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Hes way too smart to want to do that.
Yeah, I watched that one a few days ago.
Hes way too smart to want to do that.
The 0.66 CFR holds up to some basic math.
Hospitals are taking in the 15% of sickest patients.
5% of those are requiring respirator.
80% of respirator patients die.
0.15 * 0.05 * 0.8 = 0.006
Yeah that talk from Gates five years ago scared the out of me back then, learning how due we were for another H1N1 level pandemic.
I never saw the 2015 TED talk until recently. Pretty spot on.
You don't recall when AIDs hit (they/Fauci) calmed the populace by stating that "only 30% of HIV patients would contract full blown AIDs."?
"CNN)Nadia, a tiger at the Bronx Zoo in New York, has become the first of her kind to test positive for the coronavirus.
The 4-year-old female Malayan tiger tested positive after developing a dry cough and is expected to recover, the Wildlife Conservation Society's Bronx Zoo said in a news release.
Samples from Nadia were taken and tested after the tiger -- and five other tigers and lions at the zoo -- began showing symptoms of respiratory illness....."
https://www.cnn.com/2020/04/05/us/ti...rnd/index.html
The de facto US policy of undertesting means COVID-19 cases (and related deaths) are going undetected.
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/amp/ncna1175291
If you’re straight, you’re A ok.
Those were worrisome times for the gays like Magic and such. This virus on the other hand s anything it touches.
If you'll recall (they) threw heterosexuals into the melee in that circa. It was a lie, but, they weren't going to let the gays stand the gaffe alone. I knew it was a ruse, but, I'd done some things outside the marriage in that circa so it was one of those times where I ran straight to God in blind panic..."God, please..."
The idea that hospital beds are widely available in NYC is wrong and not supported by evidence on the ground.
So a tiger coughs and it can get a covid test? The fuq!?
Governors shouldn't be trying to get more ventilators. They should be trying to keep people off ventilators.
Ventilators are a hail mary vs covid-19.
Oh , you're a doctor too now?
My family members are.
Some "good news." The IME model, which has been driving a lot of policy, has adjusted predicted deaths for California and Texas. CA was projected to be at 5K+ deaths by Aug 4. Texas at 6K by then. Revised. CA at 1700 and TX at 2000. A couple of es can change the trajectory, though. So keep the fingers crossed.
https://covid19.healthdata.org/projections
Mine too.
I'm not stupid enough to play one on ST though.
I'm not trying to play one, either. What is the survival rate on respirator?
Of course you are. You're making medical equipment decisions and patient prognoses.
Wow. That's WAY down from a day or two ago.
Don't get pissy. They're your posts.
FYI that model doesn't factor in possible second waves as social distancing is relaxed. Something to keep in mind when using it.
I've been following these models. At least for Texas, this is like 33% reduction. I'll have to use waybackmachine to confirm.
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