I almost wonder if long facial hair gives virus more surface to cling to.
, I'm bout to go Clorox my beard.
Bought my first can of beard cream today.
I almost wonder if long facial hair gives virus more surface to cling to.
, I'm bout to go Clorox my beard.
My wife wants to cut mine. Disaster looms.
Maybe I'll just shave it all off.
You know, Quasimodo predicted all this
Yes, he concludes without those controls they UK would see 500K deaths.
What he's clearing up is that some people thought he revised it down to 20K out of the blue, but the qualifier people missed was that number might only be achievable IF the UK "locks down." As he explains here:
"Without those controls..."
Does anyone else find it slightly encouraging that only around 10% of the tested are positive? And this is with us ONLY testing highly suspect cases.
Another expert with zero credibility:
I expect some "Trump forced her to say that!" handwave, but this woman also worked under Obama.
Looking at the logarithmic curve of cases in the US vs.countries that are going through right now, no.
What do you find encouraging about the rate of positives for COVID-19?
she looks pretty out of her league tbqh
like that crypt keeper kellyanne
but hope ahes right
Some experts you question and scrutinize, but others, like Dr. Birx, ("Debbie," as DJT likes to call her) you accept unquestioningly.
Is that because she agrees with your take?
(MP very close to an argument from authority here.)
I wouldn't put much stock into our early counts. What your seeing is a combination of spread AND ramped up testing. It's nearly impossible to tease out just the spread from the ulative positives.
I'm encouraged by the the 10% value because it's not 20,30, or 40%.
I warned people last week that they were going to be freaked out by the case count, when they would just be observing ramped up test results.
What's more concerning is the percent of asymptomatic carriers/spreaders.
That it offers evidence of low transmissibility. Here's another expert with no credibility (as I know the only credible expert on the matter is Nial Ferguson) on the probability of contracting the virus in different settings:
Dr. Paul Auwaerter, the Clinical Director for the Division of Infectious Diseases at Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine says:
“If you have a COVID-19 patient in your household, your risk of developing the infection is about 10%….If you were casually exposed to the virus in the workplace (e.g., you were not locked up in conference room for six hours with someone who was infected [like a hospital]), your chance of infection is about 0.5%”
Still not sure why this comforts you. Can you unpack your reasoning here?
Isn't that what you're doing with your experts?
Why do you believe the Imperial study shouldn't be challenged? Two leading experts (one our country's own) and another from Oxford don't unquestionably accept it. Neither do I. I think there's a lot of strong logic in the Oxford study that you can cross correlate with studies from the likes of Iceland, and you start to see a picture.
You seem to be very invested in particular conclusions before the studies have been done.
Why is that?
Lol because Trump is your friend.
You Trumpers are such incredibly gullible sheep
Is the Pope Catholic?
Yes but I’m hoping for any sign of encouragement at this point. I’m hoping for any scenario where we can avoid a 3-6 month stretch of complete economic tumult even if it means Trump is re-electedz
I'd be more comforted if it were 1%. See where I'm going?
But the fact that they're only testing highly suspect and symptomatic people and only getting 10% positive means that 90% of people with cough, fever, etc. probably have common cold or flu.
Even stipulating "lower" mortality and transmissibility, I find nothing comforting about what's happening in Milan and NYC, do you?
Same here.
It's a pandemic with a novel virus. Dense populations will get hammered, unfortunately.
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