. daily death totals have been holding steady but there's a known lag, so time will tell.

as for the increased testing, i dont have access to daily numbers on that going back, but per worldometer there were ~56000 tests in texas today, with over 5k new cases

Yeah, but if most new cases are truly younger demo, I wouldn't expect a huge bump in deaths.

[tholdren]

"probably"

So wrong.

Yes. You very clearly stated I said there were no new cases. You were completely wrong and you tried to lie. Ironic...

[tholdren]

I think the warm weather is definitely slowing transmission. Might be that true seasonality doesn't exist until there is a level of herd immunity.

Coronaviruses are markedly seasonal. Hence the issue with the data reporting.