If it's true that 20m people have/had COVID, even if no one died from COVID, there would still be 176K deaths from that group in a year.
RG math incoming..
US has a death rate of about 860 per 100K peeps. 20m people would be 860x200. That's 172K deaths. That's non-covid deaths. So if you count everyone who died with COVID as someone who died OF COVID (not that it's being done everywhere), you'd still have roughly the same deaths you have now. We know it's not that one sided, but counting method is important when large numbers come into play. This is especially true if you're going to yourself over daily returns.