View Full Version : Heat
GAustex
07-23-2024, 10:48 AM
Llano river is flooding
Lake Travis is finally filling up
Pedernsles River rolling too
Fill up lake Travis
baseline bum
07-23-2024, 11:26 AM
Llano river is flooding
Lake Travis is finally filling up
Pedernsles River rolling too
Fill up lake Travis
Good to hear; Lake Travis has put in good work for us in the past.
1302340329689899008
UNT Eagles 2016
07-23-2024, 04:00 PM
Where did you get your meteorology degree?
2005-ish
homeschool learning >>>>>> paper degree from rich oligarchy "university" full of greedy old wealthy tenured "regents"
baseline bum
07-23-2024, 05:50 PM
2005-ish
homeschool learning >>>>>> paper degree from rich oligarchy "university" full of greedy old wealthy tenured "regents"
Depends where you're learning. Ten years ago when it was free Coursera was amazing and I use to take their algorithms courses for fun because there were always great communities around them where we'd compete with each other trying to come up with the most efficient algorithms and implementations and we'd always try to one up each other once someone got to the top of the leaderboard. MIT OpenCourseware is an amazing resource too. Always loved Walter Lewin's three semester introductory physics series, especially how he teaches calculating uncertainties in experiments so you can unambiguously determine whether or not an experimental result is consistent with a theoretical prediction. Amazing stuff that's usually left out of intro physics courses.
UNT Eagles 2016
07-23-2024, 07:09 PM
Depends where you're learning. Ten years ago when it was free Coursera was amazing and I use to take their algorithms courses for fun because there were always great communities around them where we'd compete with each other trying to come up with the most efficient algorithms and implementations and we'd always try to one up each other once someone got to the top of the leaderboard. MIT OpenCourseware is an amazing resource too. Always loved Walter Lewin's three semester introductory physics series, especially how he teaches calculating uncertainties in experiments so you can unambiguously determine whether or not an experimental result is consistent with a theoretical prediction. Amazing stuff that's usually left out of intro physics courses.
At least you're open minded about this subject. Some people are "muh formal education uber alles must pay six figures for a degree or else ur stupid muh uh" .... Dumb rhetoric.
I learned by figuring things out bit by bit and reading all the meteorology stuff as it happened, focused on the fine details from actual Dr.'s of meteorology who would be featured on The Weather Channel in my childhood, reading real articles from NOAA, CIMSS and other excellent meteorology resources, etc. You don't have to go to formal education and pay five or six figures and take formal classes. If you do, that's fine; if you don't, that's also fine.
UNT Eagles 2016
07-23-2024, 08:47 PM
Pleasant summer day today after the rain. I've had warmer days in Ohio and even Michigan.
pgardn
07-23-2024, 09:57 PM
At least you're open minded about this subject. Some people are "muh formal education uber alles must pay six figures for a degree or else ur stupid muh uh" .... Dumb rhetoric.
I learned by figuring things out bit by bit and reading all the meteorology stuff as it happened, focused on the fine details from actual Dr.'s of meteorology who would be featured on The Weather Channel in my childhood, reading real articles from NOAA, CIMSS and other excellent meteorology resources, etc. You don't have to go to formal education and pay five or six figures and take formal classes. If you do, that's fine; if you don't, that's also fine.
If you find someone with a meteorology degree let me at them.
I have lots of questions. Like heat domes. These features defy some of the fundamental ideas I have concerning thermodynamics.
Basically concerns why they dont go away fairly quickly.
UNT Eagles 2016
07-24-2024, 02:53 AM
If you find someone with a meteorology degree let me at them.
I have lots of questions. Like heat domes. These features defy some of the fundamental ideas I have concerning thermodynamics.
Basically concerns why they dont go away fairly quickly.
Because large high-millibar (typically 1030mb and up) high pressure ridges under which those "heat domes" exist? They always have. And when they settle in place, it often takes time for a low pressure system or systems, from troughs to upper-level lows to tropical cyclones, to erode them and provide relief in the form of cooling and/or precipitation. Essentially in those cases a ridge will move out to the path of least resistance or, weaken and split in two in essence.
In summers like 2011, most of 2022 and essentially all of 2023, the high millibar ridge essentially turned Texas into eastern Arizona. In 2024, this feature is much weak, and has been weakened and maintained weak by systems such as Alberto and Beryl that, even though they're long gone, they've eroded the ridge long enough to where it's much easier this year than in past years for low pressure systems to poke holes in the high and cause rain and below average temperatures during this time of year which is a very unusual type of year for south central Texas to receive any kind of precipitation at all, not to mention the sheer volume of rain we've had lately which is unseasonal for sure.
pgardn
07-24-2024, 02:50 PM
What pleasant summer day
Sweet summer rain
Congrats.
The world set a record temperature Monday.
All is well in Austin and San Antonio though and that’s the only temp that counts
:dizzy
pgardn
07-24-2024, 02:59 PM
Because large high-millibar (typically 1030mb and up) high pressure ridges under which those "heat domes" exist? They always have. And when they settle in place, it often takes time for a low pressure system or systems, from troughs to upper-level lows to tropical cyclones, to erode them and provide relief in the form of cooling and/or precipitation. Essentially in those cases a ridge will move out to the path of least resistance or, weaken and split in two in essence.
In summers like 2011, most of 2022 and essentially all of 2023, the high millibar ridge essentially turned Texas into eastern Arizona. In 2024, this feature is much weak, and has been weakened and maintained weak by systems such as Alberto and Beryl that, even though they're long gone, they've eroded the ridge long enough to where it's much easier this year than in past years for low pressure systems to poke holes in the high and cause rain and below average temperatures during this time of year which is a very unusual type of year for south central Texas to receive any kind of precipitation at all, not to mention the sheer volume of rain we've had lately which is unseasonal for sure.
High pressure heated alr expands rapidly unless surrounded by higher pressure.
It does not take a tropical event to have places where air is less dense.
So why does this persist? This high pressure can’t extend indefinitely.
Settling in to place must mean they are surrounded by even higher pressure.
There must be a place where the pressure is lower. Tropical storms to hurricanes are low pressure systems.
All it takes is merely lower pressure, this lower pressure is not just found in places that have tropical low events.
For example, higher altitudes have lower pressure. It should not necessarily take a tropical event to have lower pressures.
UNT Eagles 2016
07-24-2024, 04:47 PM
High pressure heated alr expands rapidly unless surrounded by higher pressure.
It does not take a tropical event to have places where air is less dense.
So why does this persist? This high pressure can’t extend indefinitely.
Settling in to place must mean they are surrounded by even higher pressure.
There must be a place where the pressure is lower. Tropical storms to hurricanes are low pressure systems.
All it takes is merely lower pressure, this lower pressure is not just found in places that have tropical low events.
For example, higher altitudes have lower pressure. It should not necessarily take a tropical event to have lower pressures.
Jet streams (TUTTs, subtropical jet, polar jet), west to east moving troughs that pass by roughly once a week, mesoscale convective systems, and of course monsoon troughs and the intertropical convergence zone. All examples of low pressure systems that aren't tropical cyclones. Any of those can serve to be "weather makers" and erode a high pressure ridge.
pgardn
07-24-2024, 07:24 PM
Jet streams (TUTTs, subtropical jet, polar jet), west to east moving troughs that pass by roughly once a week, mesoscale convective systems, and of course monsoon troughs and the intertropical convergence zone. All examples of low pressure systems that aren't tropical cyclones. Any of those can serve to be "weather makers" and erode a high pressure ridge.
So the question still stands.
How can the dome even build in the first place if low pressure exists somewhere around it.
I guess I need to know how a heat dome of high pressure even forms in the first place. What is the hypothetical "wall" around it. If you pressurize a bicycle tire the rubber tube of the tire prevents the leakage or evening out of the air with the atmospheric pressure. This buildup of pressure can and often does go away "a flat" because the wall no longer keeps the high from low pressure. This is a physical pressure barrier to hold the differences for a good period of time. The usual culprit that creates pressure differences at the same altitude is differential heating of the earth. But it is relieved through wind (high to low) and evens out. How are these domes maintained? what barrier keeps it in place? I know it eventual goes away like a tire goes flat. For example if you punch a hole in a pressurized tire the difference in pressure between the inside of the bike tire and the outside atmospheric pressure is more quickly equalized. How do heat domes persist? What is the mechanism?
All explanations welcome. Im sure there is something that makes physical sense.
UNT Eagles 2016
07-24-2024, 08:07 PM
So the question still stands.
How can the dome even build in the first place if low pressure exists somewhere around it.
I guess I need to know how a heat dome of high pressure even forms in the first place. What is the hypothetical "wall" around it. If you pressurize a bicycle tire the rubber tube of the tire prevents the leakage or evening out of the air with the atmospheric pressure. This buildup of pressure can and often does go away "a flat" because the wall no longer keeps the high from low pressure. This is a physical pressure barrier to hold the differences for a good period of time. The usual culprit that creates pressure differences at the same altitude is differential heating of the earth. But it is relieved through wind (high to low) and evens out. How are these domes maintained? what barrier keeps it in place? I know it eventual goes away like a tire goes flat. For example if you punch a hole in a pressurized tire the difference in pressure between the inside of the bike tire and the outside atmospheric pressure is more quickly equalized. How do heat domes persist? What is the mechanism?
All explanations welcome. Im sure there is something that makes physical sense.
General lack of low pressure weather makers in a system allow a high pressure ridge to build and concentrate and strengthen and endure until the next low-pressure weather maker arrives to erode and/or relocate the ridge.
Play with this to experiment on how it works
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=atl&pkg=mslpaNorm&runtime=2024072418&fh=384
It has arrows. Note the "heat dome" in the form of the massive 1029 MB or higher subtropical ridge in the north central subtropical Atlantic basin.
baseline bum
07-24-2024, 08:39 PM
Damn all this meteorology talk got me interested in checking if MIT OpenCourseware had any video courses for Course 12 (Earth, Atmospheric, an Planetary Sciences) but no such luck. Might still read some of the textbook for 12.003 (Atmosphere, Ocean And Climate Dynamics) though.
https://ocw.mit.edu/courses/12-003-atmosphere-ocean-and-climate-dynamics-fall-2008/
Can pirate the book on Library Genesis since textbooks are such a fucking racket.
pgardn
07-25-2024, 11:39 AM
Jesus...
I did not take into account the ROTATION of high and low pressure systems in the Northern Hemisphere. (South as well but opposite from the same perspective)
I got hints of it from UNTs visual play. There may be too much to this to bother but...
