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  1. #3176
    Believe.
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    Deaths are driven by sheer number of infected, and lag behind infections by some period, two weeks to a month.

    Texas case rates have doubled, so expect that rate to double as well.

    Four doublings... you have matched (roughly) NY's rate.

    Since June 14 we have doubled our daily new confirmed case rate twice, and lo and behold the daily fatality rate has started moving up.

    Again, I don't see why this is hard for you.

    (edit) Our one saving grace is that we have learned a lot about treating it. I doubt we will see the fatality rate as high as it was for NY for that reason.
    Cases dont mean new infections. Nor do hospitalizations equate to death nor does it even mean a true stay in a hospital nor does it mean someone came in severely enough to be treated in icu for covid.


    You dont understand how the data is calculated thats why every time a state has an increase in cases you tell everyone to bring in the ships.

    You've said 2 weeks for months. You are terrible at math science and logic

  2. #3177
    Damns (Given): 0 Blake's Avatar
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    Cases dont mean new infections. Nor do hospitalizations equate to death nor does it even mean a true stay in a hospital nor does it mean someone came in severely enough to be treated in icu for covid.
    Nobody impled those things. You're terrible at reading and at getting away with lying.

  3. #3178
    Grab 'em by the pussy Splits's Avatar
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    So your projections are that Texas will get overwhelmed.

    Texas has 1.5 times the population of New York, so 225/day assumes that the rate will be about three times worse than that of NY per capita.

    Not sure how you came to that conclusion based on my numbers. NY peaked at 1k deaths per day. I think the TX case fatality rate will be 1/3-1/2 of NY.

  4. #3179
    I am that guy RandomGuy's Avatar
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    Not sure how you came to that conclusion based on my numbers. NY peaked at 1k deaths per day. I think the TX case fatality rate will be 1/3-1/2 of NY.
    My mistake:

    The deaths per million rate from TSA's post was confused with the raw number. Have a lot going on at my end. Not good trying to mul ask.

  5. #3180
    Take the fcking keys away baseline bum's Avatar
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    (from tweet)

    consider what that means. at current rates, it would take texas 36 days of deaths to equal the one peak day in NY.
    Wow using no growth to project something that is likely to grow exponentially? I don't think we'll get as bad as NYC since we don't jam ourselves into public transportation so heavily but I wouldn't completely throw out the idea since Abbott still hasn't shut down indoor dining rooms, indoor church service, and indoor gyms which are all prime locations for transmission, and I'm not sure he ever will no matter how bad things get here.

  6. #3181
    R.C. Drunkford TimDunkem's Avatar
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    All bets are off if the country as a whole eventually hits 100k infections a day.

  7. #3182
    Veteran hater's Avatar
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    All bets are off if the country as a whole eventually hits 100k infections a day.
    You think all bets are not off at 60k a day?

  8. #3183
    R.C. Drunkford TimDunkem's Avatar
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    You think all bets are not off at 60k a day?
    Not as much as the seemingly inevitable 100k a day, tbh.

  9. #3184
    Veteran Death In June's Avatar
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    Its gotten bad here in the Rio Grande Valley. Tripled our cases overnight. All of our vents are in use. Our hospitals full. Our mobile units full. People are now starting to die. Anyone downplaying the impact of a COVID hot zone is uninformed or deliberately lying.

  10. #3185
    Alleged Michigander ChumpDumper's Avatar
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    Its gotten bad here in the Rio Grande Valley. Tripled our cases overnight. All of our vents are in use. Our hospitals full. Our mobile units full. People are now starting to die. Anyone downplaying the impact of a COVID hot zone is uninformed or deliberately lying.
    I lived in Brownsville for a hot minute. People don't realize there's over a million people because they're spread out over three counties. Hope it gets better soon.

  11. #3186
    Mr. John Wayne CosmicCowboy's Avatar
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    Texas had time to realize nursing homes had to be strenuously tested/protected. De Blasio did the opposite and seeded nursing homes with covid+ spreaders. We wont reach New York death rates but the dead will be younger.

