Looks that way. Deleted.
Damn, that's nice.
Theresa Greenfield might help Biden in Iowa much like Kelly is doing in Arizona.
I knew from watching that extended clip this was bad news for the biker chick.
Looks that way. Deleted.
No. I am not intimidated by uninformed subpar intellects. Sad that a supposed grown man thinks junior-high school smack talk works on actual grown men.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...tion-forecast/
88% chance, with the most likely single outcome being a crushing 420-110 loss [for Trump]. That probably won't happen, but that little bump there represents your worst-case scenario.Biden is favored to win the election
We simulate the election 40,000 times to see who wins most often. The sample of 100 outcomes below gives you a good idea of the range of scenarios our model thinks is possible.
Ima have a nice cup of wake-the- -up coffee using you snowflakes' tears in another month.
Last edited by RandomGuy; 10-19-2020 at 05:51 PM. Reason: a dose of clarity.
the most likely single outcome being a crushing 420-110 loss [for Trump]
If you look at the graph, the single highest peak of the distribution graph is that result.
It looks like madness in Silver's model, but this is what RG is talking about.
if McConnel survives he retires by 2022 for "health" reasons. he is done. rest in you face cunt
ah gotcha. that seems bizarre. i was going by their forecast which currently has 347-191
and then when i just tallied all the states as they currently have projected in their "winding path" graphic the numbers were pretty similar to that
Randomguy gets carried away some times.
320-330 electoral votes, tops. (With every key battleground states going to Biden)
You can get there by flipping every weakly red state blue, which is why I think the model favors it.
It would look something like this:
Odds are that it will almost certainly not be that wide of a landslide.
But there is a fair, if remote, chance at that. Commentary on how thin the margins are more than anything else.
Not in this case. Just remarking on a notable bump on a graph, and it's interesting implications.
the story of the election is going to be how trump barely managed to get 40% of the vote, how the polls overcompensated from 2016 and they have to re-evaluate for the next one. overwhelming landslide
Seems about right. Splits the tossups about down the middle.
I think "spending time with family" is going to be standard for Repubican politician resumes in the coming year.
I've been saying for a while that the likelihood of polls overcompensating for 2016 is higher than the polls still being as ed up as they were in 2016.
Need to drag COVID Barrett's confirmation out as long as possible so these 4-4 splits on election issues can keep happening
Watching Jon Ossoff do the rounds the last few days, he's another really talented guy who has president potential if he manages to beat Purdue.
Looks much better this time. Obviously worked on looking more like a man instead of the dweeb from 2018.
that might have been fake news, but this isn't
Joni Ernst running on the tea party platform of making millennials pay for boomer en lements and then gutting it for millennials
Biden eyes GOP candidates for Cabinet slots
https://www.politico.com/news/2020/1...cabinet-429972
Among the names being floated for possible Biden Cabinet posts are Meg Whitman, the CEO of Quibi and former CEO of eBay, and former Ohio Gov. John Kasich, both of whom spoke at August’s Democratic National Convention. Massachusetts GOP Gov. Charlie Baker and former Sen. Jeff Flake (R-Ariz.) have also been mentioned, as has former Rep. Charlie Dent (R-Penn.), who resigned from Congress in 2018 and became a lobbyist.
Jesus . lol
She should be running on locking down the economy to protect boomers
You mean like what Trump did in March after ignoring COVID for 2 months?
NYT with the goods for their final polling of 2020.
Trump doesn't lead on any category. Even the economy.
Biden at 50% nationally doesn't sound that great tbh
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