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  1. #6151
    Still Hates Small Ball Spurminator's Avatar
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    I shaved this morning because i couldn’t take the itching anymore, couldn’t remember the last time I let it get so long.
    Bought my first can of beard cream today.

  2. #6152
    Veteran DarrinS's Avatar
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    I shaved this morning because i couldn’t take the itching anymore, couldn’t remember the last time I let it get so long.
    I almost wonder if long facial hair gives virus more surface to cling to.

    , I'm bout to go Clorox my beard.

  3. #6153
    Veteran DarrinS's Avatar
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    Luckily my sister n law came over and cut mine and the kids last week
    My wife wants to cut mine. Disaster looms.

    Maybe I'll just shave it all off.

  4. #6154
    Take the fcking keys away baseline bum's Avatar
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    You know, Quasimodo predicted all this


  5. #6155
    SeaGOAT midnightpulp's Avatar
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    Yes, he concludes without those controls they UK would see 500K deaths.

    What he's clearing up is that some people thought he revised it down to 20K out of the blue, but the qualifier people missed was that number might only be achievable IF the UK "locks down." As he explains here:



    "Without those controls..."

  6. #6156
    Veteran DarrinS's Avatar
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    Does anyone else find it slightly encouraging that only around 10% of the tested are positive? And this is with us ONLY testing highly suspect cases.

  7. #6157
    SeaGOAT midnightpulp's Avatar
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    Another expert with zero credibility:



    I expect some "Trump forced her to say that!" handwave, but this woman also worked under Obama.

  8. #6158
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    Does anyone else find it slightly encouraging that only around 10% of the tested are positive? And this is with us ONLY testing highly suspect cases.
    Looking at the logarithmic curve of cases in the US vs.countries that are going through right now, no.

    What do you find encouraging about the rate of positives for COVID-19?

  9. #6159
    Veteran hater's Avatar
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    Another expert with zero credibility:



    I expect some "Trump forced her to say that!" handwave, but this woman also worked under Obama.
    she looks pretty out of her league tbqh

    like that crypt keeper kellyanne

    but hope ahes right

  10. #6160
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    Another expert with zero credibility:



    I expect some "Trump forced her to say that!" handwave, but this woman also worked under Obama.
    Some experts you question and scrutinize, but others, like Dr. Birx, ("Debbie," as DJT likes to call her) you accept unquestioningly.

    Is that because she agrees with your take?

  11. #6161
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    (MP very close to an argument from authority here.)

  12. #6162
    Veteran DarrinS's Avatar
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    Looking at the logarithmic curve of cases in the US vs.countries that are going through right now, no.

    What do you find encouraging about the rate of positives for COVID-19?

    I wouldn't put much stock into our early counts. What your seeing is a combination of spread AND ramped up testing. It's nearly impossible to tease out just the spread from the ulative positives.

    I'm encouraged by the the 10% value because it's not 20,30, or 40%.

  13. #6163
    Veteran DarrinS's Avatar
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    I warned people last week that they were going to be freaked out by the case count, when they would just be observing ramped up test results.

  14. #6164
    Veteran DarrinS's Avatar
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    What's more concerning is the percent of asymptomatic carriers/spreaders.

  15. #6165
    SeaGOAT midnightpulp's Avatar
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    Looking at the logarithmic curve of cases in the US vs.countries that are going through right now, no.

    What do you find encouraging about the rate of positives for COVID-19?
    That it offers evidence of low transmissibility. Here's another expert with no credibility (as I know the only credible expert on the matter is Nial Ferguson) on the probability of contracting the virus in different settings:

    Dr. Paul Auwaerter, the Clinical Director for the Division of Infectious Diseases at Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine says:

    “If you have a COVID-19 patient in your household, your risk of developing the infection is about 10%….If you were casually exposed to the virus in the workplace (e.g., you were not locked up in conference room for six hours with someone who was infected [like a hospital]), your chance of infection is about 0.5%”

  16. #6166
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    I wouldn't put much stock into our early counts. What your seeing is a combination of spread AND ramped up testing. It's nearly impossible to tease out just the spread from the ulative positives.

    I'm encouraged by the the 10% value because it's not 20,30, or 40%.
    Still not sure why this comforts you. Can you unpack your reasoning here?

  17. #6167
    SeaGOAT midnightpulp's Avatar
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    Some experts you question and scrutinize, but others, like Dr. Birx, ("Debbie," as DJT likes to call her) you accept unquestioningly.

    Is that because she agrees with your take?
    Isn't that what you're doing with your experts?

    Why do you believe the Imperial study shouldn't be challenged? Two leading experts (one our country's own) and another from Oxford don't unquestionably accept it. Neither do I. I think there's a lot of strong logic in the Oxford study that you can cross correlate with studies from the likes of Iceland, and you start to see a picture.

  18. #6168
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    That it offers evidence of low transmissibility. Here's another expert with no credibility (as I know the only credible expert on the matter is Nial Ferguson) on the probability of contracting the virus in different settings:
    You seem to be very invested in particular conclusions before the studies have been done.

    Why is that?

  19. #6169
    Damns (Given): 0 Blake's Avatar
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    That was a hopeful target.
    Lol because Trump is your friend.

    You Trumpers are such incredibly gullible sheep

  20. #6170
    adolis is altuve’s father monosylab1k's Avatar
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    Some experts you question and scrutinize, but others, like Dr. Birx, ("Debbie," as DJT likes to call her) you accept unquestioningly.

    Is that because she agrees with your take?
    Is the Pope Catholic?

  21. #6171
    4-25-20 Will Hunting's Avatar
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    Does anyone else find it slightly encouraging that only around 10% of the tested are positive? And this is with us ONLY testing highly suspect cases.
    Yes but I’m hoping for any sign of encouragement at this point. I’m hoping for any scenario where we can avoid a 3-6 month stretch of complete economic tumult even if it means Trump is re-electedz

  22. #6172
    Veteran DarrinS's Avatar
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    Still not sure why this comforts you. Can you unpack your reasoning here?
    I'd be more comforted if it were 1%. See where I'm going?

    But the fact that they're only testing highly suspect and symptomatic people and only getting 10% positive means that 90% of people with cough, fever, etc. probably have common cold or flu.

  23. #6173
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    I'd be more comforted if it were 1%. See where I'm going?

    But the fact that they're only testing highly suspect and symptomatic people and only getting 10% positive means that 90% of people with cough, fever, etc. probably have common cold or flu.
    Even stipulating "lower" mortality and transmissibility, I find nothing comforting about what's happening in Milan and NYC, do you?

  24. #6174
    Veteran DarrinS's Avatar
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    Yes but I’m hoping for any sign of encouragement at this point. I’m hoping for any scenario where we can avoid a 3-6 month stretch of complete economic tumult even if it means Trump is re-electedz
    Same here.

  25. #6175
    Veteran DarrinS's Avatar
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    I find nothing comforting about what's happening in Milan and NYC, do you?
    It's a pandemic with a novel virus. Dense populations will get hammered, unfortunately.

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