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Damn, forgot the game starts this early.
Dallas
New Orleans
Jacksonville
Cleveland
New England
Philly
Tampa Bay
Seattle
Oakland
LA Chargers
Steelers
Colts
Vikings
Texans
Week 1: 11-4-1
Week 2: 11-4-1
Week 3: 7-9
Week 4: 12-3
Week 5: 11-4
Week 6: 10-5
Week 7: 11-3
Week 8: 11-3
Week 9: 8-5
Wek 10: 8-6
Week 11: 8-5
Season: 108-51-2
I pick the Bears, Cowboys, and Saints for tonight.
The rest of picks will come later
Damn, forgot the game starts this early.
Dallas
New Orleans
Jacksonville
Cleveland
New England
Philly
Tampa Bay
Seattle
Oakland
LA Chargers
Steelers
Colts
Vikings
Texans
Bills
Ravens
Buccaneers
Eagles
Browns
Patriots
Seahawks
Colts
Chargers
Steelers
Vikings
(Picks subject to change before kickoff)
10-3 going into MNF. still kicking myself for not getting my picks in before the early thursday game, as bears were an easy pick. but ah well, i missed it.
11 wins with Houston on MNF.
13-1
As for tonight's game. This is a tough one to call. I can see either team winning, but I'll go with the Texans.
9-5 going into tonight.
12 wins this week.
12-3
112-62-2
10-5 this week, 111-63-2 on the season.
11-3 this week
111-60-2 overall
123 wins right now.
Like I mentioned trying to beat these guys.
The real key to picking straight up is what road teams can win? Home/road the big deal.
Hard to believe but if all you ever picked was home teams you'd have 106 wins. Every week 8/9 home teams will win.
Going into a bye/coming off a bye, who sucks/shines in prime time. Stuff ya need to know. Who is the best in Sept/Oct/Nov/Dec ya need to know.
If you just go with with your gut you can hit 8/9 wins a week, if ya plan on averaging 10 you will need to know stuff like..........
Steelers are NFL's best December team since 2013
4-1 in Dec in 2017
https://nflpickwatch.com/
Last edited by JohnnyZ; 11-27-2018 at 02:34 PM.
More lies. No do entation here that you have 123 wins. No one here believes you.
I have four of my weeks do ented the first and last three. Remember me talking about averaging 10 wins a week?
week one...11
week ten...9
week eleven..8
week twelve...12
Add that up...40....so what is my average?
Dude, see that link below my above post, check out what those guys are hitting, my goal is to beat them not copy them.
Like I said somewhere, I will average 10 wins a week the rest of this season watch and see.
You really haven't noticed my thing about trends, stats, "spots",.....really? Yes guy I have the info, I know what I'm doing, and that should be real obvious.
Dude, there is a system to this and it all evolves around home/road, points scored/points given up.
Dude, why in the don't you stop all your come to the realization here is a long time football fan and pick up a few things. , I can totally school you on your Saints, trust me.
Here is a tool I use.
https://www.google.com/search?q=nfls...nt=firefox-b-1
Ok ya look at the home/road records.
Example....
Bills 2-4 at home, minus 6 in points
Cards 4-2 on the road a plus 6 in points
So the Cards with the advantage.
Now add the Bills suck coming out of a bye week, last 10....2-8.
See how it works? guy, just picking home teams you'd have 106 wins.
Ac ulation of info favoring a side in a particular "spot"...ok?
I don't lie guy, just freak people out because of all my experience. What did John Gillum do in the very first Saints game?
Been picking games since since HS in the 60's, how about you?
This after week one
So we count the Eagles game?
11-4-1
Why a loss?
You simply cannot take a rookie QB on the road in his first game, so I had the right side.
Same with Chiefs on the road vs Chargers, sorta.
Ok the Skins are better than I thought.
Nobody saw Buc's beating Saints.
It usually takes me a few weeks to get the new season. Usually hit 9-11 I don't expect anything different this season.
See where I say, Usually hit 9-11 I don't expect anything different, so....10 average.
Last edited by JohnnyZ; 11-28-2018 at 12:42 AM.
Ok, Saints vs Cowboys
So how do these teams do on TNF?
Who has the points scored.given up advantage?