More reading tonight.
UNT Eagles 2016
07-25-2024, 05:44 PM
Dang complaining in late July about it getting to 91 when the forecast high was only 88... :lmao we're spoiled this year. Last year we were at around 106
UNT Eagles 2016
07-25-2024, 05:45 PM
As we head towards climatological peak of heat season, no 100s in sight:
https://weather.com/weather/tenday/l/San+Antonio+TX?canonicalCityId=a350bf57ff31fb2da23 9d0bc8e95511cddf79670693cbfd0f14a40fb45222c37
GAustex
07-25-2024, 08:11 PM
Lake Travis up over 6 feet
Nice
That’s my bath water
pgardn
07-25-2024, 09:05 PM
Canyon Lake up.
Medina up. But it will be sucked dry again by farms.
Need to make Farm land flexible depending on rapid changes year to year but that costs $.
Our whole societal infrastructure was not ready for this kind of change.
UNT Eagles 2016
07-25-2024, 09:44 PM
Canyon Lake up.
Medina up. But it will be sucked dry again by farms.
Need to make Farm land flexible depending on rapid changes year to year but that costs $.
Our whole societal infrastructure was not ready for this kind of change.
Need to situate farmland in wetter areas particularly back east or in the Pacific northwest. Where there's always flooding and abundance of water. They could use less water, not more. Whereas a place like West Texas shouldn't have farming... pretty much ever. Drier climates should be limited to subsistence gardening and ranching.
UNT Eagles 2016
07-25-2024, 09:45 PM
Lake Travis up over 6 feet
Nice
That’s my bath water
Recharge zone got a ton, but Edwards aquifer is nowhere near 700 like it was in 2007
pgardn
07-25-2024, 09:57 PM
Recharge zone got a ton, but Edwards aquifer is nowhere near 700 like it was in 2007
Well J17 is at 635. This is nice.
The recharge zone has to get hit in the right places. The recharge dams have conduits to some gigantic cracks that get loaded with water and recharge.
Really need to see certain springs start flowing again. they are a very good indicator.
Only problem is SA is growing so large that we are probably always gonna have to save water.
They really need to start looking into the amount of water used at big public State owned and Private businesses. Most homeowners are well aware of usage and water penalties. imo...
We really need a reservoir but unfortunately that got screwed up by politicians as I read the history of Applewhite. Some of these guys buying land in the proposed places and then trying to sell the public on it.
That was criminal. We needed a backup imo.
pgardn
07-25-2024, 09:59 PM
Jesus...
I did not take into account the ROTATION of high and low pressure systems in the Northern Hemisphere. (South as well but opposite from the same perspective)
I got hints of it from UNTs visual play. There may be too much to this to bother but...
More reading tonight.
Getting more complex. Fluid dynamics. I get too tired after exercise sometimes and gotta put it down.
There is some very counterintuitive stuff that I love and hate at the same time.
baseline bum
07-25-2024, 10:04 PM
As we head towards climatological peak of heat season, no 100s in sight:
https://weather.com/weather/tenday/l/San+Antonio+TX?canonicalCityId=a350bf57ff31fb2da23 9d0bc8e95511cddf79670693cbfd0f14a40fb45222c37
Hope so. August 1st through 14th is the absolute peak season where average high temperature is 97. July 31st and before and August 15th and after it dips below 97 on average.
GAustex
07-25-2024, 10:41 PM
Drought map I look at often shows countries from SA to west-a pocket- show severe drought
UNT Eagles 2016
07-25-2024, 11:19 PM
Well J17 is at 635. This is nice.
The recharge zone has to get hit in the right places. The recharge dams have conduits to some gigantic cracks that get loaded with water and recharge.
Really need to see certain springs start flowing again. they are a very good indicator.
Only problem is SA is growing so large that we are probably always gonna have to save water.
They really need to start looking into the amount of water used at big public State owned and Private businesses. Most homeowners are well aware of usage and water penalties. imo...
We really need a reservoir but unfortunately that got screwed up by politicians as I read the history of Applewhite. Some of these guys buying land in the proposed places and then trying to sell the public on it.
That was criminal. We needed a backup imo.
I agree, big government and especially the biggest businesses use the most... the ordinary middle class homeowner should be penalized the least, not the most. I've been on the record as having some quite classically left wing ideas on regulating big capitalism, supporting profit caps and fair competition etc.
As for SA growing so large and not having enough water..... at least we're not Phoenix, tbh.
Blake
07-25-2024, 11:49 PM
Need to situate farmland in wetter areas particularly back east or in the Pacific northwest. Where there's always flooding and abundance of water. They could use less water, not more. Whereas a place like West Texas shouldn't have farming... pretty much ever. Drier climates should be limited to subsistence gardening and ranching.
Oh wow I wonder why nobody in these hundreds of years have figured that out
Blake
07-25-2024, 11:51 PM
Well J17 is at 635. This is nice.
The recharge zone has to get hit in the right places. The recharge dams have conduits to some gigantic cracks that get loaded with water and recharge.
Really need to see certain springs start flowing again. they are a very good indicator.
Only problem is SA is growing so large that we are probably always gonna have to save water.
They really need to start looking into the amount of water used at big public State owned and Private businesses. Most homeowners are well aware of usage and water penalties. imo...
We really need a reservoir but unfortunately that got screwed up by politicians as I read the history of Applewhite. Some of these guys buying land in the proposed places and then trying to sell the public on it.
That was criminal. We needed a backup imo.
It'll help if they make anyone with a certain amount of land have to tap into a recycled water line for irrigation. Just like golf courses do now
UNT Eagles 2016
07-26-2024, 02:36 AM
It'll help if they make anyone with a certain amount of land have to tap into a recycled water line for irrigation. Just like golf courses do now
The irrigation and golf courses are part of the problem. Increases humidity, mugginess, stickiness, raises nighttime low temps which causes thermal discomfort
UNT Eagles 2016
07-26-2024, 02:36 AM
Oh wow I wonder why nobody in these hundreds of years have figured that out
Not enough government regulation, honestly.
UNT Eagles 2016
07-28-2024, 01:22 AM
One more day in the 80s with potential rain and now it's back to actual summer with mid to upper 90s and dry expected next couple weeks.
GAustex
07-28-2024, 09:21 AM
Sweet summer rain
And the lake level goes up some more
In the summer time!
Blake
07-28-2024, 10:18 AM
Sweet summer rain
And the lake level goes up some more
In the summer time!
Oh so that's how rain works.
benefactor
07-30-2024, 07:54 PM
Ten till 8. 90. 76 degree dewpoint.
Thread
08-01-2024, 12:26 PM
Ten till 8. 90. 76 degree dewpoint.
O-M-G. I don't even wish that on you, bene.
Thread
08-01-2024, 12:27 PM
Half way point here...June & July down...August & September left.
baseline bum
08-01-2024, 03:24 PM
Blech starting to see lots of 100s back in the forecast again
baseline bum
08-02-2024, 01:25 PM
Half way point here...June & July down...August & September left.
Even last year the 100s stopped here after 9/11. Ugh got a nasty ridge dominating us now though and no more nice days of 97.
baseline bum
08-03-2024, 12:01 PM
This weekend and next week looking ugly as fuck
https://i.ibb.co/yBHd9vj/shitfcuk.png
GAustex
08-03-2024, 04:21 PM
It’s hot
August in Texas sucks
GAustex
08-04-2024, 01:52 PM
Sweet summer thunder storm
Blake
08-04-2024, 02:30 PM
Sweet summer thunder storm
Oh you mean the early gulf hurricane?
GAustex
08-04-2024, 04:11 PM
Oh you mean the early gulf hurricane?
Nope
Thunderstorm
Rain and lots of it and cooled things off
pgardn
08-04-2024, 04:29 PM
It’s hotter than usual now and colder.
August in Texas sucks much more than it used to.
pgardn
08-04-2024, 04:31 PM
Well the West and Canada are on fire again.
MAGA: " But my cave is fine?"
baseline bum
08-07-2024, 11:34 AM
JFC it's only 11:30 and it's already 95
GAustex
08-07-2024, 12:57 PM
Well it’s cooler somewhere
baseline bum
08-07-2024, 01:06 PM
Ugh heat index already 108 at 1PM
baseline bum
08-10-2024, 12:22 AM
Eh n/m, don't like this explanation
baseline bum
08-12-2024, 02:32 PM
Ugh fucking August heat with June humidity
baseline bum
08-15-2024, 03:43 PM
One more day in the 80s with potential rain and now it's back to actual summer with mid to upper 90s and dry expected next couple weeks.
Knew it was way way too early in July to call this a cool summer prematurely. We just got to day 19 of 100+ today. The historical average is 18 and the last 30 years average is 21, and we have a heat dome parked over us for at least the rest of the month.
baseline bum
08-18-2024, 03:31 PM
Fucking 106 forecast for Tuesday, 107 for Wednesday :pctoss
baseline bum
08-21-2024, 01:55 PM
It's not even fucking 2PM yet
https://i.ibb.co/YkZ8KXJ/fckme.png
baseline bum
08-22-2024, 03:50 PM
Knew the 104 forecast was too good to be true. 106 at the airport right now, 109 at my house. Heat index 117.
GAustex
08-26-2024, 08:47 PM
What a pleasant pre holiday week forecast
Millennial_Messiah
09-05-2024, 08:59 PM
baseline bum, I'm back. And I was right about 2024. Aside from a few outliers, it's been a very wet, average-at-hottest Summer 2024.
baseline bum
09-05-2024, 09:41 PM
baseline bum, I'm back. And I was right about 2024. Aside from a few outliers, it's been a very wet, average-at-hottest Summer 2024.
Average would be 21 days of 100+; we had 27. You'd think with a hurricane and a tropical storm hitting we'd be sub 10 or at least below average but nope. Still ranks #14 on the list of years with most 100 degree days since they started doing the official temperature at the airport after WWII.
Millennial_Messiah
09-05-2024, 10:20 PM
Average would be 21 days of 100+; we had 27. You'd think with a hurricane and a tropical storm hitting we'd be sub 10 or at least below average but nope. Still ranks #14 on the list of years with most 100 degree days since they started doing the official temperature at the airport after WWII.
Only because of that outlier week a couple weeks ago but I believe the actual overall daytime averages were below as well as well above for precipitation
Millennial_Messiah
09-05-2024, 10:21 PM
This time this year, we are seeing 80s daytime highs in early September with or without rain.
