It is going to come in waves. Heard someone estimate April 18th as the peak. That seems optimistic in the extreme.
A reset on the kill rate:::0.66%
(CNN)How many people die after being infected with the novel coronavirus? Fewer than previously calculated, according to a study released Monday, but still more than die from the flu.
The research, published in the medical journal The Lancet Infectious Diseases, estimated that about 0.66% of those infected with the virus will die.
Her words. Exactly.“I saw it sitting on the back shelf and thought, ‘Hey, isn’t that the stuff they’re talking about on TV?’ ” the wife, who was not named, told the network. “We were afraid of getting sick.”
No one was talking about this but Trump, trying to tout a "miracle" drug. Do you want to see all the Fox propaganda pieces on it?
"collapse of the narrative" my ass.
Bear in mind that is the estimated "everybody who gets infected with it, detected or not" estimate.
Not the case rate, of people who express enough symptoms to warrant a test and/or hospitalization.
That is estimated to be about one or two percent, possibly more. Take the "cases" you see advertised at take about 1.5% of that. Seems to be pretty constant across all states, any time I look. It will probably be MUCH higher in Florida tho. Wait until it decimates a few retirement homes/communities. Ish.
... and the flu death rate is....?
Of course they assumed a higher rate dude. If we did nothing, the rate goes up because people die that have no access to basic care like vents. CFR is not a static measurement. We literally saw this in Italy.
Eyup. Italy is the worst case scenario. Perfect storm of older population, and overwhelmed hospital system.
The difference between Ger and It/Fra/Spa is organisation and crisis managment on the one hand, but also some kind of luck concerning the people that got hit by the virus (younger or older).
In the last days a retirement home at Wolfsburg got struck by multiple deaths. If that continues, death rate will go up here also...
If that was a surefire killer I'd probably be dead by now.
Do you know how hard I've tried to mind not to touch my face and ? It's impossible to remember not to do it. When I do I'm like I'm not supposed to do that.
best you can do is stay home honestly.
Death rate of COVID-19
- 80+ years old 14.8%
- 70-79 years old 8.0%
- 60-69 years old 3.6%
- 50-59 years old 1.3%
- 40-49 years old 0.4%
- 30-39 years old 0.2%
- 20-29 years old 0.2%
- 10-19 years old 0.2%
- 0-9 years old no fatalities
Not touching the face is very difficult. Not touching your , that seems like an easier task but with no toilet paper, who knows?
eerie tbh...
That's pretty bad, but also don't think it accounts for deaths related to COVID due to collapsed systems, etc
Germany cases jump by about 4,000 in 24 hrs
so much for the great healthcare tbqh
they might shut it all down soon
New cases count there is down for the third straight day from a high of 6900+. Depending on the testing, that could be pretty good news for them.
their daily cases have gone up and down before
they might have done less testing last couple days
their death rate has risen by 10x in the last week
they were 10 a day 7 days ago, now 100 a day
Deaths are a trailing stat.
Just have to wait and see.
sure but looks like regardless of your quality of healthcare and testing anything but a complete shutdown wont do
Looked at my county. No cases in my zip code yet. Hooray?
Once NY hits it’s apex in 2 weeks, we should see a drastic drop in cases/deaths.
Most of the cases and deaths are coming out of here. So unless there is another epicenter state with same cases, we should see a drop.
Testing is so ed who knows what's going to happen? Maybe not anything quite as bad as NYC but Florida, NOLA and Detroit look like they're going to suck.
saying we're going to see a drastic drop in NY but when NY hits it's apex NOla will be on the rise, and who knows how many of them find their way into texas when hits the fan over there
Link?
An infant *has* died.
https://www.nbcchicago.com/news/coro...in-us/2246475/
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