Presidential, maybe. The battleground Senate polls were awful.Turns out the polls were fairly spot on... who would've thought?
McConnell is defacto president for another 4 years. No liberal scotus justices. No liberal bills. No tax hikes. No green new deal.
Whatever the pollsters are doing, it’s pretty clear they’re ing up in how they poll rural areas. The one swing state the pollsters actually got right this year was Arizona, the one that has essentially no material rural white vote.
Washoe and Clark are not even at 90% reporting yet... and they've been fairly blue so far..
Fox decision desk said there's some of both outstanding, but majority are not in Vegas metro and it should be a real nail biter tomorrow.
I'll take your word for it, I honestly haven't tracked that.
yeah, but the entire state is at 75%, so more rural votes left tbh.
AP sticking to their guns with the Biden call.
https://apnews.com/article/ap-explai...f40436248eb62dThe AP called the race at 2:50 a.m. EST Wednesday, after an analysis of ballots cast statewide concluded there were not enough outstanding to allow Trump to catch up.
With 80% of the expected vote counted, Biden was ahead by 5 percentage points, with a roughly 130,000-vote lead over Trump with about 2.6 million ballots counted. The remaining ballots left to be counted, including mail-in votes in Maricopa County, where Biden performed strongly, were not enough for Trump to catch up to the former vice president.
Many of the gains have been driven by the shifting politics of Maricopa County, which is home to Phoenix and its suburbs. That’s where Biden sealed his victory. Maricopa County accounts for 60% of the state’s vote, and Biden ran up huge margins there.
Another bellwether here is McSally losing her race by 140K votes.
61% is low tbh for FLorida
I'm guessing the 61% are older than the 39%
By calling the election for Trump?
No, I didn't. Check the betting thread again, please.
Not enough votes though, that's the problem between urban and rural votes. The only caveat here is Carson and Douglas county around Reno.
It's true.A lot of Californians must have moved to AZ
And it's true here as well. Trump will only carry TX by 5 or 6 once it's all tallied. Quite a drop-off from 2016.
Here's my most accurate one, including the appropriate shades and colors (for bragging rights):
Biden-Harris: 48.2% Total Popular Vote
Trump-Pence: 45.8% Total Popular Vote
Final Winner: Trump-Pence (due to GOP House Election Committee majority & SCOTUS majority)
ElNono
^that was from yesterday
I wonder what Pence will do now - too late to run for any office - probably would write a tell-all book except for his Christian principles and unswerving loyalty to Trump.
Fair enough, you've posted a bunch of maps lately... I'm pretty sure you had a thread declaring MN for Trump
Andy, you made cash bets? Have you ever made a bet here before?
Trolling again. Do you ever get tired?
They repeatedly had it Trump down or up a point or two in swing states, while all your imaginary democratic polls had Biden up 10. And you know this, troll.
thank god for Joe-maha
Theres no way to do this since it’s free speech but I’d be in favor of banning all public polls at this point. They’re clearly ed up, they have way too much of an impact on fundraising, and imo they suppress voter turnout. Imo campaigns should conduct their internal polls but public polls have become a serious problem for elections.
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