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  1. #501
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    Kids Rarely Transmit Covid-19, Say UVM Docs in Top Journal

    A commentary published in the journal Pediatrics, the official peer-reviewed journal of the American Academy of Pediatrics, concludes that children infrequently transmit Covid-19 to each other or to adults and that many schools, provided they follow appropriate social distancing guidelines and take into account rates of transmission in their community, can and should reopen in the fall.

    The authors, Benjamin Lee, M.D. and William V. Raszka, Jr., M.D., are both pediatric infectious disease specialists on the faculty of the University of Vermont’s Larner College of Medicine. Dr. Raszka is an associate editor of Pediatrics.

    The authors of the commentary, led “COVID-19 Transmission and Children: The Child Is Not to Blame,” base their conclusions on a new study published in the current issue of Pediatrics, “COVID-19 in Children and the Dynamics of Infection in Families,” and four other recent studies that examine Covid-19 transmission by and among children.

    In the new Pediatrics study, Klara M. Posfay-Barbe, M.D., a faculty member at University of Geneva’s medical school, and her colleagues studied the households of 39 Swiss children infected with Covid-19. Contract tracing revealed that in only three (8%) was a child the suspected index case, with symptom onset preceding illness in adult household contacts.

    In a recent study in China, researchers’ contact tracing demonstrated that of the 68 children with Covid-19 admitted to Qingdao Women's and Children's Hospital from January 20 to February 27, 2020, 96% were household contacts of previously infected adults. In another study of Chinese children, nine of 10 children admitted to several provincial hospitals outside Wuhan contracted Covid-19 from an adult, with only one possible child-to-child transmission, based on the timing of disease onset.

    In a French study, a boy with Covid-19 exposed over 80 classmates at three schools to the disease. None contracted it. Transmission of other respiratory diseases, including influenza transmission, was common at the schools.

    In a study in New South Wales, nine infected students and nine staff across 15 schools exposed a total of 735 students and 128 staff to Covid-19. Only two secondary infections resulted, one transmitted by an adult to a child.

    “The data are striking,” said Dr. Raszka. “The key takeaway is that children are not driving the pandemic. After six months, we have a wealth of ac ulating data showing that children are less likely to become infected and seem less infectious; it is congregating adults who aren’t following safety protocols who are responsible for driving the upward curve.”

    Rising cases among adults and children in Texas childcare facilities, which have seen 894 Covid-19 cases among staff members and 441 among children in 883 child care facilities across the state, have the potential to be misinterpreted, Dr. Raszka said. He has not studied the details of the outbreak.

    “There is widespread transmission of Covid-19 in Texas today, with many adults congregating without observing social distancing or wearing masks,” he said. “While we don’t yet know the dynamics of the outbreak, it is unlikely that infants and young children in daycare are driving the surge. Based on the evidence, it’s more plausible that adults are passing the infection to the children in the vast majority of cases.”

    Additional support for the notion that children are not significant vectors of the disease comes from mathematical modeling, the authors say. Models show that community-wide social distancing and widespread adoption of facial cloth coverings are far better strategies for curtailing disease spread, and that closing schools adds little. The fact that schools have reopened in many Western European countries and in Japan without seeing a rise in community transmissions bears out the accuracy of the modeling.

    Reopening schools in a safe manner this fall is important for the healthy development of children, the authors say. “By doing so, we could minimize the potentially profound adverse social, developmental, and health costs that our children will continue to suffer until an effective treatment or vaccine can be developed and distributed, or failing that, until we reach herd immunity,” the paper concludes.

    https://www.uvm.edu/uvmnews/news/kid...cs-top-journal
    Now do teachers

  2. #502
    wrong about pizzagate TSA's Avatar
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    Now do teachers
    They did.

  3. #503
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    Now do teachers
    U can't read?

  4. #504
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    Teachers infecting teachers.

    Remove kids from the equation as obviously they are virusless bags of meat.

    Now do teachers.

  5. #505
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    at that being your takeaway from that article
    It's what you asked for. Now here's where you'll move the goalpost

  6. #506
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    They haven't gotten around to studying the recent daycare outbreaks here tho

  7. #507
    wrong about pizzagate TSA's Avatar
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    It's what you asked for. Now here's where you'll move the goalpost
    My position has never changed. Kids pose almost zero risk in passing on the virus to other kids or teachers. Kids face more danger in both mental and physical health from being held out of schools compared to the dangers of the virus. I’ve supported my position with articles and studies from around the world from pediatricians and child psychologists. You’ve yet to make your case.

  8. #508
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    If all Texas classrooms will look like this, I am all for reopening every school.

  9. #509
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    anecdote from FB

    Stacia Kelly

    July 10 at 9:27 PM

    In March, our entire family became sick with COVID-like symptoms. Our oldest son started with fever, sore throat, nausea, headache and mild cough. Within 48 hours, all 5 of us were sick.

