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Xevious
08-19-2023, 01:42 PM
Yeah, Orlando and Florida in general is generally a humid and tropical mess in summer, but less so in strong El Nino type of years. Because of the prevailing westerly winds which also serve double as to causing wind shear that tears apart any potential tropical storm or hurricane threat. Makes the monsoonal storms from the southwest less frequent and the overall air less humid. But it's still humid because it's Florida.
Yeah it's humid obviously and uncomfortable when the sun is blazing, but there has been a lot of cloud cover and occasional light showers that keep it cooled off. I'm coming home tonight though.

baseline bum
08-19-2023, 07:19 PM
Looks like the all time streak for most 100+ days in a row will be set at exactly 23 for 2023 before the drought-buster rain day on Tuesday. Kind of neat. Probably won't happen again for hopefully a long time.

Ugh 19 days into this month the average high is 104.159. The hottest month we have ever had by average high was July 2022 at 101.7 average high. It's virtually certain this month will be the hottest in San Antonio's history and by a large margin since we'd need to average a high of 97.7 or lower for the remaining 12 days of the month to get below 101.7. NOAA's 7 day forecast gets us to 103.538 average high for the month by the 26th with 5 days left in the month which would mean the final 5 days of the month would need to average 92 or below for the high to not set a new record. :lol

Millennial_Messiah
08-20-2023, 02:40 PM
Ugh 19 days into this month the average high is 104.159. The hottest month we have ever had by average high was July 2022 at 101.7 average high. It's virtually certain this month will be the hottest in San Antonio's history and by a large margin since we'd need to average a high of 97.7 or lower for the remaining 12 days of the month to get below 101.7. NOAA's 7 day forecast gets us to 103.538 average high for the month by the 26th with 5 days left in the month which would mean the final 5 days of the month would need to average 92 or below for the high to not set a new record. :lol

Ugh, weather forecast for Tuesday, the "cool" day has changed from 90 and just rainy to 94 and THUNDERSTORMS, which is bad because that could fuck up the power grid when we can't afford for that to happen

Millennial_Messiah
08-20-2023, 02:40 PM
I believe today is now officially day number 22 in a row of 100, baseline bum ?

Millennial_Messiah
08-20-2023, 02:41 PM
Looks like the last bit of August and early September is going to be loaded with hot, dry weather over 100 once more. Will it ever end? I thought this was supposed to be an El Nino. When does the rain start in El Nino's?

baseline bum
08-20-2023, 03:14 PM
Looks like the last bit of August and early September is going to be loaded with hot, dry weather over 100 once more. Will it ever end? I thought this was supposed to be an El Nino. When does the rain start in El Nino's?

Looks like a real chance to hit 70+ days of 100+ this year.

baseline bum
08-20-2023, 03:17 PM
Ugh, weather forecast for Tuesday, the "cool" day has changed from 90 and just rainy to 94 and THUNDERSTORMS, which is bad because that could fuck up the power grid when we can't afford for that to happen

Now they're forecasting 100 for Wednesday too :pctoss

baseline bum
08-20-2023, 03:18 PM
I believe today is now officially day number 22 in a row of 100, baseline bum ?

Yeah new record

Millennial_Messiah
08-21-2023, 05:00 PM
No fucking way
yes, based on the previous year being the first year of a stronger El Nino like this year's

those are the correct recent analog years.

Millennial_Messiah
08-21-2023, 05:00 PM
also, might want to bump your 105 degree thread on the poly forum, because it's 105 right now baseline bum tbh

Millennial_Messiah
08-21-2023, 05:02 PM
TD9 officially declared by NHC.

Next name on the list is Harold, which will hit Texas, which is the name that replaced Harvey in 2017, which also hit Texas. Maybe this one won't be as bad for Texas.

The pattern of incumbent (D) presidents getting lucky with hurricanes and hurricane seasons continues. 8 years of [BHO] and no major US landfalls. [GWB] faced 11 in 8 years. In [DJT]'s first year of only half the amount of time in office, he gets hit by three cat 4's.

baseline bum
08-21-2023, 05:23 PM
also, might want to bump your 105 degree thread on the poly forum, because it's 105 right now baseline bum tbh

Only see 104 at the airport

baseline bum
08-21-2023, 05:24 PM
yes, based on the previous year being the first year of a stronger El Nino like this year's

those are the correct recent analog years.

Meh and El Nino was supposed to be cooler than average and yet we're way hotter than last year's triple dip La Nina. Wouldn't be at all surprised to see another year of 50-60 days of 100+ again for 2024.

Millennial_Messiah
08-21-2023, 05:36 PM
Meh and El Nino was supposed to be cooler than average and yet we're way hotter than last year's triple dip La Nina. Wouldn't be at all surprised to see another year of 50-60 days of 100+ again for 2024.

Or we could have uno like in 2021 or zero like in 2007. Ya never know.

Millennial_Messiah
08-21-2023, 05:37 PM
Only see 104 at the airport

Now it just went back down to 104 but right at 5pm it was 105.

Millennial_Messiah
08-21-2023, 05:37 PM
Also, TWC is showing as that it's currently cloudy in SA, but outside my house here the sky is still very blue here on the far west side.

GAustex
08-21-2023, 07:08 PM
King Ranch getting all the rain

baseline bum
08-21-2023, 07:21 PM
Now it just went back down to 104 but right at 5pm it was 105.

Yeah 105 confirmed today

https://w1.weather.gov/data/obhistory/KSAT.html

Extra Stout
08-21-2023, 07:27 PM
So I went back and read some of the climate prediction reports for Texas written by people connected to the IPCC. Based upon those, one of two things is true:
A. 2022-23 are anomalously hot years even given the reality of climate change.
B. The climate models grossly underestimated the impact on Texas and we are even more fucked than the more alarmist scientists say we are.

That’s it. I’m getting the fuck out. Texas is going to burn down. Time to look for a job up north.

Millennial_Messiah
08-21-2023, 08:41 PM
King Ranch getting all the rain

Hurricane Bret 1999. Category 4 landfall but one of the tiniest cyclones ever seen. San Antonio barely got any wind. Sarita/King Ranch and Kenedy County took a direct hit, but it's extremely sparsely populated. Apparently it blew a herd of cattle into the gulf and another few cows a couple counties inland.

Millennial_Messiah
08-21-2023, 08:44 PM
So I went back and read some of the climate prediction reports for Texas written by people connected to the IPCC. Based upon those, one of two things is true:
A. 2022-23 are anomalously hot years even given the reality of climate change.
B. The climate models grossly underestimated the impact on Texas and we are even more fucked than the more alarmist scientists say we are.

That’s it. I’m getting the fuck out. Texas is going to burn down. Time to look for a job up north.
Work from home FTW, but looking for a more permanent residence up north is the goal for sure

Millennial_Messiah
08-21-2023, 08:45 PM
B. The climate models grossly underestimated the impact on Texas and we are even more fucked than the more alarmist scientists say we are.


Texas is going to be basically south India in a generation

Millennial_Messiah
08-21-2023, 08:47 PM
Fucking 105 again. And we'll probably get there again another couple of times at least this year.


1. 16 days and counting in 2023 as of August 21st, 2023
2. 4 days in 2022
3. 3 days in 2011
3. 3 days in 1962
3. 3 days in 1909

https://c.tenor.com/MYZgsN2TDJAAAAAC/this-is.gif


Also puts the August 2023 average high as 104.191 more than 2/3rd through the month. We'd have to average 96.5 or less for the remaining ten days of the month to not set a new record for hottest month ever recorded here.
Hey, look on the bright side. At least SA's homeless population can fry H-E-B eggs and cook their own breakfast on public sidewalks now! They couldn't previously do that before.

Millennial_Messiah
08-21-2023, 08:48 PM
Tomorrow will knock down that average quite a bit, though.

Millennial_Messiah
08-21-2023, 08:50 PM
Fuck. :pctoss

Wanted to go to Sea World tomorrow due to the lower temp, but it'll probably be closed or at least the rides all shut down due to the wind. Even if it doesn't rain until late afternoon. Ugh.

baseline bum
08-21-2023, 09:07 PM
Tomorrow will knock down that average quite a bit, though.

Even if tomorrow is only 89 the average would only drop from 104.191 to 103.501, with 100+ forecast the rest of the month. And a lot of 103-105 forecast. NOAA is saying 94 now for tomorrow, which would drop the average to 103.728.

Millennial_Messiah
08-22-2023, 10:38 AM
Even if tomorrow is only 89 the average would only drop from 104.191 to 103.501, with 100+ forecast the rest of the month. And a lot of 103-105 forecast. NOAA is saying 94 now for tomorrow, which would drop the average to 103.728.

showing 92 now for the high. Rain in SA starts 1pm

Millennial_Messiah
08-22-2023, 10:38 AM
TS Harold just made landfall. 50 MPH tropical storm. I believe it was still a TD when I went to bed last night.

Millennial_Messiah
08-22-2023, 10:39 AM
At least we will get guaranteed drought relief rainfall this time unlike TS Don in 2011.

baseline bum
08-22-2023, 12:14 PM
At least we will get guaranteed drought relief rainfall this time unlike TS Don in 2011.

Thought we're only getting 1/4 inch from this shit

GAustex
08-22-2023, 01:33 PM
I get nothing

SpursWoman
08-22-2023, 03:54 PM
We got 1/16th of an inch. Pffft.

GAustex
08-22-2023, 04:26 PM
The sweet smell of summer rain

Millennial_Messiah
08-22-2023, 05:47 PM
I'm over on the west side by sea world and it's been pouring since 2:20pm. Definitely over an inch here.

Millennial_Messiah
08-22-2023, 05:48 PM
Also, Sea World was open today, even the water park was open (no lightning threat), the park was pretty dead and the top two roller coasters were down unfortunately. Got to ride the other stuff and the water rides were pretty relaxing. Finally a day I could go outdoors and spend time outdoors for the first time since July frickin' 7th.

Millennial_Messiah
08-22-2023, 05:49 PM
The sweet smell of summer rain

I like cool weather and rain better, but this'll do for August in Texas.

It's rained quite heavy here and the power and internet went off twice about an hour ago. Back on now.

Millennial_Messiah
08-22-2023, 08:15 PM
Rain has stopped now. Still sticky AF outside. Pea soup. Guck.

baseline bum
08-22-2023, 09:31 PM
Rain has stopped now. Still sticky AF outside. Pea soup. Guck.

