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Wall of Shame is like a roach motel, you can check in but you can't check out.
Wall of Shame is like a roach motel, you can check in but you can't check out.
there's nothing shameful about correcting one's own mistakes, I don't recall that you've ever admitted one.
This is you lifting yourself above me and calling it "admitting mistakes".
Nah, it's neutral description.
ERCOT Interim CEO, Brad Jones, setting reasonable expectations:
https://www.houstonchronicle.com/bus...s-17299561.php"Now, I am concerned that there will be more (generation) outages because just the way we're running them this summer, not even the conservative operations, just how we're running in the summer. It puts a lot of wear and tear on some of these older machines. So I am concerned about their reliability all the way through the summer, but right now they are performing extraordinarily with low outage rates..
https://www.texasmonthly.com/news-po...rid-heat-wave/Thus far in 2022, renewables—especially solar—have provided a bulwark that’s kept the lights on and the AC blasting through an especially miserable summer—and they’ve done it affordably, even as natural gas prices skyrocket because of global energy prices. “Those costs are outrageously high,” Lewin told me. “I shudder to think about what this would look like if we didn’t have zero marginal cost fuel like wind and solar on the system at the scale we do.”
https://www.newsweek.com/energy-cris...pinion-1724084Consider the case of Texas. Last month, renewable boosters in the state were crowing about how renewables were "bailing out" the Texas power grid. Yet those boosters have been silent lately. Why? Over the past few days, as temperatures have soared to over 100 degrees and electricity use in Texas has been setting new records, ERCOT, the state's grid operator, has been asking residents to use less power.
Texas doesn't have enough juice because at the same time that power demand is soaring, output from the 35,000 megawatts of wind capacity in the state has been falling to near zero.
According to data published by ERCOT, on both July 10 and July 11, at about 1 pm, when power demand was rising dramatically, the output from all of that wind capacity was only about 1,000 megawatts or roughly 3 percent of its potential output. The wind energy was just... disappearing.
Looks like demand is projected to overshoot their quick start capacity from 2PM until 10PM today. this backwards ass state.
https://www.ercot.com/gridmktinfo/da...upplyanddemand
People should go burn down that bitcoin farm in Rockdale that uses 400 MW.
Wind generation was in line with ERCOT's week ahead estimate and a normal level for a hot summer day. By contrast,~12Gw thermal energy was offline, far short of the week ahead estimate. That's roughly as much energy as NYC uses on a hot summer day.
I notice there's no advice to conserve even though the projected shortage is greater than Monday's. I wonder whether ERCOT is asking generators to spin up plants closed for maintenance, or quietly asking industry to shut off power.
Today might be another good day to turn up the thermostat and spare the dishes and the laundry til nighttime.
Disingenuous. Wind and solar have been performing as predicted. Fossil fuels have not.
Focusing on only one renewable is just stupid. This guy is clearly running interference for the gas/coal plant failures during this time.
This is insane. If a company owns enough generators, there is an incentive to take a small or large part of production offline to increase profits. Amazing how many plants are going down for maintenance now when they are needed.
This is sort of a tangent, but the flipside of taking power offline to juice profits is capital strikes to limit capacity, thereby protecting profit margins. Oil refiners like to blame regulations for not building new plants, but that's a good way to keep prices higher, too.
But you're right that as currently designed, Texas's power market rewards sharp practices like taking capacity off the market when we need it the most. Like happened the week before winter storm Uri.
2nd time in three days
Another confounding factor is ERCOT's new conservative operating policy and a much hotter than usual spring; generators were kept online during the part of the year when they would usually close for maintenance. The ERCOT CEO mentioned his concern about wear and tear a few posts upstream.
But that guy said it's the wind.2nd time in three days
ERCOT knows wind generation is lower on hot days, but can't accurately predict thermal capacity seven days ahead.
Thank god the Tex COA abolished sovereign immunity for these s. Probably gets reversed though.
Reportedly, ERS deployments are very rare.
https://www.ercot.com/services/programs/load/eilsEmergency Response Service
ERCOT procures Emergency Response Service (ERS) by selecting qualified loads and generators (including aggregations of loads and generators) to make themselves available for deployment in an electric grid emergency. ERS is a valuable emergency service designed to decrease the likelihood of the need for firm Load shedding (a.k.a, rolling blackouts.) Customers meeting ERS criteria may offer to provide the service through their qualified scheduling en ies (QSE).ERCOT procures ERS four times during the ERS calendar year which begins with December and ends in November.
The Standard Contract Terms (SCT) are as follows: December-March, April-May, June-September and October-November. For each SCT ERCOT procures ERS according to two different response times—thirty minutes ("ERS-30") and ten minutes ("ERS-10"). ERS is authorized by Public Utility Commission Substantive Rule §25.507.
78,711 MW committed capacity as of 3:20PM
77,857 MW of demand as of 3:20PM
Bend over, looks like we're a cunt hair from blackouts starting with prices crossing the $5000 MW hr line a few minutes ago.
78411 MW committed capacity as of 3:25PM
77919 MW demand as of 3:25PM
492MW difference. Just a little more than that piece of bitcoin farm in Rockdale uses.
Too much ing heat
Two little ing water
Ercot sez it did not expect it to be so hot, which allows the Capitalist electric energy owners not to spend any profits
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