    Our 8 year old was last to start with symptoms and his case was the most mild of all of ours. If it hadn’t been for the entire family being sick and the threat of COVID, I wouldn’t have even called the pediatrician.

    We waited until day 7 to have him tested. He was the only one of us still sick. He tested negative for both flu and COVID. We figured it was just a case of bad luck and a nasty virus and waited for it to pass.


    On day 14, I urged our 8 year old to come for a walk with me. He’d been in bed for two weeks and I thought he’d feel better if he got up and started moving a little. We got 3 blocks into our walk and my soccer playing, American ninja loving, constantly moving boy asked to go home because he was tired. He wasn’t even sure if he could make it the 3 blocks back to the house. He had to sit on the curb. When we did get home, I called the pediatrician again.


    Today is July 10th and it marks day 108 for our boy.


    He runs a fever every day.

    We have blackout curtains and extra blankets hung on his windows because sometimes his head hurts so bad that any splinter of light feels like a knife.

    He has lost 10 pounds and now takes medication to keep his appe e up and drinks Orgain for calories.

    He has muscle pain and aches.

    He feels like he will pass out if we try a bike ride or walk on a trail near our house.

    He climbs in the pool with his brothers for a few minutes

    but then gets chills and crawls back under the blankets in his room until he’s warm again.

    He gets nauseous being in the car for any duration.


    He’s exhausted.

    All of the time. But he has trouble sleeping because he feels so awful.


    He’s 8 and doesn’t have enough energy to play outside, ride his bike, read a book or stand up for too long.


    He’s been through an onslaught of tests, lab work and procedures to rule out pretty much anything that could possibly cause these symptoms for this long. Every single test has come back normal.


    His chest xray gave the only clue- peribronchial thickening indicative of COVID.

    He barely had a cough.


    I write this because I’m sick of hearing people complain about wearing a mask or rattle off a talking point about children not being effected by COVID.


    It’s true that children are not dying at a high rate. What’s not true is that children have not died.

    And what is also categorically false is that children are not effected.


    I’m seeing it with my own eyes.


    We don’t know if our son’s illness will last another week or if this is now a chronic condition. No one can tell us. No one has the answers.


    The truth is, we don’t know what this disease does yet. We have only just begun to understand how COVID-19 acts in the early phases.

    We are clueless as to what this virus does to our bodies, and our children’s bodies in the long run.


    So, please.

    Stay home if you’re able.

    Don’t go to Disney when it opens.

    Don’t throw birthday parties and invite all the friends.

    Don’t follow the advice of politicians.

    Wear a freaking mask.


    These are not hard things.


    You can do it. I believe in you.

    There’s an 8 year old in Florida that has been in bed for 108 days and he believes in you too.


    EDITED TO ADD:

    1. For those asking what they can do, all we ask is that you follow CDC recommendations and take precautions to slow community spread.

    2. For those inquiring about other diagnoses, we have been through complete work ups for 100s of other potential causes and are very confident in our team of doctors and health care providers.

    3. For those confused about a negative COVID test result but evidence of the virus on radiological findings, I'd encourage you to do some digging on your own.

    False negatives are not all that uncommon and the pediatric population has not been widely tested in the US.

    He was tested once in March, 7 days after his fever began and when the test was negative, COVID was tabled and the specialists moved on to ruling out other causes- as was appropriate.

    Once all of those potential causes were ruled out through EXTENSIVE testing (cancer, mono, bartonella, fever syndromes, autoimmune disorders, other infections, PANS, Lyme etc), we've come back to the original thought and luckily

    more and more data is coming out regarding this type of pediatric inflammatory response post COVID.

    Our family thanks you all for the support and well wishes. We are reading them all.




  10. #510
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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  11. #511
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    If all Texas classrooms will look like this, I am all for reopening every school.
    Dont forget the buses. I believe they will only allow 8 students per bus

    Im also all for that

  12. #512
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    Dont forget the buses. I believe they will only allow 8 students per bus

    Im also all for that
    Damn that'll take forever to get kids to class

  13. #513
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    My position has never changed. Kids pose almost zero risk in passing on the virus to other kids or teachers. Kids face more danger in both mental and physical health from being held out of schools compared to the dangers of the virus. I’ve supported my position with articles and studies from around the world from pediatricians and child psychologists. You’ve yet to make your case.
    Oh hey a goalpost move, mixed with strawmen and confirmation bias. No way!

  14. #514
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  15. #515
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    HHS taking over pandemic data is obviously a bat faith move

    Trash and HHS lickspittles will LIE about the national stats to justify threatening the schools' Federal funding for not following the political, not public health, DICTATES from Trash.


