Beginning to think that GA goes blue, riding a wave of anti-Trump angst. , the kinds of anger that are driving these protests are probably even moving the needle in TX.
I swear. Dude is mad creepy.
Beginning to think that GA goes blue, riding a wave of anti-Trump angst. , the kinds of anger that are driving these protests are probably even moving the needle in TX.
https://www.newsweek.com/texas-may-w...-shows-1509360
Texas hasn't gone blue during a presidential election since former President Jimmy Carter, but it's possible that could change in November as polls show President Donald Trump losing the Republican hold on the state.
A Quinnipiac University poll released on Wednesday showed Trump and Democratic nominee former Vice President Joe Biden neck and neck in the race for Texas. Trump, with 44 percent, had a slim lead over Biden, who received 43 percent, an advantage that was well within the margin of error of 2.9 percentage points.
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Us Texas Dems are prepping to build on the infrastructure that sprang up in 2018. Lots of brainstorming around COVID restrictions, and some interesting discussions on getting registration and turn out up. Floyd protests definitely has a lot of fold riled up.
https://www.270towin.com/
The only thing I did to the default map they have set up (lots of toss up states) is see what happens if Texas goes blue.
The result:
Democratic candidate wins in your scenario. No combinations remain for Republicans to win.
Democrat 270------------------166 Republican
Texas, as one state puts the Democratic nominee over. Even if the fascist party wins every other swing state, they lose.
As is, in a true wav election the wave party tends to get most of the swing states.
Dems get all swings+Texas
Democrat 371----------------166 Republican
I think that is the "best case" scenario, and unlikely.
Reality will probably be a bit less than what boutons has posted.
https://news.gallup.com/poll/312572/...al-slides.aspx
This latest slip in approval matchest my other poll conducted about his support among catholics and Christian evangelicals. Down to 85% approval among republicans and 39% approval overall.
Welcome to Carter and Bush level bad.
This is how I see it playing out except I think maybe Biden wins Ohio and losses Florida.
I just don’t see it. Once Fox News starts its round-the-clock pre-election stories about how Joe Biden is a communist who used to assist pregnant women in performing 3rd trimester coathanger abortions pre Roe v. Wade, the Bible thumpers will get spooked back into Trumpland.
I don’t see him winning Georgia. There’s going to need to be changes in Georgia at the gubernatorial level before it becomes viable in general election. You can bet the “problems” Atlanta area polling locations had yesterday are going to be a lot worse come Election Day.
North Carolina will be a good litmus test with a Democratic Governor this time around who isn’t going to intentionally create 12 hour lines in Greensboro.
I didn't say he'd win georgia, georgia is toss-up on that map as it should be.
Florida COVID-19 cases hitting new high for 3 days running:
https://www.tampabay.com/news/health...cord-in-a-row/
Maybe El Pollo Loco should have waited a bit longer to open
Maybe they can pray it away, tbh... can't think of a god that would deny his flock a serving of El Pollo Loco...
Trump - Biden TIE in TX and AR
MI is no longer considered a battleground state because Biden is so far ahead.
Trump’s Campaign Is Bragging About Being Tied With Biden In Arkansas
https://www.politicususa.com/2020/06/14/trump-arkansas.html?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=fee d&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+politicususa%2FfJAl+%28Poli ticus+USA+%29
Florida hospitals gonna be sold out of bodybags by 7PM next?
Hopefully a bunch of retired boomer conservatives die off.
Would be great if by some miracle Little Marcos senate seat was in play in 2022.
Why do conservatives even like little Marco? Guess they like their midget porn down in Florida. Huge head, tiny body frame. Calling him a midget is a disservice to the actual midget community actually.
I don’t think conservatives necessarily like him that much, but a lot of moderate/liberal Hispanics in Florida like him because he’s friendly on immigration which is why he wins so easily (he also ran in 2010 and 2016, two very favorable years for Republicans). He also has a couple Jewish oligarchs who’ve bankrolled his political career.
The GOP is very good at taking senators they have in purple/blue states and making them folk heroes who are worshipped within their own state (Susan Collins, Joni Ernst, Chuck Grassley, Little Marco, etc). Fortunately the shine has worn off the first two but when Dems get senators elected in purple/red states it’s usually 2 terms max before they’re gone.
https://www.miamiherald.com/news/cor...243361796.html
In Miami-Dade, COVID hospitalizations fall while new cases surge.
IMO, more TESTING - the important stat is HOSPITALIZATIONS. Testing is free for all over 18 - phone a number to pre-register and next day, drive through C. B. Smith Park - manned by soldiers directing car with one health care worker in double gloves, mask and shield sticks her hand into half rolled down car window. She sticks swab up your nose and counts for 5 seconds. And you drive out of park.
Susan Collins
Today's vote against the LGBTQ++ he cast (In vain) is just another remainder of what a up she is as a senator. Her voting to confirm him was a gift for us after all.
She should have taken the favor Manchin did for her by making it so she could vote against him. Voting for him and then voting against impeachment were ups by her - without those two votes I think she’d be winning in Maine by 10+%
Before Andy or anyone else equally re ed has some autistic response about how there’s no way she’d be up by that much, she won Maine by over 20% in 2008, a year when Democrats picked up 8 seats all over the country. She was worshipped in Maine by both parties before the Kavanaugh vote.
This looks like trouble for the GOP.
Then again, they got this covered. Kemp will make sure to close 90% of the polling station to offset turnout in November.
This is why I think NC is in play...a Democratic Governor changes everything.
FTR, the Democratic Governors in states like NC shouldn’t just play fair, they should employ all of the dirty tricks Republican governors use. Make it so rural voters have to drive 100+ miles to vote while there’s a voting both in every corner in urban areas. It’s time to play just as dirty as the other side does.
That will put it over the top, IMO.
Did\'n't know how badly Trump was losing michegan. 16 points is a blowout, and yeah, it isn't a battleground state.
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