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View Full Version : Spurs will surely not win the title!


Rummpd
03-03-2005, 01:55 PM
Gotcha = they still will (most likely). For you statisticians:

"Degree of confidence currently 65% (95% Confidence interval = 50%-80%)"
boutons
03-03-2005, 02:23 PM
Last May, Spurs up 2 - 0 on Lakers, what was the degree of confidence that the Spurs would win the series? :)
travis2
03-03-2005, 02:24 PM
Gotcha = they still will (most likely). For you statisticians:

"Degree of confidence currently 65% (95% Confidence interval = 50%-80%)"

Based on what?
bigzak25
03-03-2005, 02:28 PM
enough defense and outside shooting? survey says? hopefully.


http://shes.aflightrisk.org/images/8.jpg
Rummpd
03-03-2005, 02:30 PM
Recent play = 50% due to worrysome trends lately don't portend a championship team but they are still talented and experienced.
65% (Most likely) They raise play somewhat going into playoffs, They are facing a couple of strong teams, but can handle most of them even without an extra gear = 65%,
80% Chance if we see the Spurs turn in on go into playoffs killing teams like they did at home early in the year, then I will give them a superb chance, guessing that only a phenominal performace (perhaps, Detroit?? also hitting all offensive cylnders) could top them = 80%.

There are no sure things, I believe Spurs will stablize turn it on and go into the playoffs with about a 2/3 chance of winning the title or higher than any other team.

But hell its all a guess!
Jimcs50
03-03-2005, 02:33 PM
You got me, I was ready to jump off the nearest bridge....good thing there are not any near here.
travis2
03-03-2005, 02:34 PM
Recent play = 50%, logic they are facing a couple of strong teams, but can handle most of them even without an extra gear = 65%, if they play at their best most of time in playoffs only a phenominal performace (perhaps, olnly Detroit also hitting all offensive cylnders) could top them = 80%.

There are no sure things, I believe Spurs will stablize turn it on and go into the playoffs with a 2/3 to 4/5's chance of winning it all but hell its all just a GUESS!

That's very Bayesian of you...:lol
Rummpd
03-03-2005, 02:39 PM
State your own odds based on recent play, probable level going into playoffs, and optimal level going in:
Rummpd
03-03-2005, 02:41 PM
That's very Bayesian of you...[B]

I now have a headache and need two Bayers.
travis2
03-03-2005, 02:41 PM
State your own odds based on recent play, probable level going into playoffs, and optimal level going in:

I'm just yanking your chain...:lol
Rummpd
03-03-2005, 02:42 PM
Taken in jest anyway, but curious how others see the odds right now!
waly.mg
03-03-2005, 02:44 PM
All the League is talking Bull shit about the Team to Beat
bigzak25
03-03-2005, 02:47 PM
odds of beating detroit/miami with spurs having homecourt?

uh...better than even.....so i guess i agree....65%.