I've changed my views a bit in the last few weeks.
Banchero - does a lot of things well but does he have an elite NBA skill yet? Jumper is good, knows where to be on defense, rebounds, etc. He's a very good player but something seems a bit off for me. A Julius Randle type?
Holmgren - still high on him but I see him strictly as a 5, not a 4. Defense is legit but his J looks a bit slow and mechanical. I can see the comparisons to Mobley, but Mobley's stronger and more fluid.
Jabari Smith - my number 1 right now, although I hope to see him go in the post more often than settling for jumpers. He has that LMA turnaround over the shoulder mid range J that's unguardable.
Jaden Ivey - definitely tier 1 imo. Major Ja Morant vibes, so quick and crafty. Even his shooting looks good.
Jalen Duren - much lower on him. He's a good rim protector and runner but his defensive switchability is suspect, seems slow footed. Hasn't shown anything with his J too and also looks shorter than advertised.
Baldwin Jr - another player I'm lower on. Drifts a lot, doesn't attack the rim at all, it's all jump shots all the time. While the J is smooth I don't see any other good skills. A Cam Johnson type unless he shows more.
Jaden Hardy - poor man's Primo lol. Has the pedigree and tools to figure it out eventually but g-league seems a level above for him right now.
Kendall Brown - what an athlete this dude is! His passing seems quite good too and if you believe in his J he could definitely go into tier 1. A lot of Aaron Gordon in him.
Ben Mathurin - he's a bucket getter and everything he does will likely easily translate to the NBA.
AJ Griffin - difficult to evaluate him because he doesn't play much but maybe in the Primo school of 'draft him early because he'd be a top 5 pick if he'd stay in college another year' ( which he won't ).
Keegan Murray - another player I find difficult to evaluate. Obviously his numbers are awesome, but he's older and his J is suspect.
JD Davison - a lot to like about him, his athleticism is special and he's a statsheet stuffer. As with many other players it's all about the J coming along well.
TyTy Washington - could see him as a Cole Anthony type of scorer, maybe even better.
Caleb Houstan - started off very slowly but progressing well as of late. I think he'll be a very good role player and perhaps one of those guys who'd be better at the NBA level than college.
Kennedy Chandler - despite of his raw numbers I don't like him much. Every time he plays against a decent team his numbers drop significantly.
There are a lot of players I like that could realistically fall to pick 31 - from scorers like Johnny Davis, Harrison Ingram, Julian Champagnie and Bryce McGowans to raw (and terrible right now) talents like Peyton Watson, Daimion Collins and Jeremy Sochan and also players who'd probably be projected to go way higher had they not been injured (Allen Flanningan) or were allowed to play more (Nolan Hickman, Hunter Sallis). Also a decent crop of draft and stash european guys like Roko Prkacin, Yannick Nzosa, Ousmane Dieng, Tristan Vukcevic and Nikola Jovic.
Some players I don't like at all - Max Christie, Trevor Keels, Jabari Walker, Jean Montero, Drew Timme, Caleb Love, Marcus Bagley and the aforementioned Kennedy Chandler.