Page 35 of 38 FirstFirst ... 253132333435363738 LastLast
Results 851 to 875 of 928
  1. #851
    Drive for Five! ambchang's Avatar
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    Feb 2005
    Post Count
    18,142
    You can’t win the lottery with a protected pick. That’s why, even with slim odds, unprotected picks are far more valuable. Teams really don’t want to part with them. The whole thing is a crap shoot, but you want SOME chance at the top pick. Only one way to get that.
    I guess we generally agree on this, that the changes are slim. The area where we differ is how valuable that chance is.

  2. #852
    Veteran
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    Mar 2005
    Post Count
    18,794
    The issue is that the strategy is to get as many as you can. The idea is to “time” when the other team starts to be bad but it’s more luck than anything. Would anyone think the lakers would yield a lottery pick this year in 2020 when they won the championship, or even at the beginning of this year when they were one of the favourites? People can see the nets falling in 2016 but to the extent they did? Not really. If most people can see it then the nets wouldn’t have done it.
    You'll have to refresh my memory on the 2016 Nets. Who did they have and were they expected to be better than they were? I assume Boston drafted Tatum or Brown with the draft pick?

  3. #853
    Drive for Five! ambchang's Avatar
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    Feb 2005
    Post Count
    18,142
    You'll have to refresh my memory on the 2016 Nets. Who did they have and were they expected to be better than they were? I assume Boston drafted Tatum or Brown with the draft pick?
    The trade happened in 2013. People, while they expect the nets to be worse in 2016 as Garnett and Pierce aged, didn’t expect them to be that bad. If they did the nets wouldn’t have done that trade.

    Besides, nobody in 2013 would expect players like Tatum and brown to be available then as it’s so far in the future. Even when they were available people can’t see both of them working out the way they did. Kudos to the Celtics in developing both of them into the superstars they are now but the point stands that it’s a crapshoot. Again, of course it’s better for the pick to be unprotected but the returns of a protected vs unprotected is really not as big as a gap as people make it out to be, especially when the picks are top 3 or so protected.

  4. #854
    Veteran exstatic's Avatar
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    Mar 2003
    Post Count
    45,483
    The trade happened in 2013. People, while they expect the nets to be worse in 2016 as Garnett and Pierce aged, didn’t expect them to be that bad. If they did the nets wouldn’t have done that trade.

    Besides, nobody in 2013 would expect players like Tatum and brown to be available then as it’s so far in the future. Even when they were available people can’t see both of them working out the way they did. Kudos to the Celtics in developing both of them into the superstars they are now but the point stands that it’s a crapshoot. Again, of course it’s better for the pick to be unprotected but the returns of a protected vs unprotected is really not as big as a gap as people make it out to be, especially when the picks are top 3 or so protected.
    Top 3 protected pick still can’t win the lottery, and most agree top 3 is where 80% of the draft’s talent lies. You keep trying to argue that the value isn’t that different, mostly by comparing worst cases for UFRPs against best cases for the most lightly protected pick, but the value is quite different if you consider the most likely scenario for each type of FRP.

  5. #855
    Machacarredes Chinook's Avatar
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    Oct 2012
    Post Count
    32,115
    FFS, there are many types of conveyance. Some picks are protected initially but are guaranteed to convey. Some have innate swap rights built in. Some can be deferred. Some are reverse-protected. To suggests that completely unprotected picks are the only thing distinct from like the Charlotte pick or the 2019 Raptors pick is way off base. Each type of protection has different strengths and weaknesses. The Spurs looking for just one kind of pick and be willing to pass up other ways to improve the team's long-term position would be insane to my way of thinking. Detroit, New York, OKC and Houston all showed how even moderately protected picks can be used to make the minor and intermediate trades that transitional teams need to be able to make while protecting their core assets. It's very possible that next year the Spurs see a guy in the middle of the first that they want, and it would be cool if they had a few picks like the Charlotte pick they could toss in to grab their guy.

  6. #856
    Formerly Spurs21 KingKev's Avatar
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    Sep 2018
    Post Count
    5,928
    FFS, there are many types of conveyance. Some picks are protected initially but are guaranteed to convey. Some have innate swap rights built in. Some can be deferred. Some are reverse-protected. To suggests that completely unprotected picks are the only thing distinct from like the Charlotte pick or the 2019 Raptors pick is way off base. Each type of protection has different strengths and weaknesses. The Spurs looking for just one kind of pick and be willing to pass up other ways to improve the team's long-term position would be insane to my way of thinking. Detroit, New York, OKC and Houston all showed how even moderately protected picks can be used to make the minor and intermediate trades that transitional teams need to be able to make while protecting their core assets. It's very possible that next year the Spurs see a guy in the middle of the first that they want, and it would be cool if they had a few picks like the Charlotte pick they could toss in to grab their guy.
    Agreed. Jak falls in the grey area where you don’t meed and won’t get zero protection. If you are swallowing most of Russ’ contract no restrictions to 25-40mm in cap away.