  16. #516
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    so the dilemma is:

    little or no school which will kill, supposedly, some kids (evidence free, afaics)

    vs

    more or less in-person school, which will kill or damage some kids, and probably some teachers and staff

    pick your poison of how many will die

  17. #517
    Take the fcking keys away baseline bum's Avatar
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    They haven't gotten around to studying the recent daycare outbreaks here tho
    Also amazing how schools are safe while we have outbreaks at summer camps.

  18. #518
    🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆 ElNono's Avatar
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    Apparently. Thats 3.5 million irrelevant citizens tbqh
    Irrelevant citizens who are vectors to spread the virus further too...

  19. #519
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  20. #520
    I am that guy RandomGuy's Avatar
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    Eyup. 14,000 dead children, and how many teachers exactly?

  21. #521
    I am that guy RandomGuy's Avatar
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    Kids don't carry enough of a viral load to be vectors, and the study you linked doesn't say that kids are vectors for transmission, which is the point being debated.

    "Low carriers, low transmitters": study confirms the minimal role of children in the Covid-19 epidemic
    https://www.bfmtv.com/sante/peu-port...005120233.html

    Roger Highfield, Science Director, talks to Kari Stefansson, whose genetic sequencing project has revealed how the UK infected Iceland, that children don’t seem to infect parents, and how to control COVID-19.
    https://www.sciencemuseumgroup.org.u...down-covid-19/

    https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2006100

    https://www.rts.ch/info/sciences-tec...-covid-19.html

    https://www.rivm.nl/en/novel-coronav...n-and-covid-19

    https://www.rivm.nl/en/novel-coronav...n-and-covid-19

    https://translate.google.com/transla...9-1912853.html
    In a population-based study in Iceland, children under 10 years of age and females had a lower incidence of SARS-CoV-2 infection than adolescents or adults and males. The proportion of infected persons identified through population screening did not change substantially during the screening period, which was consistent with a beneficial effect of containment efforts. (Funded by deCODE Genetics–Amgen.)
    Adolescent children still children, and they go to school as well. I can tell you from my wifes direct accounts they do not bother with masks, or distancing rules, even when explicitly directed to do so. 13-18 comprise what? 6/13ths of the school age population. 46%

    So basically, all of your links speak to the risk presented by 54% of the school age population.

    In analyses involving participants up to 20 years of age, we observed a gradual increase with older age in the percentage who tested positive (Fig. S5). In the population-screening group, the difference was even more marked: none of the 848 children under the age of 10 years tested positive, as compared with 100 of 12,232 persons (0.8%; 95% CI, 0.7 to 1.0) 10 years of age or older.
    The oldest group of seniors, comprise, 1/13th of 57,000,000. 7%

    A poplulation of 4.3M

    Assuming they die at one tenth the known fatality rate for the disease, that is 2,192 dead teenagers, if all of them get exposed and/or sick.

    Assume one teacher/administrator/janitor/etc for every 18 students in those schools.

    3,100,000 people, with age distributions roughly the same as the overall population.

    If they all get the disease that will kill roughly 15,500 teachers.

    If you want to argue "not everyone will get it", then I would say a typical flu season sees roughly 40-60% of the population getting the disease, with vaccines, and this disease appears to be much more transmittable than the flu. 60% of 15,000 is still roughly 10,000 teachers.

    Sending all kids back to school with this thing will kill tens of thousand of teachers and students.

    How many dead teachers, children, and adolescents, are you willing to sacrifice for your Dear Leader?

  22. #522
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  23. #523
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    ...
    Last edited by boutons_deux; 07-15-2020 at 10:41 AM.

  24. #524
    Take the fcking keys away baseline bum's Avatar
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    You can't embed from your email. If it's a picture, you have to host it somewhere. Eg upload it to a place like imgbb.com

  25. #525
    I am that guy RandomGuy's Avatar
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    My position has never changed. Kids pose almost zero risk in passing on the virus to other kids or teachers. Kids face more danger in both mental and physical health from being held out of schools compared to the dangers of the virus. I’ve supported my position with articles and studies from around the world from pediatricians and child psychologists. You’ve yet to make your case.
    The links you have presented do not make your case, as all of the research on "children" hews to the medical definition of "under 10 years", leaving out the risks posed by tends of millions of other students, and millions of teachers, administrators, and service personnel.

    Frankly, I am not going to be that cavalier with my wife, who teaches high school, or my two kids in high school.

    You want them to take all the risks you yourself probably don't, and you can right off. I will not sacrifice any of them for the sake of your evil ideology. My wife and I are having some very pointed discussions about either not sending my kids to school, or my wife simply refusing to go to work. I am sure those discussions are being mirrored in millions of households.

    Bypass this discussion:

    How will you pay for teachers to take time off for COVID quarantine WHEN they get exposed in the millions?

    Are you going to ask them to take unpaid leave? Man up and answer, or, you know, bull waffle some more for your Dear Leader.

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