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  1. #9226
    SeaGOAT midnightpulp's Avatar
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    no herd immunity until a huge percentage of the herd has been infected or vaccinated. iow, we are nowhere near herd immunity

    eg, 125K infected in NY state, 8.3M in the NYC herd

    flu is known to be seasonal

    there is no evidence that earlier outbreaks of corona viruses were seasonal
    That's just confirmed cases of people who were sick enough to get tested since testing began a few weeks ago in the state. 125k isn't anywhere near close to the amount of actual cases there are or have been in the city. The estimate is that the "official" case count undercounts anywhere from 5X to 100x. If 3 million in NYC have already gotten this, that puts the city closer to herd immunity.

    Don't get the boded point? The graph isn't examining seasonality. Covid didn't just magically arrive in the US with its first confirmed case. The graph is examining how influenza-like-illnesses ed to levels never before seen starting in December. What the author is inferring here is that the Covid infection rate will start to settle down because it'll run out of "virgin" people to infect because an untold amount of people have already been infected from Dec to early March. Combining this likelihood with social distancing measures should, hopefully, slow the infection rate down to very manageable levels over the next weeks.

  2. #9227
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    So no one from ST has gotten infected? We're assholes to each other but at least we respect the law and healthy guidence thrust upon us. I'm proud of you mother ers.

    Keep staying safe.
    I've already had it

  3. #9228
    Mr. John Wayne CosmicCowboy's Avatar
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    That's just confirmed cases of people who were sick enough to get tested since testing began a few weeks ago in the state. 125k isn't anywhere near close to the amount of actual cases there are or have been in the city. The estimate is that the "official" case count undercounts anywhere from 5X to 100x. If 3 million in NYC have already gotten this, that puts the city closer to herd immunity.

    Don't get the boded point? The graph isn't examining seasonality. Covid didn't just magically arrive in the US with its first confirmed case. The graph is examining how influenza-like-illnesses ed to levels never before seen starting in December. What the author is inferring here is that the Covid infection rate will start to settle down because it'll run out of "virgin" people to infect because an untold amount of people have already been infected from Dec to early March. Combining this likelihood with social distancing measures should, hopefully, slow the infection rate down to very manageable levels over the next weeks.
    I think that's an overly optimistic scenario but hope you are right.

  4. #9229
    Savvy Veteran spurraider21's Avatar
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    I think that's an overly optimistic scenario but hope you are right.

  5. #9230
    Veteran DarrinS's Avatar
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    I've already had it
    Really?

  6. #9231
    SeaGOAT midnightpulp's Avatar
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    I think that's an overly optimistic scenario but hope you are right.
    Yeah, 3 million is a big IF. We won't get a clear picture of real spread until mass antibody testing.

  7. #9232
    Veteran DarrinS's Avatar
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    Does 175 ^ F melt the rubber band?
    I should know.

    It didn't on mine. I'm just using basic surgical mask.

  8. #9233
    Veteran DarrinS's Avatar
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    Yeah, 3 million is a big IF. We won't get a clear picture of real spread until mass antibody testing.
    This is what we need

  9. #9234
    wrong about pizzagate TSA's Avatar
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    I don't think that you're going to have to say that the country can not get back to a real degree of normalcy until you absolutely have a safe and effective vaccine."

  10. #9235
    Veteran hater's Avatar
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    Facci with the truth nukes

  11. #9236
    Alleged Michigander ChumpDumper's Avatar
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    "Lord"?

  12. #9237
    R.C. Drunkford TimDunkem's Avatar
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    Happy Birthday!

    Called it

    Sincerely,
    hater

  13. #9238
    Toot My Van Horn Monostradamus's Avatar
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    Doctors bad now Trump laid out the cheese and of course his dip worshippers are here to nibble away.

  14. #9239
    Alleged Michigander ChumpDumper's Avatar
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    Doctors bad now Trump laid out the cheese and of course his dip worshippers are here to nibble away.
    They're no social scientists, that's for sure.

  15. #9240
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    99% sure

  16. #9241
    non-essential Chris's Avatar
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    Trump

  17. #9242
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    If 3 million in NYC have already gotten this, that puts the city closer to herd immunity.
    "For some diseases, herd immunity can go into effect when 40 percent of the people in a population become immune to the disease, such as through vaccination.

    But in most cases, 80 to 95 percent of the population must be immune to the disease to stop its spread."

    https://www.healthline.com/health/he...y#how-it-works

    are you implying that the covid-19 virus has been in USA longer than the Seattle outbreak?

    If was only about Nov or Dec that the Chinese, with DNA samples sent around the world for analysis, concluded that the covid-19 virus had not been seen before. "novel" new

  18. #9243
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    4 grocery workers dead

  19. #9244
    non-essential Chris's Avatar
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  20. #9245
    Believe. GAustex's Avatar
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    I've already had it
    I think I have had it but the hospital said I had diverticulitis. I was hospitalized for four days in Feb. 5 days after flying on a plane and four days straight visiting my mum who was in the hospital from, an infection, complications to kidney stone removal.

    It kicked my ass but did not attack my lungs. It hit me in my digestive system and kicked my ass. High fever, chills, shaking uncontrollably. The nurses who cared for me are saints cause it was not pretty.

    I am su ious of the diagnosis of diverticulitis. I have read that my symptoms are somewhat common for the corona and recall Kathy Griffin complained of the same symptoms.

    Google “corona abdominal symptoms”. This is what I had. I am back home and my hometown PCP has no time for my theories so he will not test me.

    This was back in mid Feb and I am still goofed up. I think I got it on the plane or while visiting my sick mum in the hospital.

  21. #9246
    Alleged Michigander ChumpDumper's Avatar
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    Trump's twitter account is still active, so....

  22. #9247
    non-essential Chris's Avatar
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    Trump's twitter account is still active, so....
    ding

  23. #9248
    Alleged Michigander ChumpDumper's Avatar
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    Has Trump spread misinformation about COVID-19?

    Yes or no.

  24. #9249
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    There are other reports that hospital mgmts have threatened to fire any employee who goes public about being forced to work without protection, to being denied from using their own professional or homemade equipment.

  25. #9250
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    Trump's twitter account is still active, so....
    Or Posebiec's.

    Maybe I'll believe the theory if twitter started with his.

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