Nope. All you do here is hang posters which isn't avenging anything. It's just poster hanging like a teenage girl hot for Justin Bieber
First Obama sh1ts on him, now the birds are at it
Nope. All you do here is hang posters which isn't avenging anything. It's just poster hanging like a teenage girl hot for Justin Bieber
We can agree to disagree on this one, Blake.
& he richly deserves it.
Nope. It's just poster hanging, plain and simple.
Why do you alt righters go right to the gay scenarios?
You're in a foul mood this morning I see. I hate when you're like this, GD it!!!
Not in a foul mood at all. Just calling it like it is. You're nothing more than a fanboy
Larry Summers and Alex Domash in VoxEU
https://voxeu.org/article/overheatin...y-us-recessionWith US inflation reaching 7.9% in February 2022, the Federal Reserve moved to increase the federal funds rate by 0.25 percentage points at its March meeting. The Federal Open Market Committee’s (FOMC) latest Summary of Economic Projections (2022), released at the same meeting, projects interest rates to reach 1.9% by the end of 2022. In response, there has been much discussion over the plausibility that the central bank can achieve a soft landing without pushing the US economy into a recession.
While engineering a soft landing is historically very rare, Fed Chair Jerome Powell told lawmakers in early March that he believes achieving a soft landing is “more likely than not” (Powell 2022). The FOMC’s March forecast (FOMC 2022), as well as the consensus forecast from the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia’s Survey of Professional Forecasters (FRBP 2022), supports this claim: in both forecasts, inflation recedes to below 3% by 2023 and unemployment remains below 4%.
To examine the plausibility of the Fed’s forecasts, we look at quarterly data going back to the 1950s and calculate the probability that the economy goes into a recession within the next 12 and 24 months, conditioning on alternative measures of inflation and unemployment. Our analysis is motivated by the fact that overheating conditions like low unemployment and high inflation are usually followed by recessions in the near-term. For example, Fatas (2021) shows how the US economy has never displayed significant periods of low and stable unemployment, such as those predicted by the FOMC.
Our central finding is that given the current inflation of nearly 8% and unemployment below 4%, historical evidence suggests a very substantial likelihood of recession over the next 12 to 24 months.
Triggersfair!
big "preparing for the last war" energy, but the pattern is the pattern. is it predictive for a particular instance?
seems doubtful, but they could be right.
What's funny about that is that if the bird did it to Trump you wouldn't find it funny
What's funny about that is that if the bird did it to Trump you wouldn't find it funny
Well, I see you're still miffed, Blake.
I hate when you're an ogre like this.
He's just mad his ex wife all over his bull marriage.
Yeah I was mad 12 years ago. Who wouldn't be.
You're furious today because a few people on a free anonymous message board that you can leave at any time poke at you. Seriously, you need help.
^ Brandon's thoughts on the regular
Karrin, Thread and Dirk the 3 amigos.
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