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  1. #51
    I am that guy RandomGuy's Avatar
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    Clinton got 65M votes in 2016

    45M people in the US are below poverty level so the other 20M that voted for Clinton are the rich coastal elites that like telling poor people that THEY will solve all their problems.
    1) Voting rates by income indicate that 50% of hat "45M" voted.
    https://www.demos.org/publication/wh...ng-gap-matters

    2) Voting rates by income show that of the 22.5M that did vote, went 50% to the Democratic candidate, or 11.25M
    https://www.cnn.com/election/2016/results/exit-polls

    Care to try your assessment again?

  2. #52
    I am that guy RandomGuy's Avatar
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    Lol...that you would think that was a serious statement that needed debunking .


    Self-pwnage

    Duly noted. Trolling, not serious, and not truthful.

    Makes you representative of conservatives in general then.

  3. #53
    Believe. KenMcCoy's Avatar
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    Self-pwnage

    Duly noted. Trolling, not serious, and not truthful.

    Makes you representative of conservatives in general then.
    Yeah, it's a slow Friday.

  4. #54
    Take the fcking keys away baseline bum's Avatar
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    the rich coastal elites that like telling poor people that THEY will solve all their problems.
    You mean like the president?

  5. #55
    lol triggered Incel's Avatar
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    You mean like the president?


    Trump is blue collar, salt of the earth.

  6. #56
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    Trump is blue collar, salt of the earth.

  7. #57
    Savvy Veteran spurraider21's Avatar
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    blue collar billionaire

  8. #58
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    no haha. anyone born here is a natural citizen.

    the second generation, if born here, is native.

    "they" cease to be immigrants in the second generation, sometimes..

  9. #59
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    No blue wave without a black & brown wave. I don't see it happening considering even Obama couldn't make it happen in midterms. I expect another "shocking" election night complete with a pouting Rachel Maddow and Nate Silver explaining how the polls were right even when they were wrong.

  10. #60
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    You mean like the president?
    and Trash suckered his stupid, ignorant cult that ONLY Trash could solve their problems AND only he had the TRUTH while the press was lying.

    absolutely classic, repeated dictator bull .

    btw, grifter pastors use the same strategy, that ONLY they, with Bibles in their grubby hands to lend them credibility, have the truth, so ignore experts, ignore science, ignore educated people. And as spokepeople of God, please send us money, and buy lots of our .

  11. #61
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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  12. #62
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    Even if Dems take the House, they won't be able to undo 10 years of Repugs running the House.

    I bet the Repugs, plus Dinos, will block any and all major progressive bills, and then there's the Senate, and then there's Trash's veto. And of course any spending increased (House controls spending) will have the Repugs screaming "what about the deficit!"

    iow

    America will still be, and always be ed and un able.

    Last edited by boutons_deux; 08-18-2018 at 03:52 PM.

  13. #63
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    The Republican National Committee raised $14.2 million in July -- the most it has ever raised in that month in a non-presidential year -- bringing its total haul for the cycle to $227.2 million. Despite historic odds and voter enthusiasm favoring Democrats, the RNC is finding record-setting support among its donors, according to numbers shared first with CBS News. The RNC raised more in July of this year than it did in 2010 and 2014 combined.
    https://www.cbsnews.com/news/this-we...ing-advantage/

  14. #64
    bandwagoner fans suck ducks's Avatar
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    Even if Dems take the House, they won't be able to undo 10 years of Repugs running the House.

    I bet the Repugs, plus Dinos, will block any and all major progressive bills, and then there's the Senate, and then there's Trash's veto. And of course any spending increased (House controls spending) will have the Repugs screaming "what about the deficit!"

    iow

    America will still be, and always be ed and un able.

    why not move to Canada they are trying to take every gun away!

  15. #65
    coffee's for closers FrostKing's Avatar
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    Hey asshats deleting posts
    Last edited by FrostKing; 08-20-2018 at 12:33 PM.

  16. #66
    I am that guy RandomGuy's Avatar
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    Hillary was not as unpopular as you make it seem. She was attempting to become the first female candidate

    There is still plenty of time but Democrats need a candidate, a message, a direction.

    I think since election night the Democrats have gone backwards
    You realize this thread is about the midterms right?

    Plenty of candidates and directions.

  17. #67
    I am that guy RandomGuy's Avatar
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    Rich white donor class knows that the hoi polloi are up in arms against them, essentially.

    What impresses me is that many Democratic candidates are out-raising their PAC fueled opponents. Trump is the best thing to happen to the Democrats.

  18. #68
    I am that guy RandomGuy's Avatar
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    https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com.../house/#deluxe

    Back on track.

    Odds inching up slightly, as Crooked Donny's dis of ol' Salty doesn't appear to be playing well in the polls. Trumps net approval drops, as does that of his party.

    70.7% chance of Democrats taking control of the house.

  19. #69
    I am that guy RandomGuy's Avatar
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    No blue wave without a black & brown wave. I don't see it happening considering even Obama couldn't make it happen in midterms. I expect another "shocking" election night complete with a pouting Rachel Maddow and Nate Silver explaining how the polls were right even when they were wrong.
    77,000/135,000,000

    Those who can, cite data.

    Those that don't, post bull . If you are going to keep posting, let me know, I will get out my waders.

  20. #70
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    Dem gubernatorial candidate was a big surprise. The local TV stations all expected Gwen Graham or 2nd place poller. Bernie-backed vs Trump-backed - should be interesting.

  21. #71
    I am that guy RandomGuy's Avatar
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    Dem gubernatorial candidate was a big surprise. The local TV stations all expected Gwen Graham or 2nd place poller. Bernie-backed vs Trump-backed - should be interesting.
    Odds creeping towards Democrats at the moment.
    Several generic polls show some widening leads that are beginning to move the average/aggregate needle.

    https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...idterms-header


    This has some solid implications for the overall picture of the House:

    https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com.../house/#deluxe
    Odds slowly creeping toward Democrats taking the House, and that will be mirrored in almost all states.

    Deluxe has increased odds by 5% in the last week or so.

    From 7 in 10 to

    3 in 4

    "Trump-backed" will be synonymous with "albatross around the neck".

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Albatross_(metaphor)

  22. #72
    I am that guy RandomGuy's Avatar
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    Update from 538:

    Odds still slowly tilting in favor of the Dems for the House. 74% for the Deluxe version, 78% for the conventional model.

  23. #73
    Still Hates Small Ball Spurminator's Avatar
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    Poll: Midwest Abandons Trump, Fueling Democratic Advantage For Control Of Congress
    https://www.npr.org/2018/09/12/64681...ol-of-congress

    The gap has widened to 12 percentage points, up from 7 in July — and largely because of voters in the Midwest. They have swung 13 points in Democrats' direction since July. That Midwestern shift is consistent with what Marist has found in statewide polls conducted for NBC in Michigan, Wisconsin and Minnesota that showed Trump's support there starting to erode.

    "Every way we are looking at the data, the same general pattern is emerging," said Lee Miringoff, director of the Marist Ins ute for Public Opinion, which conducted the poll. "The Midwest is an area that is getting restless about what they hoped was going to occur and what they feel is not occurring."

  24. #74
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    You can fool some of the people some of the time...

  25. #75
    I am that guy RandomGuy's Avatar
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    You can fool some of the people some of the time...
    https://vimeo.com/265798976

    FWIW. This is being replicated in many places.

    Our push is for getting non-voters to vote, not increase existing Democratic turn out, although we are all making sure that existing Dems vote this time around.

    fiverthirtyeight's forecast continues trend in Dems favor. We are working our asses off.

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