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  1. #451
    Bosshog in the cut djohn2oo8's Avatar
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    It went to Beto by more than 10% so it’s probably going to Biden by closer to 15%.

    The counties near the border are doing better than they normally do, but they’re still lagging way behind the rest of the state. El Paso has only 30% registered voter turnout so far while the state as a whole has 40%. I don’t see how the state flips if Latinos are still allergic to voting.
    it’s going to be tough, even if you have normally red districts flipping Blue.

  2. #452
    Bosshog in the cut djohn2oo8's Avatar
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    Dallas County is going to hit close to 90% of registered voters casting a vote

  3. #453
    Bosshog in the cut djohn2oo8's Avatar
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  4. #454
    4-25-20 Will Hunting's Avatar
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    Dallas County is going to hit close to 90% of registered voters casting a vote
    Is that based on something or just wishcasting? I’d love for you to be right but that seems really high for a county that has so many low propensity voters.

  5. #455
    Bosshog in the cut djohn2oo8's Avatar
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    Is that based on something or just wishcasting? I’d love for you to be right but that seems really high for a county that has so many low propensity voters.
    A little bit of both. With 563,000 voters already whom have voted early, the 2016 total numbers for the county show about 750,000. For by he next 6 days to reach 750,000, the county would only have to average a little over 30,000 a day voting to get there.

    Where my optimism is coming from, because Dallas County averages around 200,000 voters on Election Day, and because this is not a normal election year, with the Early Voting numbers up, I think Election Day numbers are going to be insane. The county will hit 1 million for sure and hopefully closer to that 1.2 mil. If the EV numbers are up this much, those 200,000 voters, are going to go up. Covid of course plays a part in this, but folks will get out to the polls.

  6. #456
    Bosshog in the cut djohn2oo8's Avatar
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  7. #457
    wrong about pizzagate TSA's Avatar
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    Check back in tomorrow after they update today’s received
    vy65

  8. #458
    Bosshog in the cut djohn2oo8's Avatar
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    Abbott gonna sue Metro

  9. #459
    4-25-20 Will Hunting's Avatar
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    A little bit of both. With 563,000 voters already whom have voted early, the 2016 total numbers for the county show about 750,000. For by he next 6 days to reach 750,000, the county would only have to average a little over 30,000 a day voting to get there.

    Where my optimism is coming from, because Dallas County averages around 200,000 voters on Election Day, and because this is not a normal election year, with the Early Voting numbers up, I think Election Day numbers are going to be insane. The county will hit 1 million for sure and hopefully closer to that 1.2 mil. If the EV numbers are up this much, those 200,000 voters, are going to go up. Covid of course plays a part in this, but folks will get out to the polls.
    I'm not sure where you're getting the 750k number from, Dallas has just under 1.4 million registered voters, so they'd need 1.26 million votes to reach 90%. 90% voter turnout is extremely difficult even in counties that have no voter suppression and are full of middle aged high propensity white voters.

    There's even less room for error when you factor in people registered who are inactive voters (I'm still registered in Dallas County even though I haven't lived in Texas in over a year).

  10. #460
    Believe.
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    Really don't know. Interesting to see how it really goes, and if the fascist party rat ing really shuts down Dems there. GOP did a good job in registrations, but you also have tons of displaced Puerto Ricans there. dunno. Too many moving parts to really be predictable.

    My gut says actual election day will favor Dems marginally. The MAGA s who are most worked up will vote early, as will the really worked up Dems.

    That will leave a good chunk of the electorate who will vote on election day and who aren't as worked up over it. My guess is that the wider wave will effect that less-than worked-up crowd to break marginally for Biden.
    Bwahahhahajajajajjajahahahahahajaj

    Your gut.


    2 more weeks

    At least you aren't trying math.

    Loloookokloolllooll

    Pretending to understand statistics

    HYSTERICAL

  11. #461
    wrong about pizzagate TSA's Avatar
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    It's been estimated D's need 650,000 to 750,000 VBM/EV lead to win Florida. Not going to happen.



    Nope. Florida Division of Election's reports Dems up on GOP by 665,867 votes. (https://countyballotfiles.floridados...ts/PublicStats).

    free thinker twitter account
    Check back in tomorrow after they update today’s received


    https://countyballotfiles.floridados...ts/PublicStats

    I’m sorry this is happening to you.

  12. #462
    Believe.
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    Bwahahhahajajajajjajahahahahahajaj

    Your gut.


    2 more weeks

    At least you aren't trying math.

    Loloookokloolllooll

    Pretending to understand statistics

    HYSTERICAL

  13. #463
    Veteran
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    TSA calling elections a week before they happen.

  14. #464
    Veteran GB20's Avatar
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    https://countyballotfiles.floridados...ts/PublicStats

    I’m sorry this is happening to you.
    Kevin cate made a prediction that Joe Biden will win Florida.

  15. #465
    Believe.
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    https://countyballotfiles.floridados...ts/PublicStats

    I’m sorry this is happening to you.
    Wait. You’re never here on weekends, remember?

  16. #466
    wrong about pizzagate TSA's Avatar
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    Wait. You’re never here on weekends, remember?
    I'm sitting in my office at work right now. Your obsession with when I post here is beyond creepy.

  17. #467
    wrong about pizzagate TSA's Avatar
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    I saw you lurking vy65

  18. #468
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    I'm sitting in my office at work right now. Your obsession with when I post here is beyond creepy.
    Then...get some work done. Lol

  19. #469
    Still Hates Small Ball Spurminator's Avatar
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    https://countyballotfiles.floridados...ts/PublicStats

    I’m sorry this is happening to you.
    You/Kevin and vy65 aren't using the same numbers. vy65 was counting mail-in ballots that haven't been returned.

    It's not like the advantage swung all the way from 665K to 390K.

  20. #470
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    I'm sitting in my office at work right now. Your obsession with when I post here is beyond creepy.

    No, you stupid piece of . You claimed that you are never on here on the weekends when you were asked about why you spend 10 hours/day on here spamming q . Even though you play 27 rounds of golf a week, and are incredibly wealthy and successful

    so you lied about that. What else do you lie about?

  21. #471
    wrong about pizzagate TSA's Avatar
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    You/Kevin and vy65 aren't using the same numbers. vy65 was counting mail-in ballots that haven't been returned.

    It's not like the advantage swung all the way from 665K to 390K.
    Why would vy65 be discussing mail-in ballots that haven't been returned?

    He responded directly to this tweet I posted specifically discussing returned vote by mail and in person early voting.


  22. #472
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    Originally Posted by tholdren

    Bwahahhahajajajajjajahahahahahajaj

    Your gut.


    2 more weeks

    At least you aren't trying math.

    Loloookokloolllooll

    Pretending to understand statistics

    HYSTERICAL

  23. #473
    wrong about pizzagate TSA's Avatar
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    No, you stupid piece of . You claimed that you are never on here on the weekends when you were asked about why you spend 10 hours/day on here spamming q . Even though you play 27 rounds of golf a week, and are incredibly wealthy and successful

    so you lied about that. What else do you lie about?
    If I spend 10 hours a day as you here as you claim while averaging 3.66 posts a day how many hours a day do you spend here while averaging 13.05 posts a day?

  24. #474
    wrong about pizzagate TSA's Avatar
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    Then...get some work done. Lol
    Work's done bout to head out.

  25. #475
    Believe.
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    No, you stupid piece of . You claimed that you are never on here on the weekends when you were asked about why you spend 10 hours/day on here spamming q . Even though you play 27 rounds of golf a week, and are incredibly wealthy and successful

    so you lied about that. What else do you lie about?
    Loloooolooll you mask wearer

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