***** Official All-Inclusive 2020 Election Night Thread *****

[Nathan89]

Dems filling out bogus mail in ballots as we speak.

[ducks]

NATE SILVER
NOV. 3, 10:28 PM

This is a potentially material issue in Georgia. A reported 80,000 mail ballots are delayed in being reported in Gwinnett County because of a software error. Those are likely very blue votes.

Not on his Twitter feed

[florige]

at least someone on the dems side has some backbone

I just was hoping and Tim Dunken wasn’t the reincarnation of Reck in 2016 when all the predictions were spot on wrong

[baseline bum]

I want an apology when we win this, tbh.

If we take Az I'll be a lot more hopeful. That could make up for a potential up in Wisconsin if the rust belt turns out to be really close. Glad to see we got NH.

[baseline bum]

I just was hoping and Tim Dunken wasn’t the reincarnation of Reck in 2016 when all the predictions were spot on wrong

[TimDunkem]

I just was hoping and Tim Dunken wasn’t the reincarnation of Reck in 2016 when all the predictions were spot on wrong

It'll be closer than I thought but I don't see where I've been wrong so far. Tbh. I'll own it if I am though.

[Joseph Kony]

Biden up 7 on Trump in AZ with 73% reporting, has a real chance to flip AZ blue it looks like

[TimDunkem]

If we take Az I'll be a lot more hopeful. That could make up for a potential up in Wisconsin if the rust belt turns out to be really close. Glad to see we got NH.

Many of these early and mail-in votes haven't been counted yet. I remain optimistic.

[Nathan89]

[ElNono]

Oh Ok, I’m trying to follow this from my phone and here only. Not really looking at the county maps lol

Not saying Trump can't win, but the most populous cities are yet to be counted, while most of the predominantly red inner counties have finished a while ago.

[Winehole23]

[baseline bum]

NATE SILVER
NOV. 3, 10:43 PM
ABC projects that Democrats will retain the House of Representatives. Not a huge surprise — they were 97 percent favorites in our model.

[ElNono]

Yea, the polls haven't let you down or anything tonight.

Not so far. You can see the map.

[TimDunkem]

Like I was saying...

[spurraider21]

VA is a non issue tbh

Wisconsin/Michigan/Penn are all states expected to have delays in getting mail in ballots counted iirc, so its difficult to read those

but Biden taking Arizona would buy him some cushion among those states

[Nathan89]

Dems have been telling people to stop sending ballots for almost a week now.

[spurraider21]

Not on his Twitter feed

https://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blo...ults-coverage/

[Winehole23]

Dems have been telling people to stop sending ballots for almost a week now.

And Trump's been calling absentee voting a scam for months. You probably will too if the tide turns over the next few days.

[baseline bum]

Many of these early and mail-in votes haven't been counted yet. I remain optimistic.

Pima and Maricopa still have plenty of votes to count, so hopefully we hold on. Biden has a path to 270 with Arizona even without Pennsylvania if he can hold Wisconsin and Michigan and take all of Maine. That New Hampshire win was absolutely critical to stop the bleeding.

[baseline bum]

But 269-269 and the house giving the election to Trump looks like it could be a very real possibility. Namely that map above if Biden only takes the statewide Maine EV but not the other one.

[benefactor]

Channeling Too $hort heading to the finish...bring the pimp hand Joe

[hater]

[TimDunkem]

Pima and Maricopa still have plenty of votes to count, so hopefully we hold on. Biden has a path to 270 with Arizona even without Pennsylvania if he can hold Wisconsin and Michigan and take all of Maine. That New Hampshire win was absolutely critical to stop the bleeding.

Certainly a possibility, but I still like our chances in PA. The votes from the Dem strongholds aren't in yet.

[Reck]

Based on what? Biden's underperforming polls in Florida and NC and all the Ohio news is based on early voting.

Base on Arizona. It's going blue.

The AP just called New Hampshire for Biden. North Carolina is also still a nail biter.

[Winehole23]