Today's high of 91 took us to an average of 103.637 for August. So is the average for the next 9 days is 97.309 or higher August 2023 goes down as the hottest month ever in San Antonio, by average high temperature. Considering NOAA's 7 day forecast is 99, 102, 102, 102, 103, 100, 99 gotta think this is a stone cold lock as the shittiest month until whatever summer 2024 throws at us.

Millennial_Messiah
08-23-2023, 10:28 AM
Today's high of 91 took us to an average of 103.637 for August. So is the average for the next 9 days is 97.309 or higher August 2023 goes down as the hottest month ever in San Antonio, by average high temperature. Considering NOAA's 7 day forecast is 99, 102, 102, 102, 103, 100, 99 gotta think this is a stone cold lock as the shittiest month until whatever summer 2024 throws at us.

This will be the hottest month of all time, but I don't believe 2024 will be above average at all, except for precipitation.

Millennial_Messiah
08-23-2023, 10:29 AM
This year was an anomaly for sure, but the good news is that the worst is over.

DFW is getting it worse than us now.

baseline bum
08-23-2023, 01:38 PM
This year was an anomaly for sure, but the good news is that the worst is over.

DFW is getting it worse than us now.

The worst ain't over. We got 105s over the weekend again. The worst will be over when 98 is considered a hot day again.

baseline bum
08-23-2023, 01:40 PM
This will be the hottest month of all time, but I don't believe 2024 will be above average at all, except for precipitation.

I never believed 2023 would be anywhere near as hot after getting out of summer 2022, and instead it has been way worse. There is a clear trend line that summers are getting worse. I'd trade this year for 2011 quicker than a rabbit gets fucked and I'd trade 2011 for 1998 in a second.

Extra Stout
08-23-2023, 06:02 PM
The worst ain't over. We got 105s over the weekend again. The worst will be over when 98 is considered a hot day again.
98 will be considered a hot day again centuries in the future after the remnant global population of 250 million masters nuclear fusion and can generate enough power to scrub the extra CO2 back out of the atmosphere.

Thread
08-23-2023, 06:13 PM
98 will be considered a hot day again centuries in the future after the remnant global population of 250 million masters nuclear fusion and can generate enough power to scrub the extra CO2 back out of the atmosphere.

https://encrypted-tbn0.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn:ANd9GcSLhb6ArBsfgzaF9DDMVLdh1R1654mie 2mqE61iucmL_vEUFmUjEKrbRSpoHQ&s

Millennial_Messiah
08-23-2023, 06:13 PM
The worst ain't over. We got 105s over the weekend again. The worst will be over when 98 is considered a hot day again.

Well we didn't get a "hot day" today. Didn't even sniff 100

Millennial_Messiah
08-23-2023, 06:14 PM
98 will be considered a hot day again centuries in the future after the remnant global population of 250 million masters nuclear fusion and can generate enough power to scrub the extra CO2 back out of the atmosphere.

Where do you prophesize the remaining 250M people will be living? On the north and south poles? :lol

Millennial_Messiah
08-23-2023, 06:16 PM
I never believed 2023 would be anywhere near as hot after getting out of summer 2022, and instead it has been way worse. There is a clear trend line that summers are getting worse. I'd trade this year for 2011 quicker than a rabbit gets fucked and I'd trade 2011 for 1998 in a second.

1998 was below average I believe

Millennial_Messiah
08-23-2023, 06:17 PM
2024 we will see tons of rain and relatively cool summer IMO

Might be the summer of Texas snow

baseline bum
08-23-2023, 06:37 PM
1998 was below average I believe

Nope, 1998 broke a fifty year record for most 100+ days in San Antonio, at 36

Millennial_Messiah
08-23-2023, 06:42 PM
Nope, 1998 broke a fifty year record for most 100+ days in San Antonio, at 36

Ah, I see.

The flooding wasn't until September and October.

That year should have been cool considering the super El Nino the previous winter. Sort of like 2015 to 2016.

I would think next year shall be cool and wet

Also expect lots of rain in SA this autumn too

baseline bum
08-23-2023, 07:07 PM
Ah, I see.

The flooding wasn't until September and October.

That year should have been cool considering the super El Nino the previous winter. Sort of like 2015 to 2016.

I would think next year shall be cool and wet

Also expect lots of rain in SA this autumn too

NOAA is forecasting local average rainfall for September-November

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/long_range/lead01/m.01.p.gif

For October-December we're on the border line of average and a very slight positive anomaly in rainfall

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/long_range/lead02/m.02.p.gif

October-December are forecast to be hotter than normal

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/long_range/lead02/m.02.t.gif

Extra Stout
08-23-2023, 07:16 PM
Where do you prophesize the remaining 250M people will be living? On the north and south poles? :lol
The high latitudes. The low population numbers will be as much due to permanent low fertility as to mortality from climate catastrophes.

pgardn
08-23-2023, 08:47 PM
"Good" day for exercise. A bit too much humidity but I will note the absence of intense heat from the asphalt.

Millennial_Messiah
08-25-2023, 01:11 PM
"Good" day for exercise. A bit too much humidity but I will note the absence of intense heat from the asphalt.
baseline bum Thoughts on Presidential candidate Vivek Ramaswamy saying in 2023 that climate change and global warming are a hoax? Perhaps he's on to something and it's true.

baseline bum
08-25-2023, 01:26 PM
baseline bum Thoughts on Presidential candidate Vivek Ramaswamy saying in 2023 that climate change and global warming are a hoax? Perhaps he's on to something and it's true.

He's a con man

Millennial_Messiah
08-25-2023, 03:02 PM
He's a con man

Do you believe he should go to jail for saying that?

Millennial_Messiah
08-25-2023, 03:03 PM
Oh, it's over 100 again. Look at that. Currently 102 degrees

Millennial_Messiah
08-25-2023, 03:04 PM
It appears we're now officially tied with last year for most triple-digit temperature days.

One more triple-digit day to go to tie the all-time record.

Millennial_Messiah
08-25-2023, 03:05 PM
Sunday's forecast high is 105. Yeesh. When will it end?

Millennial_Messiah
08-25-2023, 03:06 PM
My TWC forecast says that from Sept 2 - 8 it will be either 100 or 101 every day. Yeesh. But it's fall, damn it!

GAustex
08-25-2023, 03:10 PM
My TWC forecast says that from Sept 2 - 8 it will be either 100 or 101 every day. Yeesh. But it's fall, damn it!
Fall is not til 3 weeks later

Millennial_Messiah
08-25-2023, 05:36 PM
It's currently 105, baseline bum.

Time to bump the thread.

Millennial_Messiah
08-25-2023, 05:36 PM
Fall is not til 3 weeks later
Technically speaking yes. But last year this time of year I spent entirely in Michigan and Ohio and when I went to the UP around Labor Day it felt like fall.

baseline bum
08-25-2023, 06:06 PM
Fucking hell, the cold front Tuesday gives us one day below 100. And even then, only gets us to 97 on that day, which is still 2 degrees above historical average. We're really shooting for 70 days of 100+ this year.

baseline bum
08-25-2023, 07:27 PM
It's currently 105, baseline bum.

Time to bump the thread.

Nah 104 was the max

https://w1.weather.gov/data/obhistory/KSAT.html

Millennial_Messiah
08-26-2023, 04:12 PM
I was going to say if we have blackouts it would be tomorrow from the compressional heat ahead of the cold front coming Monday, but forgot it's going to be moving really slowly and Dallas is getting that compressional heat right now when they're at 108 (the front comes in and drops the high to 99 tomorrow for them). Still think tomorrow might be worse though with Austin, San Antonio, and Houston all getting that heat ahead of the cold front, but today could def be ugly too.

Good analysis about "compressional heat" i.e. very humid heat :tu

DFW seems to have the worst weather-related blackouts IMO

Millennial_Messiah
08-26-2023, 04:13 PM
Nah 104 was the max

https://w1.weather.gov/data/obhistory/KSAT.html

Tomorrow expected to reach 106.

Millennial_Messiah
08-26-2023, 04:13 PM
Today we officially tied the all-time record for 100+ degree days, baseline bum :tu

2023 at the top of the record books likely tomorrow.

Millennial_Messiah
08-26-2023, 04:14 PM
1. 59 days and counting in 2023 as of August 26th
1. 59 days in 2009
3. 58 days in 2022
4. 57 days in 2011
5. 41 days in 2013
6. 36 days in 2020
6. 36 days in 1998
8. 33 days in 1948


https://c.tenor.com/MYZgsN2TDJAAAAAC/this-is.gif
Very fine indeed :toast

Millennial_Messiah
08-26-2023, 04:15 PM
TD 10 forms in Caribbean. Forecast to be "Hurricane Idalia" but hit the very sparsely populated part of Florida.

baseline bum
08-26-2023, 04:17 PM
TD 10 forms in Caribbean. Forecast to be "Hurricane Idalia" but hit the very sparsely populated part of Florida.

If only Idalia could take Bugs' lead

https://media.giphy.com/media/v1.Y2lkPTc5MGI3NjExd2huM2FyZGV5Nmlza25yaHN1ZWVmcW5 6a3BqZnRkZWR1NXFobzNzdSZlcD12MV9pbnRlcm5hbF9naWZfY nlfaWQmY3Q9Zw/T7fU0RWWhWpYk/giphy.gif

Millennial_Messiah
08-26-2023, 04:17 PM
Another ERCOT conservation call from 3-9pm.

My AC is steady on 68 degrees and running just fine, trucking through this time interval. :tu

baseline bum
08-26-2023, 04:19 PM
Today we officially tied the all-time record for 100+ degree days, baseline bum :tu

2023 at the top of the record books likely tomorrow.

One more step to 70 it looks like. Not sure if we'll get there but it'll be close I bet.

Millennial_Messiah
08-26-2023, 04:20 PM
If only Idalia could take Bugs' lead

https://media.giphy.com/media/v1.Y2lkPTc5MGI3NjExd2huM2FyZGV5Nmlza25yaHN1ZWVmcW5 6a3BqZnRkZWR1NXFobzNzdSZlcD12MV9pbnRlcm5hbF9naWZfY nlfaWQmY3Q9Zw/T7fU0RWWhWpYk/giphy.gif

:lol

though, politically motivated, i.e. in similar vibe to the "Florida will turn blue eventually" futuristic satellite maps of the Gulf and ocean taking back the peninsula part of the state with rising sea levels.

Millennial_Messiah
08-26-2023, 04:21 PM
One more step to 70 it looks like. Not sure if we'll get there but it'll be close I bet.