This time last year, we were seeing consistently 100+ and above at this point, early football season
baseline bum
09-05-2024, 11:37 PM
Only because of that outlier week a couple weeks ago but I believe the actual overall daytime averages were below as well as well above for precipitation
That's just not the case, our summer is basically average on rainfall per this article from yesterday's Express News.
https://i.ibb.co/jWcWX2p/rainfall.png
Non-paywalled link: https://archive.is/uEP5m
baseline bum
09-05-2024, 11:43 PM
This time this year, we are seeing 80s daytime highs in early September with or without rain.
This time last year, we were seeing consistently 100+ and above at this point, early football season
You're comparing to a year so hot it had more than half a month worth of 100+ degree days more than the hottest previous year ever recorded here and August was nightmarish this year until the last few days of the month.
Millennial_Messiah
09-06-2024, 01:49 AM
You're comparing to a year so hot it had more than half a month worth of 100+ degree days more than the hottest previous year ever recorded here and August was nightmarish this year until the last few days of the month.
August was "nightmarish" for about a week. The rest of the month it was a typical August in SA.
That's just not the case, our summer is basically average on rainfall per this article from yesterday's Express News.
https://i.ibb.co/jWcWX2p/rainfall.png
Non-paywalled link: https://archive.is/uEP5m
I don't even remember January being all that wet. I was however gone from around Jan 20th through Jan 24th for a court date out west on Jan 22nd
baseline bum
09-06-2024, 06:19 AM
August was "nightmarish" for about a week. The rest of the month it was a typical August in SA.
Typical August is 97
Millennial_Messiah
09-06-2024, 04:40 PM
Typical August is 97
Which was roughly the average for SA in 2024 or less even counting the insufferable week because of all the rain and near-miss rain days in the 80s. Yeah humidity was higher than usual but you have to take one or the other.
Meanwhile this coming week in California (L.A. Metro) is seeing the 106, 107, 103 type days. Parts of Orange County and L.A. county could see 110's in the coming 7 days. And can't even pull the "but it's a dry heat" card because you're literally by the ocean. While SA will simultaneously be seeing upper 80s at the same time.
Millennial_Messiah
09-06-2024, 05:04 PM
And Sunday and Monday early mornings actually look like hiking weather... mid 60s lows in early September in SA are practically unheard-of. Low humidity, too, but then it creeps back up early week.
baseline bum
09-06-2024, 09:00 PM
Which was roughly the average for SA in 2024 or less even counting the insufferable week because of all the rain and near-miss rain days in the 80s. Yeah humidity was higher than usual but you have to take one or the other.
Meanwhile this coming week in California (L.A. Metro) is seeing the 106, 107, 103 type days. Parts of Orange County and L.A. county could see 110's in the coming 7 days. And can't even pull the "but it's a dry heat" card because you're literally by the ocean. While SA will simultaneously be seeing upper 80s at the same time.
Meh only time we were below 97 in August was when we were 96 on August 1st, 91 on August 26th and 27th, 93 on August 28th, 94 on August 29th and 30th, and 95 on August 31st, with only the 26th through 28th below historical average (93.7 is average by Aug 31). The 10 day for my old neighborhood looks pretty hot for LA but 82 at 7PM right now isn't a big deal. This is the hot season for LA when the Santa Anna winds blow in, and it is a quite dry heat since it's created from winds blowing in from the desert.
https://i.ibb.co/7VR2mFW/la-10day.jpg
baseline bum
09-06-2024, 09:04 PM
And Sunday and Monday early mornings actually look like hiking weather... mid 60s lows in early September in SA are practically unheard-of. Low humidity, too, but then it creeps back up early week.
Also don't buy that mid 60s lows are unheard of considering historical average for low on September 7th is 71.8 and September 8th is 71.6.
Millennial_Messiah
09-06-2024, 09:25 PM
Also don't buy that mid 60s lows are unheard of considering historical average for low on September 7th is 71.8 and September 8th is 71.6.
They're definitely rare though and generally consistently in the 70s through the end of Sept. Overnight lows in summer down here are much more consistent than highs. It's not like Arizona when you can see some summer lows in the 60s and some in the 90s and everything in between. Less variance in subtropical humid climates like Texas, and even less variance in tropical climates like south Florida, Hawaii, or pick a tropical island near the equator.
baseline bum
09-07-2024, 06:14 AM
They're definitely rare though and generally consistently in the 70s through the end of Sept. Overnight lows in summer down here are much more consistent than highs. It's not like Arizona when you can see some summer lows in the 60s and some in the 90s and everything in between. Less variance in subtropical humid climates like Texas, and even less variance in tropical climates like south Florida, Hawaii, or pick a tropical island near the equator.
No they're not. Historical average lows for San Antonio drop into the 60s by September 15th.
Millennial_Messiah
09-09-2024, 03:00 PM
Meh only time we were below 97 in August was when we were 96 on August 1st, 91 on August 26th and 27th, 93 on August 28th, 94 on August 29th and 30th, and 95 on August 31st, with only the 26th through 28th below historical average (93.7 is average by Aug 31). The 10 day for my old neighborhood looks pretty hot for LA but 82 at 7PM right now isn't a big deal. This is the hot season for LA when the Santa Anna winds blow in, and it is a quite dry heat since it's created from winds blowing in from the desert.
https://i.ibb.co/7VR2mFW/la-10day.jpg
If it's a dry heat with low humidity, then theoretically wouldn't you see more nocturnal radiational cooling? I.e., much lower overnight lows. These late summer overnight lows are subtropical and bordering on tropical. For instance NorthCal and a place like Denver, Flagstaff etc is getting down to the low 50s at night, even upper 40s.
baseline bum
09-09-2024, 04:08 PM
If it's a dry heat with low humidity, then theoretically wouldn't you see more nocturnal radiational cooling? I.e., much lower overnight lows. These late summer overnight lows are subtropical and bordering on tropical. For instance NorthCal and a place like Denver, Flagstaff etc is getting down to the low 50s at night, even upper 40s.
You're really comparing LA to cities that are 5000 and 7000 feet in altitude? Dewpoint is like 57 in LA right now.
Millennial_Messiah
09-09-2024, 06:30 PM
You're really comparing LA to cities that are 5000 and 7000 feet in altitude? Dewpoint is like 57 in LA right now.
Dewpoint is 49 here
baseline bum
09-09-2024, 06:50 PM
Dewpoint is 49 here
I'm showing 55
Millennial_Messiah
09-11-2024, 05:33 PM
Oh fuck benefactor it's going to be 100 on Friday and Saturday. :pctoss well after 9/11.
baseline bum
09-13-2024, 10:23 AM
Oh fuck benefactor it's going to be 100 on Friday and Saturday. :pctoss well after 9/11.
Ugh not only 99 forecast but it's fucking humid too with a 73 dewpoint right now
Millennial_Messiah
09-13-2024, 03:08 PM
Ugh not only 99 forecast but it's fucking humid too with a 73 dewpoint right now
A week away from the first day of fall. Ugh.
baseline bum
09-13-2024, 03:42 PM
A week away from the first day of fall. Ugh.
Yeah still a pretty hot summer. Only looks cool if you compare it to 2023 and 2022.
Millennial_Messiah
09-13-2024, 03:49 PM
Yeah still a pretty hot summer. Only looks cool if you compare it to 2023 and 2022.
and 2011 and 2009
baseline bum
09-16-2024, 10:24 AM
A week away from the first day of fall. Ugh.
Blech as of today we should be crossing into the upper 80s for highs and upper 60s for lows but instead 97 and 76 and don't even have low 90s forecast until the 26th (when we should be 88 and 67).
Millennial_Messiah
09-16-2024, 05:01 PM
Blech as of today we should be crossing into the upper 80s for highs and upper 60s for lows but instead 97 and 76 and don't even have low 90s forecast until the 26th (when we should be 88 and 67).
Basically peak summer weather, but that's not unique to Texas though. Even as far north as North Dakota, Michigan, and Maine it's happening, and everywhere in between. As far west as Denver too. Only the west coast is seeing near to below normal temps, but they're expected to rise back to above normal even in California this weekend and next week. Only the Seattle area is staying below normal. As far as the widespread September heatwave in the eastern 2/3 of the country, it's fairly unprecedented this deep into September and it's expected to last the rest of the month -- no cool front in sight, sadly. Bizarre.
Millennial_Messiah
09-16-2024, 05:03 PM
Even places like Minnesota, Michigan and most of PA are seeing 15+ degree above average temps through the rest of September and above average humidity despite below average precipitation. That's because there hasn't been an autumn cool front propagating west to east yet and the first one typically arrives by the second week of September but there's not one in forecast for at least 2 weeks.
baseline bum
09-16-2024, 10:52 PM
Basically peak summer weather, but that's not unique to Texas though. Even as far north as North Dakota, Michigan, and Maine it's happening, and everywhere in between. As far west as Denver too. Only the west coast is seeing near to below normal temps, but they're expected to rise back to above normal even in California this weekend and next week. Only the Seattle area is staying below normal. As far as the widespread September heatwave in the eastern 2/3 of the country, it's fairly unprecedented this deep into September and it's expected to last the rest of the month -- no cool front in sight, sadly. Bizarre.
Forecast is annoying
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/610day/610temp.new.gif
Millennial_Messiah
09-17-2024, 01:57 AM
Forecast is annoying
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/610day/610temp.new.gif
As someone who likes to travel back and forth from San Antonio to Michigan around this time of year, around early fall to have a cool start to my autumn, that's probably the worst possible case scenario you can imagine. Can't even go to my usual favorite spot to get out of the heat this year around.
And the "near normal" along the East Coast is only due to the trough bringing sustained rain.
baseline bum
09-19-2024, 03:02 PM
Ugh fucking heat index 107 right now at 3PM
Millennial_Messiah
09-23-2024, 05:15 PM
baseline bum , Happy Autumn! :pump It's Fall!!
Millennial_Messiah
09-23-2024, 05:16 PM
Low to mid 90s and zero precip in forecast every single day through October 7th: https://weather.com/weather/tenday/l/San+Antonio+TX?canonicalCityId=a350bf57ff31fb2da23 9d0bc8e95511cddf79670693cbfd0f14a40fb45222c37
Happy fall, guys.
baseline bum
09-23-2024, 08:19 PM
Low to mid 90s and zero precip in forecast every single day through October 7th: https://weather.com/weather/tenday/l/San+Antonio+TX?canonicalCityId=a350bf57ff31fb2da23 9d0bc8e95511cddf79670693cbfd0f14a40fb45222c37
Happy fall, guys.
brrrr
Millennial_Messiah
09-23-2024, 09:37 PM
brrrr
At least we're not in Florida, I guess.
