Locks:
Jones
Vassell, Branham, Champangie
Johnson
Wembanayam, Sochan
Near-locks:
McDermott
Collins, Bassey
Would be a lock if signed:
Barlow
Likely to make the team if signed:
Cissoko
That's 12 players. There are three slots available for:
Graham, Payne, Wesley
Bullock
Osman, Mamukelashvili
Birch
Birch is an obvious cut barring some miracle turn-around. So we're talking about six guys for three slots (or four if Cissoko ends up staying in Europe). I know folks want to just assume all the vets are going to get cut to make room for Welsey and Mamu, but as KBD/Samanic and Butler/Freddette showed, the Spurs reward camp play. I'd put Wesley as having the best chance of the lot to make it, but with Branham possibly playing his position and some legit compe ion for him, he doesn't have to. Unlike any other bubble player, Blake is eligible for a two-way contract. It's arguable that him signing one would be best for both sides. He gets more money and gets to see free agency sooner, and the Spurs get a roster spot while still maintaining some long-term control over an asset. I know some people would be worried about Wesley getting claimed. But honestly as I've pointed out plenty of teams have comparable guys at the end of their rosters already, and fewer teams have the exception or cap space to put in a claim. The Spurs could make it even less palatable by picking up his option in conjunction with waiving him.