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  1. #26
    🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆 ElNono's Avatar
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    An in bent with a 50 percent approval rating and no threat from his party and against a weak field at 3-2 is realistic?

    Partisan hack
    Your not even half-hearted attempt at justifying the BS odds coming into focus.

    what?

  2. #27
    🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆 ElNono's Avatar
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    +150 means you get $50 back for every $100 you bet.

    Bernie is 2nd best at +700, meaning you get back $600 for every $100 you bet.

    Obviously the lesser return has the better odds.

  3. #28
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    Do you understand how betting lines work? Those odds give Trump way over 50% odds. 2nd best odds pay 12x as much.
    That's not how it works. If they thought Trump was > 50% he'd probably be coming in at 4-5. As another poster said, there is some room for alterations based on getting people to vote on both sides. But +175 is way too high. If even 40 percent were betting on Trump and he won, the sites would take a bath.

  4. #29
    🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆 ElNono's Avatar
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    I mean, we’re still a year out, lots of things can happen between now and then. Those are probably fairly conservative odds.

  5. #30
    🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆 ElNono's Avatar
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    That's not how it works. If they thought Trump was > 50% he'd probably be coming in at 4-5. As another poster said, there is some room for alterations based on getting people to vote on both sides. But +175 is way too high. If even 40 percent were betting on Trump and he won, the sites would take a bath.
    This early, the odds are stacked towards making big gambles, which end up being the biggest losers too. ie: anything past trump pays 12x or more, that’s the bait the casinos are interested in. Only one Democrat will survive the primary, so they’ll make their money with that field alone.

  6. #31
    4-25-20 Will Hunting's Avatar
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    +150 means you get $50 back for every $100 you bet.

    Bernie is 2nd best at +700, meaning you get back $600 for every $100 you bet.

    Obviously the lesser return has the better odds.
    He’s actually right here, tbh.

    +150 means you get 150 for every 100 you bet. Getting $50 for every $100 you bet would be a line of -200.

  7. #32
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    He’s actually right here, tbh.

    +150 means you get 150 for every 100 you bet. Getting $50 for every $100 you bet would be a line of -200.
    ElNono

    Typically 50/50 would be -110.

    If it's 55/45 Trump, the line would be around -120, -130.

  8. #33
    🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆 ElNono's Avatar
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    He’s actually right here, tbh.

    +150 means you get 150 for every 100 you bet. Getting $50 for every $100 you bet would be a line of -200.
    ElNono

    Typically 50/50 would be -110.

    If it's 55/45 Trump, the line would be around -120, -130.
    You guys are correct and I'm wrong. Apologies. I did look up the lines and those I posted are for Bovada.

    I do still think it's way too early to form any kind of opinion based on the lines, and I also do think they'll make most of their money from the Dem field.

  9. #34
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    You guys are correct and I'm wrong. Apologies. I did look up the lines and those I posted are for Bovada.

    I do still think it's way too early to form any kind of opinion based on the lines, and I also do think they'll make most of their money from the Dem field.
    I put Trump's odds of winning at 60 percent or better. So, I just wonder if a legit site is really offering +175. If I was at a Vegas Sports Book, I'd put maybe the largest bet I've ever done on that.

  10. #35
    🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆 ElNono's Avatar
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    I don't do online betting on presidential stuff b/c I don't know if these sites cut and run or whatever. But if I was at a Vegas sports book and Trump was +175, I'd put maybe the biggest bet I've ever done. I question whether a site is truly giving those bets. Maybe they're factoring in mortality / health or something at this point / people betting heavy on Dems or something.
    There's only a few reputable online sites, like, say, BWin, which have a large euro presence. I don't do political gambling either.

  11. #36
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    I had to check and see if some Vegas sports book was taking political bets just in case...

    https://fivethirtyeight.com/features...-in-las-vegas/

  12. #37
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    There's only a few reputable online sites, like, say, BWin, which have a large euro presence. I don't do political gambling either.
    What's the full web address of bwin?

  13. #38
    🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆 ElNono's Avatar
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    What's the full web address of bwin?
    https://www.bwin.com/

  14. #39
    🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆 ElNono's Avatar
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    They won't take US bettors tho

  15. #40
    🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆 ElNono's Avatar
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  16. #41
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    Looks good. I have stayed away from online cos I hear stuff about not having protections from the feds/banks.

  17. #42
    Klaw apalisoc_9's Avatar
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    Lets go Bernie!!!!!

  18. #43
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    Lets go Bernie!!!!!
    got troll.

  19. #44
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    Damm I might have to drop 10k on trump

  20. #45
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    Damm I might have to drop 10k on trump
    Trump at +135 to win on https://sports.bwin.com/en/sports/61...ics#sportId=61

    I'd be willing to drop a couple bills on that if I did online betting, tbh.

  21. #46
    bandwagoner fans suck ducks's Avatar
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    Make 13k

  22. #47
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    If Dems were smart they would run Klobuchar. She's smart as a whip and wouldn't alienate moderates in swing states - I think she would beat Trump.

  23. #48
    Take the fcking keys away baseline bum's Avatar
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    If Dems were smart they would run Klobuchar. She's smart as a whip and wouldn't alienate moderates in swing states - I think she would beat Trump.
    That worked so well running an intelligent female moderate in 2016.

  24. #49
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    That worked so well running an intelligent female moderate in 2016.
    Clinton is quite far to the left of Klobuchar.

    I would also trust Amy to campaign more in Pennsylvania, Michigan, etc.

  25. #50
    Take the fcking keys away baseline bum's Avatar
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    Clinton is quite far to the left of Klobuchar.
    at center right Clinton being too far to the left

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