Millennial_Messiah
09-24-2024, 07:16 PM
We were supposed to *maybe* get rain today but we didn't.
baseline bum
09-25-2024, 12:21 PM
We were supposed to *maybe* get rain today but we didn't.
Gotta love that compressional heating ahead of a cold front. 93 already at noon on September 25th. Though isn't that cold front supposed to die before it gets to us anyways? Looks like it's by Killeen right now.
pgardn
09-25-2024, 12:33 PM
Gotta love that compressional heating ahead of a cold front. 93 already at noon on September 25th. Though isn't that cold front supposed to die before it gets to us anyways? Looks like it's by Killeen right now.
There are a lot of phenomena that are not explained well now.
What the fk is compressing the air? And if air is compressed, which causes it to heat, why does it not expand? How does it stayed compressed? Its not like an iron pressure cooker surrounds the air.
Lots of stuff to look up for me.
We need frkn rain.
baseline bum
09-25-2024, 12:39 PM
There are a lot of phenomena that are not explained well now.
What the fk is compressing the air? And if air is compressed, which causes it to heat, why does it not expand? How does it stayed compressed? Its not like an iron pressure cooker surrounds the air.
Lots of stuff to look up for me.
We need frkn rain.
Man I was hoping you'd go study that shit and explain it to me. :lol
Ever since I heard the one of the meteorologists mention compressional heating ahead of fronts on KSAT though it seems to hold, at least in summer and fall.
pgardn
09-25-2024, 12:39 PM
Okay.
I got it.
It should be a short lived phenomena based on what I understand.
These things always "attempt" towards some sort of equilibrium (due to entropy)
Some things take a long time. Like the energy not spread evenly throughout the Universe.
But this is very localized. I guess my time frame is way off due to really not understanding the depth of this phenomena Im guessing.
pgardn
09-25-2024, 12:47 PM
Man I was hoping you'd go study that shit and explain it to me. :lol
Ever since I heard the one of the meteorologists mention compressional heating ahead of fronts on KSAT though it seems to hold, at least in summer and fall.
Basically you get cold dense air moving towards warmer less dense air mass and the cold dense air compresses the air in the warmer air so there is even more friction in the already hot air and it gets even hotter.
But if I try to understand what is occurring along the boundary of these two air masses and then in the air that surrounds the aforementioned air masses it does not make sense unless the warm air gets trapped in a depression in the land or something. ie I dont get why this lasts so long. The time it takes for mixing and causing the density and temp to equal out seems like it would be quicker but... I just dont know.
pgardn
09-25-2024, 12:55 PM
Thermodynamics seems fairly straightforward, especially on an in home level (yes I have played around with all sorts of stupid demonstrations and my wife gets mad)
But on closer examination its not so straightforward for me. Learning how to cook with heat and even keeping your house at the temperature you want all requires a little practical understanding.
My favorite thing to do is fishing and I learned some very good stuff as a kid that I did not realize at its core was related to thermodynamics. Everyone knows it to some degree which is why we are probably "all" interested in it.
Millennial_Messiah
09-25-2024, 04:10 PM
There are a lot of phenomena that are not explained well now.
What the fk is compressing the air? And if air is compressed, which causes it to heat, why does it not expand? How does it stayed compressed? Its not like an iron pressure cooker surrounds the air.
Lots of stuff to look up for me.
We need frkn rain.
Yeah, the lawn is starting to resemble West Texas/New Mexico at this time tbh
Millennial_Messiah
09-25-2024, 04:10 PM
Gotta love that compressional heating ahead of a cold front. 93 already at noon on September 25th. Though isn't that cold front supposed to die before it gets to us anyways? Looks like it's by Killeen right now.
"Cold" front
Going to lower temps by a whopping 4-5 degrees
Whoop-dee-doo!! It's Fall in Texas!
The hurricane pushing the high pressure west doesn't help either
baseline bum
09-25-2024, 04:20 PM
"Cold" front
Going to lower temps by a whopping 4-5 degrees
Whoop-dee-doo!! It's Fall in Texas!
The hurricane pushing the high pressure west doesn't help either
We're fucking 98 today, ten degrees above average. Cool summer my ass.
Millennial_Messiah
09-25-2024, 04:55 PM
We're fucking 98 today, ten degrees above average. Cool summer my ass.
It's not summer, it's fall now. Meteorologically speaking.
Summer was cooler and wetter than the last two by far, you've gotta admit. The 100+ and 105+ thingy, this is fine dog and flames cartoon thingy, wasn't a thing this year like the last two.
I don't think we see 100 again this year.
Millennial_Messiah
09-25-2024, 04:56 PM
Fall 2024 (Sept-Nov) will indeed be well above average (and drier) in SATX if nothing else due to La Nina's arrival.
baseline bum
09-27-2024, 10:58 AM
It's not summer, it's fall now. Meteorologically speaking.
Summer was cooler and wetter than the last two by far, you've gotta admit. The 100+ and 105+ thingy, this is fine dog and flames cartoon thingy, wasn't a thing this year like the last two.
I don't think we see 100 again this year.
It was way hotter than average and the rainfall was basically average. A now we have a bunch of fucking 97s going into October, ugh 97 is supposed to be the normal high for the worst part of August.
Millennial_Messiah
09-27-2024, 01:08 PM
It was way hotter than average and the rainfall was basically average. A now we have a bunch of fucking 97s going into October, ugh 97 is supposed to be the normal high for the worst part of August.
First half of fall might set a record.
baseline bum
09-28-2024, 05:27 PM
First half of fall might set a record.
Ugh back to hot and humid days of high 97, low 71 to begin October. Not too far from having our first October 100 in the history of San Antonio.
Millennial_Messiah
09-28-2024, 06:24 PM
Ugh back to hot and humid days of high 97, low 71 to begin October. Not too far from having our first October 100 in the history of San Antonio.
I mean, we had 100 in February of 2000 (though it may have been Leap Day) and March 2000 too, so I'm surprised a bit we haven't yet had a 100 day in Oct. It will happen before 2030 I bet.
Millennial_Messiah
09-28-2024, 06:25 PM
90+ for San Antonio high temps + no precip in forecast, every day from now through October 15th:
https://weather.com/weather/tenday/l/San+Antonio+TX?canonicalCityId=a350bf57ff31fb2da23 9d0bc8e95511cddf79670693cbfd0f14a40fb45222c37
(https://weather.com/weather/tenday/l/San+Antonio+TX?canonicalCityId=a350bf57ff31fb2da23 9d0bc8e95511cddf79670693cbfd0f14a40fb45222c37)
I really need to get my lazy ass to Michigan and Wisconsin and do some door knocking in the nice cool.
Millennial_Messiah
09-28-2024, 06:26 PM
Damn, it feels like peak summer :lol but at least it gets dark at around 7:30 now
baseline bum
09-28-2024, 07:03 PM
90+ for San Antonio high temps + no precip in forecast, every day from now through October 15th:
https://weather.com/weather/tenday/l/San+Antonio+TX?canonicalCityId=a350bf57ff31fb2da23 9d0bc8e95511cddf79670693cbfd0f14a40fb45222c37
(https://weather.com/weather/tenday/l/San+Antonio+TX?canonicalCityId=a350bf57ff31fb2da23 9d0bc8e95511cddf79670693cbfd0f14a40fb45222c37)
I really need to get my lazy ass to Michigan and Wisconsin and do some door knocking in the nice cool.
Thankfully this time of year can't really trust a 14-day forecast. Only time 14-day forecasts ever seem even in the ballpark accurate is summer when we're stuck under high pressure ridges for a month at a time.
Millennial_Messiah
09-30-2024, 03:20 PM
Happy End of Summer!
Millennial_Messiah
09-30-2024, 03:21 PM
Happy End of Summer!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4zbVIsL8OOY
Millennial_Messiah
09-30-2024, 03:22 PM
Happy End of Summer!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4zbVIsL8OOY
(don't know why the original video was taken down after like 20 years)
Millennial_Messiah
09-30-2024, 03:22 PM
96 today for last day of summer month, mid 90s first week of October. Yuck!
Millennial_Messiah
09-30-2024, 03:23 PM
Also, Atlantic hurricane season picking up unusually late after a quiet climatological peak:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/xgtwo/two_atl_7d0.png
Millennial_Messiah
09-30-2024, 03:24 PM
baseline bum at least nights are in the 60s now and lower humidity
Millennial_Messiah
09-30-2024, 03:24 PM
No rain in sight in the next 15 days, either
Millennial_Messiah
09-30-2024, 03:25 PM
baseline bum Still 90s every day in sight in next 15-16 days:
https://weather.com/weather/tenday/l/San+Antonio+TX?canonicalCityId=a350bf57ff31fb2da23 9d0bc8e95511cddf79670693cbfd0f14a40fb45222c37
Millennial_Messiah
09-30-2024, 03:26 PM
We're having a California-esque Indian summer early autumn. It definitely won't feel like fall here for a long time.
Millennial_Messiah
09-30-2024, 03:26 PM
That's it, I'm booking it to MI/WI and going door knocking and counting yard signs in Minnesota (And elsewhere). This heat is telling me to GTFO SA for the time being.
Millennial_Messiah
09-30-2024, 03:43 PM
These 90s middle-of-June heat waves ain't it for me. Ain't the vibe. I'm definitely up for my next leaf-peepin', nature-hikin', deer-huntin', door-knockin', yard-sign-countin' & dick-wettin' rust-belt expedition trip!
baseline bum
10-01-2024, 11:57 AM
baseline bum at least nights are in the 60s now and lower humidity
Look at the forecast now. Gone are those 50s to low 60s dewpoints for next week. :pctoss
Fucking October looking like early June
Millennial_Messiah
10-01-2024, 03:55 PM
Look at the forecast now. Gone are those 50s to low 60s dewpoints for next week. :pctoss
Fucking October looking like early June
Happy second first day of June in 2024! lol... but this time it comes with more night hours and mosquitoes!
Millennial_Messiah
10-01-2024, 03:56 PM
Upper 80s finally in sight, but not until at least October 14th:
https://weather.com/weather/tenday/l/San+Antonio+TX?canonicalCityId=a350bf57ff31fb2da23 9d0bc8e95511cddf79670693cbfd0f14a40fb45222c37
baseline bum
10-01-2024, 04:08 PM
Upper 80s finally in sight, but not until at least October 14th:
https://weather.com/weather/tenday/l/San+Antonio+TX?canonicalCityId=a350bf57ff31fb2da23 9d0bc8e95511cddf79670693cbfd0f14a40fb45222c37
Naw never trust a 14-day outside of summer. A week ago we were supposed to be in the 80s by around the 3rd of October.
