Ghazi
12-25-2012, 01:43 AM
only went 1-1 last week... wish I pulled the trigger on Jags +14.5 and Broncos -13... they were leans.. but I was probably gonna pick the Niners.
5 attractive lines:
Colts +4.5 - I still don't think the Colts are very good at all, but I still like immediate revenge spots and quite frankly I KINDA buy into the Chuckstrong magic. He will be back for this game I think. The building will be electric. the Texans defense has been on a steep decline and losing to Ponder's Vikes at home in a very important game was just flat out embarrassing. The betting markets have typically not respected the Colts this year because they're statistically unimpressive, but I think this is a generous amount of points. Home dogs are always nice.
Panthers +4.5 - I think, hell I KNOW the Panthers are a better team than the Saints. Again, one of the better offenses and defenses in the league that nobody talks about because of how poorly they started the season and how unlucky they were in close games. Solid pass rush... Saints looked strong last 2 weeks, but it was also against pretty lousy pass defenses. Panthers are better. I like the chances of the Panthers winning this game outright, or at least keeping it within the margin. I feel like the Saints have some inflated value here. As great as Brees and that offense is, their defense is still terrible.
Niners -14 - Probably not gonna lay double digits, but can someone tell me how the Cardinals are gonna score in this game? I feel like if the Niners score just 24 points they'll cover the spread here. Literally the best defense in the NFL v the worst offense. Cards will need some turnovers or defensive TDs to generate a fair share of points here. Their defense is respectable but I honestly think there's a good chance this offense gets held to 7 points or less. Hoyer may be starting for Cards though, so that's a wild card, but doesn't make up for their dogshit offensive line. Niners plagued by injuries lately, Justin Smith being lost is huge... but the Cards are still a horrible football team.
Broncos -15 - Yea... again double digits. But as I've said for weeks, the Broncos are the best team in football and the Chiefs are probably the worst at this point. Crennel defenses seem to have done a decent job on manning... in fact the Broncos won the previous meeting only 17-9... but the Broncos are probably gonna go all out for this game while the Chiefs are waiting for the season to end. I wish I pulled the trigger on the Broncos last week... 3-0 betting this team. I seriously feel like the Chiefs would need luck to keep this within 17 points. But again, laying double digits no matter how big the gap between the teams is usually risky. Will pursue further research.
Redskins -3- Might be -3.5 ... I think the Redskins would be appropriate to be 3 point favorites on a neutral field v the Cowboys,s o being a 3 point favorite at home seems like a good deal to me. Their offense is incredible, 2nd best in the NFL behind the Patriots and the Cowboys defense is subpar. Romo's been playing great lately, and he should find some spots against this shaky pass defense...but I just love the dynamics of this spot for the Redskins. Night game, huge game, home game, I think RG III will find running spots v the Cowboys too. REcall Griffin ABSOLUTELY shredded the Cowboys on Thanksgiving...although Romo had a decent game. This migt be a gut feeling without much evidence, I just seriously think the Redskins end the Cowboys season in convincing fashion.
5 attractive lines:
Colts +4.5 - I still don't think the Colts are very good at all, but I still like immediate revenge spots and quite frankly I KINDA buy into the Chuckstrong magic. He will be back for this game I think. The building will be electric. the Texans defense has been on a steep decline and losing to Ponder's Vikes at home in a very important game was just flat out embarrassing. The betting markets have typically not respected the Colts this year because they're statistically unimpressive, but I think this is a generous amount of points. Home dogs are always nice.
Panthers +4.5 - I think, hell I KNOW the Panthers are a better team than the Saints. Again, one of the better offenses and defenses in the league that nobody talks about because of how poorly they started the season and how unlucky they were in close games. Solid pass rush... Saints looked strong last 2 weeks, but it was also against pretty lousy pass defenses. Panthers are better. I like the chances of the Panthers winning this game outright, or at least keeping it within the margin. I feel like the Saints have some inflated value here. As great as Brees and that offense is, their defense is still terrible.
Niners -14 - Probably not gonna lay double digits, but can someone tell me how the Cardinals are gonna score in this game? I feel like if the Niners score just 24 points they'll cover the spread here. Literally the best defense in the NFL v the worst offense. Cards will need some turnovers or defensive TDs to generate a fair share of points here. Their defense is respectable but I honestly think there's a good chance this offense gets held to 7 points or less. Hoyer may be starting for Cards though, so that's a wild card, but doesn't make up for their dogshit offensive line. Niners plagued by injuries lately, Justin Smith being lost is huge... but the Cards are still a horrible football team.
Broncos -15 - Yea... again double digits. But as I've said for weeks, the Broncos are the best team in football and the Chiefs are probably the worst at this point. Crennel defenses seem to have done a decent job on manning... in fact the Broncos won the previous meeting only 17-9... but the Broncos are probably gonna go all out for this game while the Chiefs are waiting for the season to end. I wish I pulled the trigger on the Broncos last week... 3-0 betting this team. I seriously feel like the Chiefs would need luck to keep this within 17 points. But again, laying double digits no matter how big the gap between the teams is usually risky. Will pursue further research.
Redskins -3- Might be -3.5 ... I think the Redskins would be appropriate to be 3 point favorites on a neutral field v the Cowboys,s o being a 3 point favorite at home seems like a good deal to me. Their offense is incredible, 2nd best in the NFL behind the Patriots and the Cowboys defense is subpar. Romo's been playing great lately, and he should find some spots against this shaky pass defense...but I just love the dynamics of this spot for the Redskins. Night game, huge game, home game, I think RG III will find running spots v the Cowboys too. REcall Griffin ABSOLUTELY shredded the Cowboys on Thanksgiving...although Romo had a decent game. This migt be a gut feeling without much evidence, I just seriously think the Redskins end the Cowboys season in convincing fashion.