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  1. #26
    Enemy of the System Millennial_Messiah's Avatar
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    Andrew
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    80 MPH now. Still strengthening. Headed to bed now, clonazepam and my hydrocodone kicking in. Also, Atlanta appears to be getting blown out by the Fudge Packers, so I'm outta here

  2. #27
    We've got a job to do. Darth_Pelican's Avatar
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    New Orleans
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    Current model has it touching down in central LA coast but way too early to know.

  3. #28
    We've got a job to do. Darth_Pelican's Avatar
    Location
    New Orleans
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    8,192
    NBA Team
    New Orleans Pelicans
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    LSU Tigers

  4. #29
    Enemy of the System Millennial_Messiah's Avatar
    Name
    Andrew
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    Prancelina, PDA
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    24,579
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    Likely a Cat 3 Louisiana landfall.

    Already 110 mph and still rapidly strengthening. The brush hit on the yuke peninsula could weaken it a little bit but that part is flat and not mountainous. Will likely be a Cat 4 or 5 hit with a small eye (current forecast is cat 4 but note NHC always errs on the conservative side) on the yuke and then into the GOM as a larger, greater wind field cat 3 with a larger eye and expansive hurricane windfield. Should strengthen back to a 4 or 5 and then weaken back to a 3 before Louisiana landfall (but it will be a very large hurricane by that point due to it being on its 3rd eyewall replacement cycle and baroclinic forces). Similar to Katrina.

    It's all about where it hits at this point. It's going to be a major doozy for Baton Rouge and NOLA in any case.

  5. #30
    Veteran RD2191's Avatar
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  6. #31
    Enemy of the System Millennial_Messiah's Avatar
    Name
    Andrew
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    Prancelina, PDA
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    24,579
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    San Antonio Spurs
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    It's going to hit Cat 5 soon. Wilma redux, except a NOLA hit instead of Florida.

    000
    WTNT61 KNHC 061520
    TCUAT1

    Hurricane Delta Tropical Cyclone Update
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL262020
    1120 AM EDT Tue Oct 06 2020

    ...RECENTLY RECEIVED DATA FROM A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT
    INDICATE THAT DELTA HAS RAPIDLY STRENGTHENED INTO A CATEGORY 4
    HURRICANE...


    Data from a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that Delta is
    continuing to rapidly strengthen. The maximum winds have
    increased to near 130 mph (215 km/h) with higher gusts. This makes
    Delta a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind
    Scale.


    SUMMARY OF 1120 AM EDT...1520 UTC...INFORMATION
    ---------------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...18.2N 82.7W
    ABOUT 315 MI...510 KM ESE OF COZUMEL MEXICO
    ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM SW OF GRAND CAYMAN
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH...215 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...954 MB...28.17 INCHES

    $$
    Forecaster Brown

  7. #32
    Enemy of the System Millennial_Messiah's Avatar
    Name
    Andrew
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    Prancelina, PDA
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    130 MPH Cat 4 already

  8. #33
    Enemy of the System Millennial_Messiah's Avatar
    Name
    Andrew
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    Prancelina, PDA
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    24,579
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    San Antonio Spurs
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    North Texas Mean Green
    140 MPH Category 4

  9. #34
    We've got a job to do. Darth_Pelican's Avatar
    Location
    New Orleans
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    8,192
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    New Orleans Pelicans
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    LSU Tigers
    RIP Cancun

  10. #35
    A neverending cycle Trainwreck2100's Avatar
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    God's really trying to kill Louisiana this year

  11. #36
    NostraSpurMus phxspurfan's Avatar
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    Arizona State Sun Devils
    Cat 3 landfall but will hit nothing but open fields

  12. #37
    Enemy of the System Millennial_Messiah's Avatar
    Name
    Andrew
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    Prancelina, PDA
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    Cat 3 landfall but will hit nothing but open fields
    nah, I think it's going to hit Metairie area pretty much directly.