Millennial_Messiah
10-01-2024, 05:01 PM
Naw never trust a 14-day outside of summer. A week ago we were supposed to be in the 80s by around the 3rd of October.
Well, the forecast for uber cloudy (but not rainy) on April 8th out of all the days held up pretty well in the 14+ day from late March onward, tbh...
I would expect temps to trend upward, not downward... this is going to go down as the hottest and driest fall in SA history, 2024 is. Maybe for all of Texas. Looks like Dallas is getting much of the same and the high pressure is steering potential tropical storm formation east towards Florida.
Millennial_Messiah
10-01-2024, 05:02 PM
I think it'd be a good time to book-it-north tbh. I don't see a cool front happening for us here through Halloween.
Ya cool.
Maybe the next adventure will be written in 2025.
Perhaps. But, 2024 isn't over yet, can't yet count it out.
baseline bum
10-10-2024, 08:26 PM
Ten days into October and we're still in the mid 90s. Historical average for October 10th is 84.
baseline bum
10-19-2024, 09:51 AM
Well, the forecast for uber cloudy (but not rainy) on April 8th out of all the days held up pretty well in the 14+ day from late March onward, tbh...
I would expect temps to trend upward, not downward... this is going to go down as the hottest and driest fall in SA history, 2024 is. Maybe for all of Texas. Looks like Dallas is getting much of the same and the high pressure is steering potential tropical storm formation east towards Florida.
I thought this October was feeling obscenely hot, looked at weather data for October year to year, and sure enough October 2024 is far and away the hottest October we have ever had here, with no year even remotely in the ballpark.
https://www.extremeweatherwatch.com/cities/san-antonio/year-2024#october
We had two days where you could comfortably open the windows and then all the humidity blew back in yesterday and it's here to stay until the beginning of November at least.
Millennial_Messiah
10-20-2024, 01:37 AM
I thought this October was feeling obscenely hot, looked at weather data for October year to year, and sure enough October 2024 is far and away the hottest October we have ever had here, with no year even remotely in the ballpark.
https://www.extremeweatherwatch.com/cities/san-antonio/year-2024#october
We had two days where you could comfortably open the windows and then all the humidity blew back in yesterday and it's here to stay until the beginning of November at least.
Just flew back into SA Saturday mid morning.
Time for me to bolt and go north and go political door knocking in WI/MI maybe PA if I have time.
Millennial_Messiah
10-20-2024, 01:43 AM
We go from a couple days of September back to the middle of June. Ugh. And my house still hasn't received any rain since early Sept.
Millennial_Messiah
11-06-2024, 07:26 PM
Hey, baseline bum, are you enjoying this fall? Consistent 90's in October and consistent 80's in November. :lol
Also:
https://i.imgur.com/0Q2paNv.jpg
Millennial_Messiah
11-06-2024, 07:27 PM
Texans definitely showed to the world last night that they love the heat and they want Texas, and the rest of the earth, to get even hotter! :lol
baseline bum
11-06-2024, 07:47 PM
Texans definitely showed to the world last night that they love the heat and they want Texas, and the rest of the earth, to get even hotter! :lol
So hurricanes coming for Texas in November is gonna be the new norm I guess
Millennial_Messiah
11-06-2024, 07:53 PM
So hurricanes coming for Texas in November is gonna be the new norm I guess
Fortunately category 3 hurricane Rafael is supposed to stall and die in the Gulf
Meanwhile category 10 Rafael Edward "Ted" Cruz has Six More Years in the U.S. Senate, tbh. :toast :D
GAustex
11-07-2024, 01:09 PM
Rafael needs to turn north and rain like hell over the Hill Country west of Austin
Millennial_Messiah
11-07-2024, 02:54 PM
Rafael needs to turn north and rain like hell over the Hill Country west of Austin
:lol
looks like a hard south straight into Mexico, maybe just east of Veracruz in the isthmus:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at3+shtml/145523.shtml?cone#contentshttps://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT18/refresh/AL182024_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind+png/145523_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png
GAustex
11-07-2024, 06:53 PM
Well crap
Millennial_Messiah
11-17-2024, 08:07 PM
Hottest fall ever, by a landslide? Seriously, it's been miserable. :( baseline bum
baseline bum
11-17-2024, 10:48 PM
Hottest fall ever, by a landslide? Seriously, it's been miserable. :( baseline bum
Running fucking AC in mid to late November is ridiculous. Even with a double dip cold front Wednesday doesn't look like we'll even hit historical average for the date. Our highs should be in the 60s by the end of next week by historical standards but it's like half 70s and half 80s forecast through December 1st. Can't imagine how fucked summer 2025 will be, probably makes summer 2023 look like child's play.
Millennial_Messiah
11-18-2024, 12:11 AM
Running fucking AC in mid to late November is ridiculous. Even with a double dip cold front Wednesday doesn't look like we'll even hit historical average for the date. Our highs should be in the 60s by the end of next week by historical standards but it's like half 70s and half 80s forecast through December 1st. Can't imagine how fucked summer 2025 will be, probably makes summer 2023 look like child's play.
Yeah it's disgusting, Fall 2024 is one for the record books like Summer 2023 and Spring 2022.
then again, you said that about summer 2024 and you were wrong, so maybe it'll be Winter 2025-26 that will be the record high one instead with like January and February consistently being in like the mid 80s every day with one or two gaps
Millennial_Messiah
11-18-2024, 12:12 AM
It's miserable, lonely, disgusting.
Millennial_Messiah
11-18-2024, 12:13 AM
Although I do seem to remember a La Nina year, may have been 2007, where we got to like 87 on Turkey Day. I don't exactly remember but it was something like that.
Millennial_Messiah
11-18-2024, 12:13 AM
And then you had 2015 and 2021 which were absolutely disgustingly horrid, literally 80s on Christmas Day. 2022 we actually had a nice Christmas that felt like Christmas.
Millennial_Messiah
11-18-2024, 12:15 AM
It just rained here but it's been a sticky, windy evening baseline bum all night so far tonight that feels much more like a summer breeze in the middle of June as opposed to a nice, crisp, fall autumn breeze like it should for this time of year. We should be getting "blue norther" season right now, not middle of May or June type sticky southwesterlies.
baseline bum
11-18-2024, 01:35 AM
Yeah it's disgusting, Fall 2024 is one for the record books like Summer 2023 and Spring 2022.
then again, you said that about summer 2024 and you were wrong, so maybe it'll be Winter 2025-26 that will be the record high one instead with like January and February consistently being in like the mid 80s every day with one or two gaps
This entire winter is forecast to be way above average here.
baseline bum
11-18-2024, 01:37 AM
It just rained here but it's been a sticky, windy evening baseline bum all night so far tonight that feels much more like a summer breeze in the middle of June as opposed to a nice, crisp, fall autumn breeze like it should for this time of year. We should be getting "blue norther" season right now, not middle of May or June type sticky southwesterlies.
We have a weak front blowing in this morning and another one Wednesday morning.... which will get our highs to still above historical average. On a fucking back to back cold front :lmao
baseline bum
11-18-2024, 02:01 AM
Used to be a double dip cold front in late November meant highs in the 50s, maybe even 40s :lol
Millennial_Messiah
11-18-2024, 02:29 PM
Used to be a double dip cold front in late November meant highs in the 50s, maybe even 40s :lol
Yup. We called that a "Blue Norther".
Millennial_Messiah
11-18-2024, 02:30 PM
At least Turkey Day went down from a forecast high of 81 down to 73 and pleasant with lows around 50, well that's still not super pleasant to me. My mom and I are moving to Fort Wayne Indiana next summer, fuck this.
Chucho
11-20-2024, 12:44 PM
This entire winter is forecast to be way above average here.
I totally remember the failed winter of 1999 when we were dying in sweats during football. Temps were in the 80s and 90s in January and February. We hit like 100 in late February.
I remember having to run the AC on XMas in 2002 and 2004.
If it wasn't for all the snow storms of the last 10-15 years, you could say, in truth, San Antonio doesn't have authentic winters.
Millennial_Messiah
11-21-2024, 03:15 AM
I totally remember the failed winter of 1999 when we were dying in sweats during football. Temps were in the 80s and 90s in January and February. We hit like 100 in late February.
I remember having to run the AC on XMas in 2002 and 2004.
If it wasn't for all the snow storms of the last 10-15 years, you could say, in truth, San Antonio doesn't have authentic winters.
1999-2000 yes, that smashed all kinds of winter records
not 2002 nor 2004, those were cold Christmases, I remember both vividly because the Spurs would go on to win the championship both years. You have those years mixed up. 2015 and 2021 for sure though, and probably a couple other years we had hot Christmases though.
Millennial_Messiah
11-21-2024, 03:16 AM
Really the only MAJOR outlier was February 2021
all the rest this century were essentially dustings, including the Antonio McDyess Tip-In Game Night ice flurry.
Millennial_Messiah
11-21-2024, 03:17 AM
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/san-antonio/KSAT/date/2004-12-25
neither 2004 nor 2002 got out of the low 50s on either Christmas Eve or Christmas Day, and the nights froze.
2022 was another nice and cold one.
Millennial_Messiah
11-21-2024, 03:21 AM
Today was really nice, felt like fall, tomorrow looks to be the same, then we get a few shitty days in a row but looks like we'll finally be done with the 80s for awhile the day before Turkey Day.
Millennial_Messiah
11-21-2024, 04:14 PM
Another really nice fall day. baseline bum
47th page... 47th President. :toast #KeepTexasRed
baseline bum
11-21-2024, 04:42 PM
Another really nice fall day. baseline bum
47th page... 47th President. :toast #KeepTexasRed
This year has gotta be a record for latest I have ever turned my heater on for the first time, with yesterday being it already 2/3 of the way through fall.
Millennial_Messiah
11-21-2024, 08:26 PM
This year has gotta be a record for latest I have ever turned my heater on for the first time, with yesterday being it already 2/3 of the way through fall.
Haven't used this heater since Feb 2021 and before that since my grandma died. Both my mom and I are cold weather people stuck in Texas because my grandmother wanted to be close to Mexico and Mexican food. It's stupid. I was conceived in PA and would much rather be there than here or anywhere north.
Millennial_Messiah
11-26-2024, 01:32 PM
Nice hiking day today baseline bum
Not tomorrow, but Thanksgiving and forward looks like great weather.