I don't think we'll get to 70, but sixty for sure and sole possession of the all-time record

baseline bum
08-26-2023, 04:54 PM
I don't think we'll get to 70, but sixty for sure and sole possession of the all-time record

This gets us to 73 as of September 9th

https://i.ibb.co/smsL8FX/73.png

baseline bum
08-26-2023, 05:08 PM
I don't think we'll get to 70, but sixty for sure and sole possession of the all-time record

Also if you don't trust The Weather Channel, NOAA has us at 64 by September 2nd. Which would put 70 very much in striking distance.

https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?CityName=San+Antonio&state=TX&site=EWX&textField1=29.4577&textField2=-98.5054&e=1

Millennial_Messiah
08-27-2023, 04:11 PM
baseline bum

What do you have on your temp right now?

Mine is showing as 105 degrees at present. Though, tomorrow rainy and under 100.

baseline bum
08-27-2023, 04:19 PM
baseline bum

What do you have on your temp right now?

Mine is showing as 105 degrees at present. Though, tomorrow rainy and under 100.

Airport 105, my neighborhood 108

GAustex
08-27-2023, 04:52 PM
Loud and boomers sinking down from the north
This may be the break in the absurd hot temps

Rain rain rain
Bring it

Millennial_Messiah
08-27-2023, 05:03 PM
The graphs showed overshoot on several previous days too, but they never even got to emergency phase 1.

I turn the thermostat up from 77 to 80 at 2 PM, turn on the fans, and hope for the best until 9 PM. That knocks my consumption during those hours down by half. Between businesses implementing conservation measures, and maybe 5% of customers actually heeding the conservation pleas, they’re flattening the curve enough to get through so far.
OMG, I would die in that kind of indoor heat. I'd be booking it up north no matter how high gas prices are. My body, my nose, my head, my stomach, just can't take that kind of indoor heat sustained.

My AC is on 68 and trucking along nicely

Millennial_Messiah
08-27-2023, 05:04 PM
So today we officially broke the record for all time days at or above 100 degrees in San Antonio. What a legendary day to behold and to be a part of it, standing here in the great old City of San Antonio. :toast

(with the AC on 68 in a 2300 sqft house)

Millennial_Messiah
08-27-2023, 05:05 PM
Airport 105, my neighborhood 108
106 in my neighborhood a couple miles from Sea World right now.

Rain in the forecast tomorrow.

baseline bum
08-27-2023, 05:34 PM
106 in my neighborhood a couple miles from Sea World right now.

Rain in the forecast tomorrow.

Waco dropped from 104 at 2PM to 72 now. God I hope we get that kind of rain cooling. Front is just north of Round Rock right now.

Millennial_Messiah
08-27-2023, 05:57 PM
Waco dropped from 104 at 2PM to 72 now. God I hope we get that kind of rain cooling. Front is just north of Round Rock right now.

Jeez that's close! Moving fast and south, too. Kind of reminds me of that tornado that hit Jarrell. Supercell ahead of a big rain front in late May that just kept trucking south and then stalled over Jarrell and rapidly intensified into an F5 tornado before merging with the western periphery of the front.

The hourly rain forecast on TWC gives a 15% chance of overnight precip in SA and around 40% tomorrow, though I have to imagine it'd be higher than that.

baseline bum
08-27-2023, 06:26 PM
Jeez that's close! Moving fast and south, too. Kind of reminds me of that tornado that hit Jarrell. Supercell ahead of a big rain front in late May that just kept trucking south and then stalled over Jarrell and rapidly intensified into an F5 tornado before merging with the western periphery of the front.

The hourly rain forecast on TWC gives a 15% chance of overnight precip in SA and around 40% tomorrow, though I have to imagine it'd be higher than that.

Wundermap shows the front having just crossed 410, but I'm still seeing south winds on weather.com. It dropped downtown Austin from 110 to 90.

https://i.ibb.co/pvS41cn/front.png

Millennial_Messiah
08-27-2023, 06:34 PM
Wundermap shows the front having just crossed 410, but I'm still seeing south winds on weather.com. It dropped downtown Austin from 110 to 90.

https://i.ibb.co/pvS41cn/front.png

I used to like the blogs on that website before they got rid of them.

Their weather and hurricane forecasting on the regular site was always kind of meh and semi inaccurate though.

TWC's forecast says that we in SA won't be getting any north winds until 10PM and the relief will be very minimal, only lowering the temperature by 3-5 degrees or so. The forecast overnight low is 81. Miserable.

Millennial_Messiah
08-27-2023, 06:36 PM
Meanwile on the TS/Hurricane Idalia front, seems like Governor Desantis will have some cud to chew on with regards to his next statement on climate change for the September debate.

Currently, the official NOAA NHC forecast is for a 100MPH (Cat. 2) hurricane Idalia landfall, but I'm thinking it's probably too conservative/bearish of a forecast given the rapid intensification in the Gulf we've seen in hurricanes since Harvey 2017:

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT10/refresh/AL102023_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind+png/210135_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png

Millennial_Messiah
08-27-2023, 06:39 PM
The good news is the armpit part of the Big Bend of Florida is the most sparsely populated part of the state. However if you shift the cone east... or even if the track follows the eastern edge of that cone... we will be looking at a massive worst-case scenario catastrophe for Tampa, worse than Ian last year because a north-tracking storm into Pinellas County will essentially push the storm surge of the Tampa Bay into Tampa like Katrina pushed Lake Pontchartrain into NOLA in 2005 eighteen years ago. Especially if Idalia becomes Cat. 3 or worse.

Wait and see.

Millennial_Messiah
08-27-2023, 06:42 PM
KENS 5 at 6pm says tomorrow's forecast high and heat index are 101 and 109 respectively, drastically different from TWC's more bearish and wetter forecast. We'll just see. I do believe we're overdue for drought-busting rain though, especially considering the massive El Nino present right now in the East Pacific.

Millennial_Messiah
08-27-2023, 06:46 PM
Classic El Nino in place right now, with a scalding hot equator south of the Americas and scalding hot NW Pacific and virtually all of Arctica with record northern hemisphere sea ice loss:

https://www.ospo.noaa.gov/data/cb/ssta/ssta.daily.current.png


Also notably, the cool water anomalies in the Southern hemisphere near Antarctica aren't really there and are instead quite neutral, meaning 2023 is definitely a net year for total global warming, not just Northern hemisphere warming or simply a polar shift.

Lots of hot anomalies to go around, but cool anomalies are scattered and scarce.

Millennial_Messiah
08-27-2023, 06:49 PM
Front ended up coming a lot earlier than I was expecting from the forecasts I saw making it sound like it would stall to the north and not pass Austin nor reach us until tomorrow. But with Austin at 90 now and the front having just crossed 410 hopefully we'll be in the 90s within the next 45 minutes or so. Houston though fuck, still showing 106 at Bush Intercontinental on Weather Underground.
Houston at 106 is just absolutely insane considering the humidity there. What's the heat index, got to be like 120+? This is like South India or Thailand or Bangladeshi level stuff.

Millennial_Messiah
08-27-2023, 06:50 PM
Winds still forecast to be southerly for 2-3 more hours in San Antonio and minimal temperature relief, no rainfall expected tonight

baseline bum
08-27-2023, 06:59 PM
I used to like the blogs on that website before they got rid of them.

Their weather and hurricane forecasting on the regular site was always kind of meh and semi inaccurate though.

TWC's forecast says that we in SA won't be getting any north winds until 10PM and the relief will be very minimal, only lowering the temperature by 3-5 degrees or so. The forecast overnight low is 81. Miserable.

Bulverde at 87, New Braunfels 93 despite neither seeing any rain. Sounds pretty nice for 7PM.

baseline bum
08-27-2023, 07:06 PM
Winds still forecast to be southerly for 2-3 more hours in San Antonio and minimal temperature relief, no rainfall expected tonight

Universal City dropped to 95 now with a NE wind. Fucking feels amazing outside after how hot the afternoon was.

Millennial_Messiah
08-27-2023, 07:17 PM
Bulverde at 87, New Braunfels 93 despite neither seeing any rain. Sounds pretty nice for 7PM.

And I'm still at 102 at 7:17 P.M. One block into Medina county west of Bexar, near Potranco road. FML.

Millennial_Messiah
08-27-2023, 07:18 PM
Universal City dropped to 95 now with a NE wind. Fucking feels amazing outside after how hot the afternoon was.

Oh, didn't know you were on the NE side. The front is still at least an hour away from me, then.

Millennial_Messiah
08-27-2023, 07:18 PM
I have family friends in Bulverde. We drive up there once a year usually Thanksgiving break week in November. They've got a nice swimming pool and they really like living on the Comal County side and without the Bexar county regulations and government.

They have a few acres, wild deer, and their house backs up to a forest. They can dig giant mud piles, grow their grass as tall as they want, and shoot guns without getting a knock at their door. Must be a nice lifestyle. Except for the fact it's still .....South Texas.

baseline bum
08-27-2023, 07:21 PM
And I'm still at 102 at 7:17 P.M. One block into Medina county west of Bexar, near Potranco road. FML.

LOL right on the line of the front. Shit we're going to be in the 80s, maybe even mid 80s by 8PM. Ain't seen that in a while.

benefactor
08-27-2023, 09:29 PM
It's raining. Praise Allah

baseline bum
08-27-2023, 09:46 PM
It's raining. Praise Allah

الله أكبر

leemajors
08-28-2023, 07:55 AM
Sprinkled a bit in Austin, no real rain but Round Rock got some

baseline bum
08-28-2023, 12:09 PM
The good news is the armpit part of the Big Bend of Florida is the most sparsely populated part of the state. However if you shift the cone east... or even if the track follows the eastern edge of that cone... we will be looking at a massive worst-case scenario catastrophe for Tampa, worse than Ian last year because a north-tracking storm into Pinellas County will essentially push the storm surge of the Tampa Bay into Tampa like Katrina pushed Lake Pontchartrain into NOLA in 2005 eighteen years ago. Especially if Idalia becomes Cat. 3 or worse.

Wait and see.

Looks like Idalia's going to be pretty ugly


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1hQjWI-afE4

Millennial_Messiah
08-28-2023, 12:13 PM
الله أكبر

Zero rain here in San Antonio so far.

Allahu-akbar indeed, because it's this summer we've managed to become Dubai/Baghdad without catching a flight tbh.

