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this is the best moment
Search for #AZSen on twitter. The tweets are pretty uniform in terms of who won that debate
to be fair she's in an impossible spot
trump isn't popular, especially now. even in AZ he's in trouble with polling. but she can't say no because she needs RNC support. if she says about trump he'll start unleashing
She kinda put herself in that spot. She got elected to congress as a bipartisan centrist, but once Trump got elected she took a hard turn to the right and has been a Trump sycophant the last 4 years. She was out front leading the charge to repeal Obamacare.to be fair she's in an impossible spot
trump isn't popular, especially now. even in AZ he's in trouble with polling. but she can't say no because she needs RNC support. if she says about trump he'll start unleashing
https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.cnn...owa/index.html
A day old article but lol still pulling ads from battleground states for a third week in a row as Biden closest in.
more bad polls for Trump and the GOP in Iowa and Texas
Biden up 1 point in Iowa & tied in Texas; Greenfield up 3 in Iowa and Hegar only down 1 in Texas
Stupid ass Beto should have run for senate instead of president; he would have won this time around.
Biden up 1 point in Iowa & tied in Texas; Greenfield up 3 in Iowa and Hegar only down 1 in Texas
Stupid ass Beto should have run for senate instead of president; he would have won this time around.
11 In Florida is bull .
But I bet it's anywhere from 5-7 points in reality which is still huge given that Florida is notorious for always been close.
Quinnipiac is a left leaning pollster but I wouldn't have expected a lead of 11 in Florida. The way Trump is losing old people, I'll bet Florida is outside the margin of error at the very least. Trump's strategy of being ahead on election night and then trying to stop vote counting goes out the window if he's losing Florida.
Greenfield being up by 5 is refreshing but again, left leaning pollster.
Rasmussen just put out a national poll showing Biden +12
such a bad calculation on his part.
So was destroying his potential as a relevant candidate for any statewide or national office in the future by branding himself as the "We're coming for your ing guns" guy during that pointless campaign.
Heck, I think even Julian Castro could give Cornyn a run for his money this year. If whoever the MJ Hegar is has the race within 5 points, Castro or Beto (before his gun comments) would have it as a toss up.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...tion-forecast/
84% chance Biden wins.
Seems like a clear trend.
Trump saying he won't do a stimulus before the election (even if he predictably changed it when the market predictably tanked) admits that the lack of a stimulus is entirely his fault.
Gutting Social Security/Medicare for an encore with the payroll tax thing...
Farcical.
New polls
- Bullock up 2 in Montana
- Cunningham up 11 in North Carolina
- Hegar down 3 in Texas ( you for getting greedy Beto)
- fivethirtyeight poll of poll has Biden's lead up to 9.5%
Last edited by Will Hunting; 10-07-2020 at 06:03 PM.
If Biden is winning the popular vote by nearly 10 points than Ohio, Iowa and possibly even Texas is going blue. Sorry, but it just will.
Not even just those states. If he's winning by 10 or more nationally then South Carolina, Alaska, Georgia, Missouri, Montana and Mississippi are all in play. I'm not saying he wins all of them but all of those states have a cook partisan index of 11% or lower, so it's just a simple math exercise that those states could go either way if the country as a whole is +10% Democrat.
538 gives Biden a better chance to win Texas than it gives Trump a chance to win Florida
Silver says his model would jump from Biden 85% to Biden 95% if the election was held today. Though probably not that great a model for 2020 since it doesn't factor in Trump and Barr trying to steal the election through the USPS and the wingnut courts.
I'm still hopeful since historically GOP voter suppression/cheating has been able to swing close elections, not landslides.
Democrats are slightly favored to win the Senate.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...recast/senate/
and will pretty much keep the House.
Graham doesn't want to take a coronavirus test for tonight's debate because he's scared less of getting his pushed in back to back by Jaime Harrison.
Graham got destroyed and looked unhinged and out of touch in the first match up.Graham doesn't want to take a coronavirus test for tonight's debate because he's scared less of getting his pushed in back to back by Jaime Harrison.
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