Millennial_Messiah
11-27-2024, 07:15 PM
Today I slept in like a rock as my crypto went up, it was a hot, sticky day before these next several days which look lovely. :toast
Millennial_Messiah
11-27-2024, 07:17 PM
It looks like Fall 2024 has officially arrived in the Alamo City, baseline bum. :D
no 80s anywhere near in sight, mostly 60s highs and 40s lows. Unfortunately don't see anything close to a freeze either in sight, this seems more el nino-ish than la nina tbh. Rain coming next week. The soft, lilting, fall rain, not the ugly thunderstorm kind of weather.
baseline bum
11-27-2024, 07:46 PM
It looks like Fall 2024 has officially arrived in the Alamo City, baseline bum. :D
no 80s anywhere near in sight, mostly 60s highs and 40s lows. Unfortunately don't see anything close to a freeze either in sight, this seems more el nino-ish than la nina tbh. Rain coming next week. The soft, lilting, fall rain, not the ugly thunderstorm kind of weather.
And only 3/4 of the way through the actual fall season for us to get fall weather.
Millennial_Messiah
11-27-2024, 09:30 PM
And only 3/4 of the way through the actual fall season for us to get fall weather.
yeah and it appears we're getting an el nino late fall... ie clouds, rain (no storms), coolish days but higher lows, not many crisp radiational cooling dry type nights... el nino signature... after a strong la nina early-fall signature from the first 2/3 of fall... crappy.
baseline bum
12-27-2024, 03:59 PM
Fucking 80s going into the new year. :lol
I remember when trees used to lose all their leaves by the end of November out here. Doubt they'll even lose them in January this winter.
Millennial_Messiah
12-28-2024, 02:38 AM
Fucking 80s going into the new year. :lol
I remember when trees used to lose all their leaves by the end of November out here. Doubt they'll even lose them in January this winter.
FWIW, it's supposed to only be in the 60s on New Year's Eve day and beyond, with lows in the 40s, and heading into the new week it looks like highs in the 60s/lows in the 40s predominate the first half of January, but that's still well above average with no actual cold weather or freezes in sight.
Millennial_Messiah
12-28-2024, 02:40 AM
But yeah, you're right about the leaves. It's the end of the year here and it feels like mid-late September in Michigan, both the weather and with the tree leaves. Most of mine just fell but there's still a batch that hasn't fallen and with no super cold fronts in sight, pretty much 65/44 type sunny to partly cloudy days in sight for the next fortnight after the Christmas heat wave is finally over, I don't even know how much they will fall or if the budding in the spring will be delayed over it.
Millennial_Messiah
12-28-2024, 02:41 AM
Definitely looks like we're getting a California winter to go with our California shit for an autumn. :lol
Millennial_Messiah
12-28-2024, 02:41 AM
But ya never know, baseline bum, it's only late December/early January. You never know what lies ahead in February. I don't recall January 2021 being particularly cold, though it seemed colder than the current forecasts.
baseline bum
12-28-2024, 08:53 AM
FWIW, it's supposed to only be in the 60s on New Year's Eve day and beyond, with lows in the 40s, and heading into the new week it looks like highs in the 60s/lows in the 40s predominate the first half of January, but that's still well above average with no actual cold weather or freezes in sight.
Weather.com's January forecast is stupidly hot for the San Antonio area
https://s.w-x.co/util/image/w/ag2-january_1219.jpg
And ugh fucking 86 on Monday
baseline bum
12-28-2024, 08:56 AM
And no surprise, 2024 had the warmest fall on record in the United States as global warming continues its march unimpeded
https://www.noaa.gov/news/fall-2024-was-nations-warmest-on-record
Millennial_Messiah
12-28-2024, 09:00 PM
Weather.com's January forecast is stupidly hot for the San Antonio area
https://s.w-x.co/util/image/w/ag2-january_1219.jpg
And ugh fucking 86 on Monday
Definitely not like last winter where the rust belt especially Michigan and Minnesota had like no snow and minimal freezing the whole winter due to record anomalous highs but it still managed to be in the 80s here
Millennial_Messiah
12-28-2024, 09:01 PM
And no surprise, 2024 had the warmest fall on record in the United States as global warming continues its march unimpeded
https://www.noaa.gov/news/fall-2024-was-nations-warmest-on-record
No question the warmest fall. Summer was hot but not stupid hot, but fall was stupid hot
Millennial_Messiah
12-30-2024, 06:21 PM
Hey baseline bum (https://www.spurstalk.com/forums/member.php?u=131) !! It got to 90 degrees here on the Far West Side!! And tomorrow is New Years Eve!! Wow........ must be record shattering.
I don't know why the Detroit Lions and Minnesota Vikings for example are insistent on having an indoor stadium. Their winters will be temperate and pleasant in a couple decades.
Nunavut, Yukon, and Alaska will become prime real estate before either one of us will be eligible for medicare or social security, bro. :toast
baseline bum
12-31-2024, 04:25 PM
Hey baseline bum (https://www.spurstalk.com/forums/member.php?u=131) !! It got to 90 degrees here on the Far West Side!! And tomorrow is New Years Eve!! Wow........ must be record shattering.
I don't know why the Detroit Lions and Minnesota Vikings for example are insistent on having an indoor stadium. Their winters will be temperate and pleasant in a couple decades.
Nunavut, Yukon, and Alaska will become prime real estate before either one of us will be eligible for medicare or social security, bro. :toast
2024 is officially the hottest year ever recorded in San Antonio. Pretty wild considering we only had a significantly above average summer as opposed to the monster one we had in 2023.
https://www.ksat.com/weather/2024/12/31/2024-to-go-down-as-the-hottest-year-on-record-in-san-antonio/
https://res.cloudinary.com/graham-media-group/image/upload/f_auto/q_auto/c_scale,w_900/v1/media/gmg/OPGJYGSBZZEB5GJH3IQ6RFAUD4.jpg
Millennial_Messiah
02-07-2025, 01:25 AM
Goodness gracious pushing 90 every day this week, AC drip dripping on 24/7 and basically feeling like midsummer (not Texas standard but every other state standards) in fucking the first week of fucking February, baseline bum. Fuuuuuuuuu
Millennial_Messiah
02-07-2025, 01:25 AM
Absolutely no hiking allowed.
But thankfully we have POTUS 47 who is going to tariff his way to gaining access to the Jewish weather-making space lasers soon and lower the temperatures and save America.
Millennial_Messiah
02-19-2025, 10:24 PM
Outside of one hot week near the beginning of February, it's been a pretty nice/cool winter, baseline bum :toast
Millennial_Messiah
02-19-2025, 10:24 PM
Definitely not four seasons (leaves didn't completely fall until mid fucking January, as we had no fall this past year) but winter has been nice.
Millennial_Messiah
03-01-2025, 08:06 PM
Well, baseline bum, that 2-month winter (with one hot week in the middle in early February) was nice while it lasted, tbh :td
It's officially mid spring and it's March 1st.
Millennial_Messiah
03-03-2025, 07:30 AM
Looks like the rest of this upcoming week apart from Friday which is gonna suck, is looking kinda nice
baseline bum
03-03-2025, 02:16 PM
Looks like the rest of this upcoming week apart from Friday which is gonna suck, is looking kinda nice
I like Friday better than today, as today is April or May level humid while Friday is forecast to still be March level humidity.
Millennial_Messiah
03-03-2025, 03:47 PM
I like Friday better than today, as today is April or May level humid while Friday is forecast to still be March level humidity.
Friday Feb. 7th felt like this too. April/May humidity and sticky a-f.
I agree, I hate the sticky weather, always have
pgardn
03-04-2025, 01:24 PM
Perfect timing for a fire.
High winds and incredibly dry.
Please no bbq or burning wood on your ranch because you can.
baseline bum
03-04-2025, 02:45 PM
Perfect timing for a fire.
High winds and incredibly dry.
Please no bbq or burning wood on your ranch because you can.
America needs to burn right now as Trump and Elon are looting the treasury
Millennial_Messiah
03-04-2025, 03:38 PM
Perfect timing for a fire.
High winds and incredibly dry.
Please no bbq or burning wood on your ranch because you can.
A deciduous tree (not dead, just leafless) fell on someone's house a few doors away and across the street on my street. A big ass tree. I was like, holy shit. The roof was punched in badly
Millennial_Messiah
03-04-2025, 03:38 PM
Also my trash, recycle, and green bins all ended up like 30 feet away and on their sides
Millennial_Messiah
03-04-2025, 03:39 PM
It was a lovely day to go hiking though. Sun, 8+ miles total and planning to go back out, walked to the doctor and to HEB and back taking different paths there and back again.
After a rainy sultry morning it got cool and windy quickly and it's been a pleasant day.
Millennial_Messiah
03-04-2025, 03:43 PM
Except for Friday looking like a good week.
baseline bum
03-04-2025, 05:06 PM
Except for Friday looking like a good week.
Next week looks like late April though :pctoss
Millennial_Messiah
03-04-2025, 05:15 PM
Next week looks like late April though :pctoss
Yup. Add to that that it's spring break. Time for me to book it north this weekend or so.
Millennial_Messiah
03-04-2025, 05:16 PM
I enjoyed the hiking earlier today and will again when the sun starts to go down. The wind makes it feel like you're in coastal California today.
baseline bum
03-04-2025, 05:20 PM
I enjoyed the hiking earlier today and will again when the sun starts to go down. The wind makes it feel like you're in coastal California today.
Kind of reminds me of the roaring wind hiking through valleys up in the Sierras.
pgardn
03-04-2025, 09:36 PM
It was a lovely day to go hiking though. Sun, 8+ miles total and planning to go back out, walked to the doctor and to HEB and back taking different paths there and back again.
After a rainy sultry morning it got cool and windy quickly and it's been a pleasant day.
Hopefully you missed all the dust late afternoon into evening.
I had grit all over my face.
Millennial_Messiah
03-06-2025, 01:01 PM
Hopefully you missed all the dust late afternoon into evening.
I had grit all over my face.
Late afternoon into evening was actually the only part of the day I was inside, I hiked again later the evening and ended up getting over 15 miles total on Tuesday. Noticed that the wind was completely calm by that point.
Where are you at to where you got dust though? That's usually more of a West Texas or Sonoran desert area thing.
pgardn
03-06-2025, 08:07 PM
Late afternoon into evening was actually the only part of the day I was inside, I hiked again later the evening and ended up getting over 15 miles total on Tuesday. Noticed that the wind was completely calm by that point.