Millennial_Messiah
08-28-2023, 12:15 PM
Looks like Idalia's going to be pretty ugly


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1hQjWI-afE4

Even when the forecast was for a weak TS to a category 1. I expected nothing less than a Cat 3 landfall. Even in an El Nino year, the +AMO (fancy words for a warm Atlantic basin) is too strong. The anticyclone in the upper troposphere above a rapidly developing Idalia will cut through the existing wind shear in the Gulf like a hot knife through butter.

baseline bum
08-28-2023, 12:18 PM
Zero rain here in San Antonio so far.

Allahu-akbar indeed, because it's this summer we've managed to become Dubai/Baghdad without catching a flight tbh.

Seeing 96 already at noon. Might not even get a single day in the 90s out of this front :lol

Especially if the rain stays west of town like forecast

koriwhat
08-28-2023, 12:39 PM
It's raining. Praise Allah

Damn you're lucky wherever you are Bene. We need rain like hell out here in SaTX. :cry

koriwhat
08-28-2023, 12:40 PM
Seeing 96 already at noon. Might not even get a single day in the 90s out of this front :lol

Especially if the rain stays west of town like forecast

The yard, front and back, look like a desert these days... Ugh

baseline bum
08-28-2023, 12:59 PM
The yard, front and back, look like a desert these days... Ugh

I don't even have much grass, it's almost all native Texas shit like horseherb and even it's all practically dead even in areas that get 20+ hours of shade a day.

baseline bum
08-28-2023, 12:59 PM
98 at the airport at 1PM. We're going to hit 100 again :lol

Unless we get rain before 2PM

Millennial_Messiah
08-28-2023, 01:18 PM
98 at the airport at 1PM. We're going to hit 100 again :lol

Unless we get rain before 2PM

99 officially now. Airport forecast on TWC now 100.

Millennial_Messiah
08-28-2023, 01:18 PM
Storms not forecast until after 3pm here.

Millennial_Messiah
08-28-2023, 01:19 PM
I don't even have much grass, it's almost all native Texas shit like horseherb and even it's all practically dead even in areas that get 20+ hours of shade a day.

Yeah for use mine's been a potpourri of horseherb weed, random other weeds, crabgrass, St Augustine and Bermuda, which is the least offensive/ugly.

Millennial_Messiah
08-28-2023, 01:20 PM
Damn you're lucky wherever you are Bene. We need rain like hell out here in SaTX. :cry

I don't get why the Trump mugshot avatar when you've long told us all that you're the furthest thing from a Trump supporter?

Yes, we need rain

Millennial_Messiah
08-28-2023, 01:21 PM
It's going to be close. The clouds alone without rain might be enough to stave off a significant increase in temperature.

Millennial_Messiah
08-28-2023, 01:22 PM
looks like 10-day forecast from TWC has gotten more bearish and now we're forecast to have less 100 degree days in the next couple weeks. A lot of 98-99

baseline bum
08-28-2023, 01:54 PM
looks like 10-day forecast from TWC has gotten more bearish and now we're forecast to have less 100 degree days in the next couple weeks. A lot of 98-99

Would be nice, but I doubt it. NOAA's forecasts are more accurate and they're saying to expect 100-102 Wednesday through Sunday.

baseline bum
08-28-2023, 02:02 PM
It's going to be close. The clouds alone without rain might be enough to stave off a significant increase in temperature.

Hit 100 at the airport. Time to bump the fucking thread.

Millennial_Messiah
08-28-2023, 02:10 PM
Would be nice, but I doubt it. NOAA's forecasts are more accurate and they're saying to expect 100-102 Wednesday through Sunday.

That's interesting, considering NOAA is usually less bullish.

Millennial_Messiah
08-28-2023, 02:11 PM
Hit 100 at the airport. Time to bump the fucking thread.

61 days including one unlikely day (today). Nice. :tu

We'll see if it rains or not.

Yes, it's 100 here as well right now.

Millennial_Messiah
08-28-2023, 02:38 PM
I'm still 99 but I hear thunder from the north. Airport is down to 72 and POURING.

I'm probably doomed in a few minutes, expect to lose power.

Millennial_Messiah
08-28-2023, 02:38 PM
Idalia category 1 hurricane... 75 MPH

baseline bum
08-28-2023, 02:50 PM
61 days including one unlikely day (today). Nice. :tu

We'll see if it rains or not.

Yes, it's 100 here as well right now.

70 days of 100+ this year seems like a mortal lock when a cold front can't even get us under 100 in the early afternoon.

Millennial_Messiah
08-28-2023, 03:01 PM
Rain seems to have subsided, and the power didn't go out this time. Not even a flicker. A positive change from the usual CPS crap...

Millennial_Messiah
08-28-2023, 03:01 PM
70 days of 100+ this year seems like a mortal lock when a cold front can't even get us under 100 in the early afternoon.

Good news for cooler weather is that it's almost September. September is the first month of autumn, so we should get some cool days. Especially with the sun setting closer to 7PM than 9PM compared to June/July.

baseline bum
08-28-2023, 03:09 PM
Good news for cooler weather is that it's almost September. September is the first month of autumn, so we should get some cool days. Especially with the sun setting closer to 7PM than 9PM compared to June/July.

Meh sunset doesn't even reach 7:30PM until September 22nd, day after the equinox. Probably will be two to three more weeks of 100s or very close to it.

baseline bum
08-28-2023, 03:14 PM
Good news for cooler weather is that it's almost September. September is the first month of autumn, so we should get some cool days. Especially with the sun setting closer to 7PM than 9PM compared to June/July.

BTW, you see how we're crushing the record for hottest month ever recorded here? Highest monthly average ever was 101.7 in July 2022 and factoring today's high of 100 in gives us an average of 103.333 for the month 28 days in. So we'd need to average a high lower than 88.1 over the next three days to not take the record. :lol

koriwhat
08-28-2023, 03:25 PM
I don't get why the Trump mugshot avatar when you've long told us all that you're the furthest thing from a Trump supporter?

Yes, we need rain

I like to make most of yall cry and it's as easy as posting a photo of Trump. So be it! :lol

GAustex
08-28-2023, 07:53 PM
8 PM and it’s real nice outside
Just saying

baseline bum
08-28-2023, 08:15 PM
Fuck, it actually got to 102 before the rain for today's official high in San Antonio

baseline bum
08-29-2023, 05:14 PM
NOAA's 7-day is all 100-102

https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?CityName=San+Antonio&state=TX&site=EWX&textField1=29.4577&textField2=-98.5054&e=1

Looks like 70 days of 100+ is very much in reach. This forecast gets us to 68 by September 5th.

EDIT: Shit we actually got to 100 today. So this forecast gets us to 69 by September 5th.

baseline bum
08-29-2023, 10:21 PM
Even when the forecast was for a weak TS to a category 1. I expected nothing less than a Cat 3 landfall. Even in an El Nino year, the +AMO (fancy words for a warm Atlantic basin) is too strong. The anticyclone in the upper troposphere above a rapidly developing Idalia will cut through the existing wind shear in the Gulf like a hot knife through butter.

Now forecast to be CAT 4 in the advisory 20 minutes ago


https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT5+shtml/300256.shtml
363
WTNT35 KNHC 300256
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
Hurricane Idalia Advisory Number 14
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102023
1100 PM EDT Tue Aug 29 2023

...IDALIA STILL STRENGTHENING...
...FORECAST TO BE AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 4 INTENSITY AT
LANDFALL...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.7N 84.5W
ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM W OF TAMPA FLORIDA
ABOUT 185 MI...300 KM S OF TALLAHASSEE FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...958 MB...28.29 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Tropical Storm Warning for the Dry Tortugas is discontinued,
and the Tropical Storm Watch for the Lower Florida Keys is
discontinued.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...
* Englewood northward to Indian Pass, including Tampa Bay

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Middle of Longboat Key northward to Indian Pass, including Tampa
Bay

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Chokoloskee northward to the Middle of Longboat Key
* West of Indian Pass to Mexico Beach
* Sebastian Inlet Florida to Surf City North Carolina

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
* Bonita Beach northward to Englewood, including Charlotte Harbour
* Mouth of the St. Mary's River to South Santee River South
Carolina
* Beaufort Inlet to Drum Inlet North Carolina
* Neuse and Pamlico Rivers North Carolina

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Mouth of the St. Mary's River to Edisto Beach South Carolina

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* North of Surf City North Carolina to the North Carolina/Virginia
border
* Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life
and property should be rushed to completion.

A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline,
during the next 36 hours in the indicated locations. For a
depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather
Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation. Persons
located within these areas should take all necessary actions to
protect life and property from rising water and the potential for
other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other
instructions from local officials.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours.
For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather
Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov.

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Additional warnings will likely be required tonight or on Wednesday.

For storm information specific to your area in the United
States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please
monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Idalia was
located near latitude 27.7 North, longitude 84.5 West. Idalia is
moving toward the north near 18 mph (30 km/h). A northward to
north-northeastward motion is expected through tonight, with
Idalia's center forecast to reach the Big Bend coast of Florida on
Wednesday morning. After landfall, the center of Idalia is forecast
to turn toward the northeast and east-northeast, moving near or
along the coasts of Georgia, South Carolina, and North Carolina late
Wednesday and Thursday.

Hurricane Hunter aircraft data indicate that maximum sustained
winds are near 110 mph (175 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional
strengthening is forecast, and Idalia is expected to become a
major hurricane during the next few hours before it reaches the Big
Bend coast of Florida. Idalia is likely to still be a hurricane
while moving across southern Georgia, and possibly when it reaches
the coast of Georgia or southern South Carolina on Wednesday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles
(260 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure based on Hurricane Hunter
aircraft observations is 958 mb (28.29 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Idalia can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO header WTNT45 KNHC,
and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT5.shtml

STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could
reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Wakulla/Jefferson County line, FL to Yankeetown, FL...12-16 ft
Ochlockonee River, FL to Wakulla/Jefferson County line, FL...8-12 ft
Yankeetown to Chassahowitzka, FL...7-11 ft
Chassahowitzka, FL to Anclote River, FL...6-9 ft
Carrabelle, FL to Ochlockonee River, FL...5-8 ft
Anclote River, FL to Middle of Longboat Key, FL...4-6 ft
Tampa Bay...4-6 ft
Middle of Longboat Key, FL to Englewood, FL...3-5 ft
Indian Pass, FL to Carrabelle, FL...3-5 ft
Englewood, FL to Bonita Beach, FL...2-4 ft
Charlotte Harbor...2-4 ft
Mouth of the St. Mary's River to South Santee, SC...2-4 ft
Beaufort Inlet to Drum Inlet, NC...2-4 ft
Pamlico and Neuse Rivers...2-4 ft
South of Bonita Beach to Chokoloskee, FL...1-3 ft
South Santee, SC to Beaufort Inlet, NC...1-3 ft
Drum Inlet to Duck, NC...1-3 ft
Chokoloskee, FL to East Cape Sable, FL...1-3 ft
Flagler/Volusia County Line, FL to Mouth of St. Mary's River...1-3
ft
Indian Pass to Mexico Beach...1 to 3 ft
Florida Keys...1-2 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast in areas of
onshore winds, where the surge will be accompanied by large and
dangerous waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative
timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over
short distances. For information specific to your area, please see
products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast
office.

WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected within the hurricane
warning area in Florida early Wednesday morning, with tropical
storm conditions beginning within the next few hours.

Tropical storm conditions will begin within the tropical storm
warning area along the Florida Gulf coast and the Florida west coast
soon.

Hurricane conditions are possible within the hurricane watch area
along the coasts of Georgia and South Carolina Wednesday and
Wednesday night.

Tropical storm conditions are expected to begin on Wednesday in the
warning area along the east coast of Florida, Georgia, and South
Carolina, and spread into North Carolina Wednesday night and
Thursday. Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch
area in North Carolina by Thursday.

RAINFALL: Idalia is expected to produce a swath of 4 to 8 inches of
rainfall with isolated maxima up to 12 inches from the Florida Big
Bend through central Georgia and South Carolina, and through eastern
North Carolina into Thursday. These rainfall amounts will lead to
areas of flash, urban, and moderate river flooding, with locally
considerable impacts.

SURF: Swells generated by Idalia are affecting the southwestern
coast of Florida and will spread northward and westward to the
north-central Gulf coast through Wednesday. These swells are
likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Please consult products from your local weather office.

TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible tonight from the coast of
west-central Florida northward into the Florida Big Bend region.
The tornado risk will shift into southeast Georgia and the coastal
Carolinas on Wednesday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM EDT.
Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

baseline bum
08-30-2023, 01:04 PM
Already 97 at 1PM. Stone cold lock for 100 then.

Millennial_Messiah
08-30-2023, 01:16 PM
Already 97 at 1PM. Stone cold lock for 100 then.

Not a stone cold lock. TWC still saying only 99F for high.

Also, Idalia flung a 100-year-old mega oak tree ...... directly into the Florida governor's mansion in Tallahassee. I guess the weather gods telling Desantis something? Nobody was injured, but the building will need major repairs.

baseline bum
08-30-2023, 01:59 PM
Not a stone cold lock. TWC still saying only 99F for high.

Also, Idalia flung a 100-year-old mega oak tree ...... directly into the Florida governor's mansion in Tallahassee. I guess the weather gods telling Desantis something? Nobody was injured, but the building will need major repairs.

99 at 2PM. Probably end up 102 or so for the high.

baseline bum
08-30-2023, 04:12 PM
Not a stone cold lock. TWC still saying only 99F for high.

Also, Idalia flung a 100-year-old mega oak tree ...... directly into the Florida governor's mansion in Tallahassee. I guess the weather gods telling Desantis something? Nobody was injured, but the building will need major repairs.

100 again

https://w1.weather.gov/data/obhistory/KSAT.html

Millennial_Messiah
08-30-2023, 04:42 PM
The march to 70 continues

1. 63 days and counting in 2023 as of August 30th
2. 59 days in 2009
3. 58 days in 2022
4. 57 days in 2011
5. 41 days in 2013
6. 36 days in 2020
6. 36 days in 1998
8. 33 days in 1948


https://c.tenor.com/MYZgsN2TDJAAAAAC/this-is.gif

I expect this to be an unprecedented outlier, rather than a long-term trend, similar to the 2005 Atlantic hurricane season.

Also, similar to the 2005 hurricane season, the 2004 hurricane season was also among one of the next-worse, similar to how 2022 heat in Texas was among the next-worse tier beyond the all-time hottest year in 2023.

We will likely get to 70 100+ days. 2023 will go down as THE outlier, the exception to the rule. The cool-ish 2024 will surprise everyone including the extreme climate alarmists.

baseline bum
08-30-2023, 05:00 PM
I expect this to be an unprecedented outlier, rather than a long-term trend, similar to the 2005 Atlantic hurricane season.

Also, similar to the 2005 hurricane season, the 2004 hurricane season was also among one of the next-worse, similar to how 2022 heat in Texas was among the next-worse tier beyond the all-time hottest year in 2023.

We will likely get to 70 100+ days. 2023 will go down as THE outlier, the exception to the rule. The cool-ish 2024 will surprise everyone including the extreme climate alarmists.

LOL calling it an outlier when it's a lock to be the second year in a row of the hottest summer ever recorded here and the current capstone to a 15 year trend of major warming.

GAustex
08-30-2023, 07:43 PM
What a nice evening

baseline bum
08-30-2023, 09:10 PM
Unless our high is 61 or below tomorrow, August 2023 goes down as the hottest month ever recorded in San Antonio

monosylab1k
08-31-2023, 08:51 AM
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LUy2Wx_r0_w

Millennial_Messiah
08-31-2023, 01:17 PM
Unless our high is 61 or below tomorrow, August 2023 goes down as the hottest month ever recorded in San Antonio

August 2023 is officially the Hottest Month in the History of San Antonio, Texas USA.


Though, airport unlikely to get to 100 today

baseline bum
08-31-2023, 02:54 PM
Though, airport unlikely to get to 100 today

99 at 2:55PM. It'll probably get there. If it stops at 100 today it'll make August's average high 103 on the dot.

baseline bum
08-31-2023, 03:09 PM
August 2023 is officially the Hottest Month in the History of San Antonio, Texas USA.


Though, airport unlikely to get to 100 today

And it's 100 now at the airport at 3:08

baseline bum
09-01-2023, 07:41 AM
August 2023 is officially the Hottest Month in the History of San Antonio, Texas USA.


Though, airport unlikely to get to 100 today

Fuck 70 days, 80 may even be within reach with us at 64 already and this forecast

https://i.ibb.co/yq2Q093/fk70.png

baseline bum
09-05-2023, 01:42 PM
Fucking 104 back on Friday :pctoss

pgardn
09-05-2023, 05:26 PM
Fucking 104 back on Friday :pctoss

Im measuring 102.5 with 33% humidity.
Thats death for a long ride. Not going.

I fkn cant stand being inside during most of work and then I cant exercise outside.
This is getting absolutely stupid. A couple more years of this and Im out of this state.
And I really like San Antonio and the great bike trail and swimming facilities.
And summer fishing on the kayak on a very inconsistent basis because its unbearable. Thats the icing for leaving. Gotta figure out where.

Family meeting!

Millennial_Messiah
09-05-2023, 06:14 PM
Im measuring 102.5 with 33% humidity.
Thats death for a long ride. Not going.

I fkn cant stand being inside during most of work and then I cant exercise outside.
This is getting absolutely stupid. A couple more years of this and Im out of this state.
And I really like San Antonio and the great bike trail and swimming facilities.
And summer fishing on the kayak on a very inconsistent basis because its unbearable. Thats the icing for leaving. Gotta figure out where.

Family meeting!

It's great for like 4 months out of the year, still

Millennial_Messiah
09-05-2023, 06:15 PM
Fucking 104 back on Friday :pctoss

Looks like there is some relief at the end of the tunnel though. No more 100 degree days after September 10th.

baseline bum
09-05-2023, 07:18 PM
Looks like there is some relief at the end of the tunnel though. No more 100 degree days after September 10th.

Hope so but Days 8-14 are way less accurate than Days 1-7 on a forecast.

baseline bum
09-06-2023, 08:29 AM
Ugh morning dewpoint is 78

baseline bum
09-18-2023, 01:27 PM
Looks like there is some relief at the end of the tunnel though. No more 100 degree days after September 10th.

Weather.com would like a word :pctoss

https://i.ibb.co/p2dmtkv/fking-serious.png

Millennial_Messiah
09-18-2023, 06:35 PM
Weather.com would like a word :pctoss

https://i.ibb.co/p2dmtkv/fking-serious.png

I'm in Michigan right now and the high today was 66 and overcast and tomorrow it's 68. I'm going hiking after I get done with my lawyer appointment and matchmaker appointment. Feel free to hate me.

Mark Celibate
09-18-2023, 07:37 PM
:lol matchmaker appointment?

Millennial_Messiah
09-19-2023, 06:24 AM
:lol matchmaker appointment?

yeah, to get a good looking white fit michigan wife my age/height who can cook.

Millennial_Messiah
09-19-2023, 06:24 AM
43 degrees right now in Grand Rapids. Eat me, Shitexas.

Millennial_Messiah
09-19-2023, 06:25 AM
:lol matchmaker appointment?

Definitely better than staying single, no?

Millennial_Messiah
09-19-2023, 06:25 AM
42 in your neck of the woods in Montana Mark Celibate

Millennial_Messiah
09-19-2023, 06:26 AM
I want to move up here full time. I'd even brave the 2 months of very harsh winter in exchange for eighty-sixing the 7-8 months of brutal hot summer.

Thread
09-19-2023, 08:05 AM
yeah, to get a good looking white fit michigan wife my age/height who can cook.

If she's free of vices, and can/will cook for you, grab her, Ange.

baseline bum
09-19-2023, 10:28 AM
43 degrees right now in Grand Rapids. Eat me, Shitexas.

Ugh our high is supposed to be 89 this time of year

https://i.ibb.co/nnvDdfd/fck.png

Mark Celibate
09-19-2023, 01:58 PM
Definitely better than staying single, no?

Somewhat

Guys who are always single year after year usually either are autistic and have weird habits or develop them due to being isolated all the time.

however, there’s nothing faggier than a “man” who always has to be in a relationship to be happy or constantly bragging about “muh wife” who is likely fat with no redeeming characteristics about her.


the real “Chad” move is to go the black culture route and impregnate multiple baby mommas and never having a relationship with the kid. Spread your seed but ample amounts of money to where child support barely makes a dent in the wallet while still having the free time to do what you want :smokin

Millennial_Messiah
09-20-2023, 10:27 AM
Somewhat

Guys who are always single year after year usually either are autistic and have weird habits or develop them due to being isolated all the time.

however, there’s nothing faggier than a “man” who always has to be in a relationship to be happy or constantly bragging about “muh wife” who is likely fat with no redeeming characteristics about her.


the real “Chad” move is to go the black culture route and impregnate multiple baby mommas and never having a relationship with the kid. Spread your seed but ample amounts of money to where child support barely makes a dent in the wallet while still having the free time to do what you want :smokin

:lol

sadly, that's been my life for a few years now, but just with one child with a black ex

Millennial_Messiah
09-20-2023, 10:28 AM
Ugh our high is supposed to be 89 this time of year

https://i.ibb.co/nnvDdfd/fck.png

Currently in Wisconsin heading west

-> MN -> SD -> WY -> UT -> NV -> UT -> CO -> NM -> TX

I'll be back in Texas this Sunday/Monday, not looking forward to it. :td

Millennial_Messiah
09-20-2023, 10:30 AM
If she's free of vices, and can/will cook for you, grab her, Ange.

