A note on San Antonio's draft capital:
I don't think the treasure trove is as tradeable as we think. And not because it's not valuable.
- The Atlanta picks are unprotected in 2025 and 2027
- The Charlotte pick is protected 1-14, and 1-14, the next two years.
- The Toronto pick is protected 1-6, 1-6, and 1-6, the next three years.
- The Chicago pick is protected 1-10 in 2025, 1-8 in 2026, 1-8 in 2027
- Our own picks
The Atlanta picks are probably unmoveable. They could be high lottery picks.
The Charlotte pick probably has some interest, but are resolutely non-lottery picks. It may not convey, but looks like it probably will. The Toronto pick would be more attractive, but if they crater, it could be pretty nice. They could just as likely be late lottery or a playoff team again. The Chicago pick looks fairly tasty, tbh, unless they outright tank. (The timing may not be great.)
As a rule, teams value current-year draft picks far, far higher than anything in the future, and deep future less than near future. This is because GMs want to make splashes, owners and fans want progress.
The Spurs own picks...
Looking back, we've rarely traded our first round picks. In the last 20plus years, we traded first round picks (our own, and Phoenix, generated by the Barbosa trade) to the Knicks for Nazr Mohammed. The Knicks picked David Lee and Marty Collins. I would say overall a win, as David Lee's best years were after New York and Nazr was a good center for us.
In 2000, Chicago picked Dalibor Bagaric with our FRP, whoever the that is (can't immediately find what we got). In 1999, the Spurs picked poor Leon Smith on behalf of Dallas. In 2009, we traded Francisco Elson, Brent Barry, and our FRP for Kurt Thomas. The pick became Rodrigue Beaubois. In 2012 the Spurs traded Richard Jefferson, TJ Ford, and this FRP for Stephen Jackson. The pick became Festus Ezeli. Since that year, the Spurs used every one of their first round draft picks, to a high degree of success.
The Spurs' picks going forward are big question marks. If Wembanyama pans out and the team contends, they will be in the 20s. If things go wrong, we won't want to have traded any of them. Also, if there are protections, this freezes the ability to trade picks in adjacent years (if we do realize we're contending).
It gets harder to add talent through the draft the better a team becomes. You can see this as the franchise kept trying to flip late FRPs with players to stay in contention. I could see SAS trading one of their own picks, but it feels unlikely.
In any case... We have a really nice bunch of picks. However, to me, the only really tradeable first round picks we have right now are the Charlotte, Toronto, and Chicago picks.