  12. #3187
    Alleged Michigander ChumpDumper's Avatar
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    Texas had time to realize nursing homes had to be strenuously tested/protected. De Blasio did the opposite and seeded nursing homes with covid+ spreaders. We wont reach New York death rates but the dead will be younger.
    Eh, if the hospitals ever got to the same point as NY/NJ we could just as easily dump off the elderly or let them die per Arizona triage rules. I'm hoping we don't reach death panel levels.

  13. #3188
    W4A1 143 43CK? Nbadan's Avatar
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    You can't compare what happened in NY to what is happening today in Florida.....testing was woeful by the Federal government during NY's worst outbreak. In Florida, DeSantis has just let the Rona spread with inadequate contact tracing and lifting banns on restrictions to quickly.

  14. #3189
    wrong about pizzagate TSA's Avatar
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    You can't compare what happened in NY to what is happening today in Florida.....testing was woeful by the Federal government during NY's worst outbreak. In Florida, DeSantis has just let the Rona spread with inadequate contact tracing and lifting banns on restrictions to quickly.
    And yet Florida has a higher population of elderly at risk people and their death rate is far below NY. You’re right, you can’t compare them

  15. #3190
    Alleged Michigander ChumpDumper's Avatar
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    Holy Hidalgo County's numbers today. Amazing what you find when you actually test.

  16. #3191
    Believe.
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    All bets are off if the country as a whole eventually hits 100k infections a day.
    You're definitely getting it again arent you...?

  17. #3192
    R.C. Drunkford TimDunkem's Avatar
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    Bwahaha 45% set shot 2s

    Bwahaha only thing worse than your skills is your math

    Bwahahaha grandpa tholdren on the internet telling stories in his bunker

  18. #3193
    Believe.
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    Bwahaha 45% set shot 2s

    Bwahaha only thing worse than your skills is your math

    Bwahahaha grandpa tholdren on the internet telling stories in his bunker
    so you have it now, or are you waiting 2 weeks to have it again?

  19. #3194
    R.C. Drunkford TimDunkem's Avatar
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    Bwahaha F5F5F5F5F5

    Bwahaha sounds of the keyboard clacking in the bunker

    Bwahaha doesn't understand math

    Bwahaha could barely shoot set shot 2s. 45% much skillllzz grandpadren

  20. #3195
    Got Woke? DMC's Avatar
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    My mistake:

    The deaths per million rate from TSA's post was confused with the raw number. Have a lot going on at my end. Not good trying to mul ask.
    Stick to single-digit ciphering, Jethro

  21. #3196
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    I was pointing out that blaming the victims because Congress is abdicating it's responsibilities is an inherently flawed argument.

    It's not the people's fault that they want to avoid illness and death, it's a pretty natural reaction. Especially during an health emergency like this one.

    Government can't claim it's not aware or that it doesn't have the tools to help in this situation when they do it for companies but not for people.
    The government sells utter calamity. It's what they do. If you think it's cos they're concerned, you simply don't understand the forces at play.

  22. #3197
    my unders, my frgn whites pgardn's Avatar
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    The government sells utter calamity. It's what they do. If you think it's cos they're concerned, you simply don't understand the forces at play.
    They are US .
    Change it.
    You are doing a perfectly awful job on this board 9-11 truther.

  23. #3198
    🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆 ElNono's Avatar
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    The government sells utter calamity. It's what they do. If you think it's cos they're concerned, you simply don't understand the forces at play.
    I understand I can pretty much dismiss any claims of mysterious "forces at play" right off the bat, since you're not very good at explaining your own conspiracy theories, tbh. Plus it's a distraction.

    It's not the government in and of itself that's bad, it actually should have a major role to play in emergencies and catastrophes

    It's this particular iteration of federal government leadership (both Congress and POTUS, Democrat and Republicans) whose continued inaction are causing significant damage.

  24. #3199
    Take the fcking keys away baseline bum's Avatar
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    Holy Hidalgo County's numbers today. Amazing what you find when you actually test.
    God that's 3x worse than us per capita and we're a dumpster fire right now in Bexar County.

  25. #3200
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    Jibes with what the CNN financial reporter said. "clumsy" was what he called it.
    Luckily I never had anything that significant. At it's worst when I was sick it was just a tingling/burning in my hands/forearms, kind of like a combination of having your hand fall asleep and having a mild sunburn at the same time. Now when it happens it's so mild I can't even notice it unless I'm just sitting still.

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