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  1. #1
    Grab 'em by the pussy Splits's Avatar
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    UPDATE: Payout is now $500 as ElNono has matched

    Winner must predict both:

    1) the exact electoral map
    AND
    2) each candidate's popular vote within +/- 0.5%


    - Color of each state (light/dark) is irrelevant
    - Doubt there will be duplicates but if there are all posters will get $500
    - Winner is paid via PayPal
    - Post must be timestamped before the first state polls close
    - One entry per poster, no alts

    Here's mine, follow the same format:

    Biden: 54.5%
    Trump: 44%

    Map via https://www.270towin.com/

    Last edited by Splits; 11-02-2020 at 03:30 PM.

  2. #2
    I am that guy RandomGuy's Avatar
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    Texas.

    Honestly that is pretty close to my guess. Still won't give Texas to Biden.

    My prediction: Trump will declare victory, regardless of what the polls say, and hunker down in the whitehouse.

    He will stay there directing efforts of lawyers trying to throw out any state's results where he lost by a thin margin, and get any friendly Republican controlled legislature to ignore the results of the polls and simply appoint Republican electors to the electoral college, resulting in at least one "dual" delegation.

    He has telegraphed this move already.

    It will be months before we really know the full outcome due to lawsuits.
    Last edited by RandomGuy; 11-02-2020 at 08:33 AM.

  3. #3
    Grab 'em by the pussy Splits's Avatar
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    Texas.

    Honestly that is pretty close to my guess. Still won't give Texas to Biden.

    My prediction: Trump will declare victory, regardless of what the polls say, and hunker down in the whitehouse.

    He will stay there directing efforts of lawyers trying to throw out any state's results where he lost by a thin margin, and get any friendly Republican controlled legislature to ignore the results of the polls and simply appoint Republican electors to the electoral college, resulting in at least one "dual" delegation.

    He has telegraphed this move already.

    It will be months before we really know the full outcome due to lawsuits.
    Not if the map looks like the above, he doesn't have many friends.

    Was teetering on Iowa but that Selzer poll has me leaving it with Dennison

  4. #4
    4-25-20 Will Hunting's Avatar
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    Yeah if Splits’ map is correct there won’t be any lawsuits. The Sunbelt states will essentially be done counting ballots on election night and if Trump loses Florida North Carolina and Georgia it’s over. He won’t be able to challenge even if he wants to because no donors are going to finance his legal fees.

  5. #5
    I am that guy RandomGuy's Avatar
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    Yeah if Splits’ map is correct there won’t be any lawsuits. The Sunbelt states will essentially be done counting ballots on election night and if Trump loses Florida North Carolina and Georgia it’s over. He won’t be able to challenge even if he wants to because no donors are going to finance his legal fees.


    He thinks he will be ahead on election night. "it is a terrible thing that ballots can continue to be collected"

    He is going in on the "rigged" strategem.

    They have already set aside the money for the legal challenges. That is part of the reason they pulled advertising. (my memory of something I read, moderate confidence in that)

  6. #6
    Take the fcking keys away baseline bum's Avatar
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    He thinks he will be ahead on election night. "it is a terrible thing that ballots can continue to be collected"

    He is going in on the "rigged" strategem.

    They have already set aside the money for the legal challenges. That is part of the reason they pulled advertising. (my memory of something I read, moderate confidence in that)
    Michael Moore was 100% right this nation would never be the same after a tyrant like Trump was in power. Now in America we don't wonder what election results will be so much as who will be allowed to vote. this nation.

  7. #7
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    Winner must predict both:

    1) the exact electoral map
    AND
    2) each candidate's popular vote within +/- 0.5%
    In other words you really don't want to pay out.

  8. #8
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    You missed Iowa, South Carolina and Montana. I mean if you're going to make a giant wish, why shortchange yourself?

  9. #9
    Veteran hater's Avatar
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    In other words you really don't want to pay out.


    Im justbsticking to my Dump prediction. He wins and he wins big

    The meltdowns will be ing epic

  10. #10
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    Im justbsticking to my Dump prediction. He wins and he wins big

    The meltdowns will be ing epic
    Who wins big?

  11. #11
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    I think Splits is unintentionally 4D chess'ing his fellow chumpettes.

  12. #12
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    I think Splits is unintentionally 4D chess'ing his fellow chumpettes.
    That map is obviously wishful thinking but Biden still gets over 300 ECVs. Sad day for you, derp.

  13. #13
    Take the fcking keys away baseline bum's Avatar
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    Biden 50%
    Facist POS 46%

    ed and un able
    Last edited by baseline bum; 11-02-2020 at 12:40 PM.

  14. #14
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    That map is obviously wishful thinking but Biden still gets over 300 ECVs. Sad day for you, derp.
    You wouldn't be so confident if his map was Biden at 190.

    Splits getting your hopes way up for the fall.

  15. #15
    Alleged Michigander ChumpDumper's Avatar
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    derpfensive

  16. #16
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    You wouldn't be so confident if his map was Biden at 190.

    Splits getting your hopes way up for the fall.
    Biden gets to 180-185 with just the safe dem states. you're bad at this

  17. #17
    what uganda do about it? Joseph Kony's Avatar
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    Pretty pathetic when maga s still support a candidate who is openly admitting he will challenge the results any way he can if he doesnt win. maga s pretend to care about the country, cons ution, and democracy yet support this kinda , tells you all you need to know about these hypocritical gots

  18. #18
    Still Hates Small Ball Spurminator's Avatar
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    Pretty pathetic when maga s still support a candidate who is openly admitting he will challenge the results any way he can if he doesnt win. maga s pretend to care about the country, cons ution, and democracy yet support this kinda , tells you all you need to know about these hypocritical gots
    They hate liberals more than they like America, democracy and the Cons ution.

  19. #19
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    Biden gets to 180-185 with just the safe dem states. you're bad at this
    Yea, if he had told you Biden's only getting the safe states, you'd be like, well we can hope and this and that. The talk wouldn't be about 300 plus.

    You're bad at this. Splits knows that.

  20. #20
    what uganda do about it? Joseph Kony's Avatar
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    Yea, if he had told you Biden's only getting the safe states, you'd be like, well we can hope and this and that. The talk wouldn't be about 300 plus.

    You're bad at this. Splits knows that.
    another day, another instance of Spermtacular proving how re ed he is and trying to make some dumb backtrack post to justify his re ation

  21. #21
    Grab 'em by the pussy Splits's Avatar
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    In other words you really don't want to pay out.
    Since you're mentally handicapped, your entry for popular vote will be +/- 5.0% instead of 0.5%

  22. #22
    R.C. Drunkford TimDunkem's Avatar
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    Since you're mentally handicapped, your entry for popular vote will be +/- 5.0% instead of 0.5%

  23. #23
    6X ST MVP
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    Since you're mentally handicapped, your entry for popular vote will be +/- 5.0% instead of 0.5%
    Nah. I'll do it straight up. But I don't want your money. If you want to pay out, I'll choose another poster.

  24. #24
    Alleged Michigander ChumpDumper's Avatar
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    instant sour grapes

  25. #25
    Veteran RD2191's Avatar
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    I've changed my mind, I'm calling it for Trump. Not because I think he'll win fair and square but because I expect him and his supporters (government/civilian) to pull out all the stops to steal the election.

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