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  1. #9551
    Veteran hater's Avatar
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    Independent DMX7's Avatar
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  3. #9553
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  4. #9554
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  5. #9555
    Alleged Michigander ChumpDumper's Avatar
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    Is hypothermia a big problem for Germans in April, hater?

  6. #9556
    I am that guy RandomGuy's Avatar
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    https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1...273183239.html

    Ah. Well, Russian units tended to have about 1/4 to 1/3 the amount of supply truck capacity of their NATO counterparts, so it is worse than you might think.

    They have historically relied on their railroads for supply, but that doesn't help them on the offensive.

    The fact that they don't have good maintenance practices means their truck fleet, even beyond what is getting destroyed, is simply going to start suffering some catastrophically bad maintenance issues that will only get worse over time.

    Give it another few weeks of grinding, and UKR will be doing some serious counter offensives.
    UKR counteroffensives have kicked off.

    The linked thread above, dated Mar 6, gives the time line.

    In my now widely read thread on poorly maintained, cheap Chinese made, truck tires, I explained how Russia lost trucks & mobility by not maintaining tires.

    This loss of vehicles without a shot being fired is referred to as "Operational Attrition."

    That is, just by operating vehicles, you lose some of them because they break.

    This gets a lot worse in combat. Each mile traveled by a military truck in war is between 10 and 20 miles wear. This is simple.

    Truck drivers abuse trucks because they don't want to die.

    I was associated with three US Army "Reset" programs in 2003 - 2008 to fix all the FMTV trucks that lived through a year of "Punch it Chewy."

    My good friend at Sealy, Gilbert Duran, wrote an article about the 1st phase of the effort called:

    Resetting the FMTV: the Army Tank-automotive and Armaments Command Reset Program refurbishes FMTV trucks returning from Afghanistan and Iraq.
    https://www.thefreelibrary.com/Reset.....-a0136122112

    Yeah, long le, but authors in Army branch publications gotta do what they gotta do to get published.

    As the low seniority DCMA guy I got to do induction inspections on IED blast damaged trucks like these.

    None of those vehicles ran, but mainly because they had been picked over for parts

    There were not that many miles on them, but goodness was there oil leaks, sludge, leaky radiators, carbon build ups & the suspensions were beat to h--l

    Cab glass was noticeable by it's absence

    This was in an Army that has professional NCO's that lived, breathed and ate preventive maintenance as a religious catechism.

    And the US Army enforced rest periods for its truck drivers because it cared enough about having men & equipment future operations.

    None of that is true for the Russian Army.

    Most of the time between 2012 and 2022 the Russian Army did not maintain their trucks.

    The Russians don't have a professional NCO Corps so they ARE NOT DOING IT NOW.

    he overriding priority of Russian logistics is transporting artillery ammunition.

    Every truck is being sent out in whatever condition, overloaded with ammunition.

    The engines are running white hot and no one has checked the oil or other fluid levels, let alone does an oil change, in these last three weeks.

    This Russian officer "Meet the Plan now" over everything else has real world consequences with tired drivers.

    It's not just convoy chain reaction accidents.

    Driver fall asleep at the wheel and do things like fall off bridges.

    And running overloaded by artillery ammunition trucks through previously destroyed convoys like this are going to shred even good tires and catch road debris in CTIS and pneumatic brake hoses.

    Plus driving through/around this takes more time.

    And then there is the "conscript factor." Who do you think were towing the helicopters in this video? Russian conscripts, that's who.

    What does that mean in a panicked evacuation?

    They pulled those choppers as fast as they could get 15km of so

    ...out of artillery range. The choppers were trash at that point.

    However, after that, those guys slowed the <bleep> down & took their time dragging those choppers to their drop off point so they had as much "safe time" as they could before the next artillery ammo run.


    The ulative effects of all these factors leads to horrendous levels of Russian Army Truck fleet operational attrition.

    Short form: 6-to-8 weeks more fighting will deadline the entire Russian Army military truck fleet.
    16/
    Between the end of April and Mid-May 2022, the Ukrainian Army will be able to counter-attack EVERYWHERE.

    Because there will be NOWHERE more than 20 miles/30 km inside Ukraine where Russian troops won't be out of food and low on ammunition.
    Add to the end of April is the time when the conscripts are due to be released after having finished their time in service, for the next round of troops to enter service.

    If they hold on to the existing conscripts to extend that time, you can expect more desertions. Gawd knows what would be going through the minds of the new kids. yikes.


    The long clock favors UKR. It's all about the trucks. Expect to see more Scooby-Doo vans pressed into service.

  7. #9557
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  8. #9558
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    They may remain "non-aligned", but you can bet your ass UKR will be getting a metric- ton of NATO equipment like tanks etc, and phasing out the obsolete Russian crap they have now, and their military will bounce back a lot faster than the Ptomkin Russian "military".
    Ukraine is nuts if they think we're agreeing to this... and they want a guarantee from Russia? What?

