Not how this works. You're a rational guy, so read my thread on the backfill phenomenon. What the state dashboards report isn't a reflection of reality on the ground. We have deaths from months and weeks ago just being logged. Boiled down, 300 people could've passed today, but you won't see those deaths show up in the stats for weeks and maybe months.
https://www.spurstalk.com/forums/sho...d.php?t=286236
When the pandemic first started, I also thought deaths were being counted in "real time."
Splits taught me a lesson about it when I predicted New York's deaths per day would peak at around 120. He laughed me off. Little did I know, New York was already experiencing hundreds of deaths per day days or weeks before. Splits knew about the backfill phenomenon and called NY's peak pretty closely.