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Just for some perspective. You are an idiot.
Bordering on 5k deaths a day for us.
Also looks like Covid will beat WW2 next weeks for most american deaths tbqh
Just for some perspective. You are an idiot.
Feel like taking a crack at explaining the excess deaths yet?
Or have you given up on the conspiracy theory that COVID is overcounted?
https://www.statista.com/statistics/...s-us-by-state/
Texas now hovering around 106 deaths per 100,000, without counting all the probables that will roughly double that count, which New York did report.
New York is at 206 by this metric.
What is 106*2, Darrin?
Covid-19 likely ranks as the third leading cause of death in the US in 2020, CDC statisticians say
https://www.cbs58.com/news/covid-19-...tisticians-say
The Ireland Event
30x e in Covid cases in Ireland over the span of two weeks in late December,
where the R number – the basic reproductive rate of the disease – went from something around 1.2 to something around 3.
Where you suddenly went from a few hundred new Covid cases every day to more than six thousand cases every day.
I believe there is a non-trivial chance that the
United States will experience a rolling series of “Ireland events” over the next 30-45 days,
where the Covid effective reproductive number (Re not R0) reaches a value between 2.4 and 3.0 in states and regions where
a) the more infectious UK-variant (or similar) Covid strain has been introduced, and
b) Covid fatigue has led to deterioration in social distancing behaviors.
https://www.epsilontheory.com/the-ireland-event-2/
This is a stunning lie.
They should start wearing masksThe Ireland Event
30x e in Covid cases in Ireland over the span of two weeks in late December,
where the R number – the basic reproductive rate of the disease – went from something around 1.2 to something around 3.
Where you suddenly went from a few hundred new Covid cases every day to more than six thousand cases every day.
I believe there is a non-trivial chance that the
United States will experience a rolling series of “Ireland events” over the next 30-45 days,
where the Covid effective reproductive number (Re not R0) reaches a value between 2.4 and 3.0 in states and regions where
a) the more infectious UK-variant (or similar) Covid strain has been introduced, and
b) Covid fatigue has led to deterioration in social distancing behaviors.
https://www.epsilontheory.com/the-ireland-event-2/
to be fair it was from March. The scope of the lie though was intended to downplay the seriousness and reinforce the Republican bungling and inaction.
Thanks, I should've clicked the link. It does illustrate just how hard Karrin has tried to downplay the pandemic for almost a year.
Can you update how many cases & deaths Texas has had under your conspiracy theory?
I don't really have a conspiracy theory that I am aware of, unless you count the conspiracy of ing anti-science morons in teh Republican party to downplay Republican culpability for avoidable deaths.
If you want an answer, you will need to be more explicit about what you mean, dipstick.
(edit)
you still haven't explained the e in all cause deaths. It's like you know you are not smart enough to even try. Sokay. I get it.
You said what you thought the real number of Texas deaths was a while back. Can you update how many deaths you think Texas has really had?
But hey, since I am not a dishonest, hypocritical bag, I'll take a stab.
COVID fatalities for 2020 as of today, per Texas' spreadsheet:
29770
Excess deaths for Texas based on CDC data (predicted minus observed, weighted for weeks ending 1.04.20 and 1.2.21
38614
Unexplained e is running at about 10k so far, with incomplete data for the period making Texas undercount at least 33% with the most current data, if my understanding is correct.
Given that COVID restrictions are probably reducing normal flu deaths, which is a not-insubstantial section of normal yearly deaths, that undercount % is likely too low.
Correction factor = [deaths per M in NY] / [deaths per M in TX]
Apparently
I was assuming the under count was about 100%, based on calculations run sometime in June, if memory serves.
33% is not quite 100%, so that looks to be in error. Based on the data development, it will top off at about 50% or so after all is said and done.
This post would be incorrect based on the newer, more complete data. Add in around 33%...
Texas is likely hovering around 140 or so, although the comparison is not quite exact, because this data includes data in 2021.
Puts texas roughly on par with Pennsylvania around 12th.
Nope. I can show you the link to the estimated excess deaths in Jun if you want. It is back there, with some large-ass graphs, and not hard to find.Correction factor = [deaths per M in NY] / [deaths per M in TX]
Apparently
Nice try tho.
The problem for your dumb ass is that your ed conspiracy theory says that Texas' Corona count is overstated.
Texas count still can't account for ANOHTER 10k deaths.
Meaning you have to find some plausible, working explanation for an 18% e in deaths.
Expected: 212837
Observed: 251451
Difference:
38614
38614/212837 = 18.1%
Explain that e.
18%. Explain that e.Correction factor = [deaths per M in NY] / [deaths per M in TX]
Apparently
Do tell.
I don't care
40,000 texans dead, is meaningless to you. WOW.
ok then. You have completed your decent into moral bankruptcy. Congrats.
The core of modern conservatism is dishonesty, and violence.
I guess I could add apathy and callousness, but that can be said to be a form of violence itself.
that’s not a very unifying at ude karrin.
I don't care about explaining HIS theory
he’s actually asking you a simple question. I understand why you can’t respond, but it’s still a simple question
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