    In exchange, Ukraine would get what Arakhamia called “wording close to Nato’s Article 5” — whereby the alliances’ members must come to each others’ aid if one is attacked — for security guarantees from countries including Russia, the US, the UK, Canada, France, Germany, China, Italy, Poland, Israel, and Turkey.

    Any prospective agreement, however, would have to be agreed with the guarantors and ratified by their parliaments, Zelensky said on Sunday.

    The prospective guarantors have yet to agree to uphold Ukraine’s security, the people said. “We do not have any rejections so far,” Arakhamia said.

    Ukraine would put the deal to a referendum in several months’ time before changing its cons ution, said Zelensky — a process that could require at least a year.

    “The only resolved [issue] is the type of international guarantees Ukraine is looking for, but . . . we still have to get the approval from the guarantors otherwise the deal will never fly,” Arakhamia said.

  9. #9559
    Yam Tits's Bonespur Xray Ef-man's Avatar
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  10. #9560
    Veteran velik_m's Avatar
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    No one is freezing to death in the middle of April in Europe, you ing moron.

    The oil and gas sector accounted up to roughly 40% of Russia's federal budget revenues
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_Russia

    It would be a suicide for Russian economy to self embargo, but i guess they are being lead by a "genius", so anything is possible

    Without firing a gun, without drawing a sword, should they make war on us, we could bring the whole world to our feet ... What would happen if no cotton was furnished for three years? ... England would topple headlong and carry the whole civilized world with her, save the South. No, you dare not to make war on cotton. No power on the earth dares to make war upon it. Cotton is king.
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/King_Cotton

  11. #9561
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    No one is freezing to death in the middle of April in Europe, you ing moron.


    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_Russia

    It would be a suicide for Russian economy to self embargo, but i guess they are being lead by a "genius", so anything is possible



    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/King_Cotton
    No rubles no gas. Good luck cooking by burning trash.



    Wear a sweater nig

    Cheers

  12. #9562
    Alleged Michigander ChumpDumper's Avatar
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    No rubles no gas. Good luck cooking by burning trash.



    Wear a sweater nig

    Cheers
    are you calling thousands of German freezing deaths this spring from an embargo, hater?

    Yes or no.

  13. #9563
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    are you calling thousands of German freezing deaths this spring from an embargo, hater?

    Yes or no.
    Nope. They economy will be ed tho.. their industry runs on gas.

    Just because they were too lazy to buy rubles

  14. #9564
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    Obliterating your economy to trigger the Russians

  15. #9565
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    No rubles no gas. Good luck cooking by burning trash.



    Wear a sweater nig

    Cheers
    If Russia believed it had any leverage here, they would cut off the west already. As it is, they are still paying Ukraine to transport their gas to their customers.

    I don't need a sweater, it was 21 degrees Celsius today.

  16. #9566
    Alleged Michigander ChumpDumper's Avatar
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    immediate flip-flop
    They economy will be ed tho.. their industry runs on gas.
    Putin's economy depends on the sales.

    But you're sticking with your flip-flop that Putin will lose?

    Or do you need to flip-flop back?

  17. #9567
    Alleged Michigander ChumpDumper's Avatar
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    If Russia believed it had any leverage here, they would cut off the west already. As it is, they are still paying Ukraine to transport their gas to their customers.

    I don't need a sweater, it was 21 degrees Celsius today.
    facts don't care about hater's flip-flops.

  18. #9568
    Veteran hater's Avatar
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    If Russia believed it had any leverage here, they would cut off the west already. As it is, they are still paying Ukraine to transport their gas to their customers.

    I don't need a sweater, it was 21 degrees Celsius today.
    It will be no rubles no gas. Pretty simple. Euro indistry will just halt.


    Cheers


  19. #9569
    The Timeless One Leetonidas's Avatar
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    hilarious how hater posts tweets from rando twitter accounts with like 15 likes on here and laughs at it like it's the funniest thing ever. so cringe

  20. #9570
    Independent DMX7's Avatar
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    It will be no rubles no gas. Pretty simple. Euro indistry will just halt.
    So gullible. They'll take whatever they can get. We could pay them in Pesos.

  21. #9571
    Believe. RedStripe's Avatar
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    Correct. Big balls Brandon calling it right
    whateva you say mon

  22. #9572
    🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆 ElNono's Avatar
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  23. #9573
    🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆 ElNono's Avatar
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    whateva you say mon
    hey man, you know Brandon always had a big mouth... part of the package...

  24. #9574
    🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆 ElNono's Avatar
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    Translation: Putler keeps getting spit in the face... memes can't fix that

  25. #9575
    🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆 ElNono's Avatar
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    'Murica got them...

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