  13. #38
    We've got a job to do. Darth_Pelican's Avatar
    Location
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    The GFS model and the Euro model are both trending to the west. Euro has it all the way to the LA/TX border.

    https://www.wwltv.com/article/weathe...9-73ad9fb5d459

    Models at the 5:38 mark

  14. #39
    Enemy of the System Millennial_Messiah's Avatar
    Name
    Andrew
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    Prancelina, PDA
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    The GFS model and the Euro model are both trending to the west. Euro has it all the way to the LA/TX border.

    https://www.wwltv.com/article/weathe...9-73ad9fb5d459

    Models at the 5:38 mark
    HWRF trending back east.

  15. #40
    We've got a job to do. Darth_Pelican's Avatar
    Location
    New Orleans
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    8,192
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    New Orleans Pelicans
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    LSU Tigers


    Models starting to come in agreement. Central or Western LA landfall.

  16. #41
    ex Hornets78 Pelicans78's Avatar
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    15,822
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    New Orleans Pelicans
    nah, I think it's going to hit Metairie area pretty much directly.
    I’m guessing it’s gonna hit somewhere from Lafayette to Baton Rouge. Don’t think NOLA will get it.

  17. #42
    Still Sporting Ben Davis Allan Rowe vs Wade's Avatar
    Name
    Allan
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    Texas USA
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    If I became president... well that would be a week's worth in my book, i.e. of cleaning up the savage s in human form, a.k.a. the fake humans... the young generation of hipsters and rioters would get administratively *taken care of* first... Under my regime fake humans would be replaced with empty space, just like what is in their heads.
    uh .....

  18. #43
    Enemy of the System Millennial_Messiah's Avatar
    Name
    Andrew
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    Prancelina, PDA
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    24,579
    NBA Team
    San Antonio Spurs
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    North Texas Mean Green


    Models starting to come in agreement. Central or Western LA landfall.
    Yeah, you can pretty much discount the CLP5 which hits Metairie because the CLP5 is a "all else being equal, what would be the standard for October" model, whereas the XTRP model is literally the extrapolated path if it were to continue its exact current motion and speed and not deviate, which is obviously not going to happen.

  19. #44
    We've got a job to do. Darth_Pelican's Avatar
    Location
    New Orleans
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    LSU Tigers
    RIP Lake Charles. Twice in 1 year. Ouch.


  20. #45
    Veteran SpursforSix's Avatar
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    RIP Lake Charles. Twice in 1 year. Ouch.

    Just talked with someone who lives down there and he says about 70% of the houses have temporary roofs on them and it's already 3rd world down there.

  21. #46
    Enemy of the System Millennial_Messiah's Avatar
    Name
    Andrew
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    Prancelina, PDA
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    North Texas Mean Green
    supposed to be a cat 3 at landfall with 120 mph winds.

  22. #47
    Enemy of the System Millennial_Messiah's Avatar
    Name
    Andrew
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    Prancelina, PDA
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    24,579
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    San Antonio Spurs
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    North Texas Mean Green
    Darth_Pelican you gotta make the game thread this week in the NFL forum choose an interesting "Sponsored By"

    map is posted, on https://506sports.com/nfl.php?yr=2020&wk=5

  23. #48
    Enemy of the System Millennial_Messiah's Avatar
    Name
    Andrew
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    Prancelina, PDA
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    24,579
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    North Texas Mean Green
    105 MPH having barely weakened and already emerged off the yuke coast and into the GOM is pretty scary.

  24. #49
    NostraSpurMus phxspurfan's Avatar
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    Arizona State Sun Devils
    Yeah I feel for those in Lake Charles. They're about to get hit again

  25. #50
    Take the fcking keys away baseline bum's Avatar
    Post Count
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    UCLA Bruins
    Yeah I feel for those in Lake Charles. They're about to get hit again
    Bend over, I'll show you getting hit again.

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