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The Comeback
Republicans' internal polls predict a "Democratic rout" this fall
"Public polling showing Democrats doing well is backed up by what the parties are seeing in their own numbers”
when one party puts out a lot more internal polls than normal, it is good for their side,"
Democrats and liberal groups are releasing a lot more surveys than Republicans,
which suggests
the public polling showing Democrats doing well is backed up by what the parties are seeing in their own numbers,"
"Democratic and liberal aligned groups have put out 17 House polls
Republican aligned groups have put out 0.
"This reminds me a lot of what happened just two years ago.
Almost universally, Democrats were the ones publishing their House polls publicly.
They went on to have a net gain of 40 seats in the House.
Democrats also won the House popular vote by 9 points,"
https://www.salon.com/2020/07/05/rep...alyst_partner/
Last edited by boutons_deux; 07-05-2020 at 08:08 AM.
The Comeback
Trash/Miller speech showed Trash will try to win again in 2020 like he did in 2016:
hate, hate, hate, White Male Supremacy and Grievances, misogyny, xenophobia, impossible promises.
I like you steping up in the plate
Trash/Miller speech showed Trash will try to win again in 2020 like he did in 2016:
hate, hate, hate, White Male Supremacy and Grievances, misogyny, xenophobia, impossible promises.
No matter who wins 2020 Election. Go to work the next day.
Kansas + Georgia = Lock for Biden even if all the swing states go red."June represented the political nadir of his three and a half years in the Oval Office, when a race in which he had been steadily trailing, but faring respectably, broke open and left him facing the possibility of not just defeat but humiliation this fall," the Times reported.
It found that internal campaign polls have shown Trump losing Georgia and even Kansas — which few have considered even a potential swing state.
Worst case scenario is that all the "lean R" flip. ... that is a 417 to 120 rout. Unlikely. But then again, so was Trumps election in the first place.
After he leads them into the maw of the machine gun fire in a pointless charge, the only question is when will they turn on him?
I read that if Biden is tying Trash in deep red hole TX, then other less solidly red states are Biden's
Given how badly the Republican government in TX is ing up the corona response, they might actually lose this fall. I don't think that has really dawned on them yet.
If that happens, I will do a little jig and post "Ode to Joy" here.
Trump is ing up in Missouri.
??? wazzup
Closer race than it should be.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...eral/missouri/
Biden actually up 2 in one poll and in most of them down just 7-8 points instead of 15-20 like he should be.
270 put it in the "safe" R category.
Well, here is what the electoral college looks like if you shift everything one category towards blue in a typical wave election.
A massive 411 to 127 blowout.
As I said, unlikely, but then Trumps election was itself unlikely.
If Trump were to start losing "safe" states, we could see something close to that though. We will see. Biden pretty much will win based on current polling. I doubt that changes materially.
Jesus, I just checked her twitter and she’s going bat today. She’s apparently angry with Cocaine Mitch for not backing Kris Kobch
The Turtle ain't no dummy. He knows Kobach is actually a huge liability that puts the senate seat at risk.Jesus, I just checked her twitter and she’s going bat today. She’s apparently angry with Cocaine Mitch for not backing Kris Kob
He's another McSally. Only she didn't actually lose the governor race to a democrat in KANSAS.
Yeah way worse than McSally imo. She’s a weak candidate in a state where the political winds are already blowing left. Kobach is an albatross candidate who makes a ruby red state a purple state just by being on the ticket because of much of a failure Sam Brownback was as GovernorThe Turtle ain't no dummy. He knows Kobach is actually a huge liability that puts the senate seat at risk.
He's another McSally. Only she didn't actually lose the governor race to a democrat in KANSAS.
Wha wha wha? Wow.
This post isn’t aging very well
Florida setting the record for new cases in a single day by any state
it’s just because there’s more testing
Last edited by Will Hunting; 07-12-2020 at 04:02 PM.
Many of the those new cases from their record breaking day came from a backlog dumpThis post isn’t aging very well
Florida setting the record for new cases in a single day by any state
But their positive rate on those tests was 16%. This is worrisome because presumably those backlogged tests came from a period where Florida's infection saturation was much lower (like in May or early June). They're going to get their asses kicked in the coming weeks, especially when all those July 4th gatherings start cashing in.The relatively high number of tests announced Sunday suggest some of the pending tests may have cleared the backlog and been processed.
They won't get as bad an NY, so I guess DeSantis can pat himself on the back with, "At least we're not New York!" But their situation is inexcusable because Ron DeathSentence had a 3 month warning to prepare in an environment much less suited to transmission vs. New York with their sky high population density and use of public transit.
This was an entirely predictable outcome. Would you like to see where I predicted it?
and...
"broward county" = where the black people live.
mmm dog-whistle racism to boot. sure, broward county is where the fraud in florida happens...
Florida Woman Charged With Massive Voter Fraud, Changing Registrations From Democrat To Republican
https://crooksandliars.com/2020/03/f...-fraud-changed
Yeah way worse than McSally imo. She’s a weak candidate in a state where the political winds are already blowing left. Kobach is an albatross candidate who makes a ruby red state a purple state just by being on the ticket because of much of a failure Sam Brownback was as Governor
You want a really good article on how much of a skeez and idiot this guys is:
How the Case for Voter Fraud Was Tested — and Utterly Failed
https://www.propublica.org/article/k...d-kansas-trial
Voter ID fraud myth is essentially a scheme this guy cooked up to make money. He would convince cities and states to enact voter ID laws based on mythical voter fraud and then got paid to defend the laws that got passed to combat this myth in court when those laws invariably drew challenges.
Another total con-man that Republicans just can't understand is a con-man. It's like conservatives are predisposed to believe myths. (evangelicals cough cough)
Whether or not they’re worse than NY when NY was at the height of the crisis, NY had less than 10 deaths everyday for the last 3 days. Florida has had 233 deaths during that time. There’s no excuse for why NY has been able to completely mitigate the crisis while it’s only getting worse in Florida
Anyone knows who Hegar is?
Gideon though is in a great position to take out some trash.
They shouldn’t waste any money campaigning in Texas beyond ensuring they don’t lose house seats. It’s an expensive state to campaign in and if the Texas senate race is winnable it means the Iowa, Montana, and Kansas (If Kobauch wins the primary) races are a lot more winnable and where the campaign money should go.
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