Maybe - Spurs lost 16 and CHA with no LaMelo is worse than SA I think but hopefully you are right. Just saying to guarantee the bottom 3 Spurs can’t win more than 5.
Spurs, even after an insane losing streak of 16 games has a win % of 23%.
Winning 5 of their remaining games is only a 25% win percentage and they play HOU twice in there. It seems LIKELY to me that as they get healthy they win 25% of their games (especially if HOU is 2 wins).
The Spurs won't let Charlotte pass them. They have been on tank mode(doing nothing to bring talent on the current roster for this year through the trades they made) since the Murray trade.
Pop knows which lineups won't work. You'll see many 2nd half collapses like what we saw last game.
This is all without Devin and Tre though. Those 2 are enough to to bump the win% to 25%. If SA loses at least one to HOU maybe, but if they beat HOU 2x I’m very confident they get to 20 wins.
Detroit held both Ivey and Duren out last night against Charlotte.
Last edited by rascal; 02-28-2023 at 10:28 AM.
Pop will hold players out with minor injuries. And they are in no hurry to get Devin back in action. Will work him back slowly and any little setback they'll shut him down for the year.
The Spurs aren't messing up their best odds after coming so far now.
The Spurs don't play many tanking teams now. I don't see any more than 3 wins the rest of the way.
Spurs beat HOU 2x
I can see SA winning 3 of these games: OKC, ORL, ATL, WAS, POR or MIN (maybe a surprise win somewhere else to on a hot shooting night).
I don't see them winning three of those games. I don't even see them winning both against Houston.
fluke 5-2 start to the season kinda skews things as well
Maybe, but HOU legit sucks and IF SA beats them 2x here soon I can definitely see SA finishing with 20-21 wins. Hope not, but just calling it as I see it.
We also “legit suck”
You can keep telling yourself Pop is strategically tanking, Vassell and Tre Jones have been injured blah blah blah but the reality is we are dog and our two best players in Vassell and Keldon are putting up 20 a game on the least talented team in the NBA.
i dont know if you noticed but SA legit sucks too
That’s fine - but having said that we already beat HOU 2x despite us sucking and we are still ahead of HOU despite losing 16 in a row lol. You cannot ignore these things. But again, this is just math to me at this point; we will see what happens. Hopefully CHA did enough to cement SA in bottom 3
Still better than HOU. Beat them 2x already and still ahead of them despite losing 16 in a row. Not sure how anyone ignores this…
I don't know why people in here think the Spurs are so much better than Houston. At best the Spurs will split those two games between two tanking teams.
It wouldn't surprise me to see Sochan sit out with a thigh bruise or something like that if the spurs win the first game.
You don’t know why people here, who saw SA smash HOU two times already when they played and showed the clear gap between the two alongside the fact SA can lose 16 in a row and still be ahead of HOU, think SA is much better than HOU?
Would it shock me if SA splits with HOU? No. But if SA is truly healthy with Dev back and everyone playing, the odds should favor SA in those games.
The odds will be even money and your superstar Dev will be on minutes restriction in his first games back after being out for two months. Over that time a 19 yr old rookie replaced him seamlessly.
I’m not a fortune teller. HOU could blow SA out both games lol. I’m just making a point about the situation and I don’t see why people here would seemingly be “shocked” if SA beats HOU 2x.
HOU has 3 wins MAX IMO from what I see (that’s including a split with SA)
not shocked. i just dont think a sweep is a foregone conclusion
Imo the Spurs have securized a place in the bottom 3. I don't see them winning 5 more games than Charlotte.
charlotte is 13-23 when lamelo plays and 7-20 without him
so their win% without him is 26%. spurs win percentage on the season is 23%
lamelo being out hurts charlotte but i dont think the spurs will magically gain 5 games on them
Sure - I’m approaching it from an angle of guaranteed being in bottom 3 though. That means Sa can’t win more than 5. Sure beating hou 2x isn’t guaranteed and I never said that; I did say that I think it’s a decent probability and that if they do? Odds of winning at least 5 from here on out go wayyy up.
SA can win more than 5. they just cant win more than 5 more than charlotte wins
Thanks for clarifying as DPG struggles with maffs.
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