Absolutely. Dropped 3 stacks on a matchmaker (in person, a really good one, 5 star better business bureau one with a real matchmaker who's a conservative in the Grand Rapids Michigan area, and not that online/ "its just lunch" scammy matchmaker bullcrap) -- I hope it shall be worth it.

Millennial_Messiah
09-20-2023, 10:31 AM
however, there’s nothing faggier than a “man” who always has to be in a relationship to be happy or constantly bragging about “muh wife” who is likely fat with no redeeming characteristics about her.

though admittedly it's not faggy to brag about it when she's hot as fuck and you're clearly the hottest couple in the club by a country mile like me with my tall, pasty, dark hair and beautiful last ex on by birthday this past March in Fat Antonio tbh. The Martini bar on the North side near Castle Hills and North Star Mall.

Millennial_Messiah
09-20-2023, 10:32 AM
Have gotten 2 solid nights' sleep in the car in IL and WI two of the last three days sandwiched around a hotel stay in Michigan. Probably trucking straight through tonight sleeping in turns and then we'll be able to check in the southwest Wyoming hotel by 3pm tomorrow MDT.

Thread
09-20-2023, 10:45 AM
Absolutely. Dropped 3 stacks on a matchmaker (in person, a really good one, 5 star better business bureau one with a real matchmaker who's a conservative in the Grand Rapids Michigan area, and not that online/ "its just lunch" scammy matchmaker bullcrap) -- I hope it shall be worth it.

Hope it works out for you, fellow. You've been thru a wringer that's for certain.

Mark Celibate
09-20-2023, 01:31 PM
though admittedly it's not faggy to brag about it when she's hot as fuck and you're clearly the hottest couple in the club by a country mile like me with my tall, pasty, dark hair and beautiful last ex on by birthday this past March in Fat Antonio tbh. The Martini bar on the North side near Castle Hills and North Star Mall.

meh, “hottest couple” thing is overrated tbh. You’ll just attract douchebags or , in my case, short f@gs just try to start sh1t with you. Just find a good loyal one, and don’t try to be mr and mrs Instagram influencer.

also, be careful. These days women know men are getting tired of the SJW/thotting around stuff and are pretending to be “conservative” and wanting to bring back “traditional values” :lol just another way to pull the wool over your eyes. I’m seeing someone now, but before that I had several dates and was seeing a serious uptick in generic phrases like “men are men, women are women” and “fathers are important , we need more fathers” etc…they’ve got a sixth sense in keeping up with the times and feeding men up to date bullsh1t rofl

Millennial_Messiah
09-23-2023, 10:24 AM
meh, “hottest couple” thing is overrated tbh. You’ll just attract douchebags or , in my case, short f@gs just try to start sh1t with you. Just find a good loyal one, and don’t try to be mr and mrs Instagram influencer.

also, be careful. These days women know men are getting tired of the SJW/thotting around stuff and are pretending to be “conservative” and wanting to bring back “traditional values” :lol just another way to pull the wool over your eyes. I’m seeing someone now, but before that I had several dates and was seeing a serious uptick in generic phrases like “men are men, women are women” and “fathers are important , we need more fathers” etc…they’ve got a sixth sense in keeping up with the times and feeding men up to date bullsh1t rofl

there's a difference between buying a cheap online dating subscription like match or eharmony vs. investing several thousand into a legitimate matchmaker service with unlimited hold time imo.

I'm in Denver today and the weather is pleasant. Yesterday in Rock Springs Wyoming and even more pleasant. Driving back to hell later today. :cry

Millennial_Messiah
09-23-2023, 10:24 AM
49 degree low in Denver (Aurora CO), 54 right now

Millennial_Messiah
09-23-2023, 10:25 AM
Mark Celibate

are you still living/spending summers in Montana? Or did you have to move back to DFW which is basically hell to succumb and comply to big corporate's "RTO" (return to office) policy yet?

I will never comply

Millennial_Messiah
09-23-2023, 10:26 AM
I, for one, will never comply

Fuck BigCorp, BigDonor, BigTech, BigPharma etc :toast #based :tu

Mark Celibate
09-23-2023, 10:43 AM
Mark Celibate (https://www.spurstalk.com/forums/member.php?u=49544)

are you still living/spending summers in Montana? Or did you have to move back to DFW which is basically hell to succumb and comply to big corporate's "RTO" (return to office) policy yet?

I will never comply

:lmao:lmao:lmao:lmao:lmao

sons, I'd rather cut off my testicles with a malaria-infested rusted knife...yes, I'm still 100% remote in Montana. Despite getting lectured by Gen Z recruiters about how I'm missing out on all these great $50k a year, 5 days onsite, 24/7 oncall jobs in the Utopia that is the Big D - Dallas, TX...I think I made the right move. :lol funny thing is all these recruiters that call me and tell me how great Dallas, TX is, don't even live there rofl

As the Gen Xers/Boomers continue to retire, there's very few Millenials or Zoomers in my field so I have the leverage to laugh and hang up the phone anytime somebody mentions "onsite". I actually did fly back to DFW recently, as soon as I went outside the airport there were two homeless looking black guys with their pants down in a boxing match arguing about which one was "blacker" than the other....also, I noticed every white male had this "I want to shoot myself" look on their face. It's amazing the lengths the white man will go to torture himself: living in the sh!ttiest areas, horrible bosses, horrible jobs, etc just to preserve hope that their fat wives MAY blow them twice a year

baseline bum
09-23-2023, 11:38 AM
49 degree low in Denver (Aurora CO), 54 right now

Fucking 100 forecast here today and tomorrow

https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=29.5338&lon=-98.47

Millennial_Messiah
09-24-2023, 06:27 AM
Fucking 100 forecast here today and tomorrow

https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=29.5338&lon=-98.47

I just made it back to hell. It's yucky outside, but fortunately inside much better than last year coming back overnight of July 5th into 6th, because I had set the AC at 77 degrees instead of 85 like last year.

It really isn't worth it to save a few dollars on the electric bill at the end of the return journey of a big long road trip.

Millennial_Messiah
09-24-2023, 06:29 AM
:lmao:lmao:lmao:lmao:lmao

sons, I'd rather cut off my testicles with a malaria-infested rusted knife...yes, I'm still 100% remote in Montana. Despite getting lectured by Gen Z recruiters about how I'm missing out on all these great $50k a year, 5 days onsite, 24/7 oncall jobs in the Utopia that is the Big D - Dallas, TX...I think I made the right move. :lol funny thing is all these recruiters that call me and tell me how great Dallas, TX is, don't even live there rofl

As the Gen Xers/Boomers continue to retire, there's very few Millenials or Zoomers in my field so I have the leverage to laugh and hang up the phone anytime somebody mentions "onsite". I actually did fly back to DFW recently, as soon as I went outside the airport there were two homeless looking black guys with their pants down in a boxing match arguing about which one was "blacker" than the other....also, I noticed every white male had this "I want to shoot myself" look on their face. It's amazing the lengths the white man will go to torture himself: living in the sh!ttiest areas, horrible bosses, horrible jobs, etc just to preserve hope that their fat wives MAY blow them twice a year

Where do you fly out of in Montana? I didn't get up that far this year around but I was in Wyoming. my wifi and t-mobile phone do awful in that part of the country.

Dirks_Finale
09-24-2023, 07:30 AM
:lmao:lmao:lmao:lmao:lmao

sons, I'd rather cut off my testicles with a malaria-infested rusted knife...yes, I'm still 100% remote in Montana. Despite getting lectured by Gen Z recruiters about how I'm missing out on all these great $50k a year, 5 days onsite, 24/7 oncall jobs in the Utopia that is the Big D - Dallas, TX...I think I made the right move. :lol funny thing is all these recruiters that call me and tell me how great Dallas, TX is, don't even live there rofl

As the Gen Xers/Boomers continue to retire, there's very few Millenials or Zoomers in my field so I have the leverage to laugh and hang up the phone anytime somebody mentions "onsite". I actually did fly back to DFW recently, as soon as I went outside the airport there were two homeless looking black guys with their pants down in a boxing match arguing about which one was "blacker" than the other....also, I noticed every white male had this "I want to shoot myself" look on their face. It's amazing the lengths the white man will go to torture himself: living in the sh!ttiest areas, horrible bosses, horrible jobs, etc just to preserve hope that their fat wives MAY blow them twice a year

It's amazing to me how many people never leave their f#ckin block or never even consider leaving.

Montana sounds super peaceful. After years of living in a vagrant-infested big city, I now understand why people GTFO and go hibernate up there. Don't know about those winters though.

Mark Celibate
09-24-2023, 09:20 AM
Where do you fly out of in Montana? I didn't get up that far this year around but I was in Wyoming. my wifi and t-mobile phone do awful in that part of the country.

Glacier Park International in Kalispell and then usually to Salt Lake City as the connector...

Mark Celibate
09-24-2023, 09:23 AM
It's amazing to me how many people never leave their f#ckin block or never even consider leaving.

Montana sounds super peaceful. After years of living in a vagrant-infested big city, I now understand why people GTFO and go hibernate up there. Don't know about those winters though.

Ya, there's a good majority of whites that just love being tortured for some reason. got a liberal friend in Houston, every day or so he gets a Nextdoor neighborhood alert of another person shot within 10 miles of his apartment...car broken into twice since he moved in 4 months ago and he's paying almost $2000/month. for some reason, he just ignores it and pretends its paradise gives me sh!t, for being in "bumf*ck Montana" :lol selfishly, I'm glad there's plenty of people like that to keep the White Flight population low up here. But I will say, people in California are moving here in droves, I got in just time but housing prices have soared just over the last two years. Locals hate people from the West Coast tbh

baseline bum
09-24-2023, 01:43 PM
I just made it back to hell. It's yucky outside, but fortunately inside much better than last year coming back overnight of July 5th into 6th, because I had set the AC at 77 degrees instead of 85 like last year.

