Week 4 Betting Thread

**Will Hunting** · 10-03-2015

Since every about NFL betting gets derailed, I'm making a new one this week. So far I've got...

Cards -7
Jets -2
Bengals -4
Browns +8

**spurraider21** · 10-03-2015

Originally Posted by Will Hunting

every about NFL betting gets derailed

Avante

**chunticakes** · 10-03-2015

Bengals -3.5
Redskins +2.5
Panthers -2.5
Packers -8.5
Cardinals -6.5

10-6 on the year.

**SpursforSix** · 10-03-2015

Originally Posted by chunticakes

Bengals -3.5
Redskins +2.5
Panthers -2.5
Packers -8.5
Cardinals -6.5

10-6 on the year.

Are you insane? Don't you know the trends are all against the Panthers????

**UNT Eagles 2016** · 10-03-2015

Dolphins, Bills, Buccaneers, Bears, Bengals, Falcons, Colts, Redskins, Chargers, Broncos, Niners, Cardinals, Saints, and Seahawks all winning (SU).

**chunticakes** · 10-04-2015

Originally Posted by SpursforSix

Are you insane? Don't you know the trends are all against the Panthers????

you Avante lol.

**TheCultOfPersonality** · 10-04-2015

16-8 on the season.

Jets-Dolphins under 42
Carolina -3
Cincinnati -3.5
New Orleans -3
Green Bay-San Franscisco over 48

If I have more i'll be back.

**Avante** · 10-04-2015

Originally Posted by SpursforSix

Are you insane? Don't you know the trends are all against the Panthers????

I'll go slow rookie.

Pahthers are heading into a bye week. If you'd played them in this "spot" the last 5 seasons you would have lost all 5. So why chance it when there are better plays?

**Avante** · 10-04-2015

Originally Posted by chunticakes

you Avante lol.

Then why ask advice?

**Mal** · 10-04-2015

Dolphis -,-
Carolina -3
Oakland -3
Cincy -3

Bought the hook

**Will Hunting** · 10-04-2015

Originally Posted by Avante

I'll go slow rookie.

Pahthers are heading into a bye week. If you'd played them in this "spot" the last 5 seasons you would have lost all 5. So why chance it when there are better plays?

What are your plays this week?

**Avante** · 10-04-2015

Originally Posted by Will Hunting

What are your plays this week?

I only like two. I did like the Colts but not without Luck.

Cards - 6.5
Bengals - 3.5

Playing 220 to win 200.

I like HF's with the better QB laying less than 7.

**Will Hunting** · 10-04-2015

Originally Posted by Avante

I only like two. I did like the Colts but not without Luck.

Cards - 6.5
Bengals - 3.5

Playing 220 to win 200.

I like HF's with the better QB laying less than 7.

Where are you getting -6.5 for AZ? Bovada is at 7.5 right now.

Otherwise, I agree there aren't very many good picks out there. I've got the same two picks as you plus Jets -2 and Cleveland +7.5 (that was a tough one but the Chargers don't seem capable of covering a 7 point spread the way they're playing).

Jaguars +4 is tempting with Luck out. Without him Indy might be the worst team in the NFL.

**Avante** · 10-04-2015

Originally Posted by Will Hunting

Where are you getting -6.5 for AZ? Bovada is at 7.5 right now.

Otherwise, I agree there aren't very many good picks out there. I've got the same two picks as you plus Jets -2 and Cleveland +7.5 (that was a tough one but the Chargers don't seem capable of covering a 7 point spread the way they're playing).

Jaguars +4 is tempting with Luck out. Without him Indy might be the worst team in the NFL.

That was the line at a picks board I check out. But my man had 7 which I just found out. I call in Sundays after checking out iinjury reports.
http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/feature...s/expert/picks

So it's Ariz - 7.

I never mess with these over seas games, ya never know how much the distraction of being over "there" will make. Anything out of the routine ya have to be careful with.

It's more about the Browns on the west coast without a QB to me. Then like you said why are the Chargers -7. Too many...???...there for me.