    Also, ppl need to realize the cost of cap changes due various cir stances like any other market in this world.

  7. #857
    Drive for Five! ambchang's Avatar
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    Feb 2005
    Post Count
    18,142
    FFS, there are many types of conveyance. Some picks are protected initially but are guaranteed to convey. Some have innate swap rights built in. Some can be deferred. Some are reverse-protected. To suggests that completely unprotected picks are the only thing distinct from like the Charlotte pick or the 2019 Raptors pick is way off base. Each type of protection has different strengths and weaknesses. The Spurs looking for just one kind of pick and be willing to pass up other ways to improve the team's long-term position would be insane to my way of thinking. Detroit, New York, OKC and Houston all showed how even moderately protected picks can be used to make the minor and intermediate trades that transitional teams need to be able to make while protecting their core assets. It's very possible that next year the Spurs see a guy in the middle of the first that they want, and it would be cool if they had a few picks like the Charlotte pick they could toss in to grab their guy.
    Thank you. You conveyed it way better than I ever could.

  8. #858
    Formerly Spurs21 KingKev's Avatar
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    Sep 2018
    Post Count
    5,928
    Thank you. You conveyed it way better than I ever could.
    well frankly you didn’t convey that.

  9. #859
    Believe.
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    Sep 2018
    Post Count
    51
    Thing with UFRP vs FRP is that you likely want it to be further in the future, so it is also a question of your own timeline. generally, any asset another team receives that is worth giving up a UFRP for is likely to make them good enough that short term no protection would kick in. so you'd want to get that further down the road, when it actually matters. a FRP you can take also in the near future, as it's likely to cash in as the other team will outperform the protection anyway.
    as a team giving away the FRP, the best you can do is make the other team believe that making it a UFRP is worth something, whereas you expect it to be totally irrelevant. then you sell something worth nothing to get something back.

  10. #860
    Every game is game 1 Seventyniner's Avatar
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    Jul 2009
    Post Count
    10,608
    well frankly you didn’t convey that.
    It only would have conveyed if Chinook hadn't jumped into the top 4.

  11. #861
    Drive for Five! ambchang's Avatar
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    Feb 2005
    Post Count
    18,142
    well frankly you didn’t convey that.
    That honing on an UFRP is overrated? I was quite clear on that in the first post.

  12. #862
    Veteran pookenstein's Avatar
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    Jan 2010
    Post Count
    2,791
    Jakob Poeltl Expects To Make More In Free Agency Than What Spurs Can Offer On Extension
    Jakob Poeltl can sign a contract extension with the San Antonio Spurs, but the two sides are limited on the number that can be agreed upon at this point due to his current contract that pays $9.4 million. The two sides have reportedly discussed an extension, but Poeltl believes he can do better on the open market this offseason when his contract expires.
    "Jakob Poeltl is in the final year of his contract," said Brian Windhorst. "From what I'm told, the Spurs discussed a contract extension with him, but he's limited by how much he can sign for. It's the same reason they traded Dejounte Murray. They did such a good job on the contract that it almost works against you because when you want to sign a player, the player wants more than you can give him because you're limited on how much of a raise you can give in an extension.
    "I believe Poeltl can sign an extension that can average $14 million per year. That's pretty good money for him, but he thinks he can do better and I don't blame him the way he's playing he probably can.
    "Maybe the Spurs get to the offseason and re-sign him. He's headed for free agency. He can reverse course and take the extension offer. I don't know that's what they offered. I know the max they can offer him $14.5 million, $15 million on average.
    "He is a trade candidate."

  13. #863
    Believe.
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    Apr 2013
    Post Count
    514
    What a coincidence.. the max amount they can pay him is exactly how much I’d offer haha

  14. #864
    Machacarredes Chinook's Avatar
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    Oct 2012
    Post Count
    32,115
    I really wish people didn't take what Windhorst says as reporting. Most of the time, it's just his analysis. Like the Spurs being limited has been well-known on this forum for ages, and he's obviously worth it. So one can safely say they want to extend him but that he thinks he's worth more. But if his goal is to earn more money, the Spurs are still his best bet going forward. There's no reason for the Spurs to believe they're in real danger of losing Poeltl if they really value him.

  15. #865
    e^(i*pi) + 1 = 0 MannyIsGod's Avatar
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    Mar 2003
    Post Count
    57,943
    Spurs fans should probably get used to this. This same situation is what happened with Murray and its what is likely going to happen with Keldon. When players outplay the value of their second contract, it doesn't make sense for them to sign an extension because they're likely losing a lot of value. Doesn't mean that the Spurs can't still offer the appropriate value for a player, but it is more dicey as it requires going to free agency since it can't be through an extension. They'll probably address this in the next CBA.

  16. #866
    Veteran K...'s Avatar
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    Jun 2008
    Post Count
    8,229
    The good news is that with no ball dominant guys, players should want to stay. Poertle isn't going to get much better offers. Keldon might get swayed by a big market looking for a star but the spurs know how to trade these guys for value so no big deal

  17. #867
    Every game is game 1 Seventyniner's Avatar
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    Jul 2009
    Post Count
    10,608
    Spurs fans should probably get used to this. This same situation is what happened with Murray and its what is likely going to happen with Keldon. When players outplay the value of their second contract, it doesn't make sense for them to sign an extension because they're likely losing a lot of value. Doesn't mean that the Spurs can't still offer the appropriate value for a player, but it is more dicey as it requires going to free agency since it can't be through an extension. They'll probably address this in the next CBA.
    Agreed. There are so many other ways in which an in bent team gets advantages in re-signing their own players, the restriction on max extension size doesn't really make sense. Since the Spurs will have Poeltl's full Bird rights at the end of this season why restrict them from offering an extension up to his maximum salary now? I sure hope the next CBA does address this.

  18. #868
    El rojo y los Spurs!!! Ariel's Avatar
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    Jan 2006
    Post Count
    4,175
    Problem is, what he supposedly rejected (around 15M per year) is about fair value IMO, judging by other centers' contracts (Jarret Allen, Valanciunas, Robert Williams, Capela, etc.). It shouldn't go much higher... maybe a couple million more (17/18), but more than than would be an overpay IMO.

  19. #869
    Believe. LeBowen's Avatar
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    Apr 2019
    Post Count
    6,930
    Problem is, what he supposedly rejected (around 15M per year) is about fair value IMO, judging by other centers' contracts (Jarret Allen, Valanciunas, Robert Williams, Capela, etc.). It shouldn't go much higher... maybe a couple million more (17/18), but more than than would be an overpay IMO.
    Well, he's better than all of them in today's game and the cap is rising, so someone will offer 20ish, no question.
    I'd go up to 18 to 20 with the new cap, he's worth it.

  20. #870
    Body Of Work Mr. Body's Avatar
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    Nov 2004
    Post Count
    29,455
    I remember when many (including our site leader) were very unhappy with the contract Poeltl signed, believing it way too much.

  21. #871
    El rojo y los Spurs!!! Ariel's Avatar
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    Jan 2006
    Post Count
    4,175
    Well, he's better than all of them in today's game and the cap is rising, so someone will offer 20ish, no question.
    I'd go up to 18 to 20 with the new cap, he's worth it.
    No he isn't, that's a Spurs fan speaking. Go ask Cleveland, NO or Boston if they'd swap any one of them for Poeltl and you'll get rejected in a minute.

  22. #872
    2 Doors Down BillMc's Avatar
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    Apr 2009
    Post Count
    20,599
    I really wish people didn't take what Windhorst says as reporting. Most of the time, it's just his analysis. Like the Spurs being limited has been well-known on this forum for ages, and he's obviously worth it. So one can safely say they want to extend him but that he thinks he's worth more. But if his goal is to earn more money, the Spurs are still his best bet going forward. There's no reason for the Spurs to believe they're in real danger of losing Poeltl if they really value him.
    If they don't extend him, the Spurs can pay him anything as an FA, right? His current salary doesn't affect FA offers, only extensions, right?

  23. #873
    Body Of Work Mr. Body's Avatar
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    Nov 2004
    Post Count
    29,455
    No he isn't, that's a Spurs fan speaking. Go ask Cleveland, NO or Boston if they'd swap any one of them for Poeltl and you'll get rejected in a minute.
    Boston would probably swap him for Robert Williams instantly just on durability alone.

  24. #874
    Remember Cherokee Parks The Truth #6's Avatar
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    Aug 2006
    Post Count
    6,911
    I think Yak is underrated, and because of that I also don’t see a team coveting him unless it’s a team with a former Spurs staffer/coach who appreciates him. He has no jump shot. His game is nuanced but with some holes and there are reasons teams won’t pursue him, not all valid, but he’s under the radar. Just saying…

  25. #875
    Veteran
    My Team
    San Antonio Spurs
    Join Date
    Jun 2009
    Post Count
    10,246
    Well, he's better than all of them in today's game and the cap is rising, so someone will offer 20ish, no question.
    I'd go up to 18 to 20 with the new cap, he's worth it.
    Some context: Steven Adams earns over 17M this year.

Thread Information

Users Browsing this Thread

There are currently 2 users browsing this thread. (0 members and 2 guests)

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •