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  1. #101
    Body Of Work Mr. Body's Avatar
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    Suns should put the hammer down on Thursday. The remainder of the initial games get easier thereafter at least on paper.

  2. #102
    Veteran SpursFan86's Avatar
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    I know luck/randomness is part of basketball, but so far we’re incredibly lucky to be 2-2 right now If you play out the last 2 minutes of the Rockets/Suns games 100 times, we probably only win a couple of those scenarios.

    Based on how we’ve looked I’m not confident we should be favored against anyone TBH. Just have to hope that as the season goes on we start to look more cohesive.

  3. #103
    Every game is game 1 Seventyniner's Avatar
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    I know luck/randomness is part of basketball, but so far we’re incredibly lucky to be 2-2 right now If you play out the last 2 minutes of the Rockets/Suns games 100 times, we probably only win a couple of those scenarios.

    Based on how we’ve looked I’m not confident we should be favored against anyone TBH. Just have to hope that as the season goes on we start to look more cohesive.
    To be fair, the Spurs were up 1 with 2:09 left against Dallas. Play that out 100 times and the Spurs win at least 40 imo.

    The record that the Spurs "deserve" to have based on point differential and such is closer to 1-3 than 2-2, but it's still too early to draw a lot of conclusions based on that.

  4. #104
    Body Of Work Mr. Body's Avatar
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    If the refs didn't put Victor in foul trouble all game 1, a number of earlier possessions would have been much different. It might not have been down to the wire.

    The team is making a lot of mistakes and needs to learn, but they're .500. Moving on.

  5. #105
    Veteran SpursFan86's Avatar
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    To be fair, the Spurs were up 1 with 2:09 left against Dallas. Play that out 100 times and the Spurs win at least 40 imo.

    The record that the Spurs "deserve" to have based on point differential and such is closer to 1-3 than 2-2, but it's still too early to draw a lot of conclusions based on that.
    Fair enough. In the end what is “deserved” is irrelevant and the more wins we can steal early in the season while we’re still figuring things out, the better. If we can manage to have a ~40% win percentage the first half of the season that’s a major win in my book.

  6. #106
    Make a trade steal
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    Fair enough. In the end what is “deserved” is irrelevant and the more wins we can steal early in the season while we’re still figuring things out, the better. If we can manage to have a ~40% win percentage the first half of the season that’s a major win in my book.
    Not really.

    It means a lower draft pick when we're going to want that high draft pick on draft day. Spurs are still in need of adding top level talent.

    It's best if the Spurs can come away from next year's draft with a future all star level player.

  7. #107
    Out with the old... Obstructed_View's Avatar
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    To be fair, the Spurs were up 1 with 2:09 left against Dallas. Play that out 100 times and the Spurs win at least 40 imo.

    The record that the Spurs "deserve" to have based on point differential and such is closer to 1-3 than 2-2, but it's still too early to draw a lot of conclusions based on that.
    Basing anything off point differential after four games is beyond re ed, particularly with a 40 point loss.

  8. #108
    Body Of Work Mr. Body's Avatar
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    Spurs have played three hard teams -- Dallas is playing very well -- and then Houston. After tonight, things will get a bit easier.

  9. #109
    Every game is game 1 Seventyniner's Avatar
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    Basing anything off point differential after four games is beyond re ed, particularly with a 40 point loss.
    Point differential was the wrong term, I should have said "based on how close the games have been".

    With two minutes left in each game:
    • The Spurs led the Mavs by 1, Mavs ball. I'll go with a 50% chance the Spurs win there, for 0.5 "expected wins" (used loosely).
    • The Spurs trailed the Rockets by 1, Rockets ball. 0.4 expected wins.
    • The Spurs trailed the Clippers by a million. 0 expected wins.
    • The Spurs trailed the Suns by 3, Suns ball. 0.3 expected wins.


    That's an expected record of 1.2-2.8, and it isn't affected by how much the Spurs lost to the Clippers by.

    Looking at this with 2 minutes left is admittedly arbitrary, but I think it illustrates the point well enough.

  10. #110
    Veteran playbonner15's Avatar
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    Vs Mavs - Win
    Vs Rockets - Loss
    @Clippers - Win
    @ Suns - Loss
    @ Suns - Loss
    Vs Raptors - Win
    @ Pacers - Loss
    @Knicks - Loss
    Vs TWolves - Loss
    Vs Heat - Loss
    you on to something here...

  11. #111
    Body Of Work Mr. Body's Avatar
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    An interesting mix of teams coming up, different strengths, not any of them worldbeaters but cn each be difficult. The T-Pups will be fascinating with Gobert and KAT.

  12. #112
    Believe. Fizziksman's Avatar
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    7-3

  13. #113
    Grab 'em by the pussy Splits's Avatar
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    Vs Mavs - Win
    Vs Rockets - Loss
    @Clippers - Win
    @ Suns - Loss
    @ Suns - Loss
    Vs Raptors - Win
    @ Pacers - Loss
    @Knicks - Loss
    Vs TWolves - Loss
    Vs Heat - Loss
    On fire scrah.


  14. #114
    Believe. Fizziksman's Avatar
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    4 game win streak here we go

  15. #115
    Savvy Veteran spurraider21's Avatar
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    this is like Avante’s nfl forum picks

    people here made money just betting the opposite of all his picks

  16. #116
    Erryday I'm Hustlin' Robz4000's Avatar
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    Vs Mavs - Win
    Vs Rockets - Loss
    @Clippers - Win
    @ Suns - Loss
    @ Suns - Loss
    Vs Raptors - Win
    @ Pacers - Loss
    @Knicks - Loss
    Vs TWolves - Loss
    Vs Heat - Loss
    4 game win streak incoming !!!!

  17. #117
    Make a trade steal
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    vs Mavs - Win
    vs Rockets - Win
    @ Clippers - Loss
    @ Suns - Loss
    @ Suns - Loss
    vs Raptors - Win
    @ Pacers - Win
    @ Knicks - Loss
    vs TWolves - Win
    vs Heat - Loss
    You have the same as I have . 4-6

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