Chance of winning
FiveThirtyEight
Hillary Clinton
68.7%
Donald Trump
31.3%
FiveThirtyEight
Can we have a "Fathead will be cut in January" thread by OP upstairs, tbh?![]()
Chance of winning
FiveThirtyEight
Hillary Clinton
68.7%
Donald Trump
31.3%
FiveThirtyEight
A glimmer of clarity.
Blaming everybody but the ty candidate.
Nah, that can't be the reason that he won't win.
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Who will win the presidency?
Chance of winning
FiveThirtyEight
Hillary Clinton
73.6%
Donald Trump
26.4%
Looks like I won the prediction game.
Wisdom of the crowds.
But but but LA Times poll
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Odds before the debate: 55% to 45%
Odds now: 73% to 26%
My next prediction:
The Democratic ground game will make sure to turnout Democrats in huge numbers, despite not being overly enthusiastic about their candidate. Republicans, like my father, will simply stay home.
Trump is far, far behind in that ground game effort, and his squabbles with the RNC will cost him any good help they might have been able to provide. This election means the GOP will be one or even two cycles behind the Dems in terms of developing that infrastructure.
This will lead Hillary to be likely re-elected, should she choose to run.
The GOP has burned itself badly in the minds of many independents and young people.
The only thing that isn't really clear is what bit of spin will make it into hater's thick skull as the reason Trump really lost.
There will be no end to that finger pointing and conspiracy theory, because the rational explantion, i.e. Trump was a horrible person/candidate, means they would have to admit they were wrong.
LOL - people talking as if Trump has already lost. Don't you know anything can happen?
I think people are already deciding who they will vote for. That's for sure.
I think Trump has little room to improve his image and policy stance in the last 30 days. That cake is baked in.
The fact all of Trump supporters are begging for a bombs like revelation from wikileaks to be the thing that decides this is really sad. Specially since that's not going to matter. Even if something big were to come out.
With 30 something days to go, millions upon millions of people aren't just going to say aww shucks, guess it's Trump.
I didn't even register to vote until last week. I am 38 y/o and live in Maryland (about as Blue a state you will have in the union) I want to see the tears of Trump's wackjob supporters come Nov 9th. That's the only thing I am looking forward to.
That first debate REALLY I think is going to be a dagger. Hillary beat him and baited him so bad even his most loyal wack-job supporters who religiously stand by him and defend him by any means necessary admit he has to prepare a whole lot better. That's telling....![]()
Jeb and Cruz kept for some reason engaging with him in those ridiculous back and forth's that plays to Trump's strengths. He got under both their skin and it showed. He's the king of one-liners. Hillary letting him speak 1) eliminated his famous one-liners that he destroyed Jeb and Cruz with, 2) letting him rant on and on he pretty much usually shoots himself in the foot, Rosie O'Donnell. Why in the world is Rosie O' Donnell's name being mentioned anywhere during a Presidential debate? I mean c'mon. lol
Sure, the Cubs can win the World Series in any given year.
Care to take a bet on that?
Chance of winning
FiveThirtyEight
Hillary Clinton
86.9%
Donald Trump
13.1%
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Odds in Texas:
Chance of winning
FiveThirtyEight
Hillary Clinton
15.3%
Donald Trump
84.7%
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