It really isn't worth it to save a few dollars on the electric bill at the end of the return journey of a big long road trip.

Stopped at 99 yesterday but no way we're not hitting 100 today when it's 97 at 1:30. This will definitely end up Day 75 of 100+ for 2023 and one of the latest 100+ days ever recorded here. I think the latest day to ever hit 100 in SA was September 26th, 2011.

baseline bum
09-24-2023, 03:01 PM
I just made it back to hell. It's yucky outside, but fortunately inside much better than last year coming back overnight of July 5th into 6th, because I had set the AC at 77 degrees instead of 85 like last year.

It really isn't worth it to save a few dollars on the electric bill at the end of the return journey of a big long road trip.

Just hit 100 a little before 3PM. Dew point is still fucking 69 too for a heat index of 107.

Millennial_Messiah
09-24-2023, 04:51 PM
Just hit 100 a little before 3PM. Dew point is still fucking 69 too for a heat index of 107.

Showing as 101 now with high forecast of 102 but now it's showing that it's going to rain later today.

Millennial_Messiah
09-25-2023, 10:00 AM
Forecast high 93 or 94 every day baseline bum from here through fucking October 10th.

:pctoss

It's frickin' FALL, for crying out loud!!

And ya wonder why I was in Michigan this time of year both last year and 2021. This time I'm stuck in SA and there's no going outside. FML.

Millennial_Messiah
09-25-2023, 10:01 AM
For a healthy, active, roughly 30 year old guy like me, not getting to go outdoors for long periods of time is like being in prison.

At least I did get to go hiking in MI/WI/WY/CO last week so not too much complaining. But a lot of driving too. My mom came with, so we at least drove in turns. Too bad my first-half-of-2023 GF Amanda dumped me in June, oh well.

Millennial_Messiah
09-25-2023, 10:02 AM
It's sticky, pea fucking soup out there. It's fall, not a sauna.

Fuck San Antonio.

Mark Celibate
09-25-2023, 11:09 AM
:lol how can you be fit and healthy but not be able to go outside in 93 degree weather?

baseline bum
09-25-2023, 12:26 PM
Forecast high 93 or 94 every day baseline bum from here through fucking October 10th.

:pctoss

It's frickin' FALL, for crying out loud!!

And ya wonder why I was in Michigan this time of year both last year and 2021. This time I'm stuck in SA and there's no going outside. FML.

Probably will find some way to sneak a 100 in for October this year because why not? We have slayed every other heat record in 2023.

Millennial_Messiah
09-25-2023, 02:43 PM
:lol how can you be fit and healthy but not be able to go outside in 93 degree weather?

Genetics, I melt in the heat, so does my mom, so does most of my family except for one random uncle (he's dead, he killed himself) of my mom's who liked to crank the heat up to 86 degrees in the summer time whenever he'd visit San Antonio from his home in Phoenix.

I can shovel snow shirtless in 7 degree Wisconsin winter days for hours though. Each person is different I guess. I'm comfortable sleeping naked at 60 degrees, always have had to fight most girlfriends except two over that issue.

Millennial_Messiah
09-25-2023, 02:43 PM
Probably will find some way to sneak a 100 in for October this year because why not? We have slayed every other heat record in 2023.

100 for October would be unprecedented.

The 100 on Feb. 29, 2000 was caused by a solar flare at solar maximum.

baseline bum
09-25-2023, 02:57 PM
100 for October would be unprecedented.


So was 60 days of 100+ in a year and we're at 75 now

baseline bum
09-25-2023, 07:24 PM
Every single time they forecast rain we get nothing but heat instead. Supposed to have an inch and a half about a week or week and a half ago, got absolutely nothing. Supposed to get an inch over yesterday and today, got the most minimal drizzle last night for a minute or two and that was it.

GAustex
09-25-2023, 07:26 PM
Got 3 inches of rain last night
Huge down pour
High winds
And hail in some place pretty large hail

baseline bum
09-25-2023, 08:04 PM
Got 3 inches of rain last night
Huge down pour
High winds
And hail in some place pretty large hail

I got enough drizzle to make the pizza box I set out for the trash last night a little damp.

rascal
09-29-2023, 01:20 PM
Still in the 90s in San Antonio. Right into October

rascal
09-29-2023, 01:23 PM
:lol how can you be fit and healthy but not be able to go outside in 93 degree weather?

93 is miserable heat. Anything over 79 is not comfortable to me. I like it cool.

GAustex
09-29-2023, 02:43 PM
My garden finally popped and the hummingbirds and butterflies are flocking

Millennial_Messiah
10-01-2023, 03:53 PM
Looks like we're going to have a prototype ultra-wet monsoonal El Nino October, baseline bum. (https://www.spurstalk.com/forums/member.php?u=14942)

October 1st starts out with a bang with TREMENDOUS rain showers in SATX, and the pumpkin is stuffed with rain days ahead in the 15-day forecast.

baseline bum
10-01-2023, 04:18 PM
Looks like we're going to have a prototype ultra-wet monsoonal El Nino October, baseline bum. (https://www.spurstalk.com/forums/member.php?u=14942)

October 1st starts out with a bang with TREMENDOUS rain showers in SATX, and the pumpkin is stuffed with rain days ahead in the 15-day forecast.

??? There is no rain in San Antonio right now. South and west of town there are some storms but they're all traveling NW anyways.

koriwhat
10-01-2023, 05:42 PM
Damn we need rain so bad... We def don't need any hail though.

pgardn
10-01-2023, 07:59 PM
??? There is no rain in San Antonio right now. South and west of town there are some storms but they're all traveling NW anyways.

We need rain in the worst way. Native Trees my father has never seen in trouble are dying.
If we get another cold winter coupled with two years of super excessive heat there is going to be unprecedented die off in San Antonio.
This is fkn ridiculous. His 30 year old tangerine trees (non native) are done as well. Dead. Austin meanwhile is getting much more precipitation. Luckily there has been rain over the important acquirer areas so we have avoided really drastic measures. That along with conservation. The city has got to keep up with all the old leaking water lines though. They are cracking underground due to excessive heat and little ground moisture. City is gonna have problems keeping up with repairs as these changes to climate continue to persist.

leemajors
10-02-2023, 08:06 AM
We need rain in the worst way. Native Trees my father has never seen in trouble are dying.
If we get another cold winter coupled with two years of super excessive heat there is going to be unprecedented die off in San Antonio.
This is fkn ridiculous. His 30 year old tangerine trees (non native) are done as well. Dead. Austin meanwhile is getting much more precipitation. Luckily there has been rain over the important acquirer areas so we have avoided really drastic measures. That along with conservation. The city has got to keep up with all the old leaking water lines though. They are cracking underground due to excessive heat and little ground moisture. City is gonna have problems keeping up with repairs as these changes to climate continue to persist.

We got one day with a couple of inches, just enough for a quick greenup that's about it.

baseline bum
10-04-2023, 05:40 PM
So it's 97 today and extremely humid. If we don't good rain out of this front tonight I don't know when the fuck we ever will.

baseline bum
10-04-2023, 05:40 PM
We need rain in the worst way. Native Trees my father has never seen in trouble are dying.
If we get another cold winter coupled with two years of super excessive heat there is going to be unprecedented die off in San Antonio.
This is fkn ridiculous. His 30 year old tangerine trees (non native) are done as well. Dead. Austin meanwhile is getting much more precipitation. Luckily there has been rain over the important acquirer areas so we have avoided really drastic measures. That along with conservation. The city has got to keep up with all the old leaking water lines though. They are cracking underground due to excessive heat and little ground moisture. City is gonna have problems keeping up with repairs as these changes to climate continue to persist.

My yard hasn't even gone to dirt, it's gone to dust in areas that aren't well shaded after two years of exceptional drought. :lol

Extra Stout
10-05-2023, 12:05 PM
So it's 97 today and extremely humid. If we don't good rain out of this front tonight I don't know when the fuck we ever will.
So 2023 is sort of a preview of what things will be like mid-century. The anomalies are crazy. September globally was 1.8 C hotter than the pre-industrial average.

The climate scientists I read stated that this is a combination of a strong El Niño and the massive amount of water vapor flung into the atmosphere by the Tonga underwater volcano. It’s superimposed upon climate change, but even so 2023 is anomalous and that’s why.

Or, they’re wrong, we’ve hit a tipping point, runaway climate change is in progress at 0.5 C per year, and human beings along with most other life on earth will be extinct by 2050.

NASpurs
10-06-2023, 04:18 PM
:lol Wtf happened to the cool front

koriwhat
10-06-2023, 04:28 PM
:lol Wtf happened to the cool front

We were lied to just like in 2020. :lmao

baseline bum
10-06-2023, 04:43 PM
:lol Wtf happened to the cool front

??? It's like 85 at nearly 5PM. The second cold front that drops our highs into the 70s for a couple of days doesn't come until tonight.

pgardn
10-06-2023, 08:25 PM
We got one day with a couple of inches, just enough for a quick greenup that's about it.

I got some friends who live off Shwarengen sp? close to the soccer stadium and that neighborhood looks like a tropical rainforest compared to my NW SA neighborhood.
They have definitely got more rain than we have over the summer. They did whiff on the rain that we got most recently.

GAustex
10-06-2023, 08:51 PM
I dated a gal who lived off of Swearingen back in the good old days
Good times

pgardn
10-06-2023, 08:57 PM
I dated a gal who lived off of Swearingen back in the good old days
Good times

This neighborhood is full of young couples with heavy stroller traffic.
The Park at Walnut Creek.

Thread
10-07-2023, 08:01 AM
This neighborhood is full of young couples with heavy stroller traffic.
The Park at Walnut Creek.


...you're over there sniffin' dirty diapers, ya sicky, you.

baseline bum
10-19-2023, 03:24 PM
Ugh back in the 90s again

Millennial_Messiah
02-22-2024, 11:53 AM
BUMP

Millennial_Messiah
02-22-2024, 11:54 AM
Upper 70s and 80s all week and it's still February heading into March. Very above average. Mid spring like. Yes we did have 100 on February 29, 2000 and it was also near the solar maximum then.

baseline bum
02-22-2024, 01:12 PM
Upper 70s and 80s all week and it's still February heading into March. Very above average. Mid spring like. Yes we did have 100 on February 29, 2000 and it was also near the solar maximum then.

