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How long does immunity last?
Ask your questions.
How long does immunity last?
A buddy of mine who tested positive (asymptomatic) said the doc said 3 months. That's anecdotal.
My true guess is that there is no long-term immunity. I’ve seen antibody tests become negative around 3 months after an infection. But I also think once someone is infected, future infections won’t be as severe. Also severe infections tend to bring longer immunity compared to milder symptoms. Finally, this strain of infections seem to be less severe compared to what we saw in March/April.
COVID-19 won't go away before the fall/winter. It's too uncontrolled.
Have you seen the curve for the 1918 flu?
COVID-19 will be here every year/month just like other coronaviruses.
But i I don’t think this virus has the same potency as the 1918 flu which was a H1N1 strain, the most brutal strain of the flu. I saw a case back in November with a 53 year old female in the office with severe flu like symptoms. The rapid flu test was negative which only tests for Type A. She got admitted to the hospital and a more detailed swab was taken and she was positive for the H1N1. She was in kidney failure by being severely dehydrated. She was treated with IV fluids, steroids, and Tamiflu and went home in 3 days. I’ve had only one hospitalized patient her age with the COVID-19 (SARS-COV-2).
Man, I hope you're right.
Pretty much what my view has been. I'm donating blood next week so I'll find out if I still have antibodies or not.
It's not going away ever. It's the 5th endemic HCoV as I've said countless times.
Best hope imo is that a vaccine takes the place of the first infection and subsequent infections are progressively less severe. Although I think the antibody tails will be just as important in reducing mortality.
If you subscribe to Osterholm's view it is better that we see continued spread rather than having it "go away" and then come back in a massive wave in the fall like influenza. Personally I suspect the worst is yet to come because even though there isn't seasonality the science says we are currently in the least favorable climate for transmission.
"The science" says what now?
That summer is the slow time?
Fall and Winter will be more favorable conditions for Covid-19 transmission. Hence, the worst is still in front of us.
Hope you're wrong, but that's what I heard too.
There's not enough evidence to make that determination yet.
Will this end well for the bikers at Sturgis this year?
Is death chance for kid from covid one in a million or billion? And if almost 0 chance why Vax?
Det math doh
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