Where are you at to where you got dust though? That's usually more of a West Texas or Sonoran desert area thing.
San Antonio.
We got the West Texas dust along with all the construction going on.
We need rain in a bad way. Next week is supposed to be windy and dry again.
Fire just waiting to happen in West thru Central Texas. In the right place and the right time and we might see insurance prices go up.
Some counties have already experienced no fire insurance.
Millennial_Messiah
03-07-2025, 04:20 AM
San Antonio.
We got the West Texas dust along with all the construction going on.
We need rain in a bad way. Next week is supposed to be windy and dry again.
Fire just waiting to happen in West thru Central Texas. In the right place and the right time and we might see insurance prices go up.
Some counties have already experienced no fire insurance.
Well on the bright side, California is going to be cool and rainy in the next couple weeks, maybe go there :lol
Millennial_Messiah
03-07-2025, 01:02 PM
Too hot today, but Sunday and Monday look nice, maybe even tomorrow night if radiational cooling and wind happens more rapidly.
Millennial_Messiah
03-07-2025, 01:03 PM
As expected today baseline bum too hot and I'm planning on roadtripping north probably Monday night or Tuesday ish, haven't fully decided yet but I don't want any part of ~90 degree late winter days. 90 in general even for middle of summer is too hot for me.
Millennial_Messiah
03-07-2025, 01:04 PM
Also compound to all that it's spring break next week and I don't want to be stuck with my boomercon old mom watching Fox News and lounging around the couch like a fucking potato all week and probably gaining another five or ten pounds.
baseline bum
03-10-2025, 03:41 PM
JFC 94 on Thursday and 95 on Friday while it's still winter
Millennial_Messiah
03-12-2025, 12:21 PM
JFC 94 on Thursday and 95 on Friday while it's still winter
Yikes. At least the nights aren't completely horrible yet. Yesterday morning got a 2.3 mile walk in.
Millennial_Messiah
03-12-2025, 12:22 PM
Definitely "Stay inside" spring break weather. Yikes. Didn't get to go north yet because my mental health/ haven't gotten my tax refund money back.
baseline bum
03-12-2025, 02:07 PM
haven't gotten my tax refund money back.
Welcome to Trump's America, where half the IRS is about to get fired
GAustex
03-12-2025, 07:03 PM
It beautiful in North Austin right now
SnakeBoy
03-12-2025, 10:35 PM
It beautiful in North Austin right now
It's been beautiful just north of SA too, don't know what they're complaining about.
Temperature wise that is...this fucking never ending drought sucks though.
Millennial_Messiah
03-12-2025, 10:48 PM
Welcome to Trump's America, where half the IRS is about to get fired
I heard it was only a bunch of H1b contractors, "compliance" people, and the DEI/green department.
Millennial_Messiah
03-12-2025, 10:49 PM
It's been beautiful just north of SA too, don't know what they're complaining about.
Temperature wise that is...this fucking never ending drought sucks though.
91 is not just beautiful. It's insufferable. I want to like move to the fucking North Pole already.
The drought is good though. Better 91 and feels like 91 than 84 but feels like fucking 101, which is typical of springtime in Texas, but more-so in El Nino and Neutral years but not La Nina's. Dry heat is much better. Though this La Nina was Modoki and pretty weak.
baseline bum
03-14-2025, 05:17 PM
Fucking 97 today, though doesn't feel as bad as 97 is usually thanks to a dewpoint of only 19 degrees. Still fucking hot for March though.
Robz4000
03-14-2025, 09:56 PM
Fucking 97 today, though doesn't feel as bad as 97 is usually thanks to a dewpoint of only 19 degrees. Still fucking hot for March though.
Felt like a normal August day to me tbh.
baseline bum
03-14-2025, 10:07 PM
Felt like a normal August day to me tbh.
Maybe a normal August day in 1994. Certainly not August 2024.
Millennial_Messiah
03-15-2025, 09:53 AM
Maybe a normal August day in 1994. Certainly not August 2024.
Felt like a normal August or September, even early October day in California, more accurately
Lows under 60, very low humidity, dry heat approaching 100 but again next to no humidity
In 1994 (year I was born) the dry line was further west so San Antonio was more humid then than now. Springs were consistently much more stormy and nothing like this. Cooler temp wise, yes, but wetter/ more humid. Dry line is promulgating east due to global warming/ global drying.
Imagine thirty years from now when Houston starts burning and being more hot but less humid and San Antonio is officially hot arid steppe country.
baseline bum
03-15-2025, 09:59 AM
Felt like a normal August or September, even early October day in California, more accurately
Lows under 60, very low humidity, dry heat approaching 100 but again next to no humidity
In 1994 (year I was born) the dry line was further west so San Antonio was more humid then than now. Springs were consistently much more stormy and nothing like this. Cooler temp wise, yes, but wetter/ more humid. Dry line is promulgating east due to global warming/ global drying.
Imagine thirty years from now when Houston starts burning and being more hot but less humid and San Antonio is officially hot arid steppe country.
IDK a normal August day for me when I lived out there was 76 :lol
Also global warming forecasts have us getting rainier due to higher temperature air being able to hold more water. It's the west that's going to have problems with drinking water and nightmare fires. We're just going to turn into a hotter version of Houston or New Orleans.
Millennial_Messiah
03-15-2025, 12:26 PM
IDK a normal August day for me when I lived out there was 76 :lol
Also global warming forecasts have us getting rainier due to higher temperature air being able to hold more water. It's the west that's going to have problems with drinking water and nightmare fires. We're just going to turn into a hotter version of Houston or New Orleans.
you must have lived right by the coast
Millennial_Messiah
03-15-2025, 12:27 PM
We're just going to turn into a hotter version of Houston or New Orleans.
I couldn't survive that kind of hell.
Millennial_Messiah
03-15-2025, 12:31 PM
Also global warming forecasts have us getting rainier due to higher temperature air being able to hold more water
Being able to is overrated when the dry line is moving east and thus atmospheric and surface pressures will be higher.
Millennial_Messiah
03-15-2025, 12:33 PM
In CA, anywhere even a few miles inland is in the 90s pretty consistently in summer and early fall.
Go far enough inland and you get into the 100s and up. I went from a pleasant 73 hiking in Santa Monica on Aug. 9th, 2021 to 110 (!) degrees in Indio, CA on the same afternoon.
pgardn
03-15-2025, 01:44 PM
Weather is wonderful.
Low humidity.
But the lack of rain and big wind makes us ripe for fire.
And Im sure the farmers and people with wells will love it if it does not rain far into the summer.
The desert moves east. Welcome to Climate Change and erratic highly variable climate and day to day weather changes.
The insurance companies have taken note. Its not pretty for buyers of property.
aside:
The off road bike trails in the "Greenway" are absolutely incredible around the city. People have done some incredible work.
As long as it does not rain, go off road in all of the city floodplane trails. Take a shower and have plant a garden in your shower with all the dust that comes off you.
Millennial_Messiah
03-15-2025, 05:54 PM
Weather is wonderful.
Low humidity.
But the lack of rain and big wind makes us ripe for fire.
And Im sure the farmers and people with wells will love it if it does not rain far into the summer.
The desert moves east. Welcome to Climate Change and erratic highly variable climate and day to day weather changes.
The insurance companies have taken note. Its not pretty for buyers of property.
aside:
The off road bike trails in the "Greenway" are absolutely incredible around the city. People have done some incredible work.
As long as it does not rain, go off road in all of the city floodplane trails. Take a shower and have plant a garden in your shower with all the dust that comes off you.
Yeah, I agree with this. I don't buy baseline bum (https://www.spurstalk.com/forums/member.php?u=131) 's theory that SA is going to get more humid. It's clear that the dry line is moving east, not west. This will favor higher temps but lower humidity similar to low parts of West Texas and Arizona. Atmospheric pressure will be generally higher. We're have more and more of these windy, hot, dry days (when's the last time we've seen this in the spring? Almost every other year in March/April it's some form of sultry, sticky, humid subtropical, wet at least muggy and often foggy). The drawback to this is that it will still rain sometimes eventually and you'll get more flash flooding because the earth won't be used to absorbing moisture anymore. But most of your typical springtime storminess down here IMO will be replaced by popcorn showers more typical of the sagebrush Southwest than the Southeast or Southern Plains.
Baseline Bum thinks SA is going to turn into the next Dubai when I think it's going to turn into the next Tucson. We'll see.
One thing we can all agree on, the global warming and climate change is real.
baseline bum
03-15-2025, 07:13 PM
Yeah, I agree with this. I don't buy baseline bum (https://www.spurstalk.com/forums/member.php?u=131) 's theory that SA is going to get more humid. It's clear that the dry line is moving east, not west. This will favor higher temps but lower humidity similar to low parts of West Texas and Arizona. Atmospheric pressure will be generally higher. We're have more and more of these windy, hot, dry days (when's the last time we've seen this in the spring? Almost every other year in March/April it's some form of sultry, sticky, humid subtropical, wet at least muggy and often foggy). The drawback to this is that it will still rain sometimes eventually and you'll get more flash flooding because the earth won't be used to absorbing moisture anymore. But most of your typical springtime storminess down here IMO will be replaced by popcorn showers more typical of the sagebrush Southwest than the Southeast or Southern Plains.
Baseline Bum thinks SA is going to turn into the next Dubai when I think it's going to turn into the next Tucson. We'll see.
One thing we can all agree on, the global warming and climate change is real.
Nah the humidity usually starts becoming the norm around in April when typical lows start sticking into the mid to high 60s, as night time low is basically the same as night time dew point from April through September. Lows in the 50s are pretty typical in March which means dew points that aren't very humid. It's the last decent month in San Antonio until October and feels like when you're a kid and can't really enjoy Sunday knowing you have school tomorrow whereas October feels like Friday right after the bell rings. Weather like Tuscon is impossible here with the strong gulf flow that keeps us humid as hell 7 months of the year.
Blake
03-15-2025, 08:40 PM
Yeah, I agree with this. I don't buy baseline bum (https://www.spurstalk.com/forums/member.php?u=131) 's theory that SA is going to get more humid. It's clear that the dry line is moving east, not west. This will favor higher temps but lower humidity similar to low parts of West Texas and Arizona. Atmospheric pressure will be generally higher. We're have more and more of these windy, hot, dry days (when's the last time we've seen this in the spring? Almost every other year in March/April it's some form of sultry, sticky, humid subtropical, wet at least muggy and often foggy). The drawback to this is that it will still rain sometimes eventually and you'll get more flash flooding because the earth won't be used to absorbing moisture anymore. But most of your typical springtime storminess down here IMO will be replaced by popcorn showers more typical of the sagebrush Southwest than the Southeast or Southern Plains.