Probably going back to La Nina for the fourth year in five this summer

Millennial_Messiah
02-22-2024, 01:56 PM
Probably going back to La Nina for the fourth year in five this summer

looking more like Neutral, but 2005 was neutral and we saw how that went especially for the hurricane season.

there's also this

https://www.ospo.noaa.gov/data/cb/ssta/ssta.daily.current.png

RECORD hot sea surface temperatures for this time of year in the tropical Atlantic, particularly the main development region. It's way too early and we still have the el nino prevailing pattern in the Pacific and the spring unpredictability barrier, but it's been trending cooler in the Pacific and I'm gonna say we have a pretty massively epic Atlantic hurricane season 2024 which will do something to the election too so stay tuned.

baseline bum
02-22-2024, 02:12 PM
looking more like Neutral, but 2005 was neutral and we saw how that went especially for the hurricane season.

there's also this

https://www.ospo.noaa.gov/data/cb/ssta/ssta.daily.current.png

RECORD hot sea surface temperatures for this time of year in the tropical Atlantic, particularly the main development region. It's way too early and we still have the el nino prevailing pattern in the Pacific and the spring unpredictability barrier, but it's been trending cooler in the Pacific and I'm gonna say we have a pretty massively epic Atlantic hurricane season 2024 which will do something to the election too so stay tuned.

They're saying 80% chance of neutral spring, 55% La Nina summer

Millennial_Messiah
02-22-2024, 02:28 PM
They're saying 80% chance of neutral spring, 55% La Nina summer

I'm seeing the SOI (southern oscillation index) with a less radical spike than say 2010 which went from El Nino straight to La Nina in a hurry that spring. It's more analogous to the softer, smoother shift that we saw in say 2005.

My best guess is El Nino continues to steadily weaken through spring, arrive at Neutral by roughly late May/early June, favor Neutral in summer and peak hurricane season, and trend towards La Nina by roughly October.

Blake
02-22-2024, 03:20 PM
I'm seeing the SOI (southern oscillation index) with a less radical spike than say 2010 which went from El Nino straight to La Nina in a hurry that spring. It's more analogous to the softer, smoother shift that we saw in say 2005.

My best guess is El Nino continues to steadily weaken through spring, arrive at Neutral by roughly late May/early June, favor Neutral in summer and peak hurricane season, and trend towards La Nina by roughly October.

Your best guesses have been pretty funny

baseline bum
02-22-2024, 04:44 PM
Ugh we're going to get in the 90s today aren't we?

Millennial_Messiah
02-26-2024, 01:53 PM
Ugh we're going to get in the 90s today aren't we?

Jeez, another 90 degree forecast day today

One more cool snap coming Wednesday-Thursday and then right back to the mid to late spring like heat. Ugh.

I need to go north.

baseline bum
02-26-2024, 03:37 PM
Jeez, another 90 degree forecast day today

One more cool snap coming Wednesday-Thursday and then right back to the mid to late spring like heat. Ugh.

I need to go north.

At least last week it was with low humidity when we were nearly 20 degrees above average. Today we get the humidity too. Ugh this is going to be another ridiculous summer when we're getting this kind of weather in fucking February.

Millennial_Messiah
02-26-2024, 07:57 PM
At least last week it was with low humidity when we were nearly 20 degrees above average. Today we get the humidity too. Ugh this is going to be another ridiculous summer when we're getting this kind of weather in fucking February.

Even Michigan and Minnesota are getting 60s in February

Millennial_Messiah
02-26-2024, 09:15 PM
Dang, even Fort Worth is gonna hit 90 tomorrow with high humidity!

baseline bum
03-04-2024, 08:01 AM
Ugh fucking 91 tomorrow

Millennial_Messiah
03-05-2024, 02:32 PM
I'm in Minnesota until Friday, so joke's on y'all this week!

Millennial_Messiah
03-05-2024, 02:33 PM
Ugh fucking 91 tomorrow

honestly, Ouch. tbh.

Millennial_Messiah
03-05-2024, 02:33 PM
When I get back this weekend it'll be in the 60s in SA. Lovely.

baseline bum
03-05-2024, 02:53 PM
When I get back this weekend it'll be in the 60s in SA. Lovely.

Fucking 90 already at 2PM like we were in May or June

Millennial_Messiah
03-05-2024, 03:08 PM
Fucking 90 already at 2PM like we were in May or June

May or June like 2007 or something like that from teenage hood. It's 2024 and we are experiencing exponential global warming. I was in Michigan 2 days ago and the high was upper 60s and low exactly 50, and when I was on Main Street in downtown Royal Oak there was a Free Gaza protest convoy rally with muslim dudes in tank tops in the back of pickup trucks and motorcycles... :lol

Millennial_Messiah
03-05-2024, 03:09 PM
fortunately in Minnesota it's highs in the 40s, lows soft freezing next few days... driving back Friday

baseline bum
03-05-2024, 04:21 PM
May or June like 2007 or something like that from teenage hood. It's 2024 and we are experiencing exponential global warming. I was in Michigan 2 days ago and the high was upper 60s and low exactly 50, and when I was on Main Street in downtown Royal Oak there was a Free Gaza protest convoy rally with muslim dudes in tank tops in the back of pickup trucks and motorcycles... :lol

I prob shouldn't say like May or June since in May dewpoints would be around 65 and June around 75 on a typical day that gets to 91, whereas right now the dewpoint is like 35. So a Phoenix spring day kind of 91 degrees. Still sucks turning AC on in early March though.

Millennial_Messiah
03-05-2024, 08:16 PM
I prob shouldn't say like May or June since in May dewpoints would be around 65 and June around 75 on a typical day that gets to 91, whereas right now the dewpoint is like 35. So a Phoenix spring day kind of 91 degrees. Still sucks turning AC on in early March though.

I've been to Phoenix for a spurs game in April 2003 the one that ended in a Jake Voskuhl (?!?) game winner. It was like that. 90 for the high but very dry and as soon as the sun went down and we got outside the stadium it was like 55 with a decent breeze. So not bad at all.

Millennial_Messiah
03-05-2024, 08:17 PM
At least it's dry heat... for now. May/June is a tropical swamp and July/August is like living in Dubai.

pgardn
03-05-2024, 08:27 PM
The temp was high but the humidity low, made for an okay evening.
Still should not be 91

Millennial_Messiah
03-11-2024, 04:08 PM
I was miserable at Fiesta Texas today and it's only in the 70s. Ugh. Texas sucks.

baseline bum
03-11-2024, 04:15 PM
I was miserable at Fiesta Texas today and it's only in the 70s. Ugh. Texas sucks.

Dew point is like 51 today, this is pretty nice for San Antonio. Wednesday when 87 is forecast will be pretty shitty though. This is going to be a third record breaking summer in a row isn't it?

Millennial_Messiah
03-11-2024, 04:27 PM
Dew point is like 51 today, this is pretty nice for San Antonio. Wednesday when 87 is forecast will be pretty shitty though. This is going to be a third record breaking summer in a row isn't it?

Idk but I'm bailing north in early-mid April after the eclipse. Can't take it anymore.

Millennial_Messiah
03-15-2024, 11:22 AM
So this winter/spring is both wet AND hot. Yuck. Worst of both worlds. Give me La Nina every year. Except for the wasps in the house part.

Get ready we're going to have very severe thunderstorms this afternoon. baseline bum

baseline bum
03-15-2024, 01:02 PM
So this winter/spring is both wet AND hot. Yuck. Worst of both worlds. Give me La Nina every year. Except for the wasps in the house part.

Get ready we're going to have very severe thunderstorms this afternoon. baseline bum

62% chance of La Nina summer, 83% chance of neutral spring

Millennial_Messiah
03-15-2024, 01:05 PM
62% chance of La Nina summer, 83% chance of neutral spring

problem is, in meteorological / NOAA terms "summer" is A-S-O and "spring" is M-J-J, while in San Antonio "spring" is typically M-A-M and it looks like we're in for some severe storms with heat and insufferable humidity mixed in like it's May already.

Millennial_Messiah
03-15-2024, 01:09 PM
2020 and 2021 were technically La Nina's and yet San Antonio/Texas had severe storms and deluges deep into the end of May those years, with tornado watches/warnings, hail, and the whole nine yards. Behaved much more like Neutral or El Nino.

2022, 2011 were actually the La Nina's that behaved like they should. Hot and dry May and not stormy here. Of course 2011 was a record tornado season in the south and lower midwest but that didn't affect us. The severe storms traversed around the big old heat high parked around SA-Austin that spring.

baseline bum
03-15-2024, 01:25 PM
problem is, in meteorological / NOAA terms "summer" is A-S-O and "spring" is M-J-J, while in San Antonio "spring" is typically M-A-M and it looks like we're in for some severe storms with heat and insufferable humidity mixed in like it's May already.

They're saying 62% chance of La Nina June-August and 82% chance of neutral April-June.

Millennial_Messiah
03-15-2024, 01:32 PM
They're saying 62% chance of La Nina June-August and 82% chance of neutral April-June.

It'd be a very quick turnaround because SSTs are still well above average in the equatorial Pacific:

https://www.ospo.noaa.gov/data/cb/ssta/ssta.daily.current.png

Definitely well above Neutral, while the tropical Atlantic is SCALDING hot.

baseline bum
03-28-2024, 11:03 PM
So this winter/spring is both wet AND hot. Yuck. Worst of both worlds. Give me La Nina every year. Except for the wasps in the house part.

Get ready we're going to have very severe thunderstorms this afternoon. baseline bum

Well this year isn't fucking around in waiting to get hot. April is when we usually start getting into the 90s and 91 is forecast for April 1st :pctoss

Millennial_Messiah
03-29-2024, 11:48 AM
Well this year isn't fucking around in waiting to get hot. April is when we usually start getting into the 90s and 91 is forecast for April 1st :pctoss

Bad April Fool's Day joke. But my forecast says 87 and rain.

Millennial_Messiah
03-29-2024, 11:49 AM
I typically just use Google Weather tbh. It pulls from TWC, I think

Millennial_Messiah
03-29-2024, 11:54 AM
Next 4 days in the 80s... but next week looks pretty tame, first week of April back down into the 70s for highs and 50s for lows.

Millennial_Messiah
03-29-2024, 11:56 AM
Update on Solar eclipse:

https://weather.com/weather/tenday/l/Kerrville+TX?canonicalCityId=297837349445c3fbaaa63 986107abceab7777fbc6b76b57cd15cc3ddcf08562b

Potential storms for Hill Country (path of totality). Might need to look for a place further North for a guaranteed sunny spot