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Right, those counties are so small they won't move the needle enough in Trump's favor.
Wow nice
Right, those counties are so small they won't move the needle enough in Trump's favor.
Getting creamed in returns from his own counties. Not unexpected considering how these returns skew blue but NV should predictably go to Biden.
One thing that's been clear throughout the election is that subsequent dumps of mail-in votes from specific counties will almost always break at the same ratio as that first dump. Like if the first batch is 3-1 Biden, the next batch probably isn't going to go 2-1 Trump or something. There's certainly exceptions to the rule, like the situation in AZ where it's expected the subsequent dumps to break even or favor Biden due to how AZ sequences the counts, but Nevada should in all probability stay true to the general trend we've been witnessing.
OVA.
My mind also tells me AZ is a lock, but I remain nervous. And PA drags their in' feet like no one's business. It'll flip, but I want to SEE it flip before I start punching the air.
LOL not taking a 12k lead over a 7k one with some grace.
Then again if Dump chokes in GA it doesn't matter once NV is called.
Biden has a menu of ways to defeat Trump. Again, it's only a matter of how and how much gravy we get on top.
he said its a long way to go from calling the state, not that the news wasnt good in a vacuum
Baseline looks for the kill shot early. lol
Joe needs to pull 60%+ of the remaining mail in votes to take PA.
Reporter: "He is already trending well above 60% on the counted mail in votes."
17% still outstanding in Philadelphia county which is going to be very blue
That's a ton of votes that could be as high as 80%+ Biden. Trump is so ed.
Yep. if these lazy s in PA get their together and count all the votes aside from the 30k they have set aside Biden should have this in the bag today
Doesn't include all the other blue counties as well as the red ones where Biden will win the mail-in vote. Biden will win PA handedly once all is said and done.
NATE SILVER
NOV. 5, 12:28 PM
I’m not a decision desk, but I suppose I think Nevada is on the verge of being callable at this point. Two-thirds of the state’s population is in Clark County and Biden is gaining big in Clark County! Not sure I see the route for a Trump comeback.
where is that old Thread at? did he die of the rona?
Don't know. He called Floyd an animal and hasn't posted since. Lurks nearly every day though.
NOV. 5, 12:41 PM
A little inside baseball, but this dynamic may affect how different networks are handling Nevada. If you’ve called Arizona (which I don’t think you should have!), then a Nevada call would give Biden the election. But Nevada is probably callable at this point!
CNN:
"Trump campaign observers can stand closer while watching ballot processing in Philadelphia, court rules
From CNN's By Katelyn Polantz
A Pennsylvania court ruled that Trump campaign observers could stand closer to watch ballot processing in Philadelphia—
a relatively inconsequential ruling that Trump campaign associates quickly touted as being a massive win.
Votes that could decide the state are still being counted there.
No court has found wrongdoing in the ballot-counting process in Philadelphia.
“It allows their observers to stand a little closer,
but it is not an order that will have any impact on the outcome of the election,” law professor and CNN elections analyst Franita Tolson said Thursday, noting that
the decision was “not massive at all.”"
Already been overruled.
thats a good point. i think they're going to have to pull back from AZ for a bit. would be completely ridiculous if they call the election and then AZ turns red
Nye was the largest red county left that broke for Trump at 3 to 1 on Election Day. For Trump to only make up 300 votes spells doom.
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