***** Official All-Inclusive 2020 Election Night Thread *****

[Trill Clinton]

[SnakeBoy]

All Traffic Matters

[ElNono]

All Traffic Matters

[MASSA]

[FrostKing]

Rumor: Trump Part 2

[Warlord23]

2020 early voting turnout compared to 2016 total turnout spells bad news for the Rs, IMO:

TX: 108% of 2016 vote
NC: 95%
GA: 94%
NV: 91%
AZ: 87%

This has the makings of an epic beatdown if Election Day turnout also proves to be strong

[Will Hunting]

2020 early voting turnout compared to 2016 total turnout spells bad news for the Rs, IMO:

TX: 108% of 2016 vote
NC: 95%
GA: 94%
NV: 91%
AZ: 87%

This has the makings of an epic beatdown if Election Day turnout also proves to be strong

The AZ number is stale too, AZ surpassed its 2016 vote total yesterday.

[Millennial_Messiah]

2020 early voting turnout compared to 2016 total turnout spells bad news for the Rs, IMO:

TX: 108% of 2016 vote
NC: 95%
GA: 94%
NV: 91%
AZ: 87%

This has the makings of an epic beatdown if Election Day turnout also proves to be strong

that's where you're wrong. Election Day Turnout will strongly favor the R's. If you're a D you want strong early voting turnout and weak election day turnout.

High pressure, i.e. no rain in the forecast for most of the US today.. good for R's tbh.

[Millennial_Messiah]

Trump at -1.2 RCP in Pennsylvania. Outpacing 2016. He's winning the state.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...iden-6861.html

[vy65]

that's where you're wrong. Election Day Turnout will strongly favor the R's. If you're a D you want strong early voting turnout and weak election day turnout.

High pressure, i.e. no rain in the forecast for most of the US today.. good for R's tbh.

no

[Will Hunting]

Trump at -1.2 RCP in Pennsylvania. Outpacing 2016. He's winning the state.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...iden-6861.html

RCP kicked out the NYTime/Sienna college large sample size poll to include polls from Rasmussen, Sean Hannity, Trafelbanger and Susquehanna. 4 of the 6 polls in its average are notoriously partisan pollsters and Biden is still winning the average

[Millennial_Messiah]

RCP kicked out the NYTime/Sienna college large sample size poll to include polls from Rasmussen, Sean Hannity, Trafelbanger and Susquehanna. 4 of the 6 polls in its average are notoriously partisan pollsters and Biden is still winning the average

Rasmussen nailed 2016 compared to notoriously (D) Quinnipac, CNN etc

[Will Hunting]

Rasmussen nailed 2016 compared to notoriously (D) Quinnipac, CNN etc

How about 2018? How accurate were Rasmussen and Trafelbanger in the most recent election we had?

[Millennial_Messiah]

How about 2018? How accurate were Rasmussen and Trafelbanger in the most recent election we had?

Midterms favor the challengers

General election years (leap years) favor the in bent.

[Millennial_Messiah]

How quickly after Trump officially loses does DarrinS try the “I never liked him anyways/I preferred Biden” weasel move?

Biden will win when Scam scores a TD to beat the Bills... be very scared, he might fumble, tbh...

[Will Hunting]

Midterms favor the challengers

General election years (leap years) favor the in bent.

That has nothing to do with my question. If midterms favor the challenger then it would be reflected in polls that are accurate. How accurate were the right wing partisan pollsters in 2018?

[ElNono]

Midterms favor the challengers

General election years (leap years) favor the in bent.

no. Having biased polls has nothing to do with leap or not leap years.

[Will Hunting]

How quickly after Trump officially loses does DarrinS try the “I never liked him anyways/I preferred Biden” weasel move?

Oh Karrin isn’t going to be the only one. it’ll be especially funny if Biden wins Texas, you’ll see the GOP do the biggest 180 in political history and try to disown Trump.

Unfortunstely for them Trump won’t go away quietly the way GWB did when the GOP started disowning his 8 year show. He’s going to rage tweet about any GOP politician who tries to create distance from him

[Will Hunting]

General elections favor the in bent if people think the country is on the right path. After 4 years of net job losses and a COVID outbreak that’s reaching new highs, it’s not an environment that favors the in bent at all.

If this were an in bent favored year like 2012 or 2004 was, senators like Tillis, Ernst and Perdue wouldn’t even be in close races, they’d be winning at an amount outside the MOE.

[Millennial_Messiah]

Oh Karrin isn’t going to be the only one. it’ll be especially funny if Biden wins Texas, you’ll see the GOP do the biggest 180 in political history and try to disown Trump.

Unfortunstely for them Trump won’t go away quietly the way GWB did when the GOP started disowning his 8 year show. He’s going to rage tweet about any GOP politician who tries to create distance from him

if Trump loses TX, the USA as we have known it is permanently lost to socialism, i.e. Canada, pre-Brexit UK, most of the EU, Australia, etc.

[Millennial_Messiah]

General elections favor the in bent if people think the country is on the right path. After 4 years of net job losses and a COVID outbreak that’s reaching new highs, it’s not an environment that favors the in bent at all.

If this were an in bent favored year like 2012 or 2004 was, senators like Tillis, Ernst and Perdue wouldn’t even be in close races, they’d be winning at an amount outside the MOE.

... and people thought the country was on the right path in 2004 post-9/11, Afghanistan, the housing bubble, hurricane outbreak, and most importantly, Iraq?

[Dman2]

if Trump loses TX, the USA as we have known it is permanently lost to socialism, i.e. Canada, pre-Brexit UK, most of the EU, Australia, etc.

So your warning is that if Biden wins America will become more like Canada and Australia?

Okay, sign me up.

[ElNono]

General elections favor the in bent if people think the country is on the right path. After 4 years of net job losses and a COVID outbreak that’s reaching new highs, it’s not an environment that favors the in bent at all.

If this were an in bent favored year like 2012 or 2004 was, senators like Tillis, Ernst and Perdue wouldn’t even be in close races, they’d be winning at an amount outside the MOE.

It's also hard to overlook that Trump has one of the worst approval ratings of any president in the past half a century. Not just on the last year alone, but throughout his four years.

While fans will point out he's extremely 'popular' to the cameras, he's actually extremely unpopular as a leader, and his strategy of fueling divisiveness has only made that more prominent.

Will it matter? we'll see.

[ElNono]

... and people thought the country was on the right path in 2004 post-9/11, Afghanistan, the housing bubble, hurricane outbreak, and most importantly, Iraq?

The country got rid of George H W Bush for far less. Wars are actually great for the re-election, as both Dubya Jr and Obama found out. It unites the country and make t rally behind whoever is the leader.

[Will Hunting]

... and people thought the country was on the right path in 2004 post-9/11, Afghanistan, the housing bubble, hurricane outbreak, and most importantly, Iraq?

This is revisionist history. Voters didn’t think it was a housing bubble in 2004 (the very nature of an asset bubble is that no one knows its a bubble up until the point when it bursts), they thought it was a good economy. At the time Iraq was largely a partisan issue, 2006 is when outrage about Iraq really began to foment with a majority of Americans. Exit polling from 2004 has an approval rating for Bush and the Iraq War above 50%. Public sentiment in 2004 was very much that Murica was on the right track.