I look for games where you can't ask a lot of questions, it simply makes since.

**Will Hunting** · 10-04-2015

Originally Posted by Avante

That was the line at a picks board I check out. But my man had 7 which I just found out. I call in Sundays after checking out iinjury reports.
http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/feature...s/expert/picks

So it's Ariz - 7.

I never mess with these over seas games, ya never know how much the distraction of being over "there" will make. Anything out of the routine ya have to be careful with.

It's more about the Browns on the west coast without a QB to me. Then like you said why are the Chargers -7. Too many...???...there for me.

I look for games where you can't ask a lot of questions, it simply makes since.

With San Diego Cleveland, a lot of the trends favored Cleveland. Since last year, Cleveland is 7-1-1 ATS following a loss and 5-2 as the away dog. San Diego is 2-5 ATS following a loss and only 3-3 as the home favorite. 3 of San Diego's 5 starting O-linemen will be inactive with a 4th questionable, and the last time they won a game by more than 7 was almost a year ago. Cleveland is a total dumpster fire that might lay an egg, but this matchup strikes me as one crappy team getting too much of a spread against another crappy team based off of reputation.

**Trainwreck2100** · 10-04-2015

Rams
Jags
Cowboys
Tb
Raiders
Bills

**Avante** · 10-04-2015

Originally Posted by Will Hunting

With San Diego Cleveland, a lot of the trends favored Cleveland. Since last year, Cleveland is 7-1-1 ATS following a loss and 5-2 as the away dog. San Diego is 2-5 ATS following a loss and only 3-3 as the home favorite. 3 of San Diego's 5 starting O-linemen will be inactive with a 4th questionable, and the last time they won a game by more than 7 was almost a year ago. Cleveland is a total dumpster fire that might lay an egg, but this matchup strikes me as one crappy team getting too much of a spread against another crappy team based off of reputation.

Good stuff and well aware of those trends (own a mag PLAYBOOK that has every trend there is) just can't back a team so ???? at the QB position on the road and like you said how can SD be laying 7? So I have...????....something I don't like, so I pass when that happens.

**Trainwreck2100** · 10-04-2015

Originally Posted by Will Hunting

With San Diego Cleveland, a lot of the trends favored Cleveland. Since last year, Cleveland is 7-1-1 ATS following a loss and 5-2 as the away dog. San Diego is 2-5 ATS following a loss and only 3-3 as the home favorite. 3 of San Diego's 5 starting O-linemen will be inactive with a 4th questionable, and the last time they won a game by more than 7 was almost a year ago. Cleveland is a total dumpster fire that might lay an egg, but this matchup strikes me as one crappy team getting too much of a spread against another crappy team based off of reputation.

Vegas wants you to take the Browns chargers are an easy pick

**Will Hunting** · 10-04-2015

Originally Posted by Trainwreck2100

Vegas wants you to take the Browns chargers are an easy pick

Vegas has been getting smoked on NFL games this year

**spurraider21** · 10-04-2015

Bengals
Cards
Lions
Redskins
Raiders
Browns

**Holden_Caulfield** · 10-04-2015

raiders
jags
sd
phi

**SpursforSix** · 10-04-2015

I'm taking Cowboys straight up +150.
It's going to be one way or the other I think. If they cover the 3, they're going to win by a TD or more.

**SpursforSix** · 10-04-2015

Originally Posted by Avante

I'll go slow rookie.

Pahthers are heading into a bye week. If you'd played them in this "spot" the last 5 seasons you would have lost all 5. So why chance it when there are better plays?

Here's where I ended up.

Ravens -3
Falcons -4.5 for half bet
Panthers -3
Cards -6.5
Cowboys straight up for half bet

**SpursforSix** · 10-04-2015

I'm also adding GB -9 for a half bet since it's about to be on TV and I don't want to be bored.

**Will Hunting** · 10-04-2015

Originally Posted by SpursforSix

I'm also adding GB -9 for a half bet since it's about to be on TV and I don't want to be bored.

I also bet that game last minute but took the over @ 48

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