How about vs winning opposition?
Be right back.
TNF
D..6-2
NO...2-3
Points
D...plus 2
NO...plus 15
Home/Road
D...4-1
NO...5-0
Opposition
D...haven't beaten anyone, lost to Sea, Hous, Wash, ans, Panthers
NO...beat Rams, Vikes, haven't lost since week one.
QB play....Drew Brees vs Dak Prescott
I think I'll go with............Saints.
The road team as a 7 point RF, what is Vegas telling us?
I do that for all my plays, so it really is amazing I only average 10 wins a week.
Another tool, so we have the number one ranked Saints vs the number twelve ranked Cowboys.
Who out there puts in that kind of time over this, yep..nobody. So the guy who does the work.....guess what?
http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap3000000993239/article/nfl-power-rankings-week-13-seahawks-hit-top-10-steelers-fall
Last edited by JohnnyZ; 11-28-2018 at 12:18 AM.
Check it out.
I need a real good reason to play a dog when it comes to SU, here is the reason.
Away Teams
68-106-2 39.08% Home Teams 106-68-2 60.92% Favorites 117-57-2 67.24% Dogs 57-117-2 32.76% Away Favorites 33-22-2 60.00% Away Dogs 35-84-0 29.41% Home Favorites 84-35-0 70.59% Home Dogs 22-33-2 40.00%
You would have 117 wins just playing favorites.
All that stuff above in this thread is where I;m at with this, yes with all study you are going hit more winners than a buch of guys who do none of that, simply common sense.
That's why I compete vs these guys, they are like me. Spend the time.
Been doing this since the mid 60's, you do figure it all out in 50ish years.
https://nflpickwatch.com/
Last edited by JohnnyZ; 11-28-2018 at 12:39 AM.
Sorry about all that guys, I just get tired of the crap. I wanted to show just now serious I take this stuff. How deeply I go with it. Why I can hit 10 a week average, I do the work that takes, I put in the time. Far more than anyone else here, so I should get more right. Who here pays any attention to bye weeks?
I'd say the Cowboys are a very good dog considering they're on a roll and Prescott does well when they're on winning streaks. And they're at home and it's TNF and Dallas has the defense to give Brees some trouble.
How often are road teams fav by 7.5? and lose the game SU?
This NO team is already historically great and Brees is having a monstous season. Dallas hasn't beat any elite team all season for a reason.
Obviously....the Saints can show up flat, some penalities, special teams breakdowns, a few injuries, that can happen and for Dallas to win it has to happen.
Not unrealistic to see the Saints in total control the out come never in doubt, always in the lead, talking 24 13ish, with seconds to go the Cowboys backdoor a 24-20 loss, but haul in that ATS $$$$$$$$$$$.
Then there is this little gem.
NFL betting trends
The Saints are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games vs. the Cowboys.
The total has gone over in four of the Saints' last five games vs. the Cowboys.
The Saints are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games on the road vs. teams with winning records.
That gives the Saints a STRONG 23-6 trend in this "spot".
Last edited by JohnnyZ; 11-29-2018 at 05:51 AM.
Week 13 Picks:
Saints
Ravens
Broncos
Rams
Packers
Dolphins
Bears
Panthers
Colts
Texans
ans
Chiefs
Patriots
Seahawks
Chargers
Eagles
Saints
Bears
Packers
Colts
Texans
Panthers
Dolphins
Bengals
Falcons
Rams
Chiefs
ans
Pats
Seacucks
Steelers
Eagles
Saints
Ravens
Texans
Broncos
Dolphins
Colts
Raiders
ans
Giants
Packers
Rams
Panthers
Patriots
Seahawks
Steelers
Eagles
Week 1: 11-4-1
Week 2: 11-4-1
Week 3: 7-9
Week 4: 12-3
Week 5: 11-4
Week 6: 10-5
Week 7: 11-3
Week 8: 11-3
Week 9: 8-5
Wek 10: 8-6
Week 11: 8-5
Week 12: 14-1
Season: 122-52-2
I got the Saints.
The rest of the picks will come later.
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Obviously....the Saints can show up flat, some penalities, special teams breakdowns, a few injuries, that can happen and for Dallas to win it has to happen.
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