Baseline Bum thinks SA is going to turn into the next Dubai when I think it's going to turn into the next Tucson. We'll see.
One thing we can all agree on, the global warming and climate change is real.
Lol SA turning into Tucson? Are you talking on a permanent basis?
The gulf is losing land because the of waters rising. 200 years, SA might be beach front. Who knows.
GAustex
03-15-2025, 09:18 PM
It really nice in N Austin right now
Millennial_Messiah
03-16-2025, 03:08 AM
Nah the humidity usually starts becoming the norm around in April when typical lows start sticking into the mid to high 60s, as night time low is basically the same as night time dew point from April through September. Lows in the 50s are pretty typical in March which means dew points that aren't very humid. It's the last decent month in San Antonio until October and feels like when you're a kid and can't really enjoy Sunday knowing you have school tomorrow whereas October feels like Friday right after the bell rings. Weather like Tuscon is impossible here with the strong gulf flow that keeps us humid as hell 7 months of the year.
Most October's yes, but last October felt like just another month of summer tbh.
Millennial_Messiah
03-16-2025, 03:10 AM
It's sad because in childhood spring was my favorite season because of my birthday and the Spurs playoff run season, [in spite of all the warming up] but now both of those things absolutely suck tbh.
Millennial_Messiah
03-16-2025, 09:30 AM
It's the last decent month in San Antonio until October and feels like when you're a kid and can't really enjoy Sunday knowing you have school tomorrow whereas October feels like Friday right after the bell rings.
I love the allusion :lol , but I'd offer to tweak it a bit.
The beginning of October (el octúbre where I come from) was more like Friday morning. Realistically Halloween is like the bell ringing at the end of the last class of the day, generally 8th period, in school. Because most Octobers have sporadic cool fronts at best, sometimes windy, sometimes rainy, occasionally it'll cool, sometimes hot and sultry. October 2024 had essentially zero cool downs, it was just another summer month, rivaling October's in California.
February is like Sunday day and March is like Sunday evening. April 1st is like waking up in the middle of the night Monday morning after a couple hours of sleep and insomnia and going like ugh, here we go again for the long haul.
Thread
03-20-2025, 02:10 AM
It'll be 97 in a week here in Sun City.
Millennial_Messiah
03-20-2025, 07:36 AM
29 degrees and snowing where I'm currently at right now
Brookfield, Wisconsin
High forecast 39
Driving to Grand Rapids, Michigan today where the high will also be 39
baseline bum
03-29-2025, 10:35 PM
29 degrees and snowing where I'm currently at right now
Brookfield, Wisconsin
High forecast 39
Driving to Grand Rapids, Michigan today where the high will also be 39
Ugh lows in the 70s tonight all through next week like it was fucking June :pctoss
Millennial_Messiah
03-30-2025, 04:22 PM
Ugh lows in the 70s tonight all through next week like it was fucking June :pctoss
Awful looking week, glad I spent my birthday in Wisconsin. Though it's been cold and drippy with some storms here this weekend.
Looks like there is some relief for San Antonio for a few days the week starting Sunday April 6 for San Antonio, like a proper spring should be imo:
https://weather.com/weather/tenday/l/San+Antonio+TX?canonicalCityId=a350bf57ff31fb2da23 9d0bc8e95511cddf79670693cbfd0f14a40fb45222c37
Millennial_Messiah
03-30-2025, 04:23 PM
Also look like the prevailing rainy/stormy pattern from the past couple weeks, is going to go away after next week and replaced by high and dry. Good. SA doesn't need more rain. The whole upper south is getting flooded.
baseline bum
03-30-2025, 04:35 PM
Also look like the prevailing rainy/stormy pattern from the past couple weeks, is going to go away after next week and replaced by high and dry. Good. SA doesn't need more rain. The whole upper south is getting flooded.
SA desperately needs rain, we didn't get the boatload of it the Rio Grande Valley did and we're in exceptional drought in the rainy season.
GAustex
03-30-2025, 06:44 PM
West of Austin needs rain
Lots of it
pgardn
03-30-2025, 08:20 PM
Also look like the prevailing rainy/stormy pattern from the past couple weeks, is going to go away after next week and replaced by high and dry. Good. SA doesn't need more rain. The whole upper south is getting flooded.
We absolutely need more rain.
Fast growth cities relying on an aquifer for water will almost always need rain.
SnakeBoy
03-30-2025, 11:19 PM
SA desperately needs rain, we didn't get the boatload of it the Rio Grande Valley did and we're in exceptional drought in the rainy season.
I heard we need around 27 inches over the next 6 months to end the drought
Chance of that happening is basically 0%
Canyon Lake is going to be a puddle by August
Millennial_Messiah
04-01-2025, 02:11 PM
39 degrees here in WI on election day. Absolutely beautiful start of April. Sorry, Texas.
Millennial_Messiah
04-01-2025, 02:11 PM
I heard we need around 27 inches over the next 6 months to end the drought
Chance of that happening is basically 0%
Canyon Lake is going to be a puddle by August
If it happens we'll have 1998 flooding on steroids, roads will be undriveable, make low lying areas lakes again?
SnakeBoy
04-01-2025, 03:12 PM
If it happens we'll have 1998 flooding on steroids, roads will be undriveable, make low lying areas lakes again?
I live on top of a hill so I'm all for it
pgardn
04-02-2025, 03:47 PM
If it happens we'll have 1998 flooding on steroids, roads will be undriveable, make low lying areas lakes again?
The floods in the area of the Hill Country where the capture and recharge exist are often flash floods. There is a bunch of limestone and not that much soil. The low areas become full of very fast dangerous water.
They are not like the floods in New Orleans and Houston (or even flatter south San Antonio)that puddle up over vast area of land and hang around. The water goes underground, or rampaging south and spreading out or into a few lakes (some Hill country type lakes). Lots of water on the hill country will usually move very quickly somewhere.
Millennial_Messiah
04-02-2025, 10:56 PM
Sunday looks absolutely lovely for San Antonio, sad I couldn't be there just for that day
baseline bum
04-02-2025, 11:12 PM
Sunday looks absolutely lovely for San Antonio, sad I couldn't be there just for that day
Saturday too. I'm gonna enjoy the hell out of that but will be sad that it'll likely be the last decent cool front we see until October. Already really sick of this early June weather in early April.
Millennial_Messiah
04-03-2025, 07:00 AM
Saturday too. I'm gonna enjoy the hell out of that but will be sad that it'll likely be the last decent cool front we see until October. Already really sick of this early June weather in early April.
I drove to from WI to MI last night, woke up campin' in muh car this morning and it's lovely here, like low around 40 and high in the low 50s with a nice cool breeze
I do have a hotel here in Grand Rapids for the next 2 days, a singles mixer event here tonight then a date tomorrow
I'm debating flying to SA just for those few cooler days then fly back north
baseline bum
04-10-2025, 11:40 AM
Ugh 96 forecast for Sunday and Monday when the average high should be 79
Millennial_Messiah
04-16-2025, 11:32 AM
Ugh 96 forecast for Sunday and Monday when the average high should be 79
79 in mid April?? that seems oddly cold for the average in SAT
of course, it used to rain more, and coming out of La Nina = less rainy spring
Millennial_Messiah
05-02-2025, 08:59 PM
Ugh :bang in Boston and it feels like summer here while much further south even in Missouri but also Michigan/Wisconsin it's much much cooler. But it's summer here in the northeast feels like fucking July. :pctoss baseline bum about to head down to NC though for a couple days then MO then back up
Millennial_Messiah
05-02-2025, 09:27 PM
Ugh :bang in Boston and it feels like summer here while much further south even in Missouri but also Michigan/Wisconsin it's much much cooler. But it's summer here in the northeast feels like fucking July. :pctoss baseline bum about to head down to NC though for a couple days then MO then back up
baseline bum
05-04-2025, 05:49 PM
Ugh :bang in Boston and it feels like summer here while much further south even in Missouri but also Michigan/Wisconsin it's much much cooler. But it's summer here in the northeast feels like fucking July. :pctoss baseline bum about to head down to NC though for a couple days then MO then back up
Has actually been really nice. Just replaced my AC units this weekend with new and more efficient units so hopefully I'll be less pissed about the heat and my electric bill this summer. :lol
Plus Weather Channel is forecasting slightly below average temperatures for August which would be a godsend if we're at 97-98 every day instead of 101-103.
Millennial_Messiah
05-05-2025, 06:52 PM
Has actually been really nice. Just replaced my AC units this weekend with new and more efficient units so hopefully I'll be less pissed about the heat and my electric bill this summer. :lol
Plus Weather Channel is forecasting slightly below average temperatures for August which would be a godsend if we're at 97-98 every day instead of 101-103.
so basically 2016 type summer hopefully
Millennial_Messiah
05-05-2025, 06:53 PM
baseline bum I'm here in Asheville North Carolina and it was 59 and cloudy all day. Light rain shower for about 20 minutes, else just cloudy and pleasant. Not too windy. Love it! How spring should be!
baseline bum
05-06-2025, 07:57 PM
baseline bum I'm here in Asheville North Carolina and it was 59 and cloudy all day. Light rain shower for about 20 minutes, else just cloudy and pleasant. Not too windy. Love it! How spring should be!
Ugh first 100 of the year forecast. And almost a month and half before normal.
https://i.ibb.co/4ZNXHCVD/first.jpg
Millennial_Messiah
05-07-2025, 10:22 PM
Around 70 still here in Mid May in Branson Missouri, but the humidity is definitely felt this time of year
Can't wait to go back up to Green Bay
Millennial_Messiah
05-07-2025, 10:23 PM
Ugh first 100 of the year forecast. And almost a month and half before normal.
https://i.ibb.co/4ZNXHCVD/first.jpg
Well, shoot....
Definitely 2022 vibes? baseline bum
baseline bum
05-08-2025, 08:27 AM
Well, shoot....
Definitely 2022 vibes? baseline bum
Ugh now forecasting 102 for next Wednesday :pctoss
Millennial_Messiah
05-08-2025, 09:10 PM
Ugh now forecasting 102 for next Wednesday :pctoss
yes, 2022 vibes indeed
I better fucking get an amazing match (woman on Match) again on June 3rd-4th.
UNT Eagles 2016
05-11-2025, 10:07 AM
i was hoping for 2021 again i.e. reasonable somewhat below average spring/summer without being excessively stormy or hyper rainy
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