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  1. #7401
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    Speculative bubble? Recession fears?

    Both?


  2. #7402
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    RUNAWAY INFLATION


  3. #7403
    Mr. John Wayne CosmicCowboy's Avatar
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    $4.78 good now?

  4. #7404
    too f’n small Luka Doncic's Avatar
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    That chart is incredibly misleading tbh only a 25 cent drop but it looks like it took a nosedive to 1.50 a gallon.

  5. #7405
    Mr. John Wayne CosmicCowboy's Avatar
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    That chart is incredibly misleading tbh only a 25 cent drop but it looks like it took a nosedive to 1.50 a gallon.
    Typical Whinehole

  6. #7406
    Damns (Given): 0 Blake's Avatar
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    Sue will go to [insert city name] First Baptist Church on Sunday and thank God for all the good guys with guns sitting next to her in the pews

  7. #7407
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    That chart is incredibly misleading tbh only a 25 cent drop but it looks like it took a nosedive to 1.50 a gallon.
    It's not as bad as last year


  8. #7408
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    Speculative bubble? Recession fears?

    Both?

    https://menafn.com/1104485896/US-dol...since-Dec-2002

  9. #7409
    notthewordsofonewhokneels Thread's Avatar
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  10. #7410
    Mr. John Wayne CosmicCowboy's Avatar
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    industrial commodities have crashing too...copper, aluminum, etc. That's a major recession indicator.
    ts

  11. #7411
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    That chart is incredibly misleading tbh only a 25 cent drop but it looks like it took a nosedive to 1.50 a gallon.
    the chart is clearly marked, nothing misleading there to those who use their powers of reading.

  12. #7412
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    Ritholz reading the tea leaves.

    YoY housing inventories are up and rents are dropping in erstwhile hot real estate markets.

    Time for the narrative to pivot from RUNAWAY INFLATION to RECESSION..

    Broadly speaking, we see these 6 large categories as showing encouraging price moderation:

    1. Commodity prices: Lumber, Copper, other undustrial metals off substantiually from their peaks; even Energy is off its highs.

    2. Inventory: Target, Walmart and other retailers have ac ulated lots of stuff; too much stuff that will lead to discounts in the near future;

    3. Home Prices: Bidding wars are falling, sales over ask dropping. Homes are staying on the market longer, and more are offering price redcutions. More supply is coming as well.

    4. Wages: An increasing number of layoffs, especially in the hottest sectors (Tech, warehouses, crypto, AI and autonomyous driving) suggests a reduced ability to demand higher wages.

    5. Automobiles: Production is rising, and inventory of new cars is improving.

    6. Travel: Airline ticket prices have been falling during June, see also here

    Apollo Group’s Torsten Slok notes:
    “The bottom line is that inflation may stay elevated for another month or two, but given the trends listed above, the probability is rising that inflation going into the second half of this year could come down faster than the market currently expects.”
    I concur. The official economic data is released on a lag, and we are likely already a month or two past peak inflation.
    https://ritholtz.com/2022/06/revisit...medium=twitter

  13. #7413
    notthewordsofonewhokneels Thread's Avatar
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  14. #7414
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    historically we've seen much lower prices at the pump at current per bbl oil prices, recent underinvestment in refining capacity is a fairly inelastic constraint. what do you think Joe Biden should do about that?

  15. #7415
    Veteran SpursforSix's Avatar
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    the chart is clearly marked, nothing misleading there to those who use their powers of reading.
    LMAO. OK. Yeah...the data is real. What was your point in posting a one month chart?

  16. #7416
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    LMAO. OK. Yeah...the data is real. What was your point in posting a one month chart?
    recent trend is down

  17. #7417
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    A lot of talk in here is totally untethered to facts, nothing wrong with recent data points imho

  18. #7418
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    industrial commodities have crashing too...copper, aluminum, etc. That's a major recession indicator.
    ts
    Well we're probably already in a recession. I was just pointing out the strengthening dollar because all commodities generally have an inverse relationship between the value of the dollar and commodity price.

  19. #7419
    Veteran SpursforSix's Avatar
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    recent trend is down
    Yes it is. I wonder if you'll eventually post a one week chart. You're as dishonest as a stock broker. Just pick your time frame and sell your idea.

  20. #7420
    Mr. John Wayne CosmicCowboy's Avatar
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    Whinehole celebrating $4.78 gas.

  21. #7421
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    Yes it is. I wonder if you'll eventually post a one week chart. You're as dishonest as a stock broker. Just pick your time frame and sell your idea.
    I didn't make any predictions, that's just your imagination running away with itself.

  22. #7422
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    Whinehole celebrating $4.78 gas.
    what do you think Joe should do about the refining bottleneck?

  23. #7423
    Alleged Michigander ChumpDumper's Avatar
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    You guys weren't happy to see gas prices go down instead of up?

    politics really did break you

  24. #7424
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    You guys weren't happy to see gas prices go down instead of up?

    politics really did break you
    red asses, tbh

    why do they hate capitalism?

  25. #7425
    Veteran SpursforSix's Avatar
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    I didn't make any predictions, that's just your imagination running away with itself.
    I didn't say you did. I'm sure I can find a minute chart on oil that shows an upward trend. But you responded to "Runaway Inflation" by posting a one month chart of gas prices.
    Did you have a particular point? If you did we can discuss it. Do you think we've got inflation under control? Without a recession? And by the way, I don't think this on on Biden. It just it what it is.

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