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So what's the early report on the 24 draft? I haven't looked at it yet...still focused on 23...
RIF
Last edited by exstatic; 02-09-2023 at 05:37 PM.
So what's the early report on the 24 draft? I haven't looked at it yet...still focused on 23...
That's too optimistic.
Charlotte pick's most likely scenario is turning into 2nd rounders, as they have to make the playoffs this year or the following 2 seasons.
Chicago's pick is protected (10-8-8), chances are this year it conveys to Orlando and starts counting from '25, but it's not guaranteed to convey if their core blows up and they start to tank (not the most likely scenario, but far from impossible).
Also, the swap nomenclature is confusing in regards to swap, as it leads to believe those are 2 separate picks. Should say something like SAS (swap rights with Boston, top 1 protected) to avoid confusion.
You can’t read, can you? I said the assumption was that they would all convey, and miss me with your ing and do your own damn grid.
As recently as a week or 10 days, Chicago had a 20% chance to keep the pick. It’s currently 10%, but as malleable as the standings are, it could go right back up again. That’s enough chance to enter into pick scenarios.
So your "train wreck" scenario means assuming the best outcome. Gotcha.
The train wreck is FIVE ing FRPs in one draft. Best outcome is the even split of two FRPs per draft, very low odds.
Toronto's should almost certainly convey right away. even if they fail to retain one of Trent/Vanvleet (they probably could still recoup assets via sign and trade), they dont have a bad enough team to realistically land a top 6 pick
at this point, kind of have to assume charlotte's wont convey. they are a dumpster team right now and just traded plumlee for reggie jackson who they immediately waived, so they're moving in the wrong direction. Oubre is a free agent after this season. what they do have going for them is they should land a great pick this season (hopefully not TOO great), and then get an additional first from the nuggets. they also still have rozier/ball and we kind of just have to hope Miles Bridges comes back for them and provides enough of an impact for this team to get out of the lottery in the next 2 years. its possible, but there are a lot of if's and but's involved
as for chicago... i honestly dont know. 2025 is far out enough where its unclear what their roster will look like. they've been shopping lavine who is the one notable guy they even have under contract for the 24-25 season (derozan's is up after next year, vucevic is up after this year, lonzo on a player option). its very conceivable that they'd be bad enough by then for the pick not to convey. chicago is also losing its first round pick this year to orlando though its possible/unlikely that they recoup a first rounder via portland. luckily that pick has 3 chances to convey
Getting as many '26 picks should be the goal.
That draft seems to be massive.
You'll have to wait a bit more for Wemby's 15 yo brother (6'6),already playing for french U18.
Thanks for doing this compilation exstatic. Had kinda lost track of the picks that actually matter with all the fanfare of our recent SRP haul.
You're missing us with your ing tbh.
I think CHI blows it up in the off season…they may be getting a top 5 pick next season lol
yeah im starting to get pretty skeptical it wont convey in 2025, but luckily we have 3 shots at that one
You've got the Boozer kid getting tons of hype too, but I think he's 25 or 26..
Unfortunately I don't think you can count on Charlotte drafting well. I have them pegged with Amen or Ausar Thompson at this point.
Yeah, I believe Cameron Boozer shoud be eligible the same year (2026) as Oscar Wenbanyama. (Same as Cooper Flagg and Koa Peat who get some great hype too).
2026 is a good year to have top 5 FRPs tbh. Here's a vid of Wemby's lil' bruh (15 yo, right?) and highlgihts of a game between U18 with Oscar vs. "California Basketball Club" with Bronny and Bryce James. (Bilal Coulibaly also plays for France U18, a projected late first/secound rounder for the 2023 draft).
Last edited by JPB; 02-09-2023 at 06:10 PM.
Thanks. I’ve internalized that the CHA pick is basically two SRP. In any event it’s the least quality FRP and should be used to get a better asset later.
This is what I've been thinking, the Charlotte pick is unlikely to ever happen as FRP unless they sudden win a boatload of games in 2024, which won't happen. Thanks for clarifying it just turns into a SRP.
This is what I made to help it make sense
You see Utah's first round picks.
The Spurs should swap the Toronto 2024 frp pick for Utah's 2023 frp (the Min unprotected pick ), currently the 16th pick in 2023, on draft night.
Utah has three frp is 2023 and 2025 and may not have a frp in 2024.
Would be nice for Chicago's pick to slip to 2026.
Jesus christ thats alot of srp's
We already have four rookies on the team already and this year's draft is really poor. I'd rather wait.
yeah that would be pretty awesome. would mean that regardless of the charlotte pick, we'd have multiple firsts every year from 2024-2027 (im assuming the raptors pick will convey, they wont be that bad next year). think the hope would be that by the time 2028 rolls around, we'd have hit on enough of those picks to be good enough to the point where the boston swap will convey
and even though we only get 1